will be very dark and very hard. we don't have many places the people in camps. with one week to go before election day in the united states their focus turns to the key swing states that are set to determine who wins the race of the white house. and the birds ruffling a few feathers in west sussex. we go in search of the peacocks on the loose in the south downs. hello, good afternoon. let usjust out with some breaking news. we now hearing that the number of dead migrants who were crossing the channel when their boat capsized, the number of dead migrants who were crossing the channel when their boat capsized, the number of debt has increased lives and we are hearing from our correspondent says simon jones in tunbridge wells that it is a man, a two children aged five and eight and they were in a boat that was carrying migrants crossing the channel. the boat capsized, a bit of information coming in from the health authorities. they are saying that 15 people altogether were taken ca re of by that 15 people altogether were taken care of by hospitals in calais and dunkirk and they are also saying that an investigation is being carried out now by the public prosecutor of dunkirk in order to identify the causes of this tragedy. so, just the latest there. four people have died in that boat capsizing, a man, a woman, two children aged five and aged eight. we will bring you more on that as $0011 we will bring you more on that as 50011 as we we will bring you more on that as soon as we get it. there is increasing pressure on the government to outline exactly how a reason through coronavirus straight sections can them lifted. —— coronavirus restrictions. more than 50 conservative mps representing the north of england have written to the prime minister calling for a clear road map out of tough coronavirus restrictions. the mps — many of whom won labour's so—called ‘red wall‘ seats at the last election — warn that the pandemic threatens the prime minister's promise to "level up" northern communities. jonathan blake reports. new parts of england coming under the tightest restrictions. nottingham moves into the very high covid alert level this week, warrington nowjoins other areas in tier 3. for how long, no one can be sure. if it's necessary, everybody abides by the rules, the sooner we will be able to get back to normal. maybe within, what is it, 28 days, we will be back to tier 2. i think it's needed to happen. the numbers of people with coronavirus are growing. mps are demanding details though on when and how the measures may be lifted. we are asking people to give up huge civil liberties, businesses to close, people to live on two thirds of their normal wages. i don't think it's unreasonable to say that the other side of that coin should be, show us the way out. more than 50 conservative mps have written to the prime minister calling for a clear road map out of local lockdowns. in their letter they warn coronavirus threatens to continue to increase the disparity between north and south. they say their constituents have been some of the worst affected by covid, with many losing jobs and businesses, and they ask boris johnson to reflect carefully on the conservatives' promise to people living in the north during the last election, with the levelling up agenda, and to make the region central to the country's economic recovery. it's almost a year since borisjohnson‘s landslide election victory. we did it! we did it. tories who took seats from labour then warn their areas risk being left behind now. ministers insist the promised investment has begun. seven towns getting £180 million as part of the 5.6 billion towns fund, 45 of them are in the northern powerhouse, 1a of the hospitals in our hospital building programmes are in the northern powerhouse. the mps who wrote this letter insist they're not trying to make trouble for the government — some say they were not expecting it to be made public. but reminding the prime minister about promises he made at the last election reflects a nervousness among some tory backbenchers that those who voted conservative last time round won't necessarily do so again. the response to coronavirus may have consumed the government for months, but downing street says its ambition for the country is unchanged. some mps are clearly impatient to see the evidence. jonathan blake, bbc news. let's get more on this with our political correspondent, nick eardley. nick, i was talking to one of the mps who has written this letter suggesting to her it is a bit hard to get a boot out of restrictions from the government when you haven't really got a road map out of coronavirus. it is interesting then because i think that is one of the areas where the government is under real pressure because we have heard opposition parties say, yes, we understand you can't tell us when but we want to know how these restrictions will be lifted because that will help businesses prepare, it will help people prepare for potentially getting back to daily life, and the fact that a number of conservatives are now explicitly saying to the government, look, you need to give us an exit strategy, i think is going tojust need to give us an exit strategy, i think is going to just add to that pressure that ministers are under. now, this group is saying that they are not trying to make life hard for the government, it is not supposed to bea the government, it is not supposed to be a challenge to borisjohnson, but it is also really significant that a group of more than 50 mps, many of them who were just elected the first time in 2019 feel the need to remind boris johnson the first time in 2019 feel the need to remind borisjohnson in the language that they have that he made these promises and that they are a key pa rt these promises and that they are a key part of his mandate is significant because i think there is a nervousness. the coronavirus is taking up so much headspace in government that many of those political priorities, the levelling up political priorities, the levelling up agenda, are falling down the priority list. the government insists that is not the case, but it absolutely remembers the pledges that it made and that they are absolutely priorities for the government. we have heard the chancellor is speaking to the bbc‘s newspeak this afternoon, saying that he is still going to invest money, there are still going to be a lot of investment in other parts of the northern economy, but the fact that there is now a pressure group of northern mps within the conservative party willing to hold the government's feet to the fire on this is a pretty big deal. yet yes, idid it this is a pretty big deal. yet yes, i did it partly because these mps as we said an introduction they run a lot of seats the labour party, these bedwell seats and they feel this might be relevant next time round. that is certainly an element of it. the whole strategy that the government had of the election was to try and hold onto that old red wall which some are now calling the blue world. it has been a pretty bruising couple of weeks for the government's relationship with certain parts of the north of england. the cell that protected row with andy burnham's mayor andy burnham, yes he is a labour politician who had cut through the idea that the government was trying to short—change manchester as he put it. i think that has had an impact. i think some conservatives want to be seen to be fighting for their region as well but i think the most important thing here is there clearly is a nervousness, that some of those pledges are bound levelling up of those pledges are bound levelling up have fallen down the agenda, that they might not be at the top of the list for the government and these mps feel that they're going to have to remind boris johnson mps feel that they're going to have to remind borisjohnson that he made those pledges and the fact that he got people to vote for him in the north of england, many of them, for the first time, was in part down to the first time, was in part down to the promises he made them. they expect them to be kept. as ever, our political correspondent with the latest from westminster. the city of nottingham and through surrounding areas is headed for england's tier 3 restrictions. our correspondent dan johnson sent this update. people have been expecting this because for quite a while, nottingham was at the top of the transmission rate right across the country. those numbers did come down last week, the numbers here and now more than half of what they were last week but local leaders have been talking about moving the city and surrounding boroughs into tier 3 and that will happen from one minute past midnight on thursday, people have been expecting this because for quite a while, nottingham was at the top of the transmission rate meaning nottingham city on the side of the trent and rushcliffe on the other side along with other boroughs, closest to the city centre, the suggestion from some people is that that is down to students, the number of them coming back to the city in september causing numbers to surge and it is the inner boroughs they tend to live in. there will be tighter restrictions, what we don't have is the precise detail of what will stay open and what will close but local leaders say they expect it to be in line with what other areas have faced as they have gone into the very high level alert restrictions. we don't know what the financial package will be yet in terms of support for businesses but it is expected to be in line although the local city council leader here says he does not think it is enough. across nottinghamshire, to the north of the county, places like mansfield and worksop will remain in tier 2 with the rest of nottinghamshire, for people here around nottingham, the tighter restrictions will be in place from thursday morning. members of the scottish parliament are debating and will later vote on scotland's new five—level system of local covid—19 restrictions. the first minister announced which areas of scotland would be under which tiers in the new system. the central belt areas currently under the toughest restrictions are likely to be in level three initially and most of the rest of the country it is likely to start in at level two. there are however some exceptions under consideration. firstly, it is hope that the highlands, orkney, shetland, the western isles and more to a level one. less positively, we believe that the escalating situation in dundee city makes it possible that it will go to a level three. as has been reported, we are considering whether the very high rate of transmission and hospital admissions in north and south lanarkshire may necessitate a move may necessitate a move for them to to level four. these are the only areas being considered for of the couple of days that the situation in lanarkshire may have stabilised, so we won't take that decision if it is deemed absolutely necessary and i hope we can avoid it. willie macleod is head of uk hospitality scotland. he told me about the concerns the hospitality industry has about the new five tier system. we have been having a dialogue with the scottish government since friday over the proposed five levels and we have the great concern about these coming forward on top of the previous restrictions. we put forward some counterproposals to government but as recently as lunchtime today we doubt if our collective hospitality industry suggestions have had much influence on policy. give us an idea of the price that the hospitality sector in scotla nd price that the hospitality sector in scotland is paying for these coronavirus restrictions. well, indirect costs for example the hospitality sector in scotland has probably spent getting on for about 90 million in protective measures. there's been a huge loss of cash flow, businesses have drained the reserves during a very restricted period of training. —— period of trading. 0ne restriction was that the average hotel in scotland during the average hotel in scotland during the lock—out period was incurring costs of £16,000 per week in fixed costs of £16,000 per week in fixed costs while there was no revenue coming in so the cost on businesses has been huge. cash flow, as i say, is severely eroded. the reserves have been eroded and additional borrowing has been incurred and u nless we borrowing has been incurred and unless we get some concessions to allow businesses to trade at a viable level then the inevitable consequence, and we're already seeing it, is businesses are going to and the tragic knock—on effect of thatis to and the tragic knock—on effect of that is that people are going to lose theirjobs. white might add businesses close in all the time? source of every day, every week? they have indeed. i have heard of one hotel that is closing, others have closed, others are trading on a very restricted basis and even others, when they were unable to be up others, when they were unable to be up and back in the summer, have decided that they were better just cutting their losses and remaining closed in the hope of better times to come in the spring of next year. that's william mcleod, head of hospitality scotland. 0nly essential operations are going ahead in hospitals in leeds after the number of coronavirus patients being treated rose to levels higher than in the first wave of the virus. leeds teaching hospitals nhs trust — which runs leeds general infirmary and stjames's hospital — says it's treating 263 patients who have tested positive for covid—19, including 22 in intensive care. the trust says it expects the number of people in critical care to increase over the next 48 hours. there has been a sharp rise in the number of deaths in the uk from coronavirus. a further 367 people have lost their lives — all of whom were diagnosed with the virus within 28 days of their death. and a further 22,885 new cases have also been recorded, that's an increase of almost 2000 on yesterday's figures. soa so a rise both in the number of deaths and the number of cases in the uk. it's a common belief that if you catch coronavirus once — you can't catch it again. but new research casts doubt on that. scientists say the proportion of people with coronavirus antibodies has been falling — suggesting immunity may only last a few months. researchers at imperial college london found the number of people testing positive for antibodies dropped by around a quarter betweenjune and september. naomi grimley reports. antibodies are a key part of our immune defences and stop the virus from getting inside the body's cells. but a study of 350,000 people who had antibody tests shows they don't last forever. at the end ofjune, 6% have antibodies but by september it was only 4%. immunity is likely to weigh nearer the time after you've been infected. ——immunity is likely to wane over time time after you've been infected. even if you know that you have had covid, then you can't be sure that you won't get it again and therefore we advise everybody to follow recommendations about hand hygiene, mask wearing and social distancing. that is the first thing and secondly, yes, it means that we are really in need of a vaccine which would hopefully produce a more long—lived immunity. the tailing off of antibodies may not be the whole story. there is another arm of the immune system called t—cells and the science on that is still evolving. they arwe white blood cells that patrol the body. they inspect every cell in the body and they can see cells that have if cells showed those signs, t cells are equipped with missiles that they can basically fire into their cells and destroy them. meanwhile, new data from the office of national statistics shows that uk covid—19 deaths have risen by 60% of the last week, shown here in red. it's only a fraction of the peak seen in april but it's still a reminder that the situation is worsening. indeed, the world health organization is worried about similar trends across europe. right now we're well behind this virus in europe, so getting ahead of it is going to take some serious acceleration in what we do and maybe a much more comprehensive nature of measures that are going to be needed to catch up with and get ahead of this virus. we've still got a lot to learn about how covid—19 affects our bodies. this latest research on immunity is another piece of the jigsaw. it will shape the government's scientific advice, which in turn shapes our lives. naomi grimley, bbc news. the headlines on bbc news... borisjohnson is boris johnson is facing borisjohnson is facing pressure from dozens of his own mps over coronavirus restrictions the north of england. levels of antibodies and people who have had covid—19 full quite rapidly according to new research. four people have died including two children aged between five and eight after a bit carrying migrants sank in the channel near dunkirk. ...the the former vice presidentjoe biden is in the republican stronghold of george leaving he can win it for the democrats for the first time since 1992. meanwhile by the cabana has been campaigning for the cabana has been campaigning for the debt. he has been telling a crowd in orlando that mr trump is not taking his job seriously and the american public is paying the price. more than 225,000 people in this country are dead. more than 100,000 small businesses have closed. half a millionjobs at small businesses have closed. half a million jobs at gan in florida alone. think about that. and what's his closing argument? that people are too focused on covid! he said this at one of his rallies. covid, covid, covid, he is complaining. he is jealous of poe that's media coverage. barack obama there. let's get some analysis from washington and our correspondent gary o'donoghue. bringing out cabana, is that really could make a difference forjoe biden, de thing? yet, it could do, particularly in terms of galvanising and getting the african—american vote out, there is a known realm as a known illness out of sympathy, empathy, if you like, passion for babbitt obama amongst democrats group so that is some, it is one of those demographics where joe biden does need some help so he may be able to do it. interesting him talking about donald trump being jealous of the media coverage that clomid gets that. donald trump actually responded to barack obama while he was still on his feet speaking complaining that fox news was carrying that speech that he is still very much focused on fighting the battles in the past as well. how is it looking? biden has been in the lead pretty much throughout this but this doesn't always mean a whole lot, does it? hillary clinton actually won 3 million more votes than donald trump last time round. that's right. the poles one thing of course, a lot of people have devoted, 63 million people a huge, huge number of people, almost 50% of the total vote last time have already voted, but also at the same time, it is worth saying thatjoe biden‘s pulls a sort of holding up ina sort biden‘s pulls a sort of holding up in a sort of aggregators. he is looking at nine points, eight point lead nationally. at this point last time around, one of those groups that do the poles, real clear politics, only had hillary clinton up 2.2% so he has a substantial advantage in where she was last time and also in the swing states he is up significantly, particularly in what he is probably well of what used to be doubling well, pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin. michigan and wisconsin he is well beyond the polling ever potential. it close in pennsylvania but he is also competitive and pay dharmic places. now, is that to say that he is going to win? we will see. there were polling and is last time around, events in the last few days that caused hilary clinton's problems, notably the fbi who presumably want blaring sirens all the time, they reopen their investigation into her e—mails of class and that all changed the picture so things can happen but at the moment it's been remarkably steady. a tiny bit of change in a special glance but really very steady forjoe biden. very noisy in washington but thank you very much need for bing is up to date on the presidential race. —— thank you very much indeed for bringing us up to date. a man has died and another person is missing after a small fishing boat carrying migrants capsized in the english channel this morning. priti patel made the statement on twitter... that statement is treated by home secretary priti patel. footballer marcus rashford's high—profile campaign for free meals during school holidays is keeping up the pressure as he receives the support of more and more businesses. he's asked them for details of how many free meals they are distributing. frankie mccamley reports. 45 packed lunches in skipton. 150 pasta pots in bradford. and almost 100 butties heading out for delivery in dewsbury. the local businesses have all come together following marcus rashford's call to help feed the country's hungry children over half term. in just one day, thousands of meals were sent out. it's a lifeline for many families, including leah hill, who receives food parcels to help feed her children. it is helpful for when you have run out of cash. like, i get paid fortnightly but it is still very hard with the bills you pay. when they are at school it's a lot better because they don't eat as much because they get dinners at school. and at this restaurant in stevenage, it is clear how much the meals matter. in some ways, i felt embarrassed about having to do this, but it is about ensuring my son is eating properly. i know i try my best normally, but during half terms, or even any holidays, it is always difficult. following a pilot across 17 local authorities providing free school meals over the holidays, the head of the government's national food strategy, henry dimbleby, says the government needs to continue with this support. this problem is real, it should go without saying it is serious, it is immediate and it is going to get worse as employment gets worse. and that the government is not doing enough. in—kind support — so in the form of food, education — actually has shown to have a better impact than putting the same small amount of money into universal credit. the government is reported to be considering extra funds for councils to set up holiday clubs, but some say time is of the essence. these children are frightened and they are suffering serious ill health as a result of this. and when you combine that with poor nutrition, what you end up is with poor cognition and poor development. as the row rumbles on and ministers face growing public pressure to help struggling families, businesses and communities continue to prepare, pack and deliver their support. frankie mccamley, bbc news. sue sibany—king is the manager of the slough foodbank, and says she has seen demand increase by over 40% during the course of the pandemic. i spoke to her earlier. giving the pandemic we have seen a 4296 giving the pandemic we have seen a 42% increase in number so we are regularly feeding more than 100 food parcels a week which is quite something. a huge increase on last year. we are on target to do over 6000 food parcels this year, which is an increase in the 4700, 800 that we did last year, and, of course, bearing in mind the school meals as we are discussing, when families are struggling they will come to food banks and we are glad that we are able to help but it really isn't the job of charities to be doing this. we do need to see something throughout government, something thatis throughout government, something that is put in place for the long term. we've been doing this, it's not new. it's wonderful that marcus rashford has really shone this torch on this issue but we have all been doing this for many, many years. slough has been in existence for ten yea rs slough has been in existence for ten years and we're just putting a sticking plaster on the problem and we really need something that is put in place that will prevent poverty, prevent food poverty, and help these people to take their lives back, to ta ke people to take their lives back, to take control. charity is no replacement for being able to run your own life the way you would choose to do so. and you will be familiar with what the government have been saying which is they want to do this are the benefit system, through money to local councils and so on. do not buy atas long as it is a long—term approach and is notjust going to be some things short term and it is going to something capped and it is going to something capped and made difficult for people to reach. we must make sure that the most vulnerable in our society get what they need. let's face it, as human beings, we all need food and water, shelter, and security. and in the sixth richest country in the world, we are failing our most vulnerable, our children, were elderly, those with health issues and mental health issues. and the pandemic is making mental health so much worse, so add that to the stress of already being worrying about how you're going to feed your family, it is not good news all round and something needs to be done is to put a complete end to this and to start redistributing the wealth in this country so that everybody has fair share. and you've talked about the increasing level of demand, you need in your area. about the increasing level of demand, you need in yourarea. is there also an increasing number of donations to help your feedback? so that you got enough food to supply it to the people who need it? absolutely. it's absolutely phenomenal. people arejust absolutely. it's absolutely phenomenal. people are just so, so generous and we are just so grateful for that. slough has always been a particularly generous area. we know that. but through the pandemic it's just been coming in thick and fast. we've certainly got enough food to do it but i would reiterate, it's not our role to do that. we're here to pick up a crisis. there will a lwa ys to pick up a crisis. there will always be a crisis. somebody‘s life will not always go smoothly. we have a saying at slow food bank that every person has a story and any one of us could have a story at any time. we need to be here typical those species, but not 100 food parcels per week. we should and shouldn't be doing what the welfare state is set up to do. we should just be supporting the few who fall through the cracks in between. just be supporting the few who fall through the cracks in betweenlj suppose through the cracks in between.” suppose it isn't surprising, businesses are going under, jobs have been lost every single day and people have just got less money to feed their children. exactly, and of course, in slough, we are seeing the impact of heathrow on the job losses at heathrow, because lots of slough residents would have worked at heathrow. full stop so that was not having an impact as well. and whilst we haven't seen a huge increase this week, throughout the month, the children being off school in this particular month, it will have an impactand we particular month, it will have an impact and we will see more families. in fact, impact and we will see more families. infact, we impact and we will see more families. in fact, we are seeing more families, and large families, soi more families, and large families, so i think the benefits cats are fighting larger families even so i think the benefits cats are fighting largerfamilies even more so. that was a woman who runs the slough food bank talking to me a little earlier on. the metropolitan police are investigating a traffic collision involving labour leader sir keir starmer and a cyclist in north london on sunday. the cyclist — who reportedly has minor injuries following a collision with a car — was taken to hospital as a precaution. sir keir is not thought to have been injured and reported the incident to the police later that day. mobile phone companies have been ordered to stop selling phones locked to one network. the regulator ofcom says the move should result in better deals and less inconvenience for consumers. the firms have said they'll work with ofcom to comply with its guidelines. now it's time for a look at the weather with matt taylor. hello. the band of rain which started across the south and west of the country early this morning finishes the day to the north and east. elsewhere, a bit of a late afternoon sunshine, clear skies and showers into the evening and overnight, most frequent across western areas, some quite heavy, the breeze also picking up. the lightest of the winds to the eastern counties of england and scotland, where temperatures will drop the furthest into single figures. a chilly start to wednesday, reina lingers around a shetland, sunshine and showers elsewhere. a blustery day for all and fairly cool. best of the sunshine in fluffiest of the shell and eastern areas but for all the blustery day in fairly call at ten to 13 celsius. stainless joy in the first evening but to go with us blustery winds into tomorrow one of the thing of note is that to what atla ntic of the thing of note is that to what atlantic coast there will be some pretty rough seas as well. bye for now. more than 50 conservative mps have written to the prime minister calling for what they call a clear road map out of tough coronavirus or sections of. where asking people to give up huge civil liberties, businesses to close, people to live on two thirds of their normal wages. i don't think it's unreasonable to say that the other side of that coin should be, show us the way out. new research shows levels of antibodies and people who have had covid—19 fall quite rapidly, meaning there's less chance of lasting immunity. four people have died including two children after a boat carrying migrants sank in the channel near dunkirk. doctors in the syrian city of it live are warning of a covid—19 catastrophe, as the number of cases their rice rises tenfold. with just a week to go until election day in the united states, focuses turning to the key swing states which are set to determine who wins the race for the white house. sport now, and for a full round up, from the bbc sport centre, here's olly foster. there are some important qualifying matches taking place for next years women's european championship. —— year's. northern irealnd are 1—0 up in belarus, they are into the second half in helsinki, where scotland are facing finland. the finns have taken the lead very early in the second half. scotland we re early in the second half. scotland were looking to consolidate second and that group behind the leaders, but the trail at the moment with 35 minutes to go. these are live pictures from the bolt arena, scotland have three wins out of three so far. but they do trail to the finns. this match is on bbc alba. wales are playing leaders norway at the cardiff city stadium. you can follow this one live on the bbc sport website. wales are second in that group, they've never reached a major championship. norway will win the group if they get three points. you can see that there have been no goals in cardiff as yet. the fa has launched its football leadership diversity code as they look to tackle racial imbalance in the game. it won't be mandatory for clubs, but a0 have already signed up. they have been set diversity targets of 15% in recruitment of new executive positions and 25% in coaching positions. i think we have come up with a code which fundamentally does what it says on the tin. it holds football to account. it makes clubs think. it's good for governance. i think it is a step in the right direction. it is a solid foundation. i have seen the last 30 years, and i have seen that has been a lot of well intentioned positive action programmes but none of them holds football to account the way this does. by way of the targets and the accountability. southampton are one of the clubs that haven't signed up for it, they say that they have already achieved the premier league's advanced equality standard. the premier league say that they will embed the principles of the fa code within its ongoing work. teams that lose in the first round of the fa cup next month will receive a share of prize money to lessen the financial impact of ties being played behind closed doors. losing teams previously got no prize money but will now receive just over £5,500, with £16,000 going to the winners. great britain's women's hockey side have lost their first pro league match in nine months, 3—1 on penalties to the netherlands — the match went to a shoot out afterfinishing1—1. gb‘s equaliser coming from jo hunter. the netherlands earned a bonus point by winning that shoot out. they remain third bottom of the standings. today was the launch of the extreme e series. lewis hamilton is behind the x“; team and we got a glimpse of his electric off road car that will be racing when the championship starts next march. hamilton's former teamate nico rosberg is also running a team. the five races will be staged in areas of the world such as the amazon and greenland to highlight enviromental issues. i was so excited to hear about extreme e, largely due to the focus on the environment and their mission to raise awareness about climate change. that is something that is close to my heart and something i am passionate about. it gives an opportunity for me to be able to merge my love for motor racing together with my love for the planet. bringing those two together will have a positive impact. breaking news, the american sprint star kristin coleman, the world champion from last year, has been banned for two years because of breaching the whereabouts testing. he hasn't tested positive, but he has missed three drugs tests in the space of 12 months. if you remember, the american was lucky to race indo heart because he got away on a technicality also on whereabouts rule. but he's now been found guilty of missing three tests in a 12 month period and has been banned for two yea rs — period and has been banned for two years — meaning the world champion will miss the olympics. details of that should pop up on the bbc sport website very shortly. sarah will have more details of that in sportsday at 6:30pm. thanks very much, olie. four people have died, these were migrants trying to cross these were migrants trying to cross the channel and their boats capsized. a man, woman, two children aged five and eight — it happened near dunkirk as they were trying to get from france to england. these are the pictures we received from dunkirk, the emergency services there, a number of other people take in the hospital, i think 15 altogether. so there's the emergency services in dunkirk after that very tragic incident with four people losing their lives after their boat capsized. we've had a statement from priti patel, the home secretary, saying she is truly saddened to learn about the tragic loss of life in french waters. thoughts and prayers are with the families and loved ones. "we are in touch with our french counterparts and offered whatever support they need to investigate this incident." we've also heard from yvette cooper, who is put out a statement on this, saying it is awful news, i will go even more distressing that children should be involved in this tragedy. the thought of children ending up in the cold waves is terrible. "these are incredibly dangerous. the criminal gangs who organise these journeys in precarious dinghies are profiting off other people's desperation." yvette cooper on that tragedy in the channel, four people have died. as the brutal civil war continues in syria there are fears that the humanitarian disaster will be made even worse by coronavirus. the health care system has already been decimated by years of fighting — and cramped makeshift accomodation makes it likely outbreaks of the virus would quickly take hold. bbc cameraman darrin conway has been to the rebel—held province of idlib and sent this report. the road to idlib has been a journey of misery for so many. this is one of the last remaining parts of syria that hasn't been retaken by the regime. millions of civilians have funnelled into this little corner of north—west syria in an attempt to escape the fighting. but the people that live here are about to face yet another battle — covid—19. dr kaddour is head of the two largest hospitals in idlib. he's one of only 600 doctors for a population ofjust over 4 million people. very few covid tests are being done. while we were here, an average of 400 were carried out a day. up to 40% of those tested positive. aeroplanes, rockets, corona, angry, poor, assad's security — it's the same. all of them, all of these terms mean for us death. life is already tough enough here. it's a daily fight for survival. a free food hand—out quickly turns into a mob. but there are no masks to be seen. at times like this, prayer is about the only support the people here can rely on. but at this mosque, there is no social distancing. and if you thought that it was tough living in idlib city, just take a look at the refugee camps — up to 1.5 million people living in filthy, cramped conditions. this is atma camp. it's one of the largest. people live on top of each other, sharing everything from tents to bathrooms, food and water. this seems like the perfect breeding ground for the virus, yet the official statistics show that only a handful of people have tested positive here. one of the reasons for this is that only people who are showing symptoms and are willing to come forward are being tested. but there's a stigma that comes along with being a covid carrier here. little zane has the virus. he caught it from his father. translation: people have treated me as if i'm disgraced. if they see me in the streets, they walk away from me. a couple of days ago, i went to get some groceries from the store and people moved away from me as if i am the virus, as if i am the virus, as if i will kill them. so, unlike zane and his father, most people would prefer to suffer through the illness in silence which, in camps like this, means that they are superspreaders. would you say that the virus is out of control in the camps? it's out of control, yes, absolutely. this winter will be very bad, very dark, very hard. we do not have many places for people in the camp, we do not have many medi kits for these, we do not have many fuel to make children and babies and women more warm in the camp. we do not have food enough for them. no one really knows just how bad the outbreak is in the camps. this is a population who have already endured the worst of humanity. it's hard to imagine, but if the outbreak in the camps is as bad as predicted, life here is about to become even harder. darren conway, bbc news, idlib, syria. the time is 6:44pm, reeta chakrabarti the time is 6:44pm, reeta chakra barti will be the time is 6:44pm, reeta chakrabarti will be here with the news. you might think the humble peacock wouldn't be a cause of much dispute, but at one village in west sussex local people have become divided over them. there are around 11—5 of them roaming around henfield and, whilst most people seem to love them, a few people have complained to police about the noise and mess they make. now sussex police want them put into a sanctuary. duncan kennedy reports from henfield. a past or a pleasure? in one west sussex village, peacocks are now the centre of an almighty avian argument —— past. when i say the word peacock to you... bell yes. how do you react? say the peacocks! i think there are a beautiful bird but if you want to put up with aaron noyes day after day at 3am, i can see the point of view that they ought to be corralled somewhere —— view that they ought to be corralled somewhere — — put view that they ought to be corralled somewhere —— put up with their noises. there are thought to be 4-5 peacocks roaming around the town of henfield. that's created a right royal ruffli ng of henfield. that's created a right royal ruffling of feathers. you might think where the conversation is dominated by the word peacock, they'd be easy to find. but in all this rain, they're not. if you could see one, they'd sound like this. a screech to some, sublime to others. although they only make that noise at certain times of the year, some complaints have now been made to sussex police about that and the mess they make. so what do people think here? surely they aren't doing anything bad, you know? just let them live! if they are messing, shall we say, on your porch regularly, as with what happened with my brother, it was unbelievable. sussex police have sand the peacocks have been causing some damage and distress. but this policy of peacock protectors launched a social media campaign to save them and now have nearly 600 supporters. there quite peaceful. there rest. green you don't normally see peacocks wandering around, so to have them in our village, it is special. we are lucky to have them. police say the birds should be put ina look police say the birds should be put in a look will make a secure... purge or protect — a peacock sized puzzle. duncan kennedy, bbc news.. in a few minutes, reeta chakrabarti with the 6pm news. a little earlier this afternoon, nicola sturgeon announced which areas of scotland would probably be under which tears in that new five tier system and how it would work. members should note that levels 1—3 should not be identical to the three levels deployed in england. i explained on friday that the baseline level, zero, is the lowest level of restrictions. we consider this to be the closest normality we can get before we get better treatment or vaccine for covid—19, and we remain hopeful about the prospects of both of these scientific developments over the next few months. level one is similarto next few months. level one is similar to the restrictions we had in mid—september as cases started to rise again, but remained a very low. the objective is to get all parts of the country to level 0—1 and remained there if we can. the restrictions we propose for level two are similarto restrictions we propose for level two are similar to those that are currently applying across scotland outside the central belt, and level three resembles the tougher restrictions that currently apply in the central belt. finally, level four, which we hope not to have to use, envisages something closer to a full lockdown — nonessential shops would close down at that level. but even at level four, up to six people from two households could meet outdoors and manufacturing and construction businesses would stay open. levels 2—3 are meant to apply for a short period of time, and level four would only be deployed if necessary as a short, sharp prevention. under all necessary as a short, sharp prevention. underall five necessary as a short, sharp prevention. under all five levels, we wa nt prevention. under all five levels, we want schools and childcare to remain open if at all possible. since publishing the proposed levels on friday, we've met with various stakeholders, and those consultations included discussions with opposition leaders. it's not possible to accommodate all the asks of different suppliers and suppress the virus, but i can confirm we've decided on some changes which will hopefully be welcomed. these relate to childcare, outdoor retail, bingo, and numbers allowed at weddings and level four. full details are on the table circulated to msps earlier and will be available on the scottish government website. before turning to hospitality in a bit of detail, that's one of the sectors bearing the biggest restrictions, let me mention one other hopefully temporary change. the table published on friday envisaged that at level one, we would be able to meet with six people from two households in our own homes, but also made clear that this might change in some circumstances. the public health advice to ministers is that if a decision is taken this week to move any area to level one, the current prohibition on meeting anyone from other households in our own homes should remain in place for a period as an excerpt precaution. we intend to accept this device, but that decision will be reviewed weekly. i'll take one more intervention... i'm very grateful to the first minister for taking an intervention. which she recognised that in rural and small island areas, the option of meeting in venues or areas, the option of meeting in venues or indeed outside, particularly as we move into winter months, would be hugely problematic, and the restriction in place is likely to reduce public confidence and compliance with the restrictions she's setting out? outcome on the island communities in more detail in a moment, but! island communities in more detail in a moment, but i recognise that and that's why i hope this is a temporary change. it is advice about how we transition to this new system with covid—19 precautions in place. let me turn to hospitality and describe the restrictions that will apply on each level and outline any changes from the current situation. i hope the changes will be welcomed but i know this sector will have wa nted but i know this sector will have wanted to see fewer restrictions, especially at level three. i'll explain why we don't consider that possible at this stage, but i want to be clear we want to continue dialogue with the sector on the proposals it has put forward. we also intend to establish an expert advisory group on reintroducing safe low—level music and background noise. level zero hospitality will operate as normally, subject to rules on distancing, limits on numbers and other medications such as table service only. level one will be similar but with a curfew closing time. but that will be 10:30pm rather than 10pm. level two is probably comparable to the restrictions in place outside the central belt, places can operate outdoors with an early closing time. this gets more difficult in the winter. i'll make a bit more progress if that's possible. i promise i'll come back. that will continue to be the case under level two, but the closing time again will be extended to 10:30pm. premises in these areas can open doors from 6am for the service of food and nonalcoholic drinks only. at level two, that will be permitted to eight p:m.. those two, that will be permitted to eight p: m.. those under stricter regulations, cafes can only open at 6pm for it nonalcoholic drinks and food. so cafes, pubs and restaurants will be allowed to open until 6pm forfood will be allowed to open until 6pm for food and nonalcoholic drinks. will be allowed to open until 6pm forfood and nonalcoholic drinks. at level four, hospitality will be closed. i know the sector wants to see more activity allowed, especially at level three. we will continue to discuss that with them. but i must stress the areas at level three are the areas currently with the highest levels of infection. our judgement is the ease up any more at this stage, particularly as our progress remains so fragile, good risk tipping these levels closer to level four rather than have them make the progress we want to see towards level two. assuming parliament agrees the overall framework, i will confirm on thursday what level each local authority will be placed into initially. this will be in effect on monday and reviewed on a weekly basis. these decisions will be based on advice from the government's advisers with local authorities. we will look in the future at any situation where it might make more sense to be more targeted. as i said earlier, we have published a technical paper... we will look at actual and projected cases per 100,000 in population, test positive free rates and projections for hospital and you capacity. different thresholds for these will apply at different levels. it's important to stress that these decisions will not involve the automatic application of a single statistic, or even basket of statistics. these will inform and guide decisions butjudgement will be required to be applied to them. as we migrate initially to this new system, will be deliberately cautious. we are seeing signs of progress but the situation is fragile and could go in the wrong time, so it must take care. slowing the new cases continue, we will see more local authorities dropping down a level. but most are likely to stay and probably the same category as now. final decisions have not been taken but i want to give parliament a broader indication of what that means. the central belt areas currently under the toughest restrictions are likely to be in level three initially, and most of the rest of the country is likely to start and level two. there are however some exceptions under consideration. firstly it is hoped that the highlands, the western isles and murray might go to level one. less positive is the... makes it possible that it will go to level three, and as has been reported, we are considering the very high rate of possible admin actions may necessitate a move for them to level four. these are the only areas currently being considered for level four. there have been some encouraging signs in the last few days that the situation in lenox might stabilise slightly, so we will only take that decision if it is deemed necessary, and i hope we can avoid it. some pretty lively weather out there to the moment. deep area of low pressure, continuing the remnants of hurricane epsilon. when discussing at 100 mph. that stays to the northwest of us but it will have an influence in our weather. today pushes a band of ran up to the northeast, becoming confined to the northeast, becoming confined to the northeast and mainland scotland by the evening. sunshine elsewhere, a few showers pushing into the south and west, and this evening it will be on the cool side once again with temperatures dipping back into single figures. overnight them or persistent temperature edges towards shetland, clear skies and showers elsewhere, coldest conditions further east you are, further west not as chilly because of the breeze here and the showers will be frequent into tomorrow. this sets us up frequent into tomorrow. this sets us upfora day frequent into tomorrow. this sets us up for a day of sunshine and blustery showers, some showers heavy with hail and thunder. the winds are quite gusty and because of what's going on in the atlantic, we will see some pretty rough seas around the atlantic coast of great britain and western ireland. over 35 feet. showers most frequent across southern and western worst areas across wednesday. we could see some longer spells of rain across southern counties of england and wales during the middle part of the day. some in the east will stay largely dry, a blustery day for all and afairly largely dry, a blustery day for all and a fairly cool one too, leading toa and a fairly cool one too, leading to a cool start on wednesday night. showers most frequent across western scotla nd showers most frequent across western scotland going into wednesday night, replaced by more persistent rain into thursday. here it comes under pressure chart here, running around that area of the pressure in the north atlantic. it'll bring persistent rain across western areas during the day, tries for longest in scotland, much like we saw today writing up towards the southwest. overall a fairly cloudy day, but the winds coming in from the southwest could touch gale force at times around the coast, it will be a mild night. higher than we normally see by the day of but with persistent rain, there's the risk of flooding. brighter day on fright friday scotla nd brighter day on fright friday scotland and northern ireland, 18-19 c scotland and northern ireland, 18—19 c possible. still blustery across the southeast, but remnants of another hurricane could bring us some more wet and windy weather. boris johnson faces pressure from dozens of his own mps over covid—19 restrictions in the north of england. the region they say has been hit by disruption unparalleled in other parts of the country — and they urge him to spell out an exit plan. we are asking people to give up huge civil liberties, businesses to close, people to live on two thirds of their normal wages. i don't think it's unreasonable to say that the other side of that coin should be show us the way out. as other areas in the north east of england look set for the toughest restrictions, businesses ask — why us? in london, the disease is down there, the disease is rampant down there, like it is up here, but they don't seem to be getting put into lockdown, whereas when we are put into lockdown we struggle, massively.
turning quite chilly. driving the force over the next few days is this mass of cloud, a strong jet stream overhead, area of low pressure and you could see 100 miles prayer wins attached to that, locally staying in the atlantic but it will have an influence in throwing cloud our way tonight, turning later by the end of the night in northern ireland, wales and the south—west. elsewhere, evening showers made under cold night, a touch of frost in scotland and northern england for tomorrow morning. if you start with the sunshine tomorrow, you will finish with a cloud and rain, if you start with a cloud and rain, if you start with a cloud in the rain, south—west england, wales and northern ireland, the sun will come out later but with a few showers. the sun will push its way northwards and eastwards, never quite gets to the far east of scotland, used a driest and brightest to read but because we start on a chilly note, temperatures will struggle to rise, 9—11 for many, 15 in the south—east corner. showers keep going tomorrow evening, the rain becomes confined to north—eastern scotland, a wet night into wednesday, the low pressure still out in the north atlantic, tha nkfully still out in the north atlantic, thankfully staying away but with the wind blowing along direction across the atlantic, it will be top the high seas to the west of the uk and ireland, maybe ten metre plus waves off the coast of ireland and to go with it, a mix of sunshine and showers. showers most frequent in the south end of the west, some with hailand the south end of the west, some with hail and thunder. some eastern areas will stay dry and bright but after a chilly wednesday night, back to cloud and rain for many on thursday and strong to gale force winds, too. that's all from the bbc news at six, so it's goodbye from me. and, on bbc one, we nowjoin the bbc‘s news teams where you are. hello, and welcome to monday's sportsday — i'm jane dougall. have wheels, will travel — the brits re—writing history. we reflect on the incredible achievements of geogeghan hart and hamilton over the weekend. eddiejones had to rip up his plans when england's warm—up match was cancelled — we hear from the head coach as he names his squad ahead of the six nations finale. and, after his ipl century, ben stokes speaks exclusivley to the bbc about a year of many ups and downs. i've had, you know, the book thrown at me. i've also had, you know, people, you know, wanting everything to do with me. but then those same people who want everything to do with me were then throwing the book at me a year later. welcome to the programme. lots to come, including updates from the premier league where the first of tonight's two matches is already under way. but we start with these two british history—makers. lewis hamilton surpassed michael schumacher‘s all time record of race wins in formula one. meanwhile — tao geoghegan hart became only the second brit to win cycling's giro d'italia, following in the footsetps of chris froome. we'll have more on that in a moment — but first to formula one. it was 1a years ago when michael schumacher set the record of 91 race wins — a feat that many thought would never be beaten, but lewis hamilton has done just that. his victory at the portuguese grand prix taking him to 92 wins. they are undoubtly two of the best ever racing drivers — but does one stand out? well let's take a look at some stats. hamilton is on the verge of matching schumacher‘s tally of seven world titles, and hamilton has done that in 44 fewer races. having started 262, compared to schumachers 306. and hamilton started 97 of those races from pole position — compared to the 68 poles schumacher had. plus hamilton has gone onto achieve 161 poduium finishes, that's 6 more than schumacher. the stats from both are incredible — but who is better? it's very difficult to have a comparison. it's not like boxing or tea m comparison. it's not like boxing or team sports that don't really change the regulations. formula 1 is always changing so you've just got to take it for what it is and at the moment lewis hamilton is the best driver in the world. i remember in 2006 when michael had won 91 races i remember thinking, well, no 1's ever going to get close to that again. it seems such a unique set of circumstances, the dominant year out of michael and ferrari, but itjust goes to the dominant year out of michael and ferrari, but it just goes to show the old cliche about records are there to be broken and he has broken it in style. he has got this natural tale nt it in style. he has got this natural talent which is unquantifiable. it is very difficult for anyone to beat him. the people who have beaten him have usually destroyed his team—mates, to be honest. nico rosberg did beat him but then decided to give up the sport afterward so that gives you some clue how tough it is to beat lewis hamilton. and that's from people who know their formula 1! lewis hamilton has also made a significant impact off the track, raising awareness of the lack of diversity within motor—sport, especially during the black lives matter movement. however, there is a concern that very few black or ethnic minority drivers are coming through at grass roots level. for that reason, lewis has launched a project called the hamilton commission. james burridge went to meet one young up—and—coming driver who's involved. you can't have do they sing if you don't have fiercely had to be fearless while driving. the fact is, ifi fearless while driving. the fact is, if i train and push myself to go even faster than i know i can get there. if you want to race in formula 1 this is where it starts, with a cat in a dream. i do it because i never really inspired by lewis hamilton, the way he conquered all of his challenges and how he was able to get through with it. when you think about it, he's just to about to win his seventh world title andi about to win his seventh world title and i think that's absolutely remarkable. just like his hero, though, 13—year—old shravan was the exception not the rules. admittedly it was the only one track but he was the only boy of colour racing hit out at 41 kids. we didn't see any young girl facing either. hamilton says the sport is not going to diversify the sport. is that it is in commission to get more black drivers racing behind the wheel. but how big a difference can he make in a sport where is king? after those, there is a concern that there will never be another black driver in formula 1. that shouldn't be in this day and age. in fact, they should be numbers of black drivers, female drivers, on the way up. it is about giving opportunity to others. if the spot isn't careful it will end up withjust wealthy kids spot isn't careful it will end up with just wealthy kids from wealthy families driving the best cars in the world. that doesn't give anybody help from the future. shravan's dad sammy spends almost 50,000 a year on his son's dream but says there is a limit to what he can pay to help erase professionally. but he does believe there is a simple answer to attracting more inclusive crowd in the first place, either behind the wheel in the garage. when we started this it was a bit of a lonely place. imean, we this it was a bit of a lonely place. i mean, we were trying to understand how this thing works. we didn't know where to go, what to do, what to buy. if you go to any other sport you will find a... , football, basketball for any spot you'll find that. but for the spot they visibility are still not there. although lewis hamilton is there in every muse at the grassroots level it is not getting visible. the sport has not reached the most important place, which schools. this spot has to get into the mainstream within schools. that was not and the visibility gets greater. visibility is one thing, proving you don't need huge amounts of money in the process quite another. hamilton has shown it can be done. the trick will be many, many more. james burridge, bbc news, northamptonshire. let's move on to our other hero on wheels — two this time. tao geoghegan hart started the giro d'italia as a support rider, and finished the winner. he's only the second brit to take it after chris froome, but he might not be a name you recognise. well, the 2 —year—old comes from hackney in east london and, well, the 25—year—old comes from hackney in east london and, got into the sport as a teenager by bunking off school to watch the old team sky launch in 2010. drew savage reports. a new generation for british cycle home or cycling. tao geoghegan hart is the youngest british rider to bring one of the planters. his team—mates are not surprised. bring one of the planters. his team-mates are not surprised. he has a lwa ys team-mates are not surprised. he has always been very talented since he was very, very young. he very dedicated, works very hard, as his feet on the ground and is a brilliant racer. in the end, cycling, like motorsports it's, you know, you can have the engine is a physical engine or engine but you've to be able to race and teo is a great racer, he really is. that they sing instinct was held in east london, cycling club in hackney where he is already inspiring the next generation. tao is very inspiring for me. when i watched him yesterday, i was so shocked he won the giro. so for me to stand here where he grew up is so amazing. it's just so amazing. i would like to do what he done, what he done here, and, like, all the stuff that he's experienced here and that. when dave brailsford launched a british road cycling team built around 0lympic track stars like bradley wiggins, a 14—year—old geoghegan hart bunked off school to ride with them. i love myjob. i love waking up everyday and going out and ride my bike and exploring the outdoors and trying to inspire people in the way so, yes, this is incredible win this year most jay italia. he was racing for team year most jay italia. he was racing forteam gb at year most jay italia. he was racing for team gb at the world championships the same season, aged 22. he is setting them up here so it looks like you're sacrificing his own chances by keeping the speed high. but his vibes to fame has been meteoric, from support rider to grant or winning just three weeks. next on the agenda, catching up with his family. he's not seen year. the hope that after that? next year, hopefully, the tokyo olympics are going to happen and that has been a long—term goal for a few months now so long—term goal for a few months now so that is definitely one of the bigger ones that i would look forward to. drew savage reporting there. for more on this incredible story we arejoined there. for more on this incredible story we are joined by cycling journalist michael hutchinson. thank you for speaking to us originally a support rider but of well for more on his incredible story, we'rejoined by cycling journalist, michael hutchinson. he was originally a support riderfor geraint thomas before he crashed out — has he been fortunate to get this win? i think there's an element of good fortune in anyone who went mental. circumstances of this year are unusual. his team leader went out on stage three very destructive nature of the year... he navigated his way through that very very competently. he certainly took his luck where he could find it. i wouldn't say he was lucky because that to me diminishes the opportunity somewhat but he certainly... family. family. team ineos grenadiers were facing quite a bit of criticism before the tour de france because of a lack of british riders — will this win silence those critics? i'm sure the team are absolutely delighted to have another british winner because it was quite clear earlier this year, last year, it was quite clear that their focus was beginning to shift may be a little bit more towards the south american riders, they have got quite a lot of colombians and ecuadorians and those seem colombians and ecuadorians and those seem to be dividers that were in the foreground of the team. tao geoghegan hart has been a very talented rider and we all know he is there but i don't think we expected him to be winning events like this may be another two or three years and i'm sure the team which is a lwa ys and i'm sure the team which is always kind of... it's not a british national team but it is always a kind of british focus on the loss of this is about, i am sure they are very, very pleased to have another british rider that they can but kinda front and centre of the team again. you have touched on this michael but. adam yates joins ineos next year, geraint thomas hopes to have one big last race in him, egan bernal will be around too — where does tao geoghegan hart fit into things or will he now be taking a back seat? it's an embarrassment of riches. i honestly don't know. it is going to depend what he and the team negotiate of the winter because it isa negotiate of the winter because it is a little bit like this room, his first big race was the wealth of the spaniard in 2011 which is run entirely unexpectedly and suddenly everything on the team changed for him so it really depends what the results of that is. he could be a giros d'italia winner who is still fourth or fifth in the pecking giros d'italia winner who is still fourth orfifth in the pecking order of nas grenadiers. his post race interview suggested if he
hello and welcome if you're watching in the uk or around the world — and stay with us for the latest news and analysis from here and across the globe. for the latest news and analysis boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england, when he makes a statement in the house of commons today. he's expected to stress the government's intention to ease the new restrictions after a month. the prime minister announced on saturday that strict measures will be imposed across england from thursday. people will be told to stay at home except for specific reasons. pubs, restaurants, gyms, non—essential shops and places of worship will close. and meeting indoors or in private gardens will not be allowed. but you will be able to meet one other person from another household outside in a public place. our political correspondent, jonathan blake, reports. and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative. after addressing the nation, boris johnson will today attempt to get mps on board with his plan for a national lockdown in england. the prime minister is expected to again point to stark warnings from scientists that unless the government acts, deaths over the winter could be twice as bad or more than during the first wave of the pandemic. he'll acknowledge labour's view that he should have acted sooner, but defend the system of regional restrictions he has pursued until now. labour's support means the plan is likely to pass when mps vote on it later this week but some conservatives are taking a stand. if these kind of measures were being taken in any totalitarian country around the world, we would be denouncing it as a form of evil. and here, the removal of people's fundamental liberties is going almost without comment. the national lockdown will see non—essential retail closed along with pubs, bars and restaurants, except for takeaway and delivery. gyms, hairdressers and beauty salons must also shut, and only two people from different households can meet outside. after the cabinet office minister michael gove‘s admission yesterday that the lockdown could continue beyond the beginning of december, the prime minister will try to reassure mps that the end is in sight. and there will be a return to the tiered system on the 2nd of december according to the latest data and trends. just a reminder that we love to hear your thoughts on any of the stories we are doing, whether it is about lockdown is, at the restrictions, the us presidential elections and so on. do get in touch with me on twitter and you can use the hashtag to pot. —— #bbcyourquestions well, we've already been hearing about the new coronavirus restrictions on their way for people in england. what's the situation in other parts of the uk? i've been getting more details from chris page in belfast, tomos morgan in cardiff and — first — lorna gordon in glasgow. as england moves into this national lockdown, scotland has moved to a more localised five tier system. it is not the easiest system to follow, but there is a postcode checker where you can put your postcode. i did that this morning and it told me this area is level three, the second highest level of restrictions. it is pretty tight, they are asking you not to travel outside your council area if you are in a level three area. some areas have fewer restrictions. orkney, shetland, the western isles, murray and the highlands are under level one restrictions. the backdrop against all of this is that the scottish government is warning that they cannot rule out a full lockdown at some later point. however, that said, there are early indications here that the prevalence of the virus is plateauing, meaning people are still going into hospital but the rate of increase has slowed right down in those figures. ahem, excuse me. there is a hope, but not a guarantee that the national lockdown can be avoided. 0k, lorna, thank you very much. let's go now to tomos morgan in cardiff. wales‘ first minister, mark drakeford, will set out the new restrictions to be put in place when the country's firebreak lockdown ends a week today. mark drakeford concentrating on the exit strategy from all of this. thatis that is occupying a lot of our thoughts, how do we get out of these restrictions once we are into them? based on what has been going on so far with this firebreak, does wales think that it will be able to achieve that next monday? well, i think mark drakeford said from the start, and this morning, that it will not be initially on monday the ninth when we will see whether or not the firebreak has had the desired effect which is of course to reduce the r rate and reduce the strain on the nhs. it will be at least two weeks later because there is always a delay in the figures. it will be at that point we will know whether it has worked. they have done for this two—week approach, a stricter approach, because they thought a short sharp break like this would make more of a difference. on the ninth, businesses that have been closed, hospitality, nonessential shops, leisure, will all re open and what we are hoping for today and what we will be getting today is a strategy up until christmas so the number of people that can now mix from now on until christmas and the rules on travel, what will happen in terms of people coming into wales from covid hotspots — of course england now going into a national lockdown — how will that affect wales? will there be a travel ban coming into wales? but what mark drakeford said this morning is there will be no going back to local restrictions in wales. it will be a national approach. there will be a basic set of national rules in wales that will be simpler and clearer, and it will allow for something beyond what we have had during the firebreak period. but my top message to people in wales is, don't make your first question to yourself, "how far can i stretch the rules?" make the first question, "what should i do? what contribution can i make to keeping myself and others safe?" and tojudge your actions against that criteria. if we do that, then there is a way out of coronavirus that will safeguard us all. if we play it as a game in which yourjob is to think about what the rule is and see how much you can stretch it, then i'm afraid the weeks ahead will be very difficult indeed. so, at the moment, people coming into wales from tier 2 and above from england, from northern ireland and from that central belt of scotland, they are actually banned by law from coming into wales and people will be fined and turned back. it will be interesting to see... logically, what one would expect today is potentially there will be a travel ban extending to the whole of england, other than for essential work reasons, childcare or some of the valid exceptional circumstances, of course. people will be really looking forward to seeing how they will be able to mix again with friends and family. mark drakeford has said there will be some easing of those restrictions and people will be able to meet up socially to some degree. the hope is that this set of national restrictions today, national rules, will be able to take us all the way until christmas and the first minister here is hoping for a joint approach from the four different nations of the uk to agree upon something over the festive period, but potentially after that, if the numbers increase again, the government here have said all along that there is a likelihood that there would be another short, sharp firebreak again in the new year if the figures increase again after that. ok, thank you for that. tomos morgan in cardiff. let's head to northern ireland, to belfast. chris page is there. good morning. schools returning in northern ireland today after an extended half—term break but that is just part of the jigsaw of restrictions. other restrictions are still in place. what sort of effect have they been having so far? the infection rate in northern ireland has been coming down but it is still much higher than anybody would like. just over a fortnight ago, the devolved government here brought in a series of measures designed to deal with what at that time we are breaking away there from chris page to bring you news from the high court that the hollywood starjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article published in the paper which had labelled him a wife beater. that news just coming in on the last few seconds. johnny depp has lost his high court libel action. we can go to our correspondent who has been following the case and is at the royal courts of justice. what more can you tell us? a highly anticipated judgment from the high court, it has been handed down electronically. johnny depp and amber heard, his former wife, they are not actually hear at the royal courts ofjustice, are not actually hear at the royal courts of justice, but are not actually hear at the royal courts ofjustice, but in the last couple of minutes we have had the judgment handed down by mrjustice nicholl. johnny depp the hollywood actor has not succeeded in his libel case against the publisher of the sun newspaper. i will read you a summary sun newspaper. i will read you a summary of what the judge has said. thejudgment itself summary of what the judge has said. the judgment itself is 128 pages long. in his summary, thejudge has said the claimant, johnny depp, has not succeeded in his action for libel, although he has proved the necessary elements of his cause of action in libel, the defendants, thatis action in libel, the defendants, that is the publishers of the sun newspaper, have shown that what they published in the meaning which i have held the words to bear was substantially true. the summary judgment goes on to say, i have reached these conclusions having examined in detail the 1a incidents in which the defendants rely as well as the overarching considerations which the claimant submitted i should take into account. so in the last couple of minutes, that judgment which has been highly anticipated and will be watched around the world, in particular in hollywood, that's news just in that johnny depp has lost his libel case against the publisher of the sun newspaper. the case here at the high court in the summer, injuly, it heard some dramatic details about what was a very difficult marriage betweenjohnny depp what was a very difficult marriage between johnny depp and what was a very difficult marriage betweenjohnny depp and amber heard. they were married forjust over a yearin they were married forjust over a year in 2015. and both actors gave evidence during the libel case that johnny depp had brought against the sun and during the hearing and the head, his former wife, sun and during the hearing and the head, his formerwife, made 1a allegations of domestic violence. she said herformer allegations of domestic violence. she said her former husband allegations of domestic violence. she said herformer husband had been violent towards her on more than 1a occasions. she also said, through her lawyers, that she alleged that her lawyers, that she alleged that he was controlling and verbally and physically abusive towards her and particularly when he was under the influence of drugs and alcohol. during the hearing, johnny depp strenuously denied all of those allegations that amber heard had made against him in the courtroom. he said had never been violent towards his former wife. in fact, he said, he had never been violent towards a ny said, he had never been violent towards any woman at all. he had brought this case, his lawyers had said, to try and rebuild his reputation because his lawyers, during the case, said that the article, and this all goes back to an article that was published in the sun newspaper by its executive editor dan wotton, the article referred to johnny depp editor dan wotton, the article referred tojohnny depp as a wife—beater. johnny depp's barrister said it had made defamatory allegations of the utmost seriousness against him, and that is whyjohnny depp had brought this case to the high court. what we also heard, apart from those very serious allegations made by amber heard, against herformer allegations made by amber heard, against her former husband allegations made by amber heard, against herformer husband in allegations made by amber heard, against her former husband in at the hearing injuly at the high court, was there very difficult marriage. his drug—taking, alcohol use, those we re his drug—taking, alcohol use, those were all laid bare in a public court room for the whole world to hear. i don't know if you remember but amber heard came out on the steps of the high court after that hearing finished, and she had said that this was not something that she wanted to do. she had not wanted to come to the court for her private life, her marriage tojohnny depp to be laid bare ina marriage tojohnny depp to be laid bare in a courtroom. david sillito, my colleague, sat through the three—week hearing and here is the background. one time, johnny was hitting me and he was hitting me hard and repeatedly. the heart of this is a single word. johnny depp, one of the most successful actors in the world, was accused of being a wife—beater at. a man who assaulted his wife on more than 1a occasions, who left her fearing for her life. amber heard had photographs. she also had video. what happened ? had photographs. she also had video. what happened? but johnny depp said it was all a hoax. the couple had met on the set of a film. six years later they were married. it lasted just over a year and ended with amber heard appearing at the divorce hearing the same johnny amber heard appearing at the divorce hearing the samejohnny depp had been verbally and physically abusive towards her. in the years that followed, she became an activist for women's rights and wrote about enduring domestic violence. and when the sun newspaper it to the macro questionjohnny depp's the sun newspaper it to the macro question johnny depp's casting the sun newspaper it to the macro questionjohnny depp's casting in the fantastic beast movie, the star made a decision. he would go to court. and he had an army of fans convinced that he was the victim of domestic violence, not amber heard. justice forjonny! domestic violence, not amber heard. justice for jonny! all of domestic violence, not amber heard. justice forjonny! all of the allegations against him, i don't believe. he seems like a very gentle person. i think this will change history. if he winds it will change history. if he winds it will change history. if he winds it will change history. i really do think that because i feel it will give men courage to come forward and speak out more. this case was an attempt to save the reputation. fans cheered him on as he arrived in court each day to challenge his ex wife's claims. of course this wasn't amber heard's case. the accusation had been made in the sun he was pursuing news group newspapers for libel. but everything hinged on whether amber head was telling the truth about incidents such as this.|j head was telling the truth about incidents such as this. i grew up in texas riding horses. this was amber heard on james cording's texas riding horses. this was amber heard onjames cording's late late show in december 2015. in court she claimed that just before show in december 2015. in court she claimed thatjust before this she had been hit repeatedly byjohnny depp. of these photographs, she says, showed the injuries that lay behind the make—up. here, sitting on the tv sofa, she said she had two black eyes and a broken nose. but most of the alleged incidents were said to have taken place far away from any public scrutiny. this was where they lived, and penthouse apartments owned byjohnny depp. this was a world of private planes, even a private island, and a relationship that both sides accepted was stormy, troubled. but the videos and recordings, what did they truly show? was this evidence thatjohnny depp was violent to his partner was to let you drink this morning? is this going? ijust started it. orjust angry at being secretly filmed? another recording talked about a punch, but not by johnny depp. and this wasjohnny depp in hospital after his finger was severed during another row. the question is, who do you believe about how it happened? amber heard said this was her moment to tell her truth. it has been incredibly painful to relive the break—up of my relationship, to have my motives, my truth questioned. and the most dramatic and intimate details of my life withjohnny shared in court and broadcast to the entire world. today'sjudgment has decided there was truth in what she said. leaving a shadow over the reputation ofjohnny depp. david sillito, bbc news. has there been any reaction from any of the parties in this case to the judgment? yes, we havejust had a statement from the sun newspaper. that is that newspaper thatjohnny depp had brought his libel case here against the publisher of the sun newspaper, newsgroup. the statement in the last couple of moments has come in from the sun newspaper, saying the sun has stood up and campaignfor saying the sun has stood up and campaign for the victims of domestic abuse for over 20 years. domestic abuse for over 20 years. domestic abuse victims must never be silenced and we thank the judge for his careful consideration and thank amber heard for her courage in giving evidence to the court. and we have actually come in the last couple of seconds, had a statement from amber heard's spokesperson, who has said in that statement, for those of us present for the london high court trial, this decision and judgment are not a surprise. the statement goes on to say, very soon we will be presenting even more volume as evidence in the us. we are committed to obtaining justice for amber heard in the us court and defending her right to free speech. so that is the statement from amber heard's spokesperson. she herself, you will remember, came to the high court to give what were very serious allegations, she made very serious allegations, she made very serious allegations against her former husband, who she was married to for just over a year in 2015. she outlined during her evidence here at the high court more than 1a insta nces the high court more than 1a instances where she alleged that johnny depp had been violent towards her. she said in her witness statement, during her evidence to the courts, that'sjohnny depp had verbally and physically abused her. she described in court that there was a screaming, swearing, punching, slapping, kicking and, at times, she, during her evidence, said that she, during her evidence, said that she was in fear of her life when she was in the company of her former husband. so that breaking news, the long—awaited judgment that's hollywood, of course, we'll be watching very closely, that'sjohnny depp, the hollywood actor who brought the case against the sun newspaper to try and clear his name, he said his reputation and his future reputation were damaged by an article that the sun newspaper had published in 2018, where they referred to him as a wife—beater. well, this morning, thejudge, mr justice nicol, has found against johnny depp. johnny depp has lost his libel case against the sun newspaper. whether we hear from his libel case against the sun newspaper. whether we hearfrom the actor at all, we are not clear at this stage. but he has today found out he has lost his libel case, a hugely expensive one, here at the high court this morning. thank you very much. our high court this morning. thank you very much. 0ur news high court this morning. thank you very much. our news correspondent helena wilkinson at the royal courts ofjustice with that breaking news. more now on the reaction from national lockdown announced in england. our political correspondent, iain watson, is in westminster. so, this is due to happen on thursday, or to begin on thursday. but not everybody in the conservative party is happy with the prime minster‘s decision. he is due to speak to mps later, so what is he going to do to try to persuade those who are unhappy with the idea of another lockdown that is, you know, this is the right way ahead? he will be facing criticism on two fronts. primarily from some of his own backbenchers who are worried about the economic impact of a month long lockdown in england. some i worried of course not that it is a month long but that it could be extended beyond that because of some ambivalent comments made by cabinet minister at michael gove yesterday. they are concerned about what happens after the 2nd of december and whether at least a large swathes of england will still be in very severe restrictions. there are also those on the labour benches in particular who are saying the government ought to have acted sooner, so the prime minister's message will be come on two fronts, he will say, yes, he acknowledges the people pressing him to go for a national lockdown sooner, including some of his own scientific advisers, but he will defend the regional approach, trying to do his best to get this under control without imposing a national lockdown in the first place. secondly he will be saying to some of his own restless backbenchers that he had no choice but to act. it was interesting this morning that rishi sunak, the chancellor, who is seen as someone who is really pushing behind the scenes to try to keep as much of the economy open as possible, he said he backed the prime minister and the reason for doing so was the growing pressure on the nhs. there is a range of different models and different estimates and i agree with the prime minister that we have to be humble in the face of nature. we're dealing with a virus that has clearly moved at a pace faster than we had anticipated or feared. it's the last thing we want to do, to bring in such restrictive measures. we strove very hard to avoid being in this situation. even the areas with currently low incidence now have some of the highest rates of increase and because of the way that the nhs is constructed in some of those areas, actually the pressure on beds would manifest itself quite soon — in a matter of weeks — and i think when we heard all of that and saw all of that from all of our scientific medical advisers, it was clear — very regrettably — that, unless we took action now, and quite significant action, we would be in an unacceptable situation in just a matter of weeks. at number11, at number 11, saying along with number 10 that there is no choice to act. what is interesting is that some conservative mps are saying, actually, let's look at this in the round and what they want the chancellor to do is to come up with an economic impact assessment of a month long lockdown in england to look at the potential economic cost, thejobs look at the potential economic cost, the jobs that may be lost, the human cost, and some are also saying they need more information about how the health service is going to be treating other illnesses, other than a covid over the next month. some very practical interventions, i think, this afternoon when the prime minister makes a statement to the house of commons, from mps asking for specific information. but beyond that, i think a measure of some of the restlessness on the conservative backbenches can be seen in the comments from mr graham brady, the chair of the influential committee of backbench conservative mps and he told the bbc last night if some of these measures were introduced by a totalitarian country, we would be denouncing them as a form of evil. that shows you just the strength of feeling against some in boris johnson's own ranks. he said basically it is a fundamental breach of human rights, the right to a family life, the right to who you can sleep with, even. they will be criticisms. i don't expect when the vote is on wednesday that the government will lose because labour have been criticising the tidiness of the covenant and most of their mps are likely to support the lockdown in england —— criticising the tidiness. concerns from mps i've heard over the weekend, some are relu cta nt to heard over the weekend, some are reluctant to rebel this week but the concern is that this may go on and on and on so that when it comes to renewing these restrictions, if that is what the government decides to do on december the 2nd, we might be facing a much larger rebellion and even more descent than. 0k, thank you very much, iain watson in westminster. ryanair customers will not be refunded forflights in november, according to its boss, despite the uk government banning all but essential travel. michael o'leary said if a flight was operating, passengers would not get their money back but they could change to a later flight without paying a fee. ryanair has reported an 80% slump in passenger numbers during the coronavirus crisis. prince william was unwell with covid—19 earlier this year but it was not publicly announced. palace sources have confirmed the duke of cambridge had the virus around the same time that his father prince charles was self—isolating. jon donnison reports. prince william appearing on itv‘s pride of britain awards last night. you've had it in your own family, as well? yeah, my father had it very early on. it turns out it wasn't just his father who was infected. the prince made no mention that he had also fallen ill with covid—19 last spring, but paid tribute to nhs workers. the devastating impact of the coronavirus pandemic has reminded us as a nation of how much we owe to the thousands of nhs workers who have gone far beyond the call of duty this year. kensington palace is giving no official comment or confirmation but a palace source told the bbc that a story in today's sun newspaper that the prince had shown symptoms of covid—19 around a week into the national lockdown last spring is accurate. i'm catherine and this is william next to me. at the time, prince william continued to carry out a number of official engagements using video conferencing. news of his father's covid—19 infection was made public. at the time he was photographed self—isolating in scotland. but it may be that, given the national mood last spring, there was no desire to add further alarm by revealing prince william's condition. jon donnison, bbc news. the us presidential election enters its final day of campaigning, with both president trump and joe biden appealing to voters in crucial battleground states. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. our correspondent nomia iqbal reports from florida. this is the most important election of our lifetime. it is crunch time. president trump and joe biden have been making a push in the midwestern states and if those swing states are crucial, then florida is critical. music plays. donald trump needs more than their love. he needs their votes. to become president it requires 270 points from the electoral college system and florida has 29 upforgrabs. without this state, the path back to the white house looks near impossible. more than eight million residents here have already voted. this is the last day of in—person early voting here in florida and at this polling station there are donald trump supporters on one side and joe biden supporters on the other, with no—one meeting in the middle. and that sums up what it is like to be in a swing state. people love the guy because they think he is like us, a regular person and not a politician. he is a liar. he wants power, that is it. he does not care about the community. and some say donald trump is trying to portray his rival, joe biden, in a way that plays on the fears of many latino voters. the trump administration needs something to grab onto because their record is terrible. so one of the biggest ways to scare cubans and venezuelans is by fear mongering them into talking about communism and socialism. my entire family is voting for donald trump. my entire family. i am one of the few in my family who is not voting for trump, who is voting forjoe biden. florida has been problematic in delivering election results. officials tell us they are ready this time. if that is true, then on election night florida will give us an early sense of which man is on track to become the next president. the headlines on bbc news... actorjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife beater". boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. donald trump and joe biden head to crucial swing states to campaign, as the us election campaign enters its final stage. in just a few days' time, england's second national lockdown will be brought in and the whole country will be facing much tighter restrictions. the government says they must do this to halt the spread of coronavirus and save lives — but what's the reaction in towns where infection rates have been relatively low? duncan kennedy reports from winchester. it's home to 125,000 people. and is one more place that has endured covid. so when you ask people in winchester what they think of this week's new lockdown, the first thing you hear is resigned weariness. boring, boring. to go through it again? boring, yeah. but places like winchester in the south of england haven't seen the kinds of covid numbers areas in the north have experienced. here in winchester, the figure is running at about 135 cases per 100,000 people. but compare that to a town in the north of similar size, say, preston, and there, the figure is more like 46a cases per 100,000 people. and that's why many here, it's hard tojudge numbers, think an england wide lockdown isn't right. i still think it's a bit unfair on the south, when the cases down here are quite low in comparison the north. so the tiered system would have probably worked out better. yeah, i totally agree. i think in the south, we are coping, it seems, anyway, people are sensible. but up in the north, obviously, it doesn't seem to be going as well. in the shops and businesses here, the views are more mixed. adrienne henry runs a hat making shop and store and believes when it comes to lockdowns, the south is different. to lockdown the whole country, i don't know that it's a good idea. if the numbers were very high here, then, yes, i agree that we should be locked down. but as a whole country, i don't know. but her neighbour, susan woodman, isn't so sure. so, you know, we can do it for a month. if it's going to mean that we make a considerable, dramatic improvement to the situation. all in it together? yeah, absolutely. from thursday, we're all on the lockdown again. nowhere wants to be locked down. and although covid's footprint does vary widely across the country, it's a collective response that will once again be the nation's new direction of travel. duncan kennedy, bbc news, in winchester. just looking through tweets she had been sending me on a similar theme to the report there from duncan, one viewer says we are furious in east sussex, the count is low, we have obeyed the rules. lockdown is unnecessary in the south. steve says, why have care homes been forgotten, my mother is locked away in her care home and i haven't seen her since february, this is heartbreaking, no one talks about it. she will die alone. another viewer says regarding school staying open because of the mental health of the children, what about the teachers? trying to keep 30 children safe and teaching them, its training, my wife is mentally exhausted when she gets home every day. there was one on gymnasiums, if icanfind day. there was one on gymnasiums, if i can find it, how day. there was one on gymnasiums, if i canfind it, how are day. there was one on gymnasiums, if i can find it, how are not essential? government has no idea how important they are too many transmission rates are minimal here, iamso transmission rates are minimal here, i am so lost. and in fact we will speak to someone who runs a gymnasium, i think it is a gymnasium for children, actually. that is coming up in the next few minutes. boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons today. the prime minister is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month despite a suggestion by the cabinet office minister michael gove that it could last longer. some conservative backbenchers are threatening to vote against the measures. i've been speaking to professor sir mark walport, who's a former chief scientific adviser to the uk government and is now a member of sage — the committee that advises ministers. the first thing to say is of course it's extraordinarily difficult for policymakers who are faced with some of the toughest decisions any politicians have to make but numbers are politicians have to make but numbers a re really politicians have to make but numbers are really speaking themselves. we are really speaking themselves. we are ata are really speaking themselves. we are at a quarter of the death rate, just over 250, of the first wave of this and doubling times of about two weeks each, that takes us up to the peak of earlier in the year. over 11,000 patients in our hospitals at the moment. the numbers there are very clear. i'm not sure about the argument about a totalitarian state, i think if we were looking at that, ignoring those numbers, we would not think much of that either. ignoring those numbers, we would not think much of that eitherlj ignoring those numbers, we would not think much of that either. i was going to ask you about that, what did you think of author graham brady had to say and you outlined what you think about. the numbers, the predictions that cambridge data, there are other predictions but the fa ct of there are other predictions but the fact of the matter is they are all very high in terms of the number of deaths, aren't they? yes, the a nswe rs a re deaths, aren't they? yes, the answers are these are projections that the projections get more and more reliable as more numbers come in. the numbers have been very, very consistent over a number of weeks, the number of cases going up, spreading to older and the more vulnerable generations, we know people of all generations are susceptible to some of the non—disease—macro like symptoms which can be very debilitating over long periods. so the evidence is there, the only way this can't be stopped is by preventing the virus from leaping from one person to another, that involves social distancing. i'm sure you would agree as much as the next person, a series of lockdown is is by no means ideal and you know, not the most effective way perhaps to deal with peaks and troughs but the only way we have right now. the last lockdown was all about flattening the curve, that was the phrase we heard over and over again and certainly this lockdown will be about cutting the numbers of deaths and stopping the nhs from being overwhelmed but is this lockdown going to be able to achieve more than that? can it go beyond flattening the curve? what we need to do is get the number of cases down so we need to get this reproduction number below one. and that was achieved the first time round and actually the cases came down very well but the brakes were taken off a bit too much, if you like, and so was able to come back. we do need to get them down and of course, one of the reasons we are doing this very aggressively is because there is the prospect of better treatments and we are already ina better treatments and we are already in a better position in that your chance of surviving if you end up in intensive care significantly better than before and there is the prospect of antibody treatments and vaccines. so it's worth that effort, we should be able to get on top of it with additional interventions. we should be able to get on top of it with additional interventionsm the 2nd of december december doable asa the 2nd of december december doable as a point exit this new lockdown and what needs to happen to actually make that work? well, the answer is, the 2nd of december won't yield is a magical situation where it's all gone away. we are not going to be able to return to social life as it was before coronavirus. so there will need to be measures after december, the 2nd of december and, frankly, the only way we're going to find out is what the numbers of cases and see they change. people need to play their part, everyone has to be careful about their own behaviour. but in terms of government policy, health policy, and the test and trace system, what needs to happen there? when the government is asked about this the a nswer government is asked about this the answer tends to focus on the testing but clearly, even if testing is ramped up and there is mass testing and faster testing, that doesn't preclude the trace part of the system needing to work as well stop so i'd like to get your thoughts on that. you are absolutely right. the whole point of testing is that you do something with the test result. and so, obviously, it is important to test people so they can self—isolate but it's equally important that we are then able to trace their contacts so they can be warned as well and also isolate for a period of time. so i think that is absolutely critical and it's the other reason for trying to get the numbers down because we know when the numbers are very large it's very difficult for even the best test and trace systems in the world to stay on top of it. they've had to introduce measures at a rather earlier stage because they realise their test and tracing capacity was overwhelmed. do you think more needs to be done to make it easierfor people to stay at home, if they are found to be positive, because there have been a variety of figures, some of them not very encouraging, on the number of people who even if they had been told they are a contact of someone positive or have tested positive, don't isolate for a variety of reasons? they're absolutely does need to be support for people staying at home, it's no good being at home if you have no food. you need money to live on. and i think government is extremely well aware of that. that's exactly right, there needs to be a whole package of, if you like, public health and economic measures that make it possible for people to do what is the right thing which is to stay—at—home and isolate. the right thing which is to stay-at-home and isolate. and to avoid a cycle of lockdown? yes, indeed. germany of course is another country entering a four—week period of lockdown. just hearing in the last few moments the german defence minister is self quarantining after learning she came into contact with the person who tested positive covid—19, that has just been announced by the german defence ministry. at test on herself has come back negative but she is self quarantining after learning she came into co nta ct quarantining after learning she came into contact with a person who tested positive for coronavirus. more now on the us election race as it enters its final hours, both donald trump and joe biden have been focusing on the swing—states on which their success orfailure depends. in the last few days both have been in the upper midwest home to north america's great lakes. michigan and wisconsin were two of the three historically democratic industrial states, along with pennsylvania, that narrowly voted republican in 2016, delivering mr trump his victory. our correspondent yalda hakim spent the weekend in milwaukee, in wisconsin, where both parties have been chasing down votes from communities they don't usually target. waukesha county. the suburban dream. when donald trump talks about saving the suburbs, this is where he means. mostly white, affluent, the red heart of wisconsin. we voted for trump. we feel he loves his country, he loves his people, he loves america. he mentions god. god comes first. i think he's done a lot of major things in the united states and the world. and he doesn't fool around. he is obnoxious at times. ijust feel like he's been doing a lot of great things with the economy, trying to get it back to what it should be. what about the last four years? do you think it's been quite a roller—coaster for americans? i think it's been more of a roller—coaster for president trump, that poor man, what he has been through. but things could be shifting. the democrats made big gains in suburbs like these in the 2018 midterms. we are used to having a lot of folks who may support us or may support us for the first time ever, they are going to vote democrat but they are not necessarily super confident in saying it out loud because that changes the dynamics of friendships and parent teacher groups and things like that. if biden can eat trump's margins even slightly it could help flip the state. democrats know that the vast majority of people in this county will vote for donald trump and the republican party but they are trying to change as many minds as possible and they say there is growing signs of support. patrick and barb have lived in this neighbourhood for decades. we are seeing a little bit of a crack, at least in our city. you didn't used to see democratic signs very prominently in our city and now we are seeing more and more and more of them. so, it's a little bit encouraging, because like, a crack. a 30 minute drive and we are in a totally political landscape. milwaukee is the most racially polarised metropolitan area in america. and intensely democratic. hey, how are you? these african—america ns are also campaigning. but not for biden. i do have quite a few friends who are christians like myself, who are kind of struggling with who to vote for and once i share, you know, why i feel so strongly about, you know, voting in, the re—election of president trump, they kind of understood. you know, why that might be but i have a feeling one or two friends might be reconsidering their vote. this is a community becoming more and more aware of the impact of their vote. in wisconsin, it may come down to black and latinx voters and we know that we can be the margin of victory and it really kind of goes to show the power that we have. with the ghost of 2016 hanging over this state, where trump's majority was a narrow one, both sides are fighting as if every vote could be decisive. yalda hakim, bbc news, wisconsin. hollywood starjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife beater". the actor sued the paper's publisher and its executive editor, dan wootton, over a 2018 article which claimed he had assaulted his ex—wife amber heard, which he denies. our media correspondent david sillito is here now. david, this is just david, this isjust breaking david, this is just breaking within the last hour. take us through the detail we heard from the court and any reaction so far. we've got to go to what the allegations were. 1a allegations in court. these were very serious. this was amber heard, the former wife ofjohnny depp, saying she was at times in fear of her life, saying she had been facial bruising, broken nose, black eyes, repeated assaults against. and the judge has said and i will read it, i have found that the great majority of alleged assaults on amber heard byjohnny depp have been proved to the civil standard, that is 12 or 1a allegations. he says to place. so, the statement in the sun newspaper, that headline thatjohnny depp is a wife beater, he says, to be substantially true. this is shattering for the reputation of johnny depp. and vindication for amber heard. a statement, of course, she is also facing further legal action from johnny depp, seeking to sue her in america and a statement from her council saying for those of us from her council saying for those of us present in the high court, the decision and judgment are not a surprise, very soon we will be presenting even more voluminous evidence in the us, we are committed to obtaining justice for amber heard. that reference to voluminous evidence is because of course amber heard was not the person who was being sued here, it was news group newspapers and so she was not obliged to reveal all the documentation about their relationship. statement, of course, now from the sun newspaper, the sun has stood up and campaign for the victims of domestic abuse for over 20 years, victims must never be silenced and we thank the judge for his careful consideration and we thank amber heard for her courage in giving evidence to the court. i think one thing that is also worth mentioning, amber heard has, since she got her divorce from johnny depp, has spoken up on behalf of the people who suffered domestic violence, she has been essentially, and ambassador, to be questioned about what she was saying, told that it was all a hoax, this is very, very important to her reputation and also, to be believed about what she said over the course of their relationship and the judge said, a recurring theme in the evidence from johnny depp is that amber heard had constructed a hoax and that she had done this as an insurance policy. he was not convinced by that argument. david, thank you. more now on the new lockdown restrictions due to come into force across england on thursday. everyone will be told to stay at home except for specific reasons, and pubs, restaurants, non—essential shops and gyms will be told to close. we can speak now to simon green, an instructor at the little gym — a children's gym offering various activities and classes for children and parents. simon, thank you very much for joining us today. the impact on your business of this lockdown will be... good morning. we are facing closure again, we are still waiting for confirmation across the different age groups that we serve but it's devastating, as always. this is a complicated problem and obviously there is no easy solution to this at there is no easy solution to this at the moment. but as a small business owner, we faced this before, we will visit again, we are adaptable. i am lucky to be part of our franchise group with 11 other franchisees, lucky to be part of our franchise group with 11 otherfranchisees, we adapted before, created an online service and we have come through this so i think we are ready to face it again and we are nervous, we don't know where it will end and i think that is our biggest problem. do you think that your sector, the gymnasium sector, should be subject to the same restrictions as many other sectors, like pubs, restau ra nts other sectors, like pubs, restaurants etc? have you had any known cases of transmission at any of your 13 gymnasiums? that's a good question. in terms of transmission of cases, we have had one case at one gymnasium over the whole period of which we went through the normal procedures that we would need to do, outside of that, we have run the gymnasiums as normal, we had all the normal precautions and, being covid save as an environment, we are dealing with children from four months to 12 years old, we are in our sector that is typically seen as very low risk to start with. but, as everything, we are more cautious about our staff and customers more than anything else, first of all. but, you know, we are also aware that there are other needs, social, mental, physical needs, especially young children, facing and young pa rents a re young children, facing and young parents are facing so we want to be there to serve them but we want to do the right thing by what the government restrictions are as well. just finally, if i can put to you, are you going to be able to survive and keep everyone in employment that you currently employ through this period? with, you currently employ through this period ? with, obviously, you currently employ through this period? with, obviously, the prime minister hoping that the lockdown can be exited on the 2nd of december but was no absolute guarantees, i guess? at the moment we are in it for the long term rather than a short—term blip so staffing wise, thatis short—term blip so staffing wise, that is all fine. the furlough scheme really helps us make sure that we keep those staff on and keep them employed and if we can obviously see a clear end date insight that we are reopening back in december, hopefully, when everything should be good for us, we have seen a good bounce back from the previous lockdown and we hope to see that again, going forward, especially in the youngest age group that we have stop the four months, to three years, that has been fantastic for us so far so we hope to see them coming back in numbers as before. simon, thank you so much for your time. just a couple more of your comments from twitter, steve saying the restrictions are clear, we are supposed to reduce contact with others as much as possible so why are teachers being forced to work in u nsafe are teachers being forced to work in unsafe conditions? i guess lots of schools would say they have put effort into making sure the schools settings are as safe as possible. one from harry on twitter who says what is the government expecting university students to do this time and are there any guarantees we will be allowed to travel home at christmas even if lockdown is extended? of course we are always trying to answer these questions for you here on bbc news and we will endeavour to keep on doing that. a group of nuns in the south of england has found unlikely success with a chart—topping debut album. for these women who live a monastic life — seeing very few outsiders and only leaving the grounds for medical appointments — their new—found fame has come as quite a shock! the bbc‘s clare casey reports. singing. in tough times, music speaks louder than ever, and it seems the collective voices of the poor clares have unwittingly tapped into a market of people in need of spiritual healing. back in a pre—covid existence, decca music executives approached the community of enclosed sisters with an idea for an album — blending their plaincha nt with a 21st—century chilled—out vibe, perfectly designed for headphone—wearing masses looking for a moment of escape. the group of women took a vote and decided it could be fun. when we received this request, about decca, for this album, we thought that it was a good adventure for all of us to live this together, as a community, and it brings a lot ofjoy and energy to the community. liturgy is part of our life. it's part of our prayer, really. fortunately, all but one of the recording sessions was completed before england's first lockdown hit, and the composers had enough material to make the album. we love singing, we love music. and when it's a good sound, it's even better. unlike most girlgroups, it wasn't fame and money these singers were hoping for, but to bring a touch of calm to people's lives. clare casey, bbc news. good music for meditation, i should think. the singing nuns whose voices are now being heard by many more people than before. you are watching bbc news. rebecca is here injust a few moments to take you through until1pm. now it's time for a look at the weather with carol kirkwood. hello again. some parts of the southeast and eastern england this morning started off with temperatures between 15 and 18 degrees. but as this cold front sinks south, the temperature will actually go down behind it. and you can see another weather front coming in from the west, enhancing the showers. and all those isobars are telling us that it's going to be another windy day. not as windy in the north as it was over the weekend, but still windy in the west and also the south. so, some dry weather today, some sunshine to look forward to. but, equally, we've got quite a lot of showers and some of those will merge to give some longer spells of rain at times. these are the kind of wind gust strengths that we're expecting — so still gusty winds to watch out for. temperatures, nine in the north to about 1k in parts of the southeast, so dropping for some by about four degrees or so. now, through this evening and overnight, the rain in the northwest pushes across scotland. we could see some wet snow in argyll and bute, the south highlands, for example. and we've got another band coming in across southern wales and also central parts of england. behind that, on higher ground in wales, on the moors, we could also see some wet snow — but just on higher ground. now, that will bring rain into the southeast and then it turns cooler. a ridge of high pressure starts to build in and you can see all that mild air indicated by the yellows and oranges pushed away and we see a return to blue — indicating that cooler weather. so for tuesday, we eventually say goodbye to this weather front as it drifts off into the north sea — lot drier behind it. there will still be some showers dotted around. the winds will be a lot lighter, as well, than they have been in the last few days, and are going to be for some of us today. and temperaturewise on tuesday — well, roughly between nine in lerwick and 12 as we sweep down towards london. now, moving on from tuesday night into wednesday, we start to see this ridge of high pressure build in. that's going to settle things down, but it's also going to turn much colder, so first thing wednesday morning, we could be looking at some frost and also some fog as we go through not just wednesday, but the overnight period and the next couple of nights, as well. so what can you expect? well, on wednesday, thursday, friday and saturday, it will be drier. there'll still be one or two showers. it's not going to be as windy, but it's going to be cooler by day and night. this is bbc news. i'm rebecca jones. the headlines at 11: boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england, when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. scotland's new five—tier system of restrictions comes into force, with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. and new restrictions for wales — later today the first minister will set out his plans for when the country's firebreak lockdown ends next monday. business in england faces more restrictions, the cbi describes a second lockdown is a real blow for firms. actorjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife beater". donald trump and joe biden head to crucial swing states to campaign, as the us election campaign enters its final stage. hello and welcome to bbc news. borisjohnson will urge mps today to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england, when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. he's expected to stress the government's intention to ease the new restrictions after a month. the prime minister announced on saturday that strict measures will be imposed across england from thursday. people will be told to stay at home except for specific reasons. pubs, restaurants, gyms, nonessential shops and places of worship will close. and meeting indoors or in private gardens will not be allowed. but you will be able to meet one other person from another household outside in a public place. elsewhere, scotland has moved into its new five—tier system of restrictions this morning. nowhere has yet been placed into the most severe, tier 4. later today, the first minister of wales, mark drakeford, will outline an exit plan from the country's national firebreak, which is due to end on the 9th november. and as mentioned, we expect the prime minister to address mps this afternoon, to try to win over some tories who are threatening to vote against the lockdown in england. he has though cancelled plans to speak to business leaders this morning. the business secretary, alok sharma, will instead speak at the annual cbi conference as concerns mount over the impact of upcoming restrictions. first, this report from jonathan blake. and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative. after addressing the nation, boris johnson will today attempt to get mps on board with his plan for a national lockdown in england. the prime minister is expected to again point to stark warnings from scientists that unless the government acts, deaths over the winter could be twice as bad or more than during the first wave of the pandemic. he'll acknowledge labour's view that he should have acted sooner, but defend the system of regional restrictions he has pursued until now. labour's support means the plan is likely to pass when mps vote on it later this week but some conservatives are taking a stand. if these kind of measures were being taken in any totalitarian country around the world, we would be denouncing it as a form of evil. and here, the removal of people's fundamental liberties is going almost without comment. the national lockdown will see non—essential retail closed along with pubs, bars and restaurants, except for takeaway and delivery. gyms, hairdressers and beauty salons must also shut, and only two people from different households can meet outside. after the cabinet office minister michael gove's admission yesterday that the lockdown could continue beyond the beginning of december, the prime minister will try to reassure mps that the end is in sight. and there will be a return to the tiered system on the 2nd of december according to the latest data and trends. let's speak to our political correspondent, iain watson. good to have you with us. as jonathan was saying, not everyone in the conservative party is happy with this lockdown. how much of a job has borisjohnson got this lockdown. how much of a job has boris johnson got to this lockdown. how much of a job has borisjohnson got to win over his own mps? i think they will certainly be his prime audience at 3:30pm when he gives his statement to the house of commons. he would have preferred to announce the lockdown this afternoon rather than saturday, but links to newspapers and broadcasters forced his hand. effectively, what he will be saying as it is far too dangerous not to act, given the evidence that has been piling up and the threats to life that would have happened otherwise across winter as we have been hearing. i think the specific demands he will be facing from some of his own mps will be to look at this problem, as they see it, in the round. could there be for example an economic assessment done of the impact of a months long lockdown in england? how manyjobs would be lost? what would be the overall loss to the economy? a whole range of conservative mps have been calling for this or raising concerns about the economy, including former conservative leader iain duncan smith. in addition to that, i think he also has to convince people that he also has to convince people that he has some kind of plan that this will not be either a continuing cycle of lockdowns will not be either a continuing cycle of lockd owns or will not be either a continuing cycle of lockdowns or that the existing lockdown on december the 2nd will be either extended or in reality de facto extended by putting perhaps the whole country or almost all of it in these tier 3 restrictions for a longer period in the run—up to christmas. at this stage, we had from sir graham brady who was raising concerns about fundamentally breaching human rights, but i think it is interesting that certainly inside government, the chancellor has been pressing to keep as much of the economy open it for as long as possible, but now he is weighing in at very clearly behind the prime minister and saying the pressure on the nhs is forcing the government to act. there is a range of different models and different estimates and i agree with the prime minister that we have to be humble in the face of nature. we're dealing with a virus that has clearly moved at a pace faster than we had anticipated or feared. it's the last thing we want to do, to bring in such restrictive measures. we strove very hard to avoid being in this situation. even the areas with currently low incidence now have some of the highest rates of increase and because of the way that the nhs is constructed in some of those areas, actually the pressure on beds would manifest itself quite soon — in a matter of weeks — and i think when we heard all of that and saw all of that from all of our scientific medical advisers, it was clear — very regrettably — that, unless we took action now, and quite significant action, we would be in an unacceptable situation in just a matter of weeks. so, united front from number ten and number 11 downing st, arguing that these restrictions are absolute you necessary. what we hear from these restrictions are absolute you necessary. what we hearfrom labour this afternoon is that the government is doing perhaps too little too late and they should have had a lockdown much earlier in england to coincide with the october half term, but none the less, they will support the restrictions that are being introduced which means when mps vote on this on wednesday, it will definitely go through. there will be because the conservative rebellion but i think it will be far more likely that greater numbers of conservative mps will express discontent if there is any extension beyond the month long lockdown. at this stage, i think there will be some concerns expressed by the government will get its measures through. thanks. let's speak to the epidemiologist dr tom jefferson from oxford university. a very warm welcome to bbc news. i wonder what your reaction is to the announcement of this latest lockdown for doctor you understand where the government is coming from? as we explain sometimes, the data which is referred to as black—and—white as anything but black and white. we do not really understand how cases are calculated and projections that we have seen or forecasts that we have seen of cases and deaths are actually really quite exaggerated. we have shown that in our trackers on the website. anybody can go on and check predictions versus the actual evidence that is coming out. i must say, however, that this is very difficult to untangle, because there are quite a number of different servings and data sources which give different estimates and no reports of methods and most often do not display the presumptions behind these models. isn't there some assertion that a lockdown does reduce the spread of infections and therefore the number of deaths? u nfortu nately, therefore the number of deaths? unfortunately, the patchwork of restrictions that has been applied throughout europe actually makes that statement very problematic to check, to assess. because what you would have to do, you would have to have a state or a nation or an area with some kind of restrictions and one without restrictions and then compare them. this has not happened. the increasing number of restrictions, all patchwork, doubling and sometimes very unclear, makes that kind of interpretation very difficult. what is certain is that restrictions have an impact, a human toll, and they have an economic toll. a societal told and that toll is never modelled. the forecasts that we see and that we are shown are all about the projected benefits or restrictions. there may be some people listening who say you are essentially putting livelihoods ahead of lives. isn't one death still too many deaths? all deaths are regrettable. u nfortu nately, we deaths are regrettable. unfortunately, we are allowed to die at the end of our life. the question becomes wider, if you want to widen the question, it becomes as follows, are we going to use restrictions every winter? if we have a very bad acute infection this season, are we going to start using restrictions there? because this is the logic thatis there? because this is the logic that is behind applying restrictions. why just that is behind applying restrictions. whyjust folk over 19? why not for the other bugs which will start moving around very soon if they have not already done so? —— why just for covid—19? if they have not already done so? —— why just for covid-19? you said if they have not already done so? —— whyjust for covid-19? you said you have exchange opposition several times, i know you presented a plan to the private what is your reaction been from him? what are you hearing from government to the ideas and arguments you are putting forward? nothing. nothing at all? nothing at all. why do you think that is? i think that that is a question for government. i do not think... does not appear that they are open to debate. any governments are open to debate. any governments are open to debate. and i personally think this is regrettable, simply because the measures that are taken impact on everybody. unfortunately we must leave it there, but very good to talk to you, thanks forjoining us on bbc news. thank you. wales's first minister, mark drakeford, will set out the new restrictions to be put in place when the country's firebreak lockdown ends a week today. people in wales have been told to stay at home except for exercise and essential journeys. meetings between households are banned, and pubs, restaurants and nonessential shops are shut. well, there will be a basic set of national rules in wales which will be simpler and clearer and it will allow for something beyond what we have had during the firebreak period. but my top message to people in wales is do not make your first question to yourself, "how far can i stretch the rules?" make the first question, "what should i do?" "what contribution can i make to keeping myself and others safe?" and tojudge your actions against that criteria. if we do that, then there is a way out of coronavirus that will safeguard us all. if we play it as a game, in which yourjob is to think about what the rules are and see how far you can stretch it, then i am afraid the weeks ahead will be very difficult indeed. people in scotland are waking up to new restrictions today, as the country is split into a five—tiered system. the new rules came into effect at six o'clock this morning. glasgow, edinburgh and dundee are amongst the areas with strict restrictions in tier three — although no area in scotland is currently in the highest tier. well, this afternoon on bbc news we'll be answering your questions on the national lockdown in england and restrictions in other parts of the uk. at 2.30pm we'll be joined by two leading public health experts. so, send your questions to #bbc your questions or email them to yourquestions@bbc.co.uk johnny depp has lost his libel case against the sun. the hollywood star sued the newspaper's publisher and its executive editor, dan wootton, over an article in 2018 which claimed he had assaulted his ex—wife amber heard, which he denies. our news correspondent helena wilkinson is at the royal courts of justice. what more detail do you have? yes, it was a highly anticipated ruling. it has been about three and a half months since the dramatic hearing here at the high court, which saw both amber heard and johnny depp both amber heard and johnny depp both gave evidence in the hearing where amber heard said that there we re where amber heard said that there were more than 1a occasions where herformer husband, were more than 1a occasions where her former husband, johnny depp, were more than 1a occasions where herformer husband, johnny depp, had been assaulted her. she said at times she had feared for her life. thejudge handed times she had feared for her life. the judge handed his judgment times she had feared for her life. thejudge handed hisjudgment and said that the claimant, that is johnny depp, had not succeeded in his libel case against the sun. and the publisher of that article in 2018 rich were referred tojohnny depp as a wife in the hearing the burden of the proof was on the sun to prove what they had published was truthful. be judge and to prove what they had published was truthful. bejudge and hisjudgment had said that the power words that we re had said that the power words that were published by the publisher of the sun news group newspapers were substantially true. so in the sun newspaper had managed to prove that they were truthful in what they had published. but it was a trial here injuly, just published. but it was a trial here in july, just have published. but it was a trial here injuly, just have lockdown, which had details, revelations, about the hollywood couple, the breakdown of their marriage and a difficult marriage that it was. very serious allegations come as i say, that amber heard had made against her former husband, johnny depp. my colleague sat through the whole case and here is his background to it. one time, um, johnny was hitting me. and he was hitting me.. . . ha rd and repeatedly. camera shutter clicks. the heart of this is a single word. johnny depp, one of the most successful actors in the world, was accused of being a "wife—beater" — a man who assaulted his wife on more than 1a occasions, who left her fearing for her life. amber heard had photographs. she also had video. bleeping. what happened ? butjohnny depp said it was all a hoax. the couple had met on the set of a film — the rum diary. six years later, they were married. it lasted just over a year and ended with amber heard appearing at a divorce hearing saying johnny depp had been verbally and physically abusive towards her. in the years that followed, she became an activist for women's rights, and wrote about enduring domestic violence. and when the sun questioned johnny depp's casting in the fantastic beasts movie, the star made a decision — he would go to court. and he had an army of fans convinced that he was the victim of domestic violence — not amber heard. chanting: justice forjohnny! all of the allegations againstjohnny, i don't believe he's that sort of person. from what i've seen in the media, he seems like a very gentle person. i think this will change history. if he wins this, this will change history. i really do think that. because i feel it will give men courage to come forward and speak out more. this case was an attempt to save a reputation. fans cheered him on as he arrived in court each day to challenge his ex—wife's claims. of course, this wasn't amber heard's case — the accusation had been made in the sun, he was suing newsgroup newspapers for libel — but everything hinged on whether amber heard was telling the truth about incidents such as this. i grew up in texas riding horses and... this was amber heard onjames corden's late late show in december 2015. in court she claimed that, just before this, she had been hit repeatedly byjohnny depp. these photographs, she says, show the injuries that lay behind the make—up. here, sitting on the tv sofa, she said she had two black eyes and a broken nose. but most of the alleged incidents were said to have taken place far away from any public scrutiny. this was where they lived — in penthouse apartments owned byjohnny depp. this was a world of private planes — even a private island — and a relationship that both sides accepted was stormy, troubled. you wanna see crazy? i'll give you bleep crazy. but the videos and recordings — what did they truly show? was this evidence thatjohnny depp was violent to his partner... have you drunk this whole thing this morning? 0h, have you got this going? you've got this going? i just started it. ..orjustangry at being secretly filmed? another recording talked about a punch — but not byjohnny depp. you can't deck me. and this wasjohnny depp in hospital after his finger was severed during another row. the question is, who do you believe about how it happened? thank you. amber heard said this was her moment to tell her truth. it has been incredibly painful to relive the break—up of my relationship, to have my motives and my truth questioned, and the most traumatic and intimate details of my life withjohnny shared in court and broadcast to the entire world. today's judgment has decided there was truth in what she said, leaving a shadow over the reputation ofjohnny depp. david sillito, bbc news. we have had a statement from the sun newspaper who the actor had taken it to court and in that statement it had said that domestic abuse victims must never be silenced. they also thanked thejudge must never be silenced. they also thanked the judge and also amber heard for her courage in giving evidence to the court. the one person we have not heard from yet today following that judgment person we have not heard from yet today following thatjudgment is the actor himself, johnny depp. who came to court to try and safeguard his reputation, but he has now lost his case. thank you for that. the business secretary, alok sharma, has this morning defended the government's decision to implement a month—long lockdown in england, telling business leaders and media "the cost of inaction would be greater than the action". boris johnson earlier cancelled plans to speak to uk business leaders today, with his place at the annual cbi conference being taken by mr sharma. our business correspondent, vivienne nunis, joins me now. asi as i said, the prime minister would normally address the first day of the cbi conference. not happening this morning. did it delegates regard this as a snob or is itjust accepted that he has a lot on his plate? i think there was a sense of disappointment among the business community, do not forget this is just the second time in all the yea rs just the second time in all the years that the cbi has been hosting this annual conference that the prime minister of the date was not able to speak at the event. but really the focus this morning was about how businesses are going to cope with this news that only came a couple of days ago at this new national lockdown starting in england on thursday. the leader of the cbi said in some ways, businesses are better placed than they were before lockdown one. at that time it was a real shock, they managed to perhaps move their businesses to online and more of them can stay open, but in other ways, businesses are really going to struggle. they are in a week of financial position —— make a weaker financial position —— make a weaker financial position —— make a weaker financial position because there been dealing with the effects the pandemic for so long and the message from the government was let's minimise the economic damage was not let's listen to what carolyn fab and had to say. —— fairbairn. we need to recognise the covid safety of so many workplaces and keep as much of the economy open as we can. financial support — it needs to be there, it needs to be strong, and it needs to be there for the duration. the trouble is, the furlough scheme ending in four weeks is tomorrow for so many businesses. we need more clarity on timing. and more is going to be needed for some sectors. i look at aviation — an enabler of our economy. we are an open economy, we're going to need to be able to fly again for our trade — for our global trade — for our recovery. we cannot let our aviation sector die. how did the business secretary respond to those calls? i think rather predictably he talked a lot about what support government is offering. we saw the furlough scheme extended for another four weeks from thursday. however, he did say that there will be pain, it was reg retta ble, say that there will be pain, it was regrettable, that difficult decisions have to be made and he did say that not everyjob can be saved. let's have a listen to what he said this morning. we have always had to have a balance between supporting the economy and of course protecting the economy and of course protecting the nhs. that is absolutely vital. and we took a tiered approach, a regional report, and if you look at the world health organization, this was something people thought was entirely reasonable. countries across europe have taken the same approach, but what we always said, and the prime minister always said, it was we would keep all of this under review and take further action if we needed to and the reality is that you have seen the r rate above one, it has been increasing across the country and in the face of the evidence, you have to act. of course, it is regrettable that we are having to take this particular action, but this is about safeguarding the nhs and ultimately making sure that we can come out of this the other side. business secretary alok sharma there. be one of topic that was raised at this morning as brexit. business is grappling with the lockdown, but the bigger picture, end ofjanuary the 1st... january for the first is the end of the transition period. the cbi really as the government to reach a deal to benefit businesses because it would be very hard to them to cope with the pandemic, lockdown and a no deal on brexit. thank you so much that. well, let's get reaction from one restaurant owner in bristol who is facing closing his doors again to sit—down customers, although he can do takeaways and deliveries. sujith d'almeida is the owner of urban tandoor curry house and joins me now. welcome to bbc news. hello, thank you. i want to know what went you through your mind on saturday when you heard news of the second lockdown? i mean, it would be absolutely devastating for is not the first thing that went to my mind was is this the beginning of many more lockdowns to come? do we have a definite answer? do we know where we stand? definite answer? do we know where we stand ? as definite answer? do we know where we stand? as business owners, we do not have a clue and you just get three orfour have a clue and you just get three or four days notice to close and your restaurant, as we had to do last time, and lost a lot of stock. we put staff on furlough, so it is not good for their mental well—being. so it is tough. lots of things your mind. as a rational owner. because lots of stock goes through its expiry date and then you have to transfer yourself to take away more from the restaurant. your outgoings may still be the same, but you have to take different measures to survive. you said it would be devastating. tell me in what way exactly this time round, because you will be able to do take ways and deliveries. how most help? on an honest note, every businessman is looking forward to the period between halloween and christmas, thatis between halloween and christmas, that is where you make your main business, that is where you survive and when you balance your acts for the rest of the year. that seems to be nonexistent. when it comes to delivery and takeaway, everybody thinks the restaurant cannot shift the gears into takeaway mode, but honestly speaking, there is such a big commission you need to pay for delivery and just eat. —— everybody thinks the restaurant can shift the gears. you might say buffalo and end up gears. you might say buffalo and end up with a sheep, you are at the mercy of the big boys and you have to wait till the end of the month to receive the money from them. it helps to keep you afloat, but it does not help you to survive in the long run. what do you need? what's more help would help?|j long run. what do you need? what's more help would help? i mean, during this time, kids wait for santa claus and all the business owners are waiting for rishi sunak and his package and how he is going to bail out businesses, because every time i lockdown put a dent on the business, you have to start all over again. if the bailout deal is not as close as it was too much, or if not better, i think many businesses will not see the dawn of 2021. will yours? to start with, before the pandemic, we had three restaurants and now we only have two fully functioning. one is closed and most likely i might lose another one as well. really, i am sorry to hear that. the politicians would argue that there is no alternative and, you know, one death is one death too many. is no alternative and, you know, one death is one death too manylj is no alternative and, you know, one death is one death too many. i do understand, all the citizens need to be... we are not all in the same boat, but we are all in the same stone, so we need to help each other, judge less and we need to look after the vulnerable. —— in the same storm. businesses that do not need aid, they need to trade. we need aid, they need to trade. we need to do it in such a way that it does not hamper anything and everybody comes out of it safe. i do understand it is a requirement from the scientist's point of view, we do not have a vaccine, i do understand all of that, but i do not think closing the economy or having a national lockdown is the answer, because if not the pandemic, it will kill us with other illnesses, mental illnesses, they do not have an a nswer of illnesses, they do not have an answer of what the future holds. good luck to you and really good to talk to you, thank you forjoining us from bristol. now it's time for a look at the weather with carole. hello again. after quite a mild start to the day across central and eastern parts of england, the temperature is going down, as this weather front swoops down and clears the south—east. and we've got another weather front coming in behind which is going to enhance the showers, one look at the isobars tells you it's going to be another windy or blustery day, depending on where you are. in between all those showers, there will be some dry conditions, some sunshine, the showers will merge across parts of northern ireland, south—west scotland, north—west england and north wales to give some longer spells of rain. and these black circles indicate the strength of the wind gusts we are expecting through the course of the afternoon. temperatures nine to about 1k degrees. we started this morning between 15 and 18 in the south, those temperatures dipping by quite a few degrees. overnight, a band of rain pushes north eastwards across scotland and northern england and we've got another one coming in across southern counties. that will clear to the east through tuesday, and then we are back into drier conditions with a few showers. hello, this is bbc news with rebecca jones. the headlines: boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. scotland's new five—tier system of restrictions comes into force — with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. and new restrictions for wales — later today the first minister will set out his plans for when the country's firebreak lockdown ends next monday. as business in england faces more restrictions, the cbi describes a second lockdown as a "real body blow" for firms. actorjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife—beater". donald trump and joe biden head to crucial swing states to campaign as the us election campaign enters its final day. sport and for a full round up, from the bbc sport centre, here'sjohn watson. good morning. manchester united manager ole gunnar solskjaer said his side "didn't turn up", after their 1—0 defeat at home to arsenal. paul pogba gave away a penalty, with a needless tackle on hector bellerin, and pierre emerik aubameyang scored from the spot to give arsenal their first victory at old trafford in the premier league for 1h years. united are yet to win at home in the league this season and they're sixth from bottom. former midfielder roy keane was watching in his role as a pundit and he said, "i don't see guys you want to be in the trenches with, guys you can trust". solskjaer couldn't argue. these games against arsenal was a lwa ys these games against arsenal was always fury and fears and tackles of lying. we did not have the tempo and intensity today, i can agree with that absolutely. —— tackle slang. i was disappointed with our first—half performance, second hand i thought we we re performance, second hand i thought we were better, but unfortunately, they got the penalty and we just could not produce a response. yes, a frustrating afternoon for him. after gareth bale scored tottenham's winner in their 2—1 victory over brighton, managerjose mourinho said he'd be checking the real madrid website to see if there was any comment. bale arrived back at spurs on a season—long loan from the spanish side in september after he fell out of favour with manager zinedine zidane and received heavy criticism from the fans. the spurs fans will have enjoyed watching that one. his first goal since he returned took tottenham up to second in the table. of course i'm very pleased with him and pleased especially for him because he deserves a bat, he deserves that. i'm going to, when i have five minutes, i'm going to look at madrid's website to see what they say. manchester city beat everton 3—1 at wembley, to lift the women's fa cup for the third time. the pandemic forced last season's competition to be finished this season, with city coming out on top at wembley 3—1, thanks to goals from georgia stanway and janine beckie in extra time, as they lifted the trophy for the third time. manager gareth taylor wants to make that four by winning the tournament again in this campaign. despite standing on the brink of a record—equalling seventh world title, lewis hamilton says there's "no guarantee" he will race in formula one next season. with team prinicpal toto wolf expected to step back from the day to day running at mercedes, hamilton said he understood wanting to pull back a little bit and give more time to family. hamilton is out of contract next season but can equal michael schumacher‘s record at the next race in turkey. yet more super league matches have been cancelled, putting the rest of the regular season in further doubt. and it's castleford tigers involved again. four more of their players have tested positive for covid—19, so their games against leeds rhinos on friday and salford red devils next monday are off. the match scheduled for last friday against huddersfield was also cancelled after 13 castleford players were ruled out with coronavirus. they'll have two more rounds of testing this week. english golfer callum shinkwin said he was in shock after winning his first title at the cyprus open. it went to a play—off against finland's kalle samoya — and shinkwin birdied the first extra hole. it will have eased the pain of losing in a play—off for the scottish open three years ago. and after some chilly conditions since the european tour resumed, he was glad to be in cyprus. playing in the cold got me a bit. i played four weeks in the cold and in the scottish cold and ijust felt so cold, had a massive headache and had to get out of there quickly. had to protect myself more than anything, a fan ofa protect myself more than anything, a fan of a lovely bit of sunlight here and warm, i normally don't like the one either. i felt great all week, just trusted what i was doing with my swing, trusted myself on the greens and just felt great. who doesn't play better in better conditions? that's all the sport for now. i'll have more for you in the next hour. speakfor speak for yourself, john. let's return now to hollywood star johnny depp, who has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife—beater" — claims he denies. our media correspondent david silito explained the case. we've got to go to what the allegations were. there were 1a allegations in court and these were very serious. this was amber heard, the former wife ofjohnny depp, saying that she was, at times, in fear of her life, saying that she had facial bruising, a broken nose, black eyes, repeated assaults against her. and thejudge has said... i will read it here. "i have found that the great majority of alleged assaults of ms heard by mr depp have been proved to the civil standard". that is 12 of 1a allegations, he says, took place. so the statement in the sun, that headline thatjohnny depp is a "wife—beater," he says to be substantially true. this is shattering for the reputation ofjohnny depp and vindication for amber heard. a statement, of course... she is also facing further legal action from johnny depp. he is seeking to sue her in america and a statement from her council and a statement from her counsel said, "for those of us present at the high court, the decision and judgment are not a surprise. very soon we will be presenting even more voluminous evidence in the us. we are committing to obtaining justice for amber heard". now that reference to voluminous evidence" is because, of course, amber heard was not the person who was being sued here, it was newsgroup newspapers. she was not obliged to reveal all of the documentation about the relationship. a statment from the sun newspaper: "the sun has stood up and campaigned for the victims of domestic abuse for over 20 years. domestic abuse victims must never be silenced and we thank the judge for his careful consideration and thank amber heard for her courage in giving evidence to the court". and i think one thing that is also worth mentioning is that amber heard has, since she got her divorce from johnny depp, spoken up on behalf of other people who have suffered domestic violence so she has been, essentially, an ambassador in a metoo movement, so to be questioned about what she was saying, being told that it was all a hoax, this is very, very important to her reputation, and also, to be believed about what she said over the course of their relationship. and the judge said a recurring theme in mr depp's evidence was that ms heard had constructed a hoax and that she had done this as an insurance policy. he was not convinced by that argument. our media correspondent david sillito. joining me now is clare walker, a domestic abuse consultant who delivers training to organisations like the nhs, local authorities, prison services and military. thank you so much forjoining us. i wondered what your reaction was when you heard this ruling.|j wondered what your reaction was when you heard this ruling. i have to say most are delighted and thank you for the opportunity to comment on it with yourself this morning. we do have enough problems in the courts regarding cases of domestic violence going through and whether there are things believed or not and we have seen an increase in libel claims, which is only going to stand to effect to silence the victim further and may be, perhaps, not to go through the court process and all of the trauma of having to divulge all of the personal and private experiences that they have had, so i see this as a positive going forward for domestic violence cases. that is very interesting what you say because as david sillito was just telling us, sometimes it is almost ha rd to telling us, sometimes it is almost hard to remember that amber heard was a note on trial here. it was not her who was being served, yet it was she who stood up in the court and recounted her experiences. are you concerned then that some women are put off doing that or do you think that perhaps this might encourage them to do so? i am hopeful that it would discourage false claims by a ruling being made in one court arena and then perpetrator putting in for and then perpetrator putting in for a libel case. so itjust, you know, it deviates the legislation that has already been applied. hopefully, it will have a two pronged approach and that victims also will feel less perturbed and that that might not necessarily be an option for them, although every situation is case—by—case, obviously. although every situation is case-by-case, obviously. there is a case-by-case, obviously. there is a case seem to hinge on whether, ultimately, amber heard was telling the truth. how often are women disbelieved? mostly, really. and especially when there is not actually any physical abuse. if it is predominantly based in coercive control then it is incredibly difficult, incredibly difficult and it sits quite biased within family courts in particular where there are additional challenges in getting your voice heard and putting protection in places, which is why we are campaigning and campaigning some more to get those changes. can you tell us a little bit more about how women can get help? what is your advice to victims and, indeed, their families? well, i would say that for victim children, if there are any, and perpetrators, it is time to reach out and make changes to circumstance and situation. and it needs a different input for all of those. we're just going needs a different input for all of those. we'rejust going into lockdown again, you know, we still have not caught up with all of the increased need in demand on our services alone, but other services as well in this arena, from a march and so, you know, we are not anticipating it is going to be a walk in the park a month ahead, so reach out, get on google. they can also contact our services, claire walker consultancy, and seek advice or support or guidance in whatever way, but there are lots of other websites and agencies that will still be running through lockdown so do it safely. thank you so much for talking turns on bbc news, claire walker. thank you very much for your time. more now on the month—long national coronavirus lockdown in england starting on thursday. it'll mean many small businesses will have to close. let's speak to keely weir, who's managing director of clip ‘n climb — a climbing centre in bicester which will have to close under the new lockdown rules. thank you forjoining us. what are your thoughts, i heard they did ask you, at the prospect of having to close questioning obviously it is very disappointing. we were delighted when we got to open at the end ofjuly. delighted when we got to open at the end of july. having delighted when we got to open at the end ofjuly. having been close performance previously. we have been operating at 50% capacity. tha nkfully operating at 50% capacity. thankfully people have come back, enjoyed climbing. we havejust had half term and we were full at 50% capacity so they thought of closing again isa capacity so they thought of closing again is a really disappointing for ourselves as a business, but also because it has been delightful to see families enjoying family time together so obviously knowing that is going to be taken away from people as well. i was going to ask you, do you understand why your having to close? but perhaps i may ask that any different way, have you, as far as you're aware, seen any cases of infection since you reopened? no. and i know other places where staff have maybe had to self—isolate and things. we've have no cases with their star. everyone has been delighted to hers, with the covid measures be put in place. so for us, we have had no cases, no cases on the track and trace app are anything like that —— now cases with our staff. we have felt that we have done all that we can do to make sure we are safe and our staff, our customers are safe when they come to us. but obviously, it is a bigger picture thanjust us. but obviously, it is a bigger picture than just us, really. understood. i mean, ithink the picture than just us, really. understood. i mean, i think the area in which you are located is seeing a 321 cases per 100,000, which, relatively speaking, is high. yes. but i understand what you're saying that you have not seen any cases at your business. what do you need, what would help in order to survive at this latest lockdown?” what would help in order to survive at this latest lockdown? i think for us, obviously, the first lockdown, there was the financial support and in place and we had reserves, but those reserves are busily running it. we cannot take ourselves online, this is an activity where people come and do it. if that lockdown does go on longer, that will make it harder and harder to open again because we have not got that income coming in because people cannot come under the activity. what support do you need from government? to help you survive? there is the financial support that is needed, but with that you cannot, the government of this i cannot keep it giving out loa ns this i cannot keep it giving out loans and bounce back once we both also it needs to, i personally feel, to bea also it needs to, i personally feel, to be a more rounded approach, needs to be a more rounded approach, needs to be a more rounded approach, needs to be coming from landlords, etc. there needs to be support throughout the whole system. if we had not the money in, we cannot send money out. i appreciate the government do not have an endless pot of money but i think it needs to be drawing everybody together to support each other. when it comes to landlords, etc with rents, etc the leisure business and other businesses. we must leave it there, but really good to talk to you and good luck. thank you. the headlines on bbc news... boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. as business in england faces more restrictions the cbi describes a second lockdown as a "real body blow" for firms. actorjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife—beater". more now on the month—long national coronavirus lockdown in england starting on thursday. the government has made it clear that nurseries, schools, colleges and universities will remain open. but education unions are already concerned about the impact the virus is continuing to have on attendance — both for pupils and staff. let's speak to julie mcculloch, who's director of policy at the association of school and college leaders thank you forjoining us on bbc news. first of all, do you agree with keeping schools, colleges, nurseries, universities open? so we represent 20,000 school and college leaders around the uk and our view is that we do need to prioritise keeping schools and colleges open as much as we possibly can. we know that the consequences of closing schools in the spring and summer term were dire, both in terms of keeping education going but also in terms of children's welfare and well—being. our view is that we think the government has right to prioritise keeping schools open over other services as much as they can. but we also need to be really mindful of the impact, obviously, on that of the spread of the virus and the children and staff in our schools. there is also a difference, isn't there, between primary and secondary schools? it does seem that there is less of a rate of spread, for want of a better word, in primary schools. what about secondary schools, should they carry on? we think that is definitely an argument for looking at possibly being on a rota system in a secondary schools. the spread in secondary schools. the spread in secondary schools. the spread in secondary schools seems to be much greater than it is in primary. in the government on potentially planning, they've already said, have been saying for several weeks now that if we get into a position where the prevalence of the virus is particularly high, secondary schools could move to a rota, so possibly having half of their pupils in a at night and then those peoples working from home and having the other half in itfor from home and having the other half in it for the next fortnight —— in for a fortnight. we think this is something the government should seriously be looking at here and it is not necessarily an all or nothing situation, school is completely open a close, we think there might be some more nuance approaches that could be taken. have you cemented that approach to government? and what sort of response have you had if you have? -- submitted. we are in regular discussions with the government and the announcement that came out over the weekend was a surprise to many people. that was not quite the time in the government was anticipating. there is a little bit of catch—up going on there, but we have certainly been in discussions with the department for education this morning and are raising the comments and concerns we are receiving from our members and putting the suggestions to government. you mention the comments and concerns from your members. we have also heard concerns from the unions. they are perhaps, some anyway, a little more concerned about attendance, the number of secondary school pupils who are getting the virus, and the safety of staff as well. what do you say to them? yes, be absolutely share those concerns. we are also representing school leaders so we have a responsibility to represent our members views as well and they, what we're hearing from them is that we need to get that balance right. we need to get that balance right. we need to get that balance right. we need to keep children in the school if we possibly can, but we also need to make sure that we have all of those safety measures in place and are prepared to move to a different situation if we need to, like rotors for example. we also know that one of the things that school leaders are singularly clearly is that they need more financial support to put those safety measures into their schools and colleges that they need and at the moment they're not getting it from government so they are spending thousands of pounds to make sure they have got hand sanitiser, all sorts of measures that they need to put in place, spending a lot of money and supply stuff at the moment, for example, where staff need to self—isolate, so one of the things were calling for a very strongly is a please let's make sure that we give our schools and colleges the money that they need in order to keep those premises as safe as possible and keep schools open. 0k, as possible and keep schools open. ok, we must leave it there. director of policy at the association of school and college leaders, julie mcculloch, we are very grateful for yourtime, mcculloch, we are very grateful for your time, thank you. the us presidential election enters its final day of campaigning, with both president trump and joe biden appealing to voters in crucial battle ground states. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. our correspondent nomia iqbal reports from florida. this is the most important election of our lifetime. it is crunch time. president trump and joe biden have been making a push in the midwestern states and if those swing states are crucial, then florida is critical. music plays. donald trump needs more than their love. he needs their votes. to become president it requires 270 points from the electoral college system and florida has 29 upforgrabs. without this state, the path back to the white house looks near impossible. more than eight million residents here have already voted. this is the last day of in—person early voting here in florida and at this polling station there are donald trump supporters on one side and joe biden supporters on the other, with no—one meeting in the middle. and that sums up what it is like to be in a swing state. people love the guy because they think he is like us, a regular person and not a politician. he is a liar. he wants his ego, power, that is it. he does not care about the community. and some say donald trump is trying to portray his rival, joe biden, in a way that plays on the fears of many latino voters. the trump administration needs something to grab onto because their record is terrible. so one of the biggest ways to scare cubans and venezuelans is by fear mongering them into talking about communism and socialism. my entire family is voting for donald trump. my entire family. i am one of the few in my family who is not voting for trump, who is voting forjoe biden. florida has been problematic in delivering election results. but officials tell us they are ready this time. if that is true, then on election night florida will give us an early sense of which man is on track to become the next president. nomia iqbal, bbc news, florida. you can join us tomorrow night from 11.30pm for our us election special results programme on bbc one and the bbc news channel and you can follow all the expert analysis online as the results come in at bbc.co.uk/news and on the bbc news app. now it's time for a look at the weather with carole. hello again. some parts of the southeast and eastern england this morning started off with temperatures between 15 and 18 degrees. but as this cold front sinks south, the temperature will actually go down behind it. and you can see another weather front coming in from the west, enhancing the showers. and all those isobars are telling us that it's going to be another windy day. not as windy in the north as it was over the weekend, but still windy in the west and also the south. so, some dry weather today, some sunshine to look forward to. but, equally, we've got quite a lot of showers and some of those will merge to give some longer spells of rain at times. these are the kind of wind gust strengths that we're expecting — so still gusty winds to watch out for. temperatures, nine in the north to about 1k in parts of the southeast, so dropping for some by about four degrees or so. now, through this evening and overnight, the rain in the northwest pushes across scotland. we could see some wet snow in argyll and bute, the south highlands, for example. and we've got another band coming in across southern wales and also central parts of england. behind that, on higher ground in wales, in the moores, in wales, in the moors, we could also see some wet snow — but just on higher ground. now, that will bring rain into the southeast and then it turns cooler. a ridge of high pressure starts to build in and you can see all that mild air indicated by the yellows and oranges pushed away and we see a return to blue — indicating that cooler weather. so for tuesday, we eventually say goodbye to this weather front as it drifts off into the north sea — lot drier behind it. there will still be some showers dotted around. the winds will be a lot lighter, as well, than they have been in the last few days, and are going to be for some of us today. and temperature—wise on tuesday — well, roughly between nine in lerwick and 12 as we sweep down towards london. now, moving on from tuesday night into wednesday, we start to see this ridge of high pressure build in. that's going to settle things down, but it's also going to turn much colder, so first thing wednesday morning, we could be looking at some frost and also some fog as we go through not just wednesday, but the overnight period and the next couple of nights, as well. so what can you expect? well, on wednesday, thursday, friday and saturday, it will be drier. there'll still be one or two showers. it's not going to be as windy, but it's going to be cooler by day and night. this is bbc news. i'm rebecca jones. the headlines: boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. scotland's new five—tier system of restrictions comes into force, with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. and new restrictions for wales — later today the first minister will set out his plans for when the country's firebreak lockdown ends next monday. as business in england face more restrictions, the cbi describes a second lockdown as a "real body blow" for firms. actorjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife beater". donald trump and joe biden head to crucial swing states to campaign, as the us election campaign enters its final day. hello and welcome to bbc news. borisjohnson will urge mps today to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england, when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. he's expected to stress the government's intention to ease the new restrictions after a month. the prime minister announced on saturday that strict measures will be imposed across england from thursday. people will be told to stay at home except for specific reasons. pubs, restaurants, gyms, nonessential shops and places of worship will close. and meeting indoors or in private gardens will not be allowed. but you will be able to meet one other person from another household outside in a public place. elsewhere, scotland has moved into its new five—tier system of restrictions this morning. nowhere has yet been placed into the most severe, tier 4. in the next few minutes, the first minister of wales, mark dra keford, will outline an exit plan from the country's national firebreak, which is due to end on the 9th november. and as mentioned, we expect the prime minister to address mps this afternoon, to try to win over some tories who are threatening to vote against the lockdown in england. and at the annual conference of the confederation of british industry, the outgoing—director general has criticised the way major announcements, like the lockdown in england, have been handled. let's speak to our political correspondent, iain watson. a lot to die just that, but to let's perhaps a deal first with boris johnson and the challenge he faces. cut a lot to die just. sometimes in he has come as your enemies are behind you, but he will sadly be facing criticism from sir keir starmer in this delay in having this lockdown to coincide with the school half term holidays in england, but also keir starmer i think will make the point that he believes there has been a human cost to the delayed bite borisjohnson been a human cost to the delayed bite boris johnson following the advice of some of his scientific advisors to go for it lockdown very much earlier when they were advising him to do so in late september. but from his own side, he will be facing some very from his own side, he will be facing some very specific questions of whether he is really looking at this issue in the round. is he looking at the economic impact of a month—long lockdown in england? could there be a formal assessment aboutyou will also be questioned i think on some of the evidence he is relying on, some conservative mps have speaking to this morning so they believe that sage, the scientific advice has been getting, has been out of date, and in some parts of the country where they have had these restrictive tier 3 measures, such as the city of manchester itself, they actually sing infections go down, so is he losing his nerve. it is not whether he can get it through the house of commons on wednesday, but whether it will be extended or whether there will be extended or whether there will be extended or whether there will be some sunset clause on this. his reassurances will matter, because that will likely determine what he will face from his own backbenchers. some may say we can put up with it this time but never again. behind the scenes in downing street the chancellor has been arguing that as much of the economy should be kept open for as much as possible, but today he made it very clear he stood with the prime minister, because he felt that the government now had no option to act, given the growing pressure on the nhs. there is a range of different models and different estimates and i agree with the prime minister that we have to be humble in the face of nature. we're dealing with a virus that has clearly moved at a pace faster than we had anticipated or feared. it's the last thing we want to do, to bring in such restrictive measures. we strove very hard to avoid being in this situation. even the areas with currently low incidence now have some of the highest rates of increase and because of the way that the nhs is constructed in some of those areas, actually the pressure on beds would manifest itself quite soon — in a matter of weeks — and i think when we heard all of that and saw all of that from all of our scientific medical advisers, it was clear — very regrettably — that, unless we took action now, and quite significant action, we would be in an unacceptable situation in just a matter of weeks. in fact, what the prime minister will be arguing that afternoon in the house of commons is that we can see deaths double the rate this winter than they did in the spring, so there is a medical case for intervention. but he will have to make that case pretty strongly to some of his own sceptical backbenchers. one of them he was in fa ct backbenchers. one of them he was in fact the chair of the committee that represents the backbench opinions, sirgraham represents the backbench opinions, sir graham brady, was telling the bbc that some of these measures —— macro if they had been announced in a totalitarian state... one mp i spoke to ali this morning was suggesting that for example the government's track and trace system was nothing short of a farce, as i think to some extent, simply at this stage, some of that criticism will be muted this afternoon. between now and the debate on wednesday, he will have to justify why his going into lockdown and guarantee that it will not extend in its current form past december the 2nd. thank you. people in scotland face new restrictions today, as the country is split into a five—tiered system. the new rules came into effect at six o'clock this morning. glasgow, edinburgh and dundee are amongst the areas with strict restrictions in tier 3, although no area in scotland is currently in the highest tier. wales's first minister, mark drakeford, will set out the new restrictions to be put in place when the country's firebreak lockdown ends a week today. people in wales have been told to stay at home except for exercise and essential journeys. meetings between households are banned, and pubs, restaurants and nonessential shops are shut. and we are expecting to hear that briefing from the first minister of wales, mark drakeford, very shortly and we will bring that to you live here on the news channel. that they are preparing for that announcement. johnny depp has lost his libel case against the sun. the hollywood star sued the newspaper's publisher and its executive editor, dan wootton, over an article in 2018 which claimed he had assaulted his ex—wife amber heard, which he denies. our correpsondent helena wilkinson gave this update from the royal courts of justice. it was a highly anticipated ruling. it has been about three and a half months since that dramatic hearing here at the high court, which saw both amber heard and johnny depp both give evidence in the hearing where amber heard said that there were more than 1a occasions where her former husband, johnny depp, had assaulted her, been violent towards her. she said at times she had feared for her life. the judge, in the last hour, handed down his judgment, mrjustice nicol, and he had said in thatjudgment that the claimant, that is johnny depp, had not succeeded in his libel case against the sun. and what the sun, the publisher of that article in 2018 which referred tojohnny depp as a wife beater... in the hearing, the burden of proof was on the sun to prove that what they had published was truthful. and thejudge in his judgment had said that the words that were published by the publisher of the sun, news group newspapers, were substantially true. so, the sun newspaper had managed to prove that they were truthful in what they had published. but it was a trial here injuly, just after lockdown, which heard details, revelations, about the hollywood couple, the breakdown of their marriage and a difficult marriage that it was. very serious allegations, as i say, that amber heard had made against her former husband, johnny depp. that was helena wilkinson with the latest from the royal courts of justice. in the meantime, we have just received a statement from johnny depp's lawyer, which i am going to be dealt to you. i quote here, this decision is as perverse as it is bewildering. most troubling is thejudge's as it is bewildering. most troubling is the judge's reliance on the testimony of amber heard and corresponding disregard of the mountain of counter evidence from police officers, medical practitioners, her own former assistant, other unchallenged witnesses and an array of documentary evidence which com pletely documentary evidence which completely undermined the allegations point by point. all of this was overlooked, says the statement from johnny depp's lawyer. thejudgment is statement from johnny depp's lawyer. the judgment is so flawed that it would be ridiculous that mr depp not to appeal this decision. joining me now is media law expert and consultant, david banks. perhaps we will come onto that statement and the decision to appeal ina statement and the decision to appeal in a moment, but first, what did you make of the ruling itself?” in a moment, but first, what did you make of the ruling itself? i think it was a fairly competitive indication of the actions of the sun publishing and the testimony given by amber heard and others, which took thejudge's it by amber heard and others, which took the judge's it mind to prove to the truth of the allegations. truth isa the truth of the allegations. truth is a difficult offence for publishers, that the burden is on the publisher to prove the truth as helenjust said. that the publisher to prove the truth as helen just said. that means that the starting point for the court is that they do not believe, or they believe that the allegations made were untrue, so publishers have got a mountain to climb. to the really ha rd to mountain to climb. to the really hard to defence, but the sun have managed to mount that defence successfully. bringing the evidence which thejudge says successfully. bringing the evidence which the judge says has been substantially proven.” which the judge says has been substantially proven. i take your point that actually it is a big mountain to climb for the publisher. but none the less, johnny depp must have taken quite a risk here to try to prove that he wasn't not a wife beater. why would he take that risk, do you think? —— wasn't not a wife beater. what is it going through a closed mind is difficult to discern. he would have been advised with the risks involved with going to high court with a libel action and we have seen countless libel actions like this where skeletons have come tumbling out of the closet when people give evidence and stand up in the high court. so he will have been aware and advised of this, but nevertheless has taken the decision to go to court. we can only assume that he felt the allegation made of abuse, of wife—beating, was sufficiently serious that he felt he had to clear his name and to leave it unchallenged would be more damaging. i think, it unchallenged would be more damaging. ithink, as it unchallenged would be more damaging. i think, as we have seen, in retrospect that might not have been the wisest decision, but clearly he was up for the fight, as we see from the statement that was issued today. absolutely. talking to david banks, media law expert and co nsulta nt david banks, media law expert and consultant about the news that johnny depp has lost his libel case against the sun. the hollywood star had sued the newspaper's publisher and executive editor, dan wootton, if atan and executive editor, dan wootton, if at an article that claimed he had xs assaulted his ex—wife amber heard. you're watching bbc news. thanks for staying with us. i do wa nt thanks for staying with us. i do want asking about the news that has come into us the bbc, that statement from johnny depp's lawyer, that he intends... well, i'm saying he attends to appeal, the statement said thejudgment attends to appeal, the statement said the judgment is so flawed that it would be ridiculous for mr depp not to appeal this decision. has apprised would you be if he did or did not indeed? —— how surprised would you be? if a claimant once to spend money on an appeal and they feel that they have grounds, they can do that. i think that the judgment is fairly comprehensive and if you look at the number of accou nts if you look at the number of accounts that mrjustice nicholl refers to, 12 of the 1a counts being brought saying that they have been proven. you have to wonder at the wisdom, but clearly mr depp and his legal team feel that the counter evidence that they brought is sufficient to outweigh that and go to appeal. you're talking about massive investment in legal fees again in any appeal here and so it isa again in any appeal here and so it is a very substantial step to take. sometimes announcements are made with intent to appeal in cases which in the fullness of time, once a careful consideration has been given and judgment, do not come to pass, so it may well be that things might change in due course, but we can only look forward to the appeal hearing and more evidence or a recounting of the evidence before thejudges in the recounting of the evidence before the judges in the appeal court. really good to hear your thoughts and insights, thank you forjoining us on bbc news. the headlines on bbc news... boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. as business in england face more restrictions the cbi describes a second lockdown as a "real body blow" for firms. actorjohnny depp has lost his high court libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife beater". the labour leader sir keir starmer has criticised what he called the government's ‘catalogue of mistakes‘ over the coronavirus crisis which he said have cost lives. but first, let's go and listen to mark drakeford. i said it would report back with the discussions we had over the weekend about the new set of national measures which would be put in place here in wales when the firebreak comes to an end a week from today, next monday. ministers have been meeting throughout the weekend to consider the final details of these measures. and white plans and our discussions have had to adapt to a the and its rated announcement by the prime minister that england will start a month long lockdown on thursday for —— our plans. i want to be absolutely clear that our firebreak will end as planned and as promised on monday the 9th of november. but we do now have to consider the impact the english lockdown will have on the next steps we take in wales. we need to do this because we share a long and porous border between wales and england. every day, on a non—lockdown day, almost 150,000 people criss cross this border to work, to visit family, shop, do business and to travel. and everyday a huge volume of goods and services flow through wales to england and vice versa. the english lockdown inevitably has an impact on people who live in wales but work in england. on companies operating in both england and wales and on businesses trading along the border. we will be coming out of our firebreakjust as we will be coming out of our firebreak just as england we will be coming out of our firebreakjust as england begins its months long lockdown. and it is really important that as we open up, wales does not become an escape for people seeking to circumvent the new tighter restrictions imposed by the prime minister. we want to keep wales safe and we want to keep the united kingdom safe as well. now, when the firebreak ends next monday, there will be a new set of national measures which will replace the previous local restrictions. but more important than any rules, guidance or regulations which we put in place will be at the parts which each one of us plays in responding to the ongoing public health emergency we face in wales. we can introduce new laws, but these will only be successful if we all do everything we can to reduce our exposure to the virus, by keeping the contacts we have with other people to a minimum, at home, in work and when we go out. we need to do the minimum. not the maximum, which the rules allow. our real strength lies, as it has been throughout the pandemic, in the choices we make and the actions which we take together. now, when we came out of lockdown in the spring we took a cautious approach, relaxing restrictions gradually to make sure that we did not lose all the gains we had worked so hard to achieve. we will once again take that approach. for the first two weeks after the firebreak ends, the national measures will be designed to maximise the impact of everything that we have done together during the firebreak period, to control the spread of the virus. and we will review the situation in a fortnight‘s time to see whether we can make any further changes. turn now to what all this means in practice. during the firebreak, it has only been possible to see the people you live with within your own home. now, as a result of the firebreak and all we have done it, we can do more. we all want our homes to be welcoming places, but we also want them to be safe places. one of the most common misconceptions about coronavirus is that we catch it from people that we do not know. in fact, we are more likely to catch it from and pass it on to the people we are in closest contact with every day. these are ourfamilies or loved contact with every day. these are our families or loved ones and the people we left with. —— we live with. to households in wales will be able tojoin with. to households in wales will be able to join together to form a bubble or extended household for —— two households. to help keep everybody as safe as possible at home, only people from your own household or extended household will be able to meet in your own home. now, the rules around meeting people are perhaps the most difficult that we have to consider and that is why we have to consider and that is why we asked people to think about what they should do, rather than simply what they can do. and we know that changing the rules to allow two households to join together and to meet at home, which will be very valuable for many, many households in wales, does not reflect the family dynamics of many people and it does not enable friends and young people to meet. beyond november the 9th, there will be new arrangements to meet indoors in other settings such as pubs, bars, cafes and restau ra nts. such as pubs, bars, cafes and restaurants. but because all these places will now be closed in england, we are having to think further about how the hospitality sector in wales can operate in these new circumstances. and that consideration will continue into this afternoon. in relation to organised activity, up to 15 people will be able to meet together to ta ke will be able to meet together to take part in an indoors activity and up take part in an indoors activity and up to 30 in outdoors activities provided of course, as ever, that all social distancing, hand hygiene and other covid safety measures are followed. as from the 9th of november, schools will reopen in full, working from home will become even more important. and all that business premises which have been shut since the 23rd of october will be able to reopen again on monday of next week. local authority services will resume, reflecting local circumstances and places of worship will be able to reopen. there will be no travel restrictions inside wales, but during the month long lockdown in england, travel will not be permitted outside wales without a reasonable excuse. now, as i explained on friday, we continue to see large numbers of people falling ill with coronavirus in wales. we have over 1000 hospital beds occupied by people with coronavirus —related conditions and very sadly, again over this weekend, we had to report more families losing loved ones to this awful virus. we still have a week left of the firebreak period. it week to make a real difference to the course of this virus, to prevent our nhs from being overwhelmed and to save lives. as ever, i want to thank everyone for everything that you have done so far. together we continue to keep wales safe. and as they tend to take questions from journalists, all the a nswe rs , questions from journalists, all the answers, as you know, will be broadcast live on our own social media channels. first, overto broadcast live on our own social media channels. first, over to dan from bbc wales. thank you, i would be really grateful if you could answer these in welsh. you said people would only do what is it really necessary, but you're permitting people to do what is perhaps not necessary after the firebreak, to go out to a pub for a meal. if you think people should only leave their homes when it is genuinely necessary, then society is basically being asked to impose its own lockdown. what i'm saying to people in wales as this, we will have this new simple set of national rules beyond the firebreak period, but if people approach that period by asking themselves what is the maximum i can do? how many things cani maximum i can do? how many things can i now take part in? how many people can i meet? how far will i travel? that will lead us all back into the difficulties we have faced in this awesome. so what we have to haveis in this awesome. so what we have to have is a set of national rules together with the ongoing determination of people in wales to do the right thing, for every one of us to ask ourselves that question, what contribution can we make to keeping ourselves and others say? and that does not mean trying to stretch the rules to do even more. it means taking that responsibility in ourown it means taking that responsibility in our own lives to do the things that keep us all safe. that is the message i was trying to convey this morning as i want to convey it again now. people in wales have made the most enormous effort. when the firebreak is over, i do not want that to be a signal to people that those efforts can come to an end. if we are to get the benefits of a firebreak period, we all need to behave in the weeks that follow by asking us not what can i do, but what should i do? and in that way, we will go on together helping to bring the coronavirus under control and to give a through to christmas and to give a through to christmas and beyond. he speaks in welsh . so, we have been listening to a briefing from the first minister of wales, mark dra keford, briefing from the first minister of wales, mark drakeford, where he has announced a new nationwide measures which will take effect after the welsh firebreak lockdown ends next week. let's just run you through some of them. he said that from next monday, two households in wales would be able to join together to form a bubble or an extended household, but only people in that bubble or extended household can meet people inside their own home. plans for reopening hospitality, it sounded as if they have been put on hold or at least are subject to further discussion, that of course is in the light of the announcement that england will face a second lockdown for a month from thursday. but in wales, up to 15 people will be able to meet indoors for activities, sports for example, and 30 outdoors, provided they abide by social distancing rules. let's listen back into that conference. summer may think that that insurance policy is not working and wales would be better off, its response to covid would be better, if it was an independent nation. if we were not part of the united kingdom, we would not be having a discussion about for at all the millions and millions of pounds that have been spent on supporting people who are unable to work during coronavirus would be here for us to use “— coronavirus would be here for us to use —— furlough. so of course, i think it strikes me and will strike people in wales as unfair that when we asked for flexibility, we were told that none was possible. and when the uk government decided to move for england, suddenly that flexibility was found. at the treasury is the treasury for the whole of the united kingdom, not just one part of it. but without the uk treasury and without being pa rt the uk treasury and without being part of that great insurance policy, we would not be debating whether or not we were getting furlough unfair terms because we would not be getting help with furlough at all. and when independence is concerned, we have already an independent senedd here that are able to make decisions here for wales and throughout the coronavirus period i have used independently the powers we have is a welsh government to make decisions that are right for wales. so i sometimes think the debate, a sort of polarising debate between independence and what we have got, misses the point, really. we have independent scope to act and use it all the time, but we do it under the umbrella that the united kingdom provides to us and one which we have drawn on the strength of that throughout this crisis. over to adrian masters of itv wales. he said that discussions continue this afternoon about the hospitality sector. you had promised all sectors that they would get a weak's notice to be able to prepare. can you tell them that they will get that decision today and can you confirm what sort of things you're looking at—is what sort of things you're looking at — is at keeping pubs and restaurants close altogether or different rules in border areas?” do not want to keep those places close, i want to see them reopen in wales. but any prime minister's decision over the weekend is inevitably create a different context dash might be prime minister's decision. if pubs are close along the border in england, there is bound to be a risk that people will try to break the law, because the law in england will say to them that they should not travel into wales because pubs here will be open and serving alcohol. so i do not want our police forces to be diverted into having to police the border because we have a situation that we had not anticipated and we have not had a chance to think through. had that not happen, i would simply have been announcing today that everything would reopen on the same terms as they would have operated on the 22nd of october. but the context has changed, it is important that we talk to the sector. that we get a set of arrangements that work for them and that prevent unintended consequences from causing us difficulties beyond that sector and i want to get those decisions as quickly as possible, but more than getting them quickly, wa nt to but more than getting them quickly, want to get them right and that means being prepared to talk to people, hear their views, and then come to the decisions that will need to make. thank you. and could you also tell me what your thinking is on to care homes. it is something thatis on to care homes. it is something that is important for the mental well— being of residents that is important for the mental well—being of residents as residents as well as families. will visits be allowed to take place cut care homes are a constant cause of concern to us all. because one the virus gets into a care home, we now have fast it can spread among the very vulnerable population and we know the devastation that can follow. we have tried our best to learn the lessons from the earlier part of the year. iam lessons from the earlier part of the year. i am care home visits are still happening in wales —— care home visits. while i do not want to say this in the sense of offering false hope to people, one of the things that we do have some optimism that things will develop over the weeks ahead is that he new generation of tests may become available where people will be able to administer themselves and be able to administer themselves and be able to get the answer is very quickly within, let us say, half an hour, so i have asked our officials here to work with the care home sector to see, as does test become available, whether used for care home visiting would be a priority, one of the top things that we would use those tests for as they become available to us in wales. because if that were the case, someone could come to a care home, administer the tests themselves, while they were waiting in the car, and within half an hour, they would now that they had a test was positive and negative and if it was positive and negative and if it was positive, you could not visit it, but if it was negative a the visit could go ahead. that does offer us a different path through this a very difficult dilemma where we wa nt this a very difficult dilemma where we want to protect people who live in care homes, but of course, we wa nt in care homes, but of course, we want people to be able to have the comfort of knowing they can be seen by their loved ones as well. if those tests do come on stream, and it is some optimism that they will, then care home visiting is at the top of the list of things that we would want to explore for putting them to work here in wales. ageing, thank you. over to andy davies at channel 4. thank you. over to andy davies at channel4. thank thank you. over to andy davies at channel 4. thank you. you thank you. over to andy davies at channel4. thank you. you said thank you. over to andy davies at channel 4. thank you. you said there will be no travel permitted outside wales without a reasonable excuse. what does that mean in terms of people visiting wales from england? will welsh regulations prohibit that, regardless of what the english regulations say? no, it will be the same broad system on both sides of the border. people who live in wales, but work in england will have a reasonable reason for travelling to work and people who live in england and work in wales will likely have a reasonable excuse for coming across the border to work here. it will be a restricted list of essential purposes, rather than the normal toing and froing across the normal toing and froing across the border that you would have seen ina less the border that you would have seen in a less fraught and difficult times. and what would your message be to those people in england who might be considering coming to wales to visit a pub or restaurant during the lock in period and include? my message to them is that they must obey the law in england. and at the law in england will not allow that to happen. it will not allow that to happen for a very good reasons. the measures that have been put in place in england are designed to turn back the scale of challenge that coronavirus has now caused to our friends and neighbours across the border. those rules will have been put in place by the prime minister for very good reasons. and people in england need to follow them just as i always ask people in wales to follow the rules that we put in place for people here. andy, thank you. to will hayward at wales online. thank you, first minister. england are seeing more cases and deaths than the reasonable worst case scenario model predicted also as wales also permits projections and does that mean there is likely to be more deaths than the 6300 that we re to be more deaths than the 6300 that were previously feared? can you talk a study most up—to—date reasonable worst case scenario modelling for wales, please question mark thank you. before we took the decision to institute a fabric here in wales, we we re institute a fabric here in wales, we were tracking —— firebreak. we were tracking, but not exceeding it. we we re tracking, but not exceeding it. we were going along the pathway that the swansea modelling suggested would be the worst case. that is why we instituted the firebreak. we have asked swansea to the modelling again for us to take into account the impact ofa for us to take into account the impact of a fire break period and we will have the results of that, i'm sure, shortly. but we were not exceeding it as they have reported in england, but we were tracking it. and that was a strong signal to us ofa and that was a strong signal to us of a need to act and act early here in wales. thank you. can you also talk because really plan for local nocturnes now. if there is a local outbreak, will you follow a similar model with the figure of 50 cases per 100,000 as model with the figure of 50 cases per100,000 asa model with the figure of 50 cases per 100,000 as a benchmark and were restrictions imposed by the same as before? and restrictions imposed by the same as before ? and could restrictions imposed by the same as before? and could ask for the confirmation, can you confirm people in wales are now able to book holidays in wales such as in bluestone after the firebrick? yes, on the final point i can confirm that people will be able to travel within the wheels. they will not be confined to the local authority area as was the case —— wales. confined to the local authority area as was the case -- wales. we are going to leave that briefing note from the first minister of wales, mark drakeford from the first minister of wales, mark dra keford there from the first minister of wales, mark drakeford there in cardiff. announcing a new nationwide measures that will take effect after the welsh firebrick lockdown ends next week. it has work reiterating that these measures will not come into effect until next monday. the headlines, schools will reopen, businesses that have been shut since october 23 will be able to reopen as of next week, hospitality venues, discussions are ongoing as to whether they will be able to reopen in the light of the announcement from the prime minister boris johnson that england will be locked down for a month from thursday. there will be no travel restrictions from next monday inside wales, but travel will not be permitted outside wales without a reasonable excuse. so mark dra keford wales without a reasonable excuse. so mark drakeford they're announcing there was a new nationwide measures that will take effect from next monday. the labour leader sir keir starmer has criticised what he called the government's "catalogue of mistakes" over the coronavirus crisis, which he said "have cost lives and livelihoods". he was speaking to business leaders at the annual cbi conference, which is being held online. earlier, at the same event, the business secretary, alok sharma, defended the government's decision to implement a month—long lockdown in england, telling business leaders and media "the cost of inaction would be greater than the action". our business correspondent vivienne nunis is here. this was interesting, he differentiate the relationship with the business community from what it was under corbyn. saying the party wa nted was under corbyn. saying the party wanted to build a new relationship, new partnership with the business community and that they really value the contribution business makes to society, but as you said, he also took the opportunity to really heavily criticise the government and its management so far of the coronavirus pandemic. he talked about the chancellor rishi sunak having three economic plans and about four weeks. let's have a listen to what sir keir starmer had to say that conference this morning. the central lesson of the first ways scratch make was ignored that if you are to control this virus, you have to act early and decisively. and that if you don't, the cost to people's health and at the health of the economy is much, much worse. one of the things i've learned from this crisis is that it take exposes leadership like nothing else. —— exposes leadership. on that count, the prime minister and have failed. the leader of the opposition addressing the conference this morning. we would normally be hearing from the prime minister on at the opening morning of the cbi conference, wouldn't we? he was not there. how did that go down with delegates? that they regarded as a bit of a snob or was it well, he has a lwa ys bit of a snob or was it well, he has always got a lot on his plate?” think there was a sense of disappointment that the prime minister could not be there this morning. i remember, it isjust the second time in all the years that the cbi has been hosting this annual event that the prime minister of the day could not make an appearance. borisjohnson, of course, is going to be speaking in the commons later today about the new lockdown coming on in england on thursday. i really, that new lockdown was at the bigger focus of this morning's discussions, our business is going to cope with a second lap time? he quite severe locked in. dame caroline for revenge, the director—general of the cbi said businesses are better prepared than they were the first time around —— fairbench. businesses may have been able to adapt. but in other ways businesses are worse off, they would any much healthier position financially at the beginning of the year because they have now been dealing with the financial impact of a pandemic for several months. hear what dame caroline fairbairn had to say this morning. we need to recognise the covid safety of so many workplaces and keep as much of the economy open as we can. financial support — it needs to be there, it needs to be strong, and it needs to be there for the duration. the trouble is, the furlough scheme ending in four weeks is tomorrow for so many businesses. we need more clarity on timing. and more is going to be needed for some sectors. i look at aviation — an enabler of our economy. we are an open economy, we're going to need to be able to fly again for our trade — for our global trade — for our recovery. we cannot let our aviation sector die. dame caroline fairbairn there. the other big topic was a brexit. the transition period ends on the 1st of january. she urged government to come up with a deal soon. sir keir starmer also urged the committee come up with the deal. dame caroline fairbairn said it would be unconscionable to unleash a no—deal brexit on the uk and europe are now dealing with the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic. thank you very much. our business corresponded, vivian. as that briefing was taking place in wales, so nicola sturgeon was also giving one to the people of scotland. today scotland has been placed under a new tier system across its council areas, restricting certain areas to harsher lockdown measures than others. but, she says the country has a decision to face, as the uk government's furlough scheme funding is only available during the month that england is in lockdown. the position, as it has in so many countries across the world, remains very fragile and we remain very concerned about the rise in hospital and intensive care commissions. we still there's a lot of uncertainty as lots of countries do. that is why it clear last week that when i set out the levels that would apply initially that we might yet have to go further and that we cannot rule out a move to level four for all the parts of the country. while that decision would never be easy, there is no doubt that the availability of a more extensive unfurlough scheme of the kind that the prime minister announced on saturday would make it slightly less difficult —— furlough scheme. it would make it light slightly less difficult because workers would have more of their wages paid. what we have to be up and coming days as there is, should we ta ke and coming days as there is, should we take the opportunity of more generous financial support to step harder on the brakes now to try to drive infection rates down faster and more firmly? the potential benefit of that would be suppressing the bite is a further and faster at a time when financial support is available. —— suppressing the virus. but possibly opening up a bit more breathing space over the christmas period. ideally, we would assess the impact of the current restrictions for a bit longer before making that decision and, at the very least, wait until our next scheduled review point which is during lectures, a week tomorrow. but he has a dilemma week tomorrow. but he has a dilemma we face and it is important i am open with you about it. at this stage, the indication is that the more generous unfurlough scheme is only going to be available for the month —— furlough's scheme during the period of england's lockdown. it should be available to devolved administrations whenever it is needed and most reasonable people would think that has the fair possession and i, with colleagues in the welsh and northern irish governments have pressed that point very firmly at the cobra meeting which has just concluded. very firmly at the cobra meeting which hasjust concluded. but very firmly at the cobra meeting which has just concluded. but we cannot put of vital decisions while we have a debate with the treasury because at the virus does not stop spreading while we do that. that is why i hope we get absolute clarity on that point from the treasury today. because it matters to our decision—making here in scotland. nicola sturgeon. the us presidential election enters its final day of campaigning, with both president trump and joe biden appealing to voters in crucial battleground states. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. our correspondent nomia iqbal reports from florida. this is the most important election of our lifetime. it is crunch time. president trump and joe biden have been making a push in the midwestern states and if those swing states are crucial, then florida is critical. music plays. donald trump needs more than their love. he needs their votes. to become president it requires 270 points from the electoral college system and florida has 29 upforgrabs. without this state, mr trump's path back to the white house looks near impossible. more than eight million residents here have already voted. this is the last day of in—person early voting here in florida and at this polling station there are donald trump supporters on one side and joe biden supporters on the other, with no—one meeting in the middle. and that sums up what it is like to be in a swing state. people love the guy because they think he is like us, a regular person and not a politician. he is a liar, he is a liar. he wants his ego, power, that is it. he does not care about the communities. and some say donald trump is trying to portray his rival, joe biden, in a way that plays on the fears of many latino voters. the trump administration needs something to grab onto because their record is terrible. so one of the biggest ways to scare cubans and venezuelans is by fear mongering them into talking about communism and socialism. my entire family is voting for donald trump. my entire family. i am one of the few in my family who is not voting for trump, who is voting forjoe biden. florida has been problematic in delivering election results. but officials tell us they are ready this time. if that is true, then on election night florida will give us an early sense of which man is on track to become the next president. nomia iqbal, bbc news, florida. you can join us tomorrow night from 11.30pm for our us election special results programme on bbc one and the bbc news channel and you can follow all the expert analysis online as the results come in at bbc.co.uk/news and on the bbc news app. borisjohnson is due to address mps later this afternoon about his plan for a new four—week lockdown across england from thursday. he's expected to warn that covid—19 deaths could be twice as high over the winter as they were in the first wave of the pandemic without action, citing models from his scientific advisers. but some other scientists insist there is still a better way to beat the virus. i've been speaking to dr tom jefferson, an epidemiologist at oxford university, who says there is no modelling on the impact of a lockdown. as we explained several times, the data which is referred to as black and white is anything but black and white. we do not really understand how cases are calculated and projections we have seen, are forecast we have seen of cases and deaths are actually really quite exaggerated. we have shown that in our trackers, and our website, and anybody can go on and check predictions versus the actual evidence that is coming out. i must say, however, that this is very, very difficult to untangle because there is quite a number of different surveys and data sources. which give different estimates and no report methods and most often do not report the assumptions that are behind these models. isn't one thing certain, though, that a lockdown does definitely reduce the spread of infections and, therefore, the number of deaths? well, the u nfortu nately, number of deaths? well, the unfortunately, the patchwork of restrictions that have been applied throughout europe actually make that statement very problematic to check, to assess. because what you would have to do is you would have to have a state or nation or an area with some kind of restrictions and one without restrictions and then compare them. well, this has not happened and the increasing number of restrictions, all patchwork, all doubling and sometimes very unclear and progressive, makes that kind of interpretation very difficult. what is certain is that restrictions have an impact, human toll and they have an impact, human toll and they have an economic toll. a societal toll. and that toll is never modelled. the forecasts that we see and that we are shown in now that the projected benefits on restrictions, but none of the harms. you may have heard the chancellor lashes a neck saying that nonetheless, we must be handling the face of nature —— rishi sunak. there may be some people who are lessening jose us eventually putting livelihoods ahead of lives, —— essentially saying that you are putting livelihoods ahead of lives. all deaths are regrettable. u nfortu nately, we all deaths are regrettable. unfortunately, we are allowed to die at the end of our life. the question becomes wider, if you want to wed in the question and it becomes as follows — a re the question and it becomes as follows — are we going to use restrictions every winter? if we have a very bad acute respiratory infection season, are we going to start using restrictions there? because this is the logic that is behind applying restrictions and progressive restrictions. whyjust for covid? why progressive restrictions. whyjust for covid ? why not progressive restrictions. whyjust for covid? why not for the other bugs? which are going to start moving around very soon? if they have not already done so. doctor jefferson, i want to go right back to the beginning of our conversation. you said you have explained your position several times. i know you have presented a plan to the prime minister. what is your reaction been from him? what are you hearing from government to the ideas and arguments that you're putting forward? nothing. nothing at all? nothing at all. why do you think that i think that is a question of government will stop i do not think that... question of government will stop i do not think that. .. there does not appear that they're open for debate. any governments are open to debate. and this is, i think regrettable. i personally think it is regrettable, simply because of the measures that are taking impact on everybody. doctor tom jefferson. are taking impact on everybody. doctortom jefferson. simon are taking impact on everybody. doctor tom jefferson. simon mccoy will be here with the news that 1pm. now it's time for a look at the weather with helen. behind it a chilly west wind. equally quite a number of showers as well. it is looking pretty placid out there, particularly for england and wales, driving in the showers. a rather wet weather highlighted for natwest in england where we could see another 40 or 50 millimetres of rain throughout the rest of today. potential further flooding and a hazard on the roads. it looks quite wet to end the day for parts of northern ireland and that will all move northwards as well. either side of that, showers. moving northwards into scotland overnight, possibly a smattering of snow for argyll and the islands and a band of rain potentially running and across the southern half of england and wales and could have a smattering of sleet over the welsh mountains and moors. it will be significantly chillier tonight compared with the welsh mountains and moors. it will be significantly chillier tonight compared with teenagers gone. that is really a theme for the coming week. rain is with is eastern england for the first half of the day and clears away, sunny spells and scattered showers follow. mostly in the north and west. they could be heavy here with some hail and thunder and temperature is about time to where they should be for this time of year, but clearly today it has felt chillier because they went, the wind is a notch down tomorrow. that wind continues to ease through wednesday as high—pressure dressing of the atlantic, but it will meander its way eastward so that by the weekend it will be starting to have a way once again. for two or three days, the weather doesn't look a little quieter. there will still be a few showers around wednesday and a bit ofa showers around wednesday and a bit of a breeze, but gradually that peace eases off and when events become confined to the north. after a frosty site, temperatures get back to where they should be for this time of year between ten and 11 celsius stop into thursday, we are going to have some potentialfault problems. they are stagnating at this time of year it takes a while for that fog to clear away. once it does so, again some sand and coming through, but probably some low cloud too. that is something we will inherit later this week as well is early morning fog and frost, but at least they wind and rain for a time is eating away, but as i say, it is just a fleeting glimpse of high—pressure for two or three days before it gets away and low pressure once again returns. warnings on the website. borisjohnson prepares to ask mps to support his plan for a month—long national coronavirus lockdown in england. there'll be a commons vote on the move on wednesday. the new restrictions are due to come into force the day after we'll be getting the latest from westminster, where some tory mps say they will vote against the government. also this lunchtime: facing another lockdown — businesses across england say the potential damage is immense. we're nervous, we don't know where it's going to end, and i think that's our biggest problem. his hollywood reputation in tatters: johnny depp loses his libel action against the sun newspaper over an article which labelled him a "wife—beater". the presidential candidates spend the last day of campaigning crisscrossing the key battle ground states. prince william had covid at the same time as his father
and the prime minister, but kept it quiet to avoid alarming the nation. and coming up on bbc news: ole gunnar solskjaer counts the cost of paul pogba's stupid mistake, as manchester united lose to arsenal for the first time at old trafford in 14 years. good afternoon. welcome to the bbc news at one. the prime minister is preparing to ask mps to support a new national lockdown in england to last four weeks. in the commons later this afternoon he's expected to warn that covid—19 deaths could be twice as high over the winter as they were in the first wave of the pandemic. he will say there is no alternative to the measure which is due to start on thursday and to end on the 2nd of december. he is expected to stress that he intends to ease restrictions after a month. from thursday, people will be told to stay at home except for specific reasons. pubs, restaurants, gyms and nonessential shops will close. but takeaways will be permitted. and meeting indoors or in private gardens will not be allowed. but you will be able to meet one other person from another household outside in a public place. labour is supporting the move, but have criticised the delay in bringing it in. meanwhile some conservative mps say they'll oppose it. our political correspondent chris mason reports. it was always feared the turning of the seasons, autumn then winter, could see a surge in coronavirus cases. it was that blunt reality that forced the prime minister and his scientific advisers to tell us from downing street at the weekend that another lockdown for england was coming. hello. how things change. back in the summer, the chancellor was serving up discounts to lure us back to restaurants. now alongside pubs, cafes and other shops regarded as nonessential, he is saying they will have to shut. we have to be humble in the face of nature. we are dealing with a virus that has clearly moved at a pace faster than we had anticipated or feared. it is the last thing that we wa nt to feared. it is the last thing that we want to do, to bring in such restrictive measures. we strove very ha rd to restrictive measures. we strove very hard to avoid being in this situation. those around the prime minister say he sees a moral and medical responsibility to act. in the commons this afternoon, boris johnson will say that the scientific projections he has been shown are all bleak, and the consequences of doing nothing would be grim. but he will face sharp questions from opposite him, from labour and others, but also from behind him. take a listen to this from one of his most senior backbenchers, talking to the westminster hour on radio four. it is these kind of measures “— radio four. it is these kind of measures —— mac if these kind of measures —— mac if these kind of measures were being taken in any kind of totalitarian country around the world, we would regard it as a removal of fundamental liberties going almost without comment. but addressing the confederation of british industry this morning, the labour leader repeated that the government should have locked england down sooner, and he sought to blame rishi sunak. the chancellor's name is all over this. his decision to block a circuit breaker, to dismiss it as a blunt instrument, and to pretend that you can protect the economy without controlling the virus will now mean that businesses have to close for longer. attention now turns here, to the house of commons, as mps return from half term to once again weigh up from half term to once again weigh up the most profound issues imaginable. lives, liberties and livelihoods, with no easy answers to be found. chris mason, bbc news, at westminster. let's get more from our political correspondent iain watson who's in westminster. there is a vote on wednesday, but is there any question that these new restrictions will be brought in? the new restrictions will be brought in, i think there is no question of that. but nonetheless borisjohnson wrote a book about winston churchill, so he will be well aware of the quote that your opposition sits in front of you and your enemy sits in front of you and your enemy sits behind you. you will be very alive to the fact that many of his conservative colleagues will be at the least restless about the new restrictions being brought in, and some say between now and that vote on wednesday, they want some specific reassurances from the prime minister. they want to be told in advance that this will be the last lockdown of this severity in england, and the measures won't be extended beyond december the 2nd. one of them said he must tell us he is not going to cave into scientific advisers, they want reassurances he will see things in the round and ta ke will see things in the round and take into account the economic impact. some say that they also want like labour to see over the next month big improvements in the test, track and trace system, and one can senior server —— senior conservative. sir keir starmer is expected to lay it on with a trowel, the fact that he sees this delay is a lack of leadership from the prime minister which he says has cost lives. any rebellion on the conservative side will simply grow if they don't receive these reassu ra nces if they don't receive these reassurances that the lockdown will be over by the beginning of next month, and that christmas will be saved. i think he won't have so much trouble on wednesday, but he might face a bigger rebellion in a month if there is any prospect of these measures going on to the end of the year or beyond. thank you. iain watson there. with me now is our health correspondent nick triggle. when will we see impact on this action if it starts on thursday? when will we see impact on this action if it starts on thursday7m won't be immediate. because of the incubation period for the virus, it takes people sometime before develop symptoms, and therefore come forward for testing. so it could be one or two we e ks for testing. so it could be one or two weeks before we see infection levels start to come down, but certainly that is the expectation that they will. what we don't know is by how much. i have seen estimates suggesting anywhere between 10% and 75% reduction. much will depend on the public's adherence to the lockdown. as for hospital cases and certainly deaths, it could be the end of november before we begin to see those figures change, and that is because of the length of time it takes for someone who becomes infected to become seriously ill. so we should expect to see mounting pressures on hospitals in the coming weeks. there are currently just over 9000 patients in hospital with covid in england. on current trajectories, that number could double in the next two weeks, which would take us over the peak seen in the spring, and one of the problems for the nhs that is that these pressures are not evenly distributed. the north west has had nearly a third of cases. so in terms of the ability of the health service to cope, much will depend on where these new cases come. nick, thank you very much indeed. the business secretary has been defending the government's decision to bring in a second lockdown to industry leaders at the cbi conference. there was criticism from cbi boss dame caroline fairburn — who said companies couldn't be expected to act when they learned of government policy through a series of lea ks and speculation. our business correspondent theo leggett reports. across the country, struggling businesses are being forced to shut up businesses are being forced to shut up shop once again. the government had wanted to avoid another national lockdown in england by relying on local restrictions. but now the strategy‘s changed. local restrictions. but now the strategy's changed. now for something a little more extreme... and for this gym which offers classes for children and parents, it is another blow. it is a complicated problem, and there is no easy solution, but has a small business owner, we face this before, we will face it again, we are adaptable. we are nervous, we don't know where it is going to end, and that is our biggest problem. speaking to industry leaders at the annual conference today, the business secretary tried to explain why the government had to act. in the face of the evidence, you have to act, and of course it is regrettable that we are having to take this particular action, but this is about safeguarding the nhs and ultimately making sure that we can come out of this the other side. to the chancellor has already said he will extend the furlough scheme under which the government will pay up to 80% of the wages of employees who aren't able to work. the new lockdown in england comes as wales is preparing to end its own two—week firebreak in early november. and the government will come under intense pressure to ensure this is the last time the entire country has to put the brakes on the economy because of covid. theo leggett, bbc news. scotland's new tier system came into effect today — the country split into five tiers, from zero to four. each of its 32 local authorities has initially been graded between levels one and three, with people in tier 3 being told to make only essential journeys outside their area. our scotland correspondent lorna gordon reports. it's all change in scotland. the government here shaking up the restrictions to curb the spread of covid. this cocktail bar in hamilton had switched to delivering food and drink. they can now welcome customers back, but they won't be allowed to serve them booze. we could open as a cafe but it would be a real struggle for us because pretty half of our gross that we make is from our drinks. and it's basically, that's completely obliterating half the business for us. as well as that, there's lot of established cafes around here, about eight around the vicinity who have been doing this for a long, long time and have a loyal customer base. more than 3 million people in scotland will be living under the level three restrictions, that now includes a requirement for senior pupils in secondary school and their teachers to wear face coverings in class. people in these areas are also being asked not to travel outside their council area. the first minister said she can't rule out a similar move to england's here. the decision we have to weigh up in the coming days as this one. should we take advantage of the business support to steph on the virus harder now? or should we open a bit more breathing space over the christmas period? this bar in shetland, where the restrictions are being eased, supports the scottish government's cautious approach. some parts of the country have questioned where they have been placed in the new system. i don't think anybody should open up straightaway. it needs to be a work in development. open up at tear numberone, and see in development. open up at tear number one, and see how it goes. we need to take it slowly or we will go back to square one, and i don't think anybody wants that. and for all in scotland, this warning from nicola sturgeon. don't travel to england unless it's absolutely essential. lorna gordon, bbc news. wales's first minister, mark drakeford, has set out how he proposes to come out of the country's firebreak lockdown which ends in a week. our wales correspondent tomos morgan is in cardiff. what has he been saying, tomos? he will say that on the 9th of november, just four days after england begins its lockdown, the firebreak will end in wales. what will happen then will be a gradual easing of restrictions, when a few things will happen straightaway. two households will be able to bubble, and that will be the same both inside and outdoors. 15 people can meet up in a group activity inside. 30 people outside. gyms, restau ra nts, 30 people outside. gyms, restaurants, bars and cafes will be open, but regarding the hospitality sector, first minister mark dra keford sector, first minister mark drakeford said sector, first minister mark dra keford said that sector, first minister mark drakeford said that they would be continue discussions this afternoon on how that sector will operate now that the lockdown will be in effect in england from thursday. they don't wa nt to in england from thursday. they don't want to see people coming between the two nations on the border. travel will be prohibited outside of wales, but people can holiday within wales, but people can holiday within wales, and talking about england, now that that lockdown is in place, mark drakeford said that they would bea ban mark drakeford said that they would be a ban now between people travelling between the two neighbouring countries. it is really important that as we open up, wales doesn't become an escape for people seeking to circumvent the new tighter restrictions imposed by the prime minister. there will be no travel restrictions inside wales, but during the month long lockdown in england, travel will not be permitted outside wales without a reasonable excuse. there will be a few exceptions for people travelling between wales and england. that will between wales and england. that will be for work purposes or for care purposes, but other than that, there will be no exceptions. the firebreak here ending a week today on the 9th of november. tomos, thank you very much. one of the key differences between this second lockdown and the first is that schools in england will remain open. but there are questions already about how sustainable that is, with calls from unions and politicians for schools and colleges to close to help control transmission. frankie mccamley reports. back from an extended half term break, secondary school pupils in northern ireland are facing tougher restrictions and are being urged to carry face masks at all times. i'm actually excited to see my friends again, getting to chat with them, so mostly seeing friends a lot, so i'm not worried at all about coming back here today. but for those preparing for gcse is, it has been tough. during the pandemic we had to do our work alone in the classroom, and that teachers can't speak to you, you have to do it all yourself and look things up. schools across england have struggled to stay open. some have been forced to partially or fully close as a staff and stu d e nts or fully close as a staff and students at self—isolate. it is pupils in the north west to have been hit hardest, which has led to questions about the fairness of exams next year. it is secondary schools that have the fastest rising rate among all age groups, closely followed by sixth forms, colleges and young adults. this data has led to calls for schools in england to close altogether. my fear is that if we just continue as we are, the lockdown conditions aren't strict enough, covid will spread and we will be in a position where we have to have a longer and more severe lockdown later on in the year, perhaps even over christmas. others believe flexible learning and more support is the answer. secondary schools could move to a rotor, so possibly having half of their pupils in fora possibly having half of their pupils in for a fortnight and then those pupils working from home and having the other half in for the next fortnight. that is something that we think the government should be seriously looking at here. in scotland, older pupils will have to wear masks in class, while schools in wales are open to some pupils following the two—week firebreak. we got as far as weak four so firebreak. we got as far as weak fourso far... firebreak. we got as far as weak four so far... the uk may be united in tackling the virus, but this second lockdown has highlighted how divided opinions on how to do this really are. frankie mccamley, bbc news. sources at kensington palace have confirmed that prince william was unwell with covid—i9 earlier this year. the duke of cambridge had the virus around the same time that his father prince charles was self—isolating but it wasn't made public. the prince is said to have experienced some breathing difficulties before making a full recovery. our royal correspondent nicholas witchell has more. william on television last night, presenting a pride of britain award and talking about coronavirus. you had it in the family as well? yes, my father had it very early on. but there was one detail william omitted. it has emerged that he too was infected with the virus early in the pandemic, no mention of that last night. instead, praise for the nhs. the devastating impact of the coronavirus pandemic has reminded us as a nation of how much we owe to the thousands of nhs workers who have gone far beyond the call of duty this year. rewind to the 9th of march, the commonwealth day service at westminster abbey, the last time all the senior members of the royal family were seen together in public. there was close attention on harry and meghan, who were about to step back from royal duties. few at that stage had any inkling of what was about to happen. butjust two weeks later, the prime minister broadcast his stark instruction to the nation, the first lockdown had begun. from this evening, i must give the british people are very simple instruction. you must stay at home. two days after that, clarence house announced that the prince of wales had tested positive for the virus. he was in isolation at his home on the balmoral estate. and at roughly the same time, it now appears that william too was showing symptoms at his home, anmer hall, in norfolk. according to the sun newspaper, william insisted that his diagnosis should remain private. by then, the prime minister had contracted the virus. it's said william was determined not to add to national concerns. i'm catherine and this is william next to me. kensington palace has refused to confirm any details. what we do know is that within a few weeks, william he began a busy programme with his wife of video contact. they praised people for their resilience, without giving any hint of his own brush with the virus. nicholas witchell, bbc news. our top story this lunchtime: borisjohnson prepares to ask mps to support his plan for a month—long national coronavirus lockdown in england. and coming up... how do people living in areas with low levels of covid infections feel about the lockdown? coming up on bbc news: coronavirus continues to disrupt the super league. two more matches are cancelled, with the castleford tigers involved again, following another four positive tests for covid—19, leaving the rest of the regular season in further doubt. he is one of the most famous actors in the world. but now, johnny depp's reputation is in tatters after he lost his libel action agains the sun. the high courtjudge ruled that the newspaper's claim in 2018 that he had assaulted his ex—wife amber heard was substantially true. our arts correspondent david sillito has been following the case. one time, um, johnny was hitting me. and he was hitting me... . . ha rd and repeatedly. camera shutter clicks. the heart of this is a single word. johnny depp, one of the most successful actors in the world, was accused of being a "wife—beater" — a man who assaulted his wife on more than 14 occasions, who left her fearing for her life. amber heard had photographs. she also had video. bleeping. what happened ? butjohnny depp said it was all a hoax. in the years that followed, she became an activist for women's rights, and wrote about enduring domestic violence. and when the sun questioned johnny depp's casting in the fantastic beasts movie, the star made a decision — he would go to court. i grew up in texas, riding horses... one of the allegations centred on this appearance onjames corden's talk show. amber heard said, beneath her make up, herface was bruised and bleeding. johnny depp said it was all a hoax. thejudge disagreed. i think that his reputation is destroyed. i didn't think this was a case that needed to be brought. i think it was ill—advised and certainly was unhelpful. and, of course, now the only way out for him will be a complete rehabilitation. you have given me so much strength... and remember, this wasn't amber heard's case. it was actually an argument betweenjohnny depp and the sun newspaper. but it was her allegations that were being tested and, for many, this is about more than just a battle over a newspaper article. the main issue, for me, was that i thought it would prevent victims from coming forward, so to have this result, particularly now, just as we are about to go into another into another lockdown, i think sends a clears message to victims that if you do come forward, you will be believed. and, for me, that's the most important thing. johnny depp's lawyers have described thejudgment as perverse and bewildering. he had hoped to restore his reputation. this judgment has torn it apart. david sillito, bbc news. donald trump and joe biden are hitting the key battle ground states ahead of tomorrow's presidential election. mr trump will hold his final rally in michigan while his democratic rival will again focus his energies on pennsylvania. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already, setting the country on course for its highest turnout than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. our correspondent nomia iqbal reports from florida. this is the most important election of our lifetime. it is crunch time. president trump and joe biden have been making a push in the midwestern states and if those swing states are crucial, then florida is critical. music plays. donald trump needs more than their love. he needs their votes. to become president it requires 270 points from the electoral college system and florida has 29 upforgrabs. without this state, mr trump's path back to the white house looks near impossible. more than eight million residents here have already voted. this is the last day of in—person early voting here in florida and at this polling station there are donald trump supporters on one side and joe biden supporters on the other, with no—one meeting in the middle. and that sums up what it is like to be in a swing state. people love the guy because they think he is like us, a regular person and not a politician. he is a liar, he is a liar. he wants his ego, power, that is it. he does not care about the communities. and some say donald trump is trying to portray his rival, joe biden, in a way that plays on the fears of many latino voters. the trump administration needs something to grab onto because their record is terrible. so one of the biggest ways to scare cubans and venezuelans is by fear mongering them into talking about communism and socialism. my entire family is voting for donald trump. my entire family. i am one of the few people in my family who is not voting for trump, who is voting forjoe biden. florida has been problematic in delivering election results. but officials tell us they are ready this time. if that is true, then on election night florida will give us an early sense of which man is on track to become the next president. nomia iqbal, bbc news, florida. let's get more now from our washington correspondent gary o'donoghue. i was going to say not long to go, but i could be wrong? yeah, you could be wrong. i think there is a lot of likelihood this time around there will be significant numbers of legal challenges. we know that something like 94.5 million people have already voted, almost 60 million of those have voted by mail. some states will count those votes as they come in, like florida we we re as they come in, like florida we were staying there. they count the votes as they receive them, but some states don't do that. they don't open those envelopes until after the polls have closed. and that will slow things down in a lot of these battle ground states in particular and it will make it quite hard i think four people on the night to call it one way or the other. now, the president has suggested that he thinks the result should happen on the night. it has never really been a total kind of vote count on the night and these things are done in state—by—state, so it is not unusual for voting and counting to take longer but i think the prospect of legal challenges could make this a multi—day event rather than a multi—hour event. multi—day event rather than a multi-hour event. gary, thank you very much. you can join us tomorrow night from ii.30pm for our us election special results programme on bbc one and the bbc news channel and you can follow all the expert analysis online as the results come in at bbc.co.uk/news and on the bbc news app. however long it takes. let's return now to our main story, and the new lockdown for england. how does it feel to face another "stay home" instruction in an area of england where the instances of the virus have been relatively low? the fairness of that was part of the reason the government had resisted a national lockdown. our correspondent duncan kennedy has been speaking to people in winchester in hampshire. it's home to 125,000 people. and is one more place that has endured covid. so when you ask people in winchester what they think of this week's new lockdown, the first thing you hear is resigned weariness. boring, boring. to go through it again? boring, yeah. but places like winchester in the south of england haven't seen the kinds of covid numbers areas in the north have experienced. here in winchester, the figure is running at about 135 cases per 100,000 people. but compare that to a town in the north of similar size, say, preston, and there, the figure is more like 464 cases per 100,000 people. and that's why many here, it's hard tojudge numbers, think an england—wide lockdown isn't right. i still think it's a bit unfair on the south, when the cases down here are quite low in comparison the north. low in comparison with the north. so the tiered system would have probably worked out better. yeah, i totally agree. i think in the south, we are coping, it seems, anyway, people are sensible. but up in the north, obviously, it doesn't seem to be going as well. in the shops and businesses here, the views are more mixed. adrienne henry runs a hat making shop and store and believes that it comes to lockdowns, the south is different. to lock down the whole country, i don't know that it's a good idea. if the numbers were very high here, then, yes, i agree that we should be locked down. but as a whole country, i don't know. but her neighbour, susan woodman, isn't so sure. so, you know, we can do it for a month. if it's going to mean that we make a considerable dramatic improvement to the situation. all in it together? yeah, absolutely. from thursday, we're all on the lockdown again. nowhere wants to be locked down. and although covid's footprint does vary widely across the country, it's a collective response that will once again be the nation's new direction of travel. duncan kennedy, bbc news, in winchester. we've been getting lots of questions about how this lockdown will be different from the last one and what you can and can't do. here to try to give some clarity is our home affairs correspondent daniel sandford. first question, what are the differences from the lockdown in march? schools and universities will remain open, that's a significant difference. but there are some other differences. this time you will be able to meet one person outside your bubble in an outdoor space and you will be able to take children under school age. playgrounds will remain open. while we are being asked not to leave our local area, so no holidays in the uk or abroad, no overnight stays on second homes, people can do overnight stays for work reasons. workmen in the home and remembrance ceremonies? perhaps the key outstanding questions are regarding visiting people in care homes. cleaners and workmen will be allowed in your home but the government is yet to be clear whether that includes nonessential work, such as getting decorating done. there has been no detailed guidance yet on local remembrance services, but it seems likely they will only be allowed to go ahead in very limited forms. what about recreational
babies, at a hospital in chester. nhs waiting times in england are at their longest in 12 years — nearly 140,000 people have waited more than a year for a routine procedure. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronoavirus than white people. and something to look forward to — a long bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's platinum jubilee in 2022. and coming up on bbc news, scotland's men are aiming to reach their first major final since 1998, whilst northern ireland also play for a place at next summer's euros. hello, good afternoon and welcome to the bbc news at one. the uk economy came out of recession, with record growth between july and september, but still remains below where it was before the pandemic began. the chancellor rishi sunak says there is cause for cautious optimism — but he added it's going to be a difficult winter, and analysts expect the economy to shrink again because of the impact of new coronavirus restrictions. after bad figures earlier in the year, growth was up by 15.5% in the three months to september — a result of the lifting of restrictions, and the eat 0ut to help 0ut scheme. however, the news wasn't enough to reverse the damage caused by coronavirus and the lockdown — the economy is still more than 8% smaller than when the virus first hit. 0ur economics correspondent andy verity reports. today's figures refer back to what now seems a bygone era, july to september. with lockdown over, restrictions lifted and half price fry ups at taxpayers‘ expense, economic activity rose by a record 15.5%. at this exeter pub, business was up by 30% in august, though it slowed down in september, and now once again it's a bit dead. eat out to help 0ut was absolutely fantastic for us. we were turning away so many people, and we were very busy. our trade was around 25% up on the previous year in august, so we felt that this money that we make in august will probably be used to get us through the hard winter ahead. but in some parts of the economy, there was no summer bounce back. just as the economy shrank by record amounts when restrictions were imposed, so it grew by record amounts when those restrictions were lifted in the summer. this 3d printing company makes models for exhibition, and was growing before the pandemic struck. it reallyjust sort of took the feet away from us. how do i reduce my costs? how do i avoid spending any money? how do i get through with little or no income? as a limited company owner, gavin was among up to 2.9 million people excluded from most government support. he's tried to adapt by shifting from physical models to computer—aided design, but it's a long haul. well, i've had some success there, but it'll take a long time to build that up from a very low base, and it'll be a year or two before that fills in all the activity that we were previously doing. just as the economy shrank by record amounts when restrictions were imposed in the spring, so it grew by record amounts when those restrictions were lifted, but at the end of september it was still a tenth smaller than it was at the end of 2019, and the bank of england's predicting that in the fourth quarter it will shrink again. what the figures today show is that the economy was recovering over the summer but, yes, that recovery was slowing down coming into the autumn and it is likely that has continued asa and it is likely that has continued as a result of the health restrictions we have necessarily had to put in place to suppress the spread of the virus. but there is mass testing being rolled out, good news on the vaccine in recent days, is reasons to be optimistic. almost twice as large as germany, or italy, or france, the downturn. our country is experiencing the worst downturn in the g7. we have a long way to go and of course we are back in lockdown again now, so i would agree with the chancellor on this. unfortunately, we are likely to see a very severe impact from that feeding into the last quarter of this year's figures. like my recovery needs businesses to invest in business investment is still down from a fifth from its pre-covid level. vaccination will do more to change that than any government policy but for most of us that still months away —— months away. andy verity, bbc news. 0ur economics editior faisal islam is here. trying to follow this, it's hard to find a balance between optimism and nervousness. clearly welcome the technical recession is over, clearly welcome we have had a record quarter of growth over the summer, but history happens very quickly in this crisis, and that is in the kind of rear—view mirror now. now most people accept the economy is contracting by a small amount compared with the previous lockdown and there are clouds on the economy in terms of the uncertainty over a trading relationship with europe, but there is also a big ray of sunshine which is the prospect of a functioning vaccine. that should help people, you know, big businesses, try to invest for next year, thinking, 0k, there is a prospect of the economy recovering. so far what we have is a catch up recovery from lights going back on in the economy, but not a full— blown recovery. thank you very much for now, faisal islam. just to tell you, at five o'clock this evening there will be a downing street briefing, headed by the business secretary alok sharma. you can watch that live on the bbc news channel. senior ministers are insisting they remain focused on coronavirus and other key issues — amid infighting at downing street. one of borisjohnson's key aides, lee cain, resigned as director of communications last night after disagreements about his possible promotion. labour and several conservative backbenchers have expressed dismay at the events at the heart of government. 0ur political correspondent chris mason reports. he resigned last night, but lee cain still turned up for work this morning, albeit heading into downing street via the back door. yes, i know, a person you've probably never heard of loses a job you didn't know heard of loses a job you didn't know he had, but office politics in the most political office in the land matters, because it shapes how we are governed. the prime minister has are governed. the prime minister has a strong team around him and all of us, whether it's his advisers or the cabinet, are focused on the big task, which as you say is tackling the pandemic, helping to shepherd the pandemic, helping to shepherd the country through this very challenging period, helping to preserve people'sjobs in an economic downturn, and ensuring all the other things people care about are not neglected at the same time. it is those colossal issues that the government is dealing with that helps explain why this row about advisers at westminster matters. those around a prime minister matter hugely. those who had his ear and those who don't, and they are crucial in shaping a government's priorities, style and communication. lee cain, like fellow adviser dominic cummings, here on the left, isa dominic cummings, here on the left, is a veteran of the leave campaign in the eu referendum. you will remember mr cummings about his trip to county durham during the first lockdown, and that following row. the truth is he couldn't believe his eyes at what happened last night. mr cain being offered thejob of chief of staff, then not offered it, leading him to pack it in. what happened in between, we understand, is carrie symons, the prime minister's fiancee, intervened, suggesting it would be a mistake. she is to be the conservative pa rty‘s she is to be the conservative party's director of communications and is very plugged in to what mp's think. lee cain was also upset at the appointment of the prime minister's spokesperson. are getting in somebody with what is known as big boy pants on, because it prime minister, particularly one facing the difficulties mrjohnson is facing, need heavyweight help. the difficulties mrjohnson is facing, need heavyweight helpli think that the country looks on with astonishment, really, that on the day that the uk reaches 50,000 deaths from the coronavirus pandemic with less than 50 days to go until we leave the european union, that downing street is focusing on internal battles. lee cain is now working out his notice. the prime minister is working out how to manage his office and his government. chris mason, westminster, bbc news. 0ur political correspondent leila nathoo is in downing street. this is really about more than just one resignation, isn't it, leila? absolutely. the office we are talking about is 10 downing street, the heart of government, where decisions are made that govern all of our lives, and the person leaving is one of the prime minister's most trusted close aides, who has been at his side long before he ended up in downing street, so that would be destabilising for any prime minister to lose one of his inner circle, especially because his department has exposed power struggles, clashes and tensions at the very heart of government. they are clearly those who think that because of lee cain's history with a vote leave campaign, pa rt of history with a vote leave campaign, part of a small team of those from that campaign brought in to number ten, along with dominic cummings, that this will shift at —— herald a shift in the balance of power here, and lots of talk about potential resignations following. we haven't seen any resignations following. we haven't seen any of those yet but not clear how that will play out down the line. certainly there will be people urging the prime minister to use this as a chance to reset his team and his approach. those critics of the operation in number ten so far who have not like the way of working and have criticised the communication strategy during the pandemic, how the government's messaging has been handled in terms of u—turns, leaks, and there will clearly be those who want the prime minister to use this as an opportunity, but i think we have some way to go before we see how this will all play out. but ultimately it will appear to some that in the middle of a pandemic when brexit negotiations are coming toa when brexit negotiations are coming to a head, there has been disarray behind the scenes at number ten. leila, for now, thank you. leila nathoo. with talks continuing between the uk and the european union today, ireland's prime minister has warned borisjohnson of the dangers of failing to reach a post—brexit trade deal. in an interview with the bbc, micheal martin warned that not reaching agreement would be very damaging to the uk and irish economies. europe does want a deal and is anxious we get it because it's the sensible thing to do. i mean, we all represent people, we've all had a very significant shock to our economic system because of covid—19. the last thing we need now, across all of our respective economies, is a second major shock. nhs waiting times in england are at their longest for 12 years. figures show that in september, nearly 140,000 people had been waiting more than a year for a routine procedure. health officials say cutting the number of coronavirus cases is crucial for tackling the backlog. 0ur health correspondent anna collinson reports. stephanie was diagnosed with a rare form of skin cancer injuly, after finding a suspicious mall. the 43—year—old pharmacist was told she should have surgery in four weeks, but it took nearly three months. waiting for my operation to come round —— finding a suspicious mole. idid round —— finding a suspicious mole. i did feel alone, i felt scared. depression. anxiety. just not knowing, and not having any contact with anyone, and having to phone the hospital to chase up times, timescales for appointments for these operations. it's hard. stephanie fears the delay has made her condition worse. she will find out if her cancer had spread further inafew out if her cancer had spread further in a few weeks, and says without her family's support she wouldn't be able to cope. i work for the nhs myself, so i understand the pressure the nhs is under with covid, and how it has been dealt with, but if it wasn't for those i feel i would totally be on my own. coronavirus has consumed the health service. the latest figures for september show the number of patients waiting for more than a year for routine operations is the highest it's been since 2008. nhs england say nearly 140,000 people waited more than 12 months. in total, there are now more than 4.3 million on the waiting list. if you want nhs to look after the patients we see overwinter list. if you want nhs to look after the patients we see over winter when we are at our most stretch, if you wa nt we are at our most stretch, if you want us to deal with covid patients coming in, and recover those backlogs, the bit you can control is the number of covid patients. you can't stop people having heart attacks, strokes, slipping over on the ice. cancer services are now back to pre—pandemic levels but there is still a significant backlog. these latest figures also don't take the pressures of the second wave into account, of cancellations of argent were already happening. anoushka found a cyst on her breast in june. happening. anoushka found a cyst on her breast injune. she sought medical advice but was repeatedly told it was benign. as a last resort she went to her local a&e where she was diagnosed with breast cancer. she went to her local a&e where she was diagnosed with breast cancerlj feel very angry i was diagnosed earlier. seek treatment, don't be deterred. yes, covid is a factor, but there is a lot more going on out there. anna collinson, bbc news. a study of 18 million people in the uk and the united states suggests black people are twice as likely to catch coronavirus as white people. 0ur health correspondent katharine da costa has the details. they are stark figures, katharine, and differences for different members of different ethnic groups? yes, evidence that ethnic minorities a greater risk of covid—19. at nottingham university, researchers looked at 42 studies in the us and eight in the uk and evidence that, as you said, black people were twice as you said, black people were twice as likely as being affected as white people, and from asian backgrounds 1.5times people, and from asian backgrounds 1.5 times more likely and more likely to need intensive care. but there was little evidence the risks we re there was little evidence the risks were being driven by genetics. instead, risk factors could include being more likely to be a key worker, so unable to work from home, more likely to live in urban areas where rates of transmission are higher, and more likely to live in larger, multi—generational homes. the research suggests that racism and structural discrimination may also lead to worse outcomes and they say their findings also lead to worse outcomes and they say theirfindings are also lead to worse outcomes and they say their findings are of urgent public health importance, and raise the questions about how a vaccine should be prioritised within at risk groups. you may remember last month as government adviser suggested racism didn't explain increased risk to people from ethnic minorities and that ethnicity should not be used to identify people as being at risk. doctor ali said the focus should be on underlying factors, things like housing and jobs, and he said that would help more people overall. all right, thank you, katharine da costa. lockdown restrictions in northern ireland are due to end at midnight — but it's not clear what happens next. the stormont executive is in political deadlock about whether hospitality and other small businesses should be allowed to reopen tomorrow. 0ur ireland correspondent emma vardy is at stormont. very difficult position, if you are, for example, trying to run a business, emma? yeah, absolutely huge criticism levelled at the executive over the last few days from the business sector saying, just give us an answer. what they say is even if you did decide now we can't just bring back say is even if you did decide now we can'tjust bring back staff say is even if you did decide now we can't just bring back staff at the top of a hat, we need a date in the future to actually plan for. discussions here at stormont have dragged on over the last few days, into their fourth day now, with the five party coalition he had not yet able to reach an agreement. there was a plan for a two week extension to the restrictions on the table. that was vetoed by the dup. a plan for a one—week extension also vetoed by the dup. there is a veto mechanism that allows them to do that. the tension you have going on his concern from sinn fein and other parties that the levels of infection haven't subsided enough yet. 800 new cases of coronavirus here in northern ireland yesterday. the dup, meanwhile, were very reluctant to go back into lockdown restrictions on the first place. they were always very clear it had to be and they are now really digging and saying businesses cannot take any more. they say there are so many unseen costs to keeping the restrictions going even longer and we havejust heard the strike lately —— slightly extraordinary situation now of a number of prominent businesses and hotels in northern ireland saying without a decision we are going to do our own thing and open tomorrow anyway. politics has its worst, as one business group put it today. emma vardy, thank you. a nurse has appeared in court via video link charged with murdering eight babies at a hospital in cheshire. 30—year—old lucy letby is also charged with ten counts of attempted murder. 0ur correspondentjudith moritz is at warrington magistrates‘ court. tell us more about the hearing, judith. it was a short hearing, 12 minutes, before a districtjust, nicola sanders and lucy letby was on a video link away from here, spoke to confirm her name, her date of birth and her address, only those things. she was not asked to enter any pleas and the charges which she faces were read out to her and to the court. she is accused of the murder of as you say, eight babies, of five boys, whose names were read out, kennelling bennett, joseph johnson, barney g, joseph gelder and eli gelder, and of three girls, elsie mcdowell, daisy parkin and maddie freed full stop she is also accused of the attempted murder of maddie freed and off another nine babies whose identities we can't report. they are protected by a court order. as i say, she didn't enter any please. all we can tell you at this stage it's these alleged murders and attempted murders are said to have happened betweenjune 2015 and june 2016 at the countess of chester hospital, where lucy letby was a nurse in the neonatal unit. she was remanded in custody and she was told she will next appear at court tomorrow. that will be at chester crown court, tomorrow afternoon. judith moritz, thank you. it's1:20pm. our top story this lunchtime... the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer but it still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic. still to come, the equalities watchdog finds no unlawful acts of pay discrimination against women at the bbc but equal pay campaigners have criticised the report. coming up on bbc news — seven months later than planned the masters is under way, with tiger woods looking to defend his title at augusta. celebrations have been in short supply this year, but we can now look forward to a four day bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's 70 years on the throne. we do have to wait until 2022 for the platinum jubilee, but ministers are promising a spectacular, once—in—a—generation show injune that year, and buckingham palace says it wants as many people as possible tojoin in. here's our royal correspondent nicholas witchell. no british monarch has celebrated a platinum jubilee before. by the time the country marks the queen's 70 years on the throne in 2022, she'll be 96. nonetheless, the government says this milestone will be marked by what it calls... an extensive programme of public events that will mix traditional pageantry with cutting edge technological displays. the celebrations will climax over an extra—long bank holiday weekend from thursday the 2nd ofjune to sunday the 5th ofjune inclusive. events are at an early stage of planning, but they're likely to echo some of the features of previousjubilees. the queen marked the 25th anniversary of her accession with her silverjubilee back in 1977. 50 years on the throne was celebrated by the goldenjubilee in 2002, when she undertook a lengthy series of visits to different parts of the country. most recently, in 2012, she marked 60 years on the throne with her diamond jubilee — which was also celebrated across a long weekend. there was a pageant on the thames which was handicapped by the weather and, after a service of thanksgiving at st paul's cathedral, an appearance on the palace balcony in front of large crowds. whatever may be in store to mark her 70 years on the throne, it'll be an opportunity for the country to show its appreciation for a monarch who continues to break records. nicholas witchell, bbc news. us president—electjoe biden has picked one of his long—standing advisers to be the white house chief of staff, when he takes office in january. ron klain has worked withjoe biden since he became a senator in the 1980s. the appointment is another part of the transition plan — despite president trump's continuing refusal to concede last week's election. the number of teenage murder suspects reached a five—year high last year, according to research carried out by the bbc. data from half of the uk's police forces also shows a sharp rise in the number of teenage victims of murder and manslaughter. you may find some of the footage in this report from tom symonds distressing. armed police, show your hands! show your hands! police move in on a violent drug gang in kent. listen to me! going through the conservatory... in london, officers chase two murder suspects. we tracked the first 100 killings of 2019 to create a picture of who the killers were. nearly all were male. but shockingly, over a quarter were teenagers. louai ali was just 16. he boxed for england juniors. he had a bright future, but he couldn't contain his violence to the ring. ali bought a knife off the internet and murdered a college student in birmingham, in front of a crowd. it was all over within a minute. another stabbing by another 16—year—old days later, also in birmingham. adam muhammad was walking with fellow student hazrat umar. shortly afterwards he turned on hazrat, leaving him for dead. and his family, including his uncle, a former senior prosecutor, are devastated. hazrat was one of these people who warmed the room when he walked in. he was cheerful, joyful, adored by his own family and extended family. my family's grief is repeated, as your has survey found, dozens and dozens of times over every year. the government's planning higher sentences for teenage killers. his view? punish them, yes, try and deter other people, but also at the back of the judge's mind must be the view that this person can still make a contribution to society once they are finally released. 0ur100 killings project has highlighted the factors which lead to murder — drugs, alcohol, domestic violence, and young people living violent lives. tom symonds, bbc news. the foreign secretary dominic raab has accused china of breaking its legal promises about hong kong, after four politicians were expelled from the territory's assembly. all 15 pro—democracy legislators announced their resignation yesterday, in solidarity with their colleagues, who beijing have deemed a threat to national security. the chinese government said that if the resignations were aimed at encouraging radical resistance, the attempt would fail. an investigation into equal pay at the bbc has found no unlawful acts of pay discrimination against women. the equality and human rights commission opened an inquiry last year after complaints about large differences between the salaries of male and female presenters. but the watchdog has made a number of recommendations, including a call for the bbc to improve transparency. david sillito reports. when the bbc was forced to publish the salaries of its highest paid stars, there was fury at the gap between many male and female presenters and correspondents. there were protests demanding equal pay. the bbc admitted there was a problem and a number of women were given a pay increase. but an independent investigation says it has found no unlawful discrimination. however, it says there were issues with system. i do understand the feelings of the bbc women and i think it's important to remember that these are people who suffered considerably. we are talking about delays of two years in one case, more in others. feelings of anger and humiliation and distress and insomnia. and i think this goes to the really important findings that we've made in terms of inadequate record—keeping and inadequate communications and transparency in terms of decision—making was made. campaigners remain sceptical. the presenter samira ahmed won a pay tribunal and the fawcett society, which fights for equal pay, has doubts about the equality commission's investigation. i think the fact they reached that conclusion really is based on what i can say to be quite a limited investigation. i think ten in—depth cases isn't really enough. i know it was very challenging for the commission, i know it's very resource intensive work, and undoubtedly, that has played a major factor in how they have approached it. the bbc has welcomed today's report and accepts there was a problem, and that it also needs to improve both transparency and trust with women in the corporation. david sillito, bbc news. the government has given the go—ahead for a controversial new tunnel alongside stonehenge. more than 30 years after one was first proposed. the transport secretary has approved plans for the a303 near the world heritage site macro in wiltshire. duncan kennedy reports. it's one of the busiest roads next to one of greatest monuments. for decades, the debate has raged over what to do with the a303 alongside this world heritage site. now, the government has ruled that the a303 is to be buried into a tunnel, creating a traffic free landscape. the decision has been welcomed by english heritage, who say it will transform stonehenge. as guardians of the stones, english heritage welcomed the news the a303 tunnel is now approved and will be implemented. it makes good on a decades long ambition to remove this noisy and polluting road from this very important prehistoric landscape. it's only when you get here on the ground that you realise just how close the stones are to the a303. it's just a just how close the stones are to the a303. it'sjust a matter of just how close the stones are to the a303. it's just a matter of about 150 or 200 yards, and this is a road that attracts between 30000 and 50,000 carsa that attracts between 30000 and 50,000 cars a day. but some campaigners have fought for years to stop a tunnel, saying it will damage the wider archaeological heritage of this unique setting. landscape to each side of the tunnel will be gouged out into deep cuttings with dual carriageways in the huge tunnel entrances, masses of concrete, major road interchanges to each side of the world heritage site. this is devastation on a major scale. they have been memory promises before to put the a303 into a tunnel but is this the moment stones and vehicles really pa rt com pa ny? this the moment stones and vehicles really part company? duncan kennedy, bbc news, at stonehenge. that takes us bbc news, at stonehenge. that takes us to the weather prospects, let's get the latest from chris fawkes. make the best of the sunshine when it comes along because the next few days are wet and windy. we saw some sunshine
scotland's new 5—tier system of restrictions comes into force with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. it's emerged prince william had coronavirus at the beginning of the pandemic in april, around the same time as his father. the football world reacts to the news that sir bobby charlton has been diagnosed with dementia. widely considered to be england's greatest ever footballer, his elder brotherjack recently died from the disease. good morning. today we have some heavy rain and strong winds, and mild conditions moving away and behind them a return to cooler conditions but also some blustery showers. all the details in ten minutes. it's monday 2nd november. our top story. the prime minister is expected to warn that coronavirus deaths over the winter could be twice as high as they were in the first wave of the pandemic. boris johnson will address mps in the house of commons today, where he's expected to say there is "no alternative" to a national lockdown in england. our political correspondent jonathan blake has more. and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative. after addressing the nation, boris johnson will today attempt to get mps on board with his plan for a national lockdown in england. the prime minister is expected to again point to stark warnings from scientists that unless the government acts, deaths over the winter will be twice as bad or more than during the first wave of the pandemic. he'll acknowledge labour's view that he should have acted sooner, but defend the system of regional restrictions he has pursued until now. labour's support means the plan is likely to pass when mps vote on it later this week but some conservatives are taking a stand. i will vote against it or abstain, but i'm very likely to vote against it. i'm very, very concerned indeed about a repetitive cycle of lockdowns. it's immensely damaging to people's livelihoods, it's deeply depressing, it's causing a huge toll in terms of people's mental health and their family relationships. the national lockdown will see nonessential retail closed along with pubs, bars and restaurants, except for takeaway and delivery. gyms, hairdressers and beauty salons must also shut, and only two people from different households can meet outside. after the cabinet office minister michael gove‘s admission yesterday that the lockdown could continue beyond the beginning of december, the prime minister will try to reassure mps that the end is in sight. and there will be a return to the tiered system on the 2nd of december according to the latest data and trends. let's speak to our political correspondent, chris mason, who is on downing street. so much to talk about. i know many of us will know you are following this so closely. so what happens now? so, good morning. the existing strategy in england is about to be junked, thrown into the skip. the thing that ministers have been defending for weeks on end, the regional tiered based approach, they hope as we were hearing there that it can be revived and reincarnated in abouta it can be revived and reincarnated in about a month's it can be revived and reincarnated in about a months time. but as far as the coming days are concerned, the prime minister heading to the commons this afternoon to make the case that this change is necessary, that the force of nature that is the virus means he has been left with no alternative, presented with the figures by his scientific advisers. but he has to act. there will not be in numerical terms a vast amount of resista nce in numerical terms a vast amount of resistance in the commons because labour have said that they will back the government, they have been arguing for some kind of lockdown, circuit breaker as it was described, for some time already. so there's no doubt that this will pass the house of commons, the lockdown in england will start on thursday. as we were hearing in jonathan's will start on thursday. as we were hearing injonathan‘s report, there are pockets of resistance on the cob —— conservative back benches, concerns about livelihoods and the economy, i suspect we will hear from the chancellor this morning. and also concerns about liberties, the point made by sir graham brady, the senior conservative backbencher, that in any normal time, these kind of restrictions would seem of the scale in a western liberal democracy. he wants to be that voice that reminds the government of that and demands they come back regularly to seek parliamentary approval for what will happen. the blunt truth is for england, just as happened in wales ten days ago, lockdown 2.0 is coming and coming soon. we will be with you throughout the morning, thank you. people in scotland will be waking up to new coronavirus restrictions today as the country enters a five tiered system. no areas are in tier 0, which has the most relaxed restrictions. tieri includes the highlands, the orkney and shetland islands. this restricts socialising to six people from two households inside and outside. indoor home socialising is banned in tier 2, except if caring for a vulnerable person. outdoors groups in public places is limited to six people from two households and will affect areas including the scottish borders and aberdeenshire. most of scotland's central belt is in tier 3. socialising rules remain the same as tier 2, but hospitality businesses will be banned from selling alcohol and will close at 6pm. there are no areas in the highest level. strict coronavirus restrictions are already in place in both wales and northern ireland. in a moment we'll speak to chris page, who is in belfast. but first we can go to cardiff and our correspondent tomos morgan. tomos, there's just one week to go on the lockdown in wales. what happens next? today, the first minister mark dra keford today, the first minister mark drakeford will come here to the welsh government building in cardiff and outline the plan, really, for wales up until christmas. we know that the nonessential businesses that the nonessential businesses that have been closed, thejims, bar and restaurants, will open a week today. we don't know how it will affect travel and mixing households. we have not had much detail, but i have been assured by people within the welsh government that there are no plans to extend this so it will come to an end a week today, but what we will be looking for is what is in the blueprint. how many people will be able to mix together indoors and outdoors, will people be able to travel further afield, i think one thing to look out for is at the moment there is a travel ban in wales and anyone coming into wales from the covid hotspot area outside wales, so it would logically potentially mean anyone from england would be banned by law from coming to wales and they would be fined if they did that, so that could happen today. the other thing is how it will work in terms of people being able to meet up another weather has turned bad and outdoor meetings will be difficult, how will it affect people meeting indoors? we will be hearing that from the press conference at 12:15pm, but we will be hearing from the first minister later in this programme as well. that is the latest in cardiff this morning. our ireland correspondent chris pagejoins us now. chris, what's the latest there today? here in northern ireland, we are about halfway through a four—week period of tightened restrictions, it has been a very noticeable thing in the hospitality sector largely closed down, pubs and restaurants are takeaway only, hotels have closed to most guests can close contact businesses, beauticians and nail bars are all shut. a big change that many families will be affected by today, schools are going back after an extended halloween break. normally at this time of year children could one week off, this year, they have had two weeks off. that is part of the measurement of the devolved government took to try and stop the spread of the coronavirus a fortnight ago. when the new rules were put in place, northern ireland had broadly the highest infection rate of the uk's for nations and the measures were the most strict of the four nations. that has changed, the infection rate has been coming down although numbers are still higher than anyone would like. also you have had measures put in place to try to protect the economy over the period where these businesses have been shut. when boris johnson where these businesses have been shut. when borisjohnson made his announcement on saturday, the first minister arlene foster tweeted pretty quickly that as far as she was concerned, the restrictions in northern ireland would end in the middle of the month as a minister is not really talking about putting northern ireland —— so ministers are not really talking about putting northern ireland in full lockdown mode although it will depend on what happens in the next few days. prince william was unwell with covid—i9 earlier this year but it was not publicly announced. palace sources have confirmed the duke of cambridge had the virus around the same time that his father prince charles was self—isolating. jon donnison reports. prince william appearing on itv‘s pride of britain awards last night. you had it among your family as well? yeah, my father had it very early on. it turns out it wasn't just his father who was infected. the prince made no mention that he had also fallen ill with covid—i9 last spring, but paid tribute to nhs workers. the devastating impact of the coronavirus pandemic has reminded us as a nation of how much we owe to the thousands of nhs workers who have gone far beyond the call of duty this year. kensington palace is giving no official comment or confirmation but a palace source told the bbc that a story in today's sun newspaper that the prince had shown symptoms of covid—i9 around a week into the national lockdown last spring is accurate. i'm catherine and this is william next to me. at the time, prince william continued to carry out a number of official engagements using video conferencing. news of his father's covid—i9 infection was made public. at the time he was photographed self—isolating in scotland. but it may be that given the national mood last spring, there was no desire to add further alarm by revealing prince william's condition. jon donnison, bbc news. the us presidential election enters its final day of campaigning, with both president trump and joe biden appealing to voters in crucial battle ground states. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. our correspondent david willis joins us from los angeles. david, what can we expect in the closing stages? donald trump continues to maintain an exhaustive campaign schedule. he took to the stage in florida just over an hour ago, that wasjust before midnight local time. the final stop on the day that saw him campaign infive final stop on the day that saw him campaign in five separate states, and he is planning a similarly hectic campaign schedule today. including taking in the state of pennsylvania, where his democratic rivaljoe biden was born, and indeed mr biden's spent all of sunday campaigning in pennsylvania. donald trump won the state by the tiniest of majorities four years ago, but joe biden has maintained a small if consistent lead in that crucial swing state. mr biden planning a series of rallies in pennsylvania including an election eve rally, where he will be complete by the pop star lady gaga. you mentioned that more than 90 million —— he will be accompanied by lady gaga. more than 90 million people have voted already, 60 million are thought to be postal votes which could take days or even weeks to count which means potentially we will not have a result of this election on election night itself. donald night itself. trump result of this election on election night itself. trump says that a vote count that stretches well beyond election day is, he says, a terrible thing, and he has also said that mail—in voting or postal voting is subject to fraud and he said republican lawyers might get involved if the election count stretches on. the president has also denied reports that he intends to declare victory on election night itself if it looks as though he is ahead as far as the electoral couege ahead as far as the electoral college is concerned. it's all an indication of the chaos and confusion that could result if neither of the two candidates wins on tuesday by a landslide. thank you very much. not charlie today, i have done my hair nicely, definitely down, not charlie! he called me charlie! you could let it go, it's the middle of the night for him, and he cannot see you! forgiven? 10096. come on, karen, hurry up!|j he cannot see you! forgiven? 10096. come on, karen, hurry up! iwill give you an update on the weather, terrible! indeed! good morning. we have everything, heavy rain, drizzle, there was a gust of wind at 80 miles an hour yesterday. it will be sunshine and showers today, blustery showers, mild in the south but turning colder. temperatures roughly i7 turning colder. temperatures roughly 17 or 18 degrees in the south—east, but as the weather front goes through, it will introduce cooler conditions and you can see a lot of isobars in the charts. we have some showers and drizzle in the south—eastern quarter, we also have strong winds, inland, gusting 110 to 45 miles an hour. then the next front coming to the west, enhancing the showers across northern ireland, south—west scotland, and north west england. the black circles indicate the strength of gusts of wind, so it will still be cut into the afternoon. in between the showers there will be sunshine. temperatures 9-13, there will be sunshine. temperatures 9—13, so starting off a 15—18 and dropping through the day. this evening and overnight, we will have showers, merging as they push north eastwards, and another system comes on across the south—west. that will be moving eastwards as well. a cooler night than we have seen of late. a lot more whether in about half an hour. lou and danny, or charlie! is this going to carry on our morning? let us hope not. let's take a look at some of today's front pages. pretty much one story dominating. "a nightmare without end" is the daily mail headline. like most of today's papers, it leads on speculation that the national lockdown in england could last longer than the planned four weeks. the daily telegraph claims that borisjohnson will concede today that the lockdown could be extended beyond december 2nd. its front page is also dominated by a large picture of sir bobby charlton, who has been diagnosed with dementia. sally will be speaking to sir bobby's former manchester united team—mate willie morgan after 7.30am. the guardian reports that the prime minister is facing "fury" from his own mps over the new lockdown. it says senior backbenchers will oppose the restrictions although they are likely to be passed in parliament on wednesday with labour support. and the daily record devotes its entire front page to a photograph of the actor sir sean connery, whose death was announced over the weekend. it was posted along with a tribute by his grand—daughter, saskia. she said that heaven has gained a "legendary angel". shall we do the inside pages? i was going to mention sir bobby charlton. it's been a strange week. sirsean charlton. it's been a strange week. sir sean connery, nobby stiles, his death was announced over the weekend as well. we will be speaking to willie morgan later who played with nobby stiles and also with sir bobby charlton. it was confirmed via his wife in one of his other brothers has been talking about it as well. it's been really difficult year for the family. jack charlton earlier this year and was battling dementia as well. it is something which we are going to touch on later in the programme as well and i know loads of people have been reacting to that. probably regarded as the greatest ever english footballer. something completely different. this isa something completely different. this is a shaggy dog story. the first visitors to north america, they took various dogs that they brought with them from erasure, probably as early as about 11,000 years ago, they became domesticated dogs. some were used to pull sledges, others more conventionally for hunting, then a new study has found that they took a small type of dog with fluffy fleece and it was used for its fleece, so they could make clothing. that seems amazing. yes! yes, louise, it does. iwas just thinking, if you're watching this morning and you have something to do later, occasionally on this programme we have the signpost there is important stuff to watch. there is important stuff to watch. there is good news today. if you need a lift, make sure you are watching at ten past eight, or you can catch up on iplayer later. can't give much away but it's brilliant. i'm really excited! in just a few days' time, england's second national lockdown will be brought in and the whole country will be facing much tighter restrictions. the government says they must do this to halt the spread of coronavirus and save lives, but what's the reaction in towns where infection rates have been relatively low? duncan kennedy reports from winchester. it's home to 125,000 people. and is one more place that has endured covid. so when you ask people in winchester what they think of this week's new lockdown, the first thing you hear is resigned weariness. boring, boring. to go through it again? boring, yeah. but places like winchester in the south of england haven't seen the kinds of covid numbers areas in the north have experienced. here in winchester, the figure is running at about 135 cases per 100,000 people. but compared that to a town in the north of similar size, say, preston, and there, the figure is more like 466 cases per 100,00 people. and that's why many here, it's hard tojudge numbers, think an england wide lockdown isn't right. i still think it's a bit unfair on the south, when the cases down here are quite low in comparison the north. so the tiered system would have probably worked out better. yeah, i totally agree. i think in the south, we are coping, it seems, anyway, people are sensible. but up in the north, obviously, it doesn't seem to be going as well. in the shops and businesses here, the views are more mixed. adrienne henry runs a hat making shop and store and believes that it comes to lockdowns, the south is different. to lock down the whole country, i don't know that it's a good idea. if the numbers were very high here, then, yes, i agree that we should be locked down. but as a whole country, i don't know. but her neighbour, susan woodman, isn't so sure. so, you know, we can do it for a month. if it's going to mean that we make a considerable dramatic improvement to the situation. all in it together? yeah, absolutely. from thursday, we're all on the lockdown again. nowhere wants to be locked down. and although covid's footprint does vary widely across the country, it's a collective response that will once again be the nation's new direction of travel. duncan kennedy, bbc news, in winchester. so many questions we still do not know the answers to. we can speak now to clinical epidemiologist dr deepti gurdasani. thank you forjoining us. we know on thursday, things are going to change, it becomes a kind of national lockdown in england, what's your response? i think that u nfortu nately your response? i think that unfortunately it is necessary now, because it is so late. the logon is very much prefer to failure or public health strategy. ideally we wa nt to public health strategy. ideally we want to return to life with good tracing systems but unfortunately that didn't happen so we are now in a position where we do not lockdown we will see tens of thousands of deaths in the next few months. so you agree this needs to happen right now? this needs to happen right now but it wasn't inevitable. if we had put a science driven by the same place month ago we would not be here. lockdown is very much like fire fighting when we could have prevented the fire in the first place. you talk about test and trace, that in your view would have been key? i think several aspects, yes, an effective test, trace and isolate and support system would have been key. we have seen this in many countries in southeast asia where things like good water control, good quarantine and test, trace and isolate systems having goodin trace and isolate systems having good in controlling the virus in many cases without lockdown. so we know if we have effective strategies like this in place, we can actually control cases without lockdowns. in england unfortunately, the strategy has been very ineffective and it is something that has been pointed out very early on from march itself, and we started easing restrictions on march we should have had a system in place so that when outbreaks happened we could have picked them up happened we could have picked them up very quickly and stamp them out before they lead to widespread community street —— my community transmission but that didn't happen. so asa transmission but that didn't happen. so as a result we are seeing widespread community transmission with very rapid rises in cases. inevitably weren you are in that situation, you do have to act with lockdowns, because essentially the public health strategy that was supposed to have worked has not worked. tell us about how long... we know it is until december the 2nd, will it, in your view, make the difference? it will actually make a difference? it will actually make a difference but whether a four week lockdown is sufficient, i personally do not think so at this point. i think if we had acted when sage suggested when case numbers were much lower, we could have got away with this sort of circuit breaker they suggested, a deep and short circuit breaker. but the u out, the longer the action needs to be because case numbers are about 50,000 a day according to the office of national statistics and to bring them down to a level where systems can cope with them and also give us enough time to set up those systems because they are not effective at this point in time, it's very clear it needs urgent reform needs to be put in the hands of the nhs and local authorities. all that will ta ke local authorities. all that will take time and four weeks is liquid to be insufficient. but it is because of the late action, if we had acted early, we probably would not have needed to put things in place first so long. we are now in a position for a england, northern ireland and wales all have different rules going on. what do you think the impact of that will be?” rules going on. what do you think the impact of that will be? i think it's very confusing and it also makes it very difficult to control covid because covid is all about the collective response and consistent rules across different places. people do travel between regions, and the uk is one country with devolved nations. i can see why the different nations have taken different nations have taken different action because a lot of the policy in scotland has been quite science driven, and in other regions that has been a lot more science driven than england was to buy thing england needs to catch up with that and we need consistent policy across the uk that makes sense and is guided by the science, which has not been the case so far in england. thank you very much for your time this morning. still to come this morning: we've been following 80—year—old paul harvey, who lives with dementia. his four note tune was adapted and recorded by the bbc philharmonic orchestra. now it's topping the charts and raising money for dementia charities. this morning we have a really exciting development in his story, we'll tell you what just after eight. and we will we will hear that music again, which we know makes people very emotional! time now to get the news, travel and weather where you are. good morning, i'm alice salfield. the mayor has told bbc london he's working on a ‘de—escalation plan', so we can come out of the national lockdown after four weeks. sadiq khan says he's planned meetings with the government about how we can move back into the tiered system and to confirm which tier we'll fall into. he says he's hopeful, because of the lower infection rate here. fortunately, we haven't got the same number of cases as other parts of the country, and what i'm hoping is by, in london, us going early will pay dividends and avoid a situation where the lockdown extends past december the 2nd. city hall is now looking at how transport for london can be funded in the next financial year after it made huge losses due to a drop in passenger numbers since the start of the pandemic. it was given another government bailout, this time of £1.8 billion. it means tfl won't have to extend the congestion charge zone to the north and south circular or get rid of free travel for under 18s and over 60s. some of the heroes of the pandemic are to be honoured, as part of the oxford street christmas lights. today, in a scaled back event, they'll be switched on. as part of this year's theme of unity and solidarity, people nominated by the public for their work or acts of kindness will have their names in lights among the display. let's take a look at the travel situation now. a few problems on the tubes this morning, the circle line has severe delays anti—clockwise and minor delays clockwise. the district line has no service between high street kensington and edgware road. and the piccadilly line has no service rayners lane to uxbridge because of leaves on the line. c2c trains have delays in and out of fenchurch street because of emergency enginering works. and you can see on the travel camera here it's busy around vauxhall because of the ongoing closure of vauxhall bridge. now the weather with elizabeth rizzini. hello, good morning. some changes in the weather this week to something cooler, brighter, drier and a lot less windy. part of that transformation will happen today. it is ridiculously mild out there at the moment, 16 or 17 celsius, it's blustery, lots of low cloud, damp and drizzly, some list and some murk around and there will be some outbreaks of rain as we head through this morning as well. but behind that weather front, it's going to be brighter this afternoon and much cooler air, so the sunshine will emerge, watch out for one or two showers. temperatures will drop through the afternoon and it will stay rather windy. the temperatures will be through the morning and it will feel cooler by the time it gets to the end of the day, 12 or 13 degrees. overnight tonight in that cooler air, temperatures will be dropping back into mid single figures. it will stay rather windy and there will be further outbreaks of rain pushing their way eastwards as we start the day tomorrow. after that it then clears on tuesday morning. then there will be more sunshine around. it will stay rather windy and it will feel cooler. the winds will drop, feel a lot lighter by the time we get to wednesday. i'm back in half an hour. now though here's louise and dan. bye for now. hello, this is breakfast with dan walker and louise minchin. it's 6.30am. we'll bring you all the latest news and sport in a moment, but also on breakfast this morning. as england prepares for a second national lockdown later this week, we'll be getting answers to your questions about what it means for you. england world cup legend sir bobby charlton has been diagnosed with dementia. we'll hear from his former team—mate willie morgan. and his last fundraising effort saw him raise millions of pounds for nhs charities but is it time for captain sir tom moore to take on a new challenge? we'll speak to him just before nine. as people in england face another national lockdown from thursday many services and businesses will be forced to close. and businesses will but you can still get medical help if you need it. let's find out what it means for gp services. he might have had the prime minister emphasised this over the weekend. we're joined now by dr nighat arif. great to speak to you as ever. let's start with gp services. i wonder what the reaction will be this week from some of your patients because i suppose it's really important to reiterate that those services remain open? precisely, it's really important to say to people, gp's surgeries have been open since march, i have not taken a break apart from my usual annual leave, nhs services are up and running. this time round, although for the first time as a country we are united, none of us wanted a second lockdown, we are now more prepared in regards to the health care sector. we have our shields up, we have the ppe, we have telephone, video and online consultations which are up and running, we don't have to catch up with ourselves. and i really encourage people, don't stay away from us. we want to see you, come and see me, come and talk to me. the british sign language association also has also great access 24—7 for those who are not able to access gp services as well via telephone. i put out a tweet around that as well, so please access those, it's really important that we access the most vulnerable communities. good to know. did you think that the way that the tiered system has been working or not working, depending on how you look at it, over the last few weeks, do you feel the national lockdown was inevitable? yeah, i think it was inevitable. because we are going into winter as well and i have said that many times to you guys, we see far more cardiopulmonary conditions around wintertime, we would see respiratory problems, more people get poorly, the elderly, we have more people getting colder because they have the inability to fuel their homes, everyone finds it a struggle in winter. and on top of that we have the pandemic. this was inevitable in order to keep our most vulnerable say. and do you think that where we are now, do you think it will be... i know we have a lot of questions, we have a 0&a coming up of questions, we have a 0&a coming up at 7:10am with other experts, but do you think it is easier to understand? i think we are more prepared. it is easier to understand because we have the knowledge, we know what the lockdown is a me know what to expect and we are using technology far more. people are sick and tired of zoom consultations and skype consultations like this! we are more prepared. the guidance has not been so great so i wanted to talk about shielding in particular, because on saturday, the pm said, the group who are shielding don't need to heal that way, that is the most vulnerable individuals in the community, 1.2 million people who we re community, 1.2 million people who were given letters in the march. and were given letters in the march. and we had not really been given any guidance on what they should do in regards to the second lockdown. on the 28th october this guidance came out saying, you don't need to shield the way you do. that worries me as a gp because we are going to see far more sickness and other viruses that come around wintertime, i would say to anyone in the group, please talk to anyone in the group, please talk to your employers, first, so you can work from home as much as possible, look after your mental health as much as possible. gps are open and are here to help you and i would suggest you would go back to shielding the way you were. if you are in the vulnerable group, if you have asthma, copd, emphysema, over 70, you have an immune condition or had a transplant, those individuals should be shielding as they were backin should be shielding as they were back in march. because we are going to be into a rough time and we want to be into a rough time and we want to keep those guys protected as much as possible. can an ask you as well, lots of people would have looked at those graphs on saturday night about numbers in hospitals and projected numbers, what is the feeling if you have had the chance to speak to some of your colleagues across the medical profession about what the next few weeks and months will look like for the nhs? initially after we have got over the shock that we are going to go into the second lockdown, like i was saying at the start, this is the one thing that we are united on in the country, nobody wa nts are united on in the country, nobody wants this. we are more prepared but we need to be looking after our mental health and our physical health, exercising more. we saw a drop in exercise amongst women in the first lockdown because they had childcare issues, and among black and ethnic minority conditions. those individuals need to be encouraged to be exercising more because they are more at risk from a anyway. —— mcgre from covid anyway. talking to my colleagues, we are hopeful, we think our patients are used to it, they are more familiar to the technology, testing is more available so if patients are preparing for operations and going into hospital they will get a covid test, the secondary care sector is more prepared, speaking to my co nsulta nt more prepared, speaking to my consultant colleagues, they feel they have a system in place. it is a slower system, i would encourage patients to be patient with us, but on the whole the british public have been amazing trying to access the health care system when you need to. sounds like you need a cup of tea this morning! i have it, i needed it! also i just this morning! i have it, i needed it! also ijust wanted to say, that diwali is coming up on the 14th of november, so have a good time and stay safe, if i don't come back! look after each other. you will come back! seriously! i know you said you are fed up with zoom but we will have to keep doing this with you for a while! stay with us! let talk to sally know about sir bobby charlton, some sad news. yes, we heard that the great sir bobby charlton has been diagnosed with dementia. you and i have interviewed him so many times over the years, and i remember as a young reporter, he was the kindest, most welcoming, various person to deal with when he would talk to him about england and manchester united. now his wife has said that she is happy for his diagnosis made public in order to help others. sir bobby is the fifth member of englands 1966 world cup winning side to be diagnosed with dementia. the news follows the deaths of his older brother jack injuly, and fellow world cup—winner nobby stiles on friday, both of whom also had the condition. well wishes have been flooding in. marcus rashford posted, "you are my hero and i am devastated you are having to go through this. stay strong, we love you. the former england striker gary lineker tweeted to say, "yet another hero of our 1966 team has been diagnosed with dementia. perhaps the greatest of them all, this is both really sad and deeply concerning. and manchester city and england forward raheem sterling said "always been very humbled in your presence. my best wishes and all my support to you and your family." lewis hamilton's victory in the emilia—romagna grand prix at imola left him on the brink of a record—equalling seventh world title and helped mercedes break yet another formula one record. they won a seventh constructors' championship in a row when he finished just ahead of his team—mate valtteri bottas. hamilton can win the drivers' title in turkey in two weeks' time, moving level with michael schumacher. we really worked hard to figure out where we wanted to go, every year, even though we've won multiple championships, every year, we continue to do the same with the same approach. and i believe we could continue for a long time if we wanted to. i know there will be multiple obstacles ahead but i'm definitely looking forward to that. manchester united's paul pogba admitted he made a "stupid mistake", and it gave arsenal victory at old trafford. he gave away a penallty with a needless challenge on hector bellerin, he said perhaps he was "out of breath". pierre emerik aubameyang scored from the spot. united are yet to win at home in the premier league this season and they're sixth from bottom. tottenham are up to second, gareth bale with the winner in a 2—1 victory over brighton. that's his first goal since he returned to the club. rangers are nine points clear of celtic in the scottish premiership, thanks to a 1—0 win over kilmarnock. james tavernier scoring from the penalty spot. celtic do have two games in hand, though. because they're still in the scottish cup and they'll face hearts in next month's final, after beating aberdeen 2—0. celtic are bidding to complete the treble, that's the league and two cup titles, for the fourth year in a row. a terrific women's fa cup final ended in a 3—1victory for manchester city over everton at wembley. it was 1—1 after 90 minutes, with georgia sta nway and janine beckie scoring in extra time to give city the trophy for the third time. it was always tight, obviously, when they get back to scoring 1—1, still felt comfortable and still felt that with half an hour in extra time if we keep sticking to our principles, we'd be ok. sometimes it doesn't happen, sometimes you have to go to penalties and it can go either way. but yeah, just super proud of the players. itjust gives us a real platform of confidence and belief to go on and achieve more. england rugby union head coach eddiejones said he was proud of the way his players had conducted themselves in the wake of their six nations success. the squad received their medals in a celebration at their london hotel base yesterday. they have a week off before turning their attention to the autumn nations cup, starting with a game against georgia. and england's women's completed back—to—back six nations grand slam victories, after thrashing italy 54—0 in parma. the red roses were already champions and they were determined to stay unbeaten, scoring eight tries against the italians, including this from emily scarrett. they also have a week off, before playing two tests against france as the countdown to the 2021 world cup continues. i know we don't have the best week to look forward to this week but we do have a little bit of sport to keep us all entertained. i was watching a lot of it at the weekend. thank you very much. professional sport can continue during lockdown so that is good news for some. something completely different now! life on board the trident nuclear submarines has been a closely guarded secret for more than 20 years. but now, for the first time on british television, cameras have been allowed on board. broadcaster and engineer rob bell spent five days on board hms vengeance as it prepares for a new mission. the behind the scenes filming will make up a new documentary for channel 5. let's take a look. a foreign warship has been spotted heading straight towards us. the executive officer is vengeance's second—in—command. he wants to dive the boat. this is real, this is genuine, this isn't a drill or anything, this is a foreign ship out there that there is a risk we would be spotted? absolutely, and we don't want to be spotted on the surface. we want to be underneath the water and we track her, rather than she tracks us. we are not good on the surface, where we are good is underneath the waves where we can be quiet, where we can be self. where we can be stealth. the captain gives the order. navigator, diving route. captain, sir. diving submarine. diving now, diving now. wow! rob belljoins us now. absolutely fascinating for you to do this. that was a real life, that was what they had to do, and they are so calm, tell us what they are like. unbelievable. good morning, both of you. absolutely, that was not long after i got on board and i was already feeling extremely alienated. this was a very different environment to what i was used to. and suddenly that happens, and, i mean, i don't think i've ever been ina more mean, i don't think i've ever been in a more serious situation. it was very difficult to understand what i should be doing at that point. the crew are absolutely unbelievable. during the time i was on board, the crew we re during the time i was on board, the crew were being drilled and really put through their paces 2a crew were being drilled and really put through their paces 26 hours a day, to make sure they were absolutely ready to take up patrol of our nuclear deterrent at sea. and so they were being, there were fire drills, emergency drills and casualty drills all the time, and i've never seen a group of people work so effectively, so efficiently asa team. work so effectively, so efficiently as a team. they are unbelievable individuals, so dedicated to what they do. give us an idea of what life is like on board. i would like to know about food, shift patterns, how much interaction there is, people doing theirjobs or resting or sleeping? all the important stuff, food and sleeping! on board hms vengeance, the submarine i was on, there are around 200 crew on board. this thing is absolutely massive. in some spaces, it feels like there is a bit of space around you, in other bits, it feels like you, in other bits, it feels like you are always in the way and ducking in the corner to match people passed. the shift pattern is six hours on and six hours of continuously for however long they are at sea, which can be months. so in time off, sleeping, probably a bit of reading, they can watch, they have some tv screens, not a live tv that they can watch dvds or whatever. there's a little bit of gym equipment kicking about, but really squashed away in a corner somewhere, a running machine and a bike machine and if he waits. the food was great, actually. —— a few weights. three hot meals a day, very happy. weights. three hot meals a day, very ha ppy, pleasa ntly weights. three hot meals a day, very happy, pleasantly surprised. the food towards the beginning of the patrol is slightly better and fresher shall we say then it is towards the end of the patrol. tell us towards the end of the patrol. tell us about communications. what about people phoning the families, not allowed ? people phoning the families, not allowed? there is none of that, no the only communications that the majority of the crew get is one message a week from a dedicated individual onshore, and even that has been censored and possibly redacted for any sensitive information or information that could affect the morale of people on board. and the crew have no means of responding to that, they get a few words, and i do mean a few words, once a week from loved ones at home. it's a very different environment to anything i've ever experienced. but the seriousness of it, they are there to keep our nuclear deterrent safe and secret at sea. we are watching some amazing pictures as well from the documentary. was it right that you were sleeping just within very close box imitator one of the most powerful weapons on the planet? i was not socially distance from the most powerful weapon on the planet, let us put it that way. i could reach out from my bunk and touch one of the missile tubes through the centre of the submarine that howe's are trident nuclear missiles. —— that house. it's a very sobering experience and i don't think i've ever been forced to contemplate the philosophy or psychology of having a nuclear deterrent as much as i did there but i don't think i still fully got my head around it. it's massive, it's a very strange thing to be confronted with. you have an engineering background, so it must be extraordinary to be able to get access to what's going on. extraordinary to be able to get access to what's going onlj extraordinary to be able to get access to what's going on. i feel incredibly privileged. my engineering brain was whirring like the clappers. the engineering of this thing is absolutely awesome. it's a vessel of around 200 crew, to keep them safe and very deep depths within the ocean, wherever they may be, the whole thing is powered by a nuclear reactor. so if you imagine how complex the engineering and the physics is for a nuclear power station on land, they've effectively got that condensed into this metal tube that's floating around the sea and when you add to that that you got these incredible, incredibly powerful and complicated weapons on board as well, the engineering is phenomenal. and the engineers who run that and maintain it are phenomenal individuals as well. great to speak to you, thank you very much. on board britain's nuclear submarine: trident is on channel 5 on wednesday at nine o'clock. you don't have to have an engineering background to enjoy it! it is fascinating, really good. here's carol with a look at the weather. it was not raining this morning, my socks got wet. people was asking me why i didn't wear shoes. it was splashback! you should have had your wellies on. good morning. we have seen a lot of rain particularly so across the north of england but not exclusively. it's also been a windy night, the wind will continue as we go through the course of the day, especially in the south and west. and it is going to turn cooler through the day as well. to give you an idea of temperatures at the moment, it is cool in edinburgh and belfast and cardiff but look at london, bedford and cromer. at the moment it is 18 degrees. that is ahead of this weather front, which is degrees. that is ahead of this weatherfront, which is bringing some rain. as it pushes away, cooler airwill some rain. as it pushes away, cooler air will follow behind. we have another front coming in through the west which will enhance the showers and it is still going to be gusting about 40, 110 and it is still going to be gusting about 40, 40 5 miles an hour across southern areas inland, more than that with exposure. that will continue through the day. the rain moves away, dries up, but there will be some showers and some of them will merge to give some heavier bursts of rain in the north and west. these black circles indicate a can of wind gust strength you can expect. so it is still going to be a gusty afternoon. temperatures by then, 9 to 13 or 14, so that is a drop ofa then, 9 to 13 or 14, so that is a drop of a good 4 degrees. through this evening and overnight, the showers continue across northern ireland and north wales, pushing northwards, getting on across scotland. maybe some white snow on the leading edge across argyll and bute in the south islands. at the same thing, another band of rain coming in from the south—west, crossing parts of wales and parts of southern england. this could also have some white snow on the moors and also the hills of wales but it is going to be on higher ground. a cooler night than we have been used to, overnight lows of between 3 and seven celsius. as we move from tuesday into wednesday, here is our weather front continuing to join eastwards, and you can see a lot of isobars on the charts. a ridge of high pressure trying to build into wednesday. this weather front continuing to take the rain into the north sea. behind it, drier conditions. not as windy either. just some gentle breezes for some but blustery for others. and a fair few showers. but also some sunshine around. by the end of the afternoon, we will see some rain coming in across the fat north—west. temperatures 9 to 11. after that it dries up, not as windy but it will be cool, not just dries up, not as windy but it will be cool, notjust by day but by night and some of us will see some fog as well. it's all good news! thank you, carol. the new lockdown restrictions in england will mean strict rules on international travel. so what will this mean for the industry? vishala has been finding out. morning, everyone. the new rules outlined by the government will mean even less flights from england. ryanair this morning reported a 80% fall in passenger numbers since lockdown measures were introduced in march. 99% of its planes were grounded between march and june. we can talk now to the airline's chief executive, michael o'leary. thank you very much forjoining us this morning. pleasure. how many fights will you have to cancel as a result of these new rules? none, we think. we had already reduced our schedule this year to about 40% of what we operated last winter. so are operating on a bare—bones schedule anyway. we do not see ourselves cancelling any of these fights, we think they will still operate. people are still permitted to fly for business or work for essential reasons. that's essentially what we've been carrying through october, november anyway. what we hope is the these second lockdown will be at least successful, will allow people to travel for christmas, which is a key period of the year for us. but if there was a good month to have a lockdown in the airline industry it would be november because that is when we carry the fewest passengers and we lose money historically anyway. but if the government is advising people not to travel and you are still operating flights, does that mean they will not get the money back? if the flights are operating, there will not be any refunds, although they will be able to change their flight timings to flights and later dates if necessary. but if the fighters operating there will not be refunds. if the flight operating there will not be refunds. if the flight is cancelled they will be entitled to a refund. doesn't that go against government advice? it doesn't seem fair on the passenger. it is only government advice. if the government want to change that advice and provide refunds to passengers themselves, they can do so. but at the moment, we have people who are still travelling on those sites who are travelling on those sites who are travelling for essential or business reasons and if the flight is operating there are no refunds to white lots of people booked flights of the canary islands, for example, they went on the travel corridor this. so they will not get the money back if it is not cancelled? there are very few people travelling to the canary are very few people travelling to the ca nary islands are very few people travelling to the canary islands in november. there are strong bookings for the christmas period and we would very much hope that the government advice will have changed by then if the second lockdown is effective and ends on the first week of december. on refunds, we've had a consumer group getting in touch and they have said that lots of your customers are still complaining they are not getting money back from flights that they are 20 get refunds on from march. completely untrue. but that is largely what you get. we have refunded almost all of our customer refunds, we have paid out either in cash refunds or vouchers almost 1.5 billion. the only passengers left have not received a cash refund if they have asked for one of those customers who booked through the screen customers who booked through the screen scraper customers who booked through the screen scraper ota is where we had fa ke screen scraper ota is where we had fake passenger contact details are fa ke fake passenger contact details are fake payment details. but the claim that we have not processed the refunds is false. but then, can one have a long history of making false claims around ryanair stop at so you're saying every customer who wa nted you're saying every customer who wanted a refund has got the money back? every passenger who asked for a refund has had it back as long as we had accurate payment details for them. you are not going to cancel any flights so what does that mean. ? anyjobs any flights so what does that mean. ? any jobs losses any flights so what does that mean. ? anyjobs losses planned for the future? we are doing our best to minimise thejob losses. future? we are doing our best to minimise the job losses. we future? we are doing our best to minimise thejob losses. we have reached agreement with most of our pilots and cabin crew to have pay cuts to get through this period. we hope to avoid any more job losses although they cannot be ruled out if the lockdowns continue. but i would be more optimistic, there is reasonable optimism that a vaccine ora number of reasonable optimism that a vaccine or a number of vaccines may be licensed this side of christmas. the question is well done —— but when those vaccines will be commercially available in large numbers. we hope by the end of q1 available in large numbers. we hope by the end of 01 or 02 next year. that would lead us to a reasonably strong summer. we have seen a strong bounce back and booking particularly when the british government added the canary when the british government added the ca nary islands when the british government added the canary islands to their list two weeks ago, bookings went through the roof. thank you very much. lots of people getting in touch about whether they can get refunds, i will have to get in touch to find out. now the news, travel and weather wherever you are watching. good morning, i'm alice salfield. the mayor has told bbc london he's working on a ‘de—escalation plan', so we can come out of the national lockdown after four weeks. sadiq khan says he's planned meetings with the government about how we can move back into the tiered system and to confirm which tier we'll fall into. fortunately, we haven't got the same number of cases as other parts of the country, and what i'm hoping is by, in london, us going early will pay dividends and avoid a situation where the lockdown extends past december the 2nd. city hall is now looking at how transport for london can be funded in the next financial year after it made huge losses due to a drop in passenger numbers since the start of the pandemic. it was given another government bailout over the weekend, this time of £1.8 billion. it means tfl won't have to extend the congestion charge zone to the north and south circular — or get rid of free travel for under 18s and over 60s. the met police were called to several large, illegal music events and gatherings over the weekend. these pictures were filmed of a large gathering in hampstead on saturday night. but other events included a party attended by around 1,000 people in east london and a large christening celebration with 200 guests in tottenham. a number of people were arrested and many are liable for £10,000 fines. let's take a look at the travel situation now. a few problems on the tubes this morning — the circle line has severe delays anti—clockwise and minor delays clockwise. the district line has no service between high street kensington and edgware road. and the piccadilly line has no service rayners lane to uxbridge because of leaves on the line. and you can see on the travel camera here, it's busy around vauxhall because of the ongoing closure of vauxhall bridge. now the weather with elizabeth rizzini. hello, good morning. some changes in the weather this week to something cooler, brighter, drier and a lot less windy. part of that transformation will happen today. it is ridiculously mild out there at the moment, 16 or 17 celsius, it's blustery, lots of low cloud, damp and drizzly, some mist and some murk around and there will be some outbreaks of rain as we head through this morning as well. but behind that weather front, it's going to be brighter this afternoon and much cooler air, so the sunshine will emerge, watch out for one or two showers. temperatures will drop through the afternoon and it will stay rather windy. these temperatures will be through the morning and it will feel cooler by the time it gets to the end of the day, 12 or 13 degrees. overnight tonight in that cooler air, temperatures will be dropping back into mid single figures. it will stay rather windy and there will be further outbreaks of rain pushing their way eastwards as we start the day tomorrow. after that it then clears on tuesday morning. then there will be more sunshine around. it will stay rather windy and it will feel cooler. after that it then clears on tuesday morning. then there will be more sunshine around. by the time we get to wednesday. there is a lovely video on our facebook on —— more of a mother ambulance crew called out to help a sick baby. back in half an hour. good morning, welcome to breakfast with dan walker and louise minchin. our headlines today. deaths from coronavirus could be twice as high as the spring. borisjohnson's message to mps as he seeks backing for a national lockdown in england. borisjohnson will head to the commons later and say, given the latest figures, he has no alternative but to act but he hopes the restrictions can be eased in england in one month's time. this morning, we are alive at a hairdressers in bristol where they are working 14 hour days to try and get as many clients through as possible before thursday's knock—down. — — possible before thursday's knock—down. —— lockdown. scotland's new 5—tier system of restrictions comes into force, with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. it's emerged prince william had coronavirus at the beginning of the pandemic in april, around the same time as his father. lady norma, wife of sir bobby charlton, says she's happy that news of his demetia has been made public, in the hope that it may help others suffering with the disease. good morning. we have had a pretty wet and windy weekend, more of that to come today but as we go through the week, a return to something drier, brighter, less windy and cool drier, brighter, less windy and cool. the details in ten minutes. hope you are all right today. it's monday 2nd november. our top story. the prime minister is expected to warn that coronavirus deaths over the winter could be twice as high as they were in the first wave of the pandemic. boris johnson will address mps in the house of commons today, where he's expected to say there is "no alternative" to a national lockdown in england. our political correspondent jonathan blake has more. and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative. after addressing the nation, boris johnson will today attempt to get mps on board with his plan for a national lockdown in england. the prime minister is expected to again point to stark warnings from scientists that unless the government acts, deaths over the winter could be twice as bad or more than during the first wave of the pandemic. he'll acknowledge labour's view that he should have acted sooner, but defend the system of regional restrictions he has pursued until now. labour's support means the plan is likely to pass when mps vote on it later this week but some conservatives are taking a stand. if these kind of measures were being taken in any totalitarian country around the world, we would be denouncing it as a form of evil. and here, the removal of people's fundamental liberties is going almost without comment. the national lockdown will see nonessential retail closed along with pubs, bars and restaurants, except for takeaway and delivery. gyms, hairdressers and beauty salons must also shut, and only two people from different households can meet outside. after the cabinet office minister michael gove's admission yesterday that the lockdown could continue beyond the beginning of december, the prime minister will try to reassure mps that the end is in sight. and there will be a return to the tiered system on the 2nd of december according to the latest data and trends. let's speak to our political correspondent, chris mason, who is on downing street. good morning. so, does the prime minister, does he have a hard sell ahead of him? good morning. the thrust of what he is going to say later and the thrust of the argument we are hearing from those around him this morning is that they feel that they have a moral and medical responsibility now to act. but yeah, they are going to face questions from both sides of the argument. you're going to get people like sir graham brady who you heard in that report saying, my goodness, these are huge, big hulking restrictions to our livelihoods and our liberties, there must at the very least be a proper discussion and debate and vote on them and there will be in the commons in the coming days. and some like sir graham will oppose them. there will be others, in fact another night of the realm, sir keir starmer, the labour leader, who will be saying, i told you so, i i have been arguing for this i have been arguing for for who will be saying, i told you so, i i have been arguing for for ages. labour has been saying they wanted a circuit breaker around the same time as the english half term holidays which arejust coming as the english half term holidays which are just coming to the end, schools returning in many parts of the country today. but his argument will come back to the data, we will seek lots from the prime minister later akin to what we could have —— to what we saw on saturday when we should have been watching littlemix, but we saw the pm. it was rushed on saturday because reporters had ferreted out the details and he had to bring the announcement forward. the lockdown is definitely coming because whatever opposition there is in the commons, labour is backing the government and it is going through. having said that, the programme that we missed was called the search, so on behalf of the nation, thank you for filling! yes, ijust nation, thank you for filling! yes, i just waffled away, nation, thank you for filling! yes, ijust waffled away, for pm was 5pm, thenit ijust waffled away, for pm was 5pm, then it was after 5pm, then 6:30pm, then it was after 5pm, then 6:30pm, thenit then it was after 5pm, then 6:30pm, then it was after 5pm, then 6:30pm, then it was about ten to seven, we we re then it was about ten to seven, we were relieved as no doubt other people where, when those three gentlemen finally appeared!m people where, when those three gentlemen finally appeared! it was very impressive waffle! more chris mason and i have ever had before! —— thanl mason and i have ever had before! —— than i have ever had before! people in scotland are waking up to new restrictions today, as the country is split into a five tiered system. the new rules came into effect at six o'clock this morning. glasgow, edinburgh and dundee are amongst the areas with strict restrictions in tier 3, although no area in scotland is currently in the highest tier. wales's first minister, mark drakeford, will set out the new restrictions to be put in place when the country's firebreak lockdown ends a week today. he will be with us live on the programme in about 20 minutes. people in wales have been told to stay at home except for exercise and essential journeys. meetings between households are banned, and pubs, restaurants and nonessential shops are shut. our correspondent tomos morgan. tomos, there's just one week to go on the firebreak lockdown in wales. what happens next? well, the firebreak will end a week today on the 9th of november, we have been told, and the first minister has said it will not be extended. he tweeted after boris johnson made his announcement on saturday to reassure the welsh public that it would not be extended here. on the night, what will happen initially is that all those businesses that have been closed during this period, leisure facilities, hospitality industries, they will open again. we will then today expect to get some more details on what life will look like now in wales on the lead up to christmas and there will be a national plan, no reverting back to local rules and restrictions from now on in wales. a wales plan. so what we are looking for today is details on travel across the country, details on going back to work and i suppose the big thing for many people will be the mixing between households, families and friends, really. so will people be able to mix indoors, will people be able to mix indoors, will people be able to mix indoors, will people be able to mix in pubs and hospitality ain? able to mix in pubs and hospitality again? looking likely there will be big groups, may be again? looking likely there will be big qi’oups, may be outdoors, we again? looking likely there will be big groups, may be outdoors, we will see, but we will be interesting to see, but we will be interesting to see what it will be. this will be the plan up until christmas and the hope is the welsh government here, the four nations will come together to decide a joint approach over the festive period. we are speaking to mark drakeford festive period. we are speaking to mark dra keford the festive period. we are speaking to mark drakeford the first minister at 730 am. prince william was unwell with covid—19 earlier this year but it was not publicly announced. palace sources have confirmed the duke of cambridge had the virus around the same time that his father prince charles was self—isolating. jon donnison reports. prince william appearing on itv‘s pride of britain awards last night. you had it among your family as well? yeah, my father had it very early on. it turns out it wasn't just his father who was infected. the prince made no mention that he had also fallen ill with covid—19 last spring, but paid tribute to nhs workers. the devastating impact of the coronavirus pandemic has reminded us as a nation of how much we owe to the thousands of nhs workers who have gone far beyond the call of duty this year. kensington palace is giving no official comment or confirmation but a palace source told the bbc that a story in today's sun newspaper that the prince had shown symptoms of covid—19 around a week into the national lockdown last spring is accurate. i'm catherine and this is william next to me. at the time, prince william continued to carry out a number of official engagements using video conferencing. news of his father's covid—19 infection was made public. at the time he was photographed self—isolating in scotland. but it may be that given the national mood last spring, there was no desire to add further alarm by revealing prince william's condition. jon donnison, bbc news. the us presidential election enters its final day of campaigning, with both president trump and joe biden appealing to voters in crucial battle ground states. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. our correspondent david willis joins us from los angeles. david, what can we expect in the closing stages? it should be a tense few days ahead. i think it will become a dan, no doubt. and donald trump continues to maintaina doubt. and donald trump continues to maintain a punishing can —— campaign schedule. he has been campaigning in five separate states today on sunday and is vowing to maintain a similar schedule on monday. focusing his attention in this last round of campaigning on states that he won four years ago, including today a stop in pennsylvania which is where his democratic rivaljoe biden was born, and has been campaigning vigorously as well. the latest polls showjoe biden has a slim lead over donald trump in that key swing state, although it is a state that donald trump one with the tiniest of majorities just four years ago. and mr biden is planning to return there for a series of rallies including one on the eve of election day itself where he will be joined by lady gaga. you mentioned 90 million americans have already cast their ballots, including 60 million who voted by mail which means you might not have a result of this election on election day itself because of the time it will take to count all of those votes. donald trump is not keen on that notion, he said today that for the vote counting to continue beyond election day would be, as he put it, a terrible thing. joe biden leads in the national polls, donald trump is promising a surge of support on election day itself, it's going to be a nailbiter, by the looks of things. thank you for the latest, david, we will continue to follow it closely over the next few days. you are up—to—date with all the latest news. let's catch up with the weather as well. carroll, it's pretty miserable out there early doors up here. you have had a lot of rain in the last wee while in northern england, but it is also windy and drizzly in other parts of the country, drizzling in surrey as you can see from this weather watcher picture and this forecast today has many elements. sunny spells and showers, still windy and it will temecula where it is mild at the moment. this cold front will be seeking southwards taking the strain to the south—east and clearing. temperatures in parts of the south—east currently 18 degrees but that will change. there goes the weather fronts and cooler conditions will follow. showers through northern ireland, south—west scotla nd northern ireland, south—west scotland and north—west england in particular, some could merge to give heavier bursts. these are they wind gusts, inland in the south looking at 40 to 45 miles an hour, in western areas and inland in the south through the day, gusty winds. temperatures, nine to 11 or 12 in the north, and to which is coming down in the south. so having been 18 first thing, for some parts it will dip down to 14. through the evening and overnight, we still have this clump of showers if you like, it will be pushing north—east through the night, and another one comes in from the south—west and wales and that will move eastwards. there will be clear skies so it will be a colder night than the one just gone, and had of late. overnight lows of seven. this band of rain continues its journey in the south—east tomorrow, scattered showers, blustery but nowhere near as windy as today. in between all of that, dry weather and sunshine. temperature wise, high is up to 11 degrees, this is the wind gusts chart. back to you. thank you for that information about the wind gusts chart! for many businesses, the announcement of a second lockdown in england means they'll have to close their doors from thursday. this morning, we're looking at what it could mean for companies and workers who have already faced a very difficult year. in a moment, we'll hear from tim muffett, who is at a gym in london. but first, john maguire is at a hair salon in bristol. i guess they are going to be busy for the next couple of days! yes, busy doesn't cover it, really. they will be open for 14 hours a day over the next couple of days to make sure they get as many clients through as possible before the lockdown on thursday. rachel maclean you are the joint owner here. how are you feeling at the moment? not happy. a bit worried, really, to be honest, because obviously i didn't expect it to be another lockdown. you just don't know how you're going to survive. it all depends if we get help from the government, it could be ok if we don't, you know, could see a lot of closures. what was it like bouncing back from the first lockdown? it wasn't too bad because so lockdown? it wasn't too bad because so many people were so desperate to get in. the first month wasn't too bad, like, really busy, then it did start to quieten down a bit because people are not going to weddings or parties or on holidays. those special occasions. good morning, agnes, what have you come in for a? i have come for a cut and colour. how i have come for a cut and colour. h ow ofte n i have come for a cut and colour. how often do you normally come to see rachel? normally six weeks. what was the first lockdown like for you? dreadful, because as you can see my hair is quite a it was even worse after not having it cut for so long. what are your thoughts on the second lockdown? it was probably inevitable that it was coming. it's a real shame because lots of smaller businesses might suffer from having another lockdown. but we need to keep each other safe. all right, thank you very indeed. we will let rachel concentrate! good morning to you, how are you? you are waiting as well. it's amazing to think the salon is genuinely busy at this time of the morning. how often do you come to get your hair done? twice a week, every and saturday. very early. i like the way things are now. i probably shouldn't say this with ritual in the shop, your hair looks immaculate already! why do you come so looks immaculate already! why do you come so often? itjust makes me feel happy in myself. ijust feel better. it's a treat for me. i don't smoke or anything. might as well spend some thing a myself. why not? you deserve it. good to talk to you. we will be here all morning so we will talk to you later. rachel was saying earlier, december is such a busy time of yearfor earlier, december is such a busy time of year for hairdressers, getting people ready for those parties and special occasions, so hopefully from their perspective, they will be open ready for the party season, beginning of december, and can you imagine how busy they will be then? yes, ican! will be then? yes, i can! although all socially distanced parties, no doubt. tim muffett is at a gym in south west london for us. how was the news received there? yes, it's going to be a tough time. gyms are such an pertinent point of so gyms are such an pertinent point of so many people because my daily routine. —— is an important part. it's going to get even more difficult here. what are your thoughts about thursday, daniel? difficult here. what are your thoughts about thursday, daniel7m pretty sad, is having to close our doors on thursday. a lot of customers who will be upset with having to going into locked in for another month. we had just opened so we will be struggling for that period of time as well. how important our gym is notjust for physical health but also mental health? yes, definitely, working out and exercise are part of most people put my daily routines. not only from a physical standpoint but for mental aspects, people will be losing out. best of luck, i hope you get through it. now, furlough has been an important thing and a lot of members of staff here will be furloughed. but for those people like personal trainers who are effectively freelance, it's going to be very tricky. jamie, you're personal trainer. how tough is this going to be for you? really tough. being self employed it is difficult because if i don't work, i don't earn. it is frustrating. i know the effort the team has gone through to make it cove red team has gone through to make it covered micro secure. to be shut again, it's difficult to take. but yes, it's frustrating. gemma, this is your personal trainer. how important is it coming to the gym. is your personal trainer. how important is it coming to the gymlj think it will have a big impact. i really enjoy coming to the gym. for mel really enjoy coming to the gym. for me i like to start my day here. i think not having that access to a facility with the right equipment, the people to help coach you through it, will be daunting for me but don't think for a lot of other people as well. the idea initially is that it might be for one month, but it could go on for longer. what impact will that have? but it could go on for longer. what impact will that have ?|j but it could go on for longer. what impact will that have? i think it is the uncertainty, that is the key thing, people do not know when they will be able to get back into training, when they will be able to have access to their personal trainers again and a lot of things have come into place now where i come here, i have got access to the equipment and tojamie, come here, i have got access to the equipment and to jamie, i wouldn't have that at home. ijust don't know. gemma and jamie, thanks very much and the best of luck. i hope you can continue your sessions as soon as we can and you can continue your sessions as soon as we can and the restrictions are relieved. so a very tough time for a lot of gyms, this one being one of them and us were hearing, so many people rely on this for part of their daily routine, it has such an impact. from thursday that is going to change. tim, we will be back with you later in the morning. and do let us know your questions and concerns, which i know lots of people have been doing over the weekend as well. we are going to try and answer some of them at least now. now, let's speak to virologist chris smith and epidemiologist sian griffiths, who can answer some of your questions about the lockdown restrictions in england. thank you both, as ever, forjoining us. thank you both, as ever, forjoining us. i will go straight to questions. well, as we understand it, jamie, the key factor was that the models all show that the rate of disease was increasing even more than the worst—case scenario was increasing even more than the worst—case scenario that had been suggested. that means that there is more disease in the country spreading very quickly. the measures that were in place, the tiered levels, were not controlling the disease, so along with other countries like france and germany, england is now deciding to actually go for a full lockdown to try to get on top of this disease, which is spreading so fast. i know that is something which a few people in those areas of low transmission are asking this morning. yes, this is very tricky and this is obviously one of the tricky decision points for the government because people whose rights were not very high have had, will have to go into lockdown along with everybody. this is because a national lockdown is going to be more successful at protecting the nhs, which is part of the reason for this lockdown, making sure that the hospital admissions do not keep increasing so that hospitals can't cope, making sure the it use can cope, making sure the it use can cope, so cope, making sure the it use can cope, so we cope, making sure the it use can cope, so we all have to do it together. the heat maps that the chief medical officer and his collea g u es chief medical officer and his colleagues were showing, which showed successive spread, increasing rate of spread and increasing spread across the country, so although it is low in norfolk at the moment it might not stay at that level and it might not stay at that level and it might not stay at that level and it might not have stayed amongst younger people, it might have spread to other people. so this is a key issue. everybody has got their own questions. so much of this is really possible. —— personal. chris, that one is for you, i think. this was actually put to the government over the weekend because people were saying, hang on, there are lots of new parents, new mothers who might be at home for an extended period with the new baby and actually, if that child counts as one person outside, you could then end up quite lonely, at the very time in your life where you want some contact. nadine dorries clarified this over the weekend and said actually we are not going to count preschool children as in that head count. so you can go outside with your child and you can meet another person and go for a walk or something. and practical question, chris, which lots of people have been asking. well, of course, during the first lockdown, everything was closed, much to the consternation of anyone who didn't need to go and see an optician, including one at barnard castle! so as a result this time, because most of those businesses which were operating under the guise ofan nhs which were operating under the guise of an nhs service, have been made covid secure, they are going to carry on. so opticians, dentists, they will be able to operate, i understand the government will announce they will be carrying on despite other nonessential industries closing down. interesting to hear that. sian, do you want to answer that one? ok. infact, ithink sian, do you want to answer that one? ok. in fact, i think it will be some more guidance today for the very vulnerable, but we learned from last time round, as chris was saying, this time round some of the nhs will be staying open, so that we should keep going to our appointments for our eyes, ears, teeth etc as well as for other conditions. but shielding was not necessarily good experience for many older people who were asked to shield. theyjust had to stay at home. other people are being asked to keep exercising, keep going for walks and keep engaged in everyday activities as much as they can. because sitting at home in isolation is also very bad for our mental health. at the very vulnerable, there will be additional guidance. in general the advice is not to go out, to look after yourself as much as you can but to take exercise, and to keep in touch using skype, video etc, with your friends and relatives and families. thank you for that, sian. chris, another one here which i suppose touches on quite a few concerns as well about christmas. i suppose it depends on what happens in the next few weeks? it does. very difficult to foresee or predict. i think there is a very real prospect, if you look at how long it took to gain control during the first lockdown, what was initially a three—week manoeuvre turned into a three—month manoeuvre. it is anybody‘s guess whether or not the numbers dictate that it will be judged safe, whether we will be able to return to the tiered system in time for christmas. i wonder if the government might come up with some kind of special provision christmas but leave some kind of looked on in place for longer. that's my concern at the moment. because as sian was saying, the numbers are climbing everywhere and that's what has provoked the government to act because it is the trend that is our friend here, it tells us not what is happening today but what will be happening today but what will be happening in the days to come. that trend was predicting very big surges in eris which although they may have low levels of activity, the nhs provision in those areas would be quite easily overwhelmed quite quickly. so it was important to act soon. quickly. so it was important to act soon. if that risk hasn't gone away by the beginning of december, it's ha rd to by the beginning of december, it's hard to argue that things will be any different than they are now and therefore there will be a case to continue as we are now, which much to everyone's consternation will mean that we won't be able to get together for christmas. sian, can i talk to you also about, when will we know whether it is being affected, whether it is working, this lockdown? well, the key indicator we look for is the r number, that is a calculation that takes into account all the things like cases rising, hospital admissions... and it should be below number—1—macro to show that the pandemic is slowing. as long as the pandemic is slowing. as long as the r number is above one, it means more people are getting cases. we need to get on top of this because we need to have good test and trace in place so that as we come out of looked any cases that are occurring can be diagnosed, the contacts can be isolated, and we can stop that spread of the disease in the community. so it will be a set of factors that will be calculated and discussed within government with the scientists and politicians looking at the trends, looking at how fast the disease is spreading, looking across the country geographically and making decisions based on whether or not the pandemic seems to have slowed and hopefully that we have slowed and hopefully that we have a test and trace system that can cope as we come out with continuing to suppress the disease. thank you to both of you and thank you to all the questions we had in. and thank you again, i know we have had hundreds of questions about what lockdown 2.0 will mean for us all in england particularly. we will be speaking to the first minister of wales later. time now to get the news, travel and weather where you are. good morning, i'm alice salfield. the mayor has told bbc london he's working on a plan so we can come out of the national lockdown after four weeks. sadiq khan says he's arranged meetings with the government about how we can move back into the tiered system and to confirm which tier we'll fall into. fortunately, we haven't got the same number of cases as other parts of the country, and what i'm hoping is by, in london, us going early will pay dividends and avoid a situation where the lockdown extends past december the 2nd. city hall is now looking at how transport for london can be funded in the next financial year after it was given another government bailout over the weekend. tfl has made huge losses since the start of the pandemic due to a drop in passenger numbers. the £1.8 billion bailout has been agreed without the mayor having to extend the congestion charge zone or get rid of free travel for under 18s and over 60s. the met police were called to several large, illegal music events and gatherings over the weekend. these pictures were filmed in hampstead on saturday night. but other incidents included a party attended by around 1,000 people in east london and a large christening celebration with 200 guests in tottenham. a number of people were arrested and many are liable for £10,000 fines. let's take a look at the travel situation now. quite a few problems on the tubes this morning — the circle line has severe delays anti—clockwise and minor delays clockwise. the district line has no service between high street kensington and edgware road. the metropolitan line has minor delays and the piccadilly line has no service rayners lane to uxbridge because of leaves on the line. and you can see on the travel camera here it's busy around vauxhall because of the ongoing closure of vauxhall bridge. now the weather with elizabeth rizzini. hello, good morning. some changes in the weather this week to something cooler, brighter, drier and a lot less windy. part of that transformation will happen today. it is ridiculously mild out there at the moment, 16 or 17 celsius, it's blustery, lots of low cloud, damp and drizzly, some mist and some murk around and there will be some outbreaks of rain as we head through this morning as well. but behind that weather front, it's going to be brighter this afternoon and much cooler air, so the sunshine will emerge, watch out for one or two showers. temperatures will drop through the afternoon and it will stay rather windy. these temperatures will be through the morning and it will feel cooler by the time it gets to the end of the day, 12 or 13 degrees. overnight tonight in that cooler air, temperatures will be dropping back into mid single figures. it will stay rather windy and there will be further outbreaks of rain pushing their way eastwards as we start the day tomorrow. after that it then clears on tuesday morning. then there will be more sunshine around. it will stay rather windy and it will feel cooler. after that it then clears on tuesday morning. now if you need a little bit of cheering up this morning, i'd recommend heading to our facebook and watching the video of the brothers who danced every day during lockdown to keep their community fit and connected. i'll be back in an hour. see you then. hello, this is breakfast with dan walker and louise minchin. the welsh first minister, mark dra keford, will announce what measures will be used when the national firebreak ends next week. let's remind ourselves what restrictions are currently in place. people must stay at home, except for exercise and essential journeys. meetings between households are banned, both inside and out. pubs, restaurants and nonessential shops are shut, along with hotels, hairdressers and beauticians. primary schools reopen today, following the half—term break. some secondary pupils will also go back to class. and mark drakeford joins us now. good morning, thank you very much for joining good morning, thank you very much forjoining us. we know that the wales's firebreak ends next monday, given what is happening in england and there will be at lockdown for a month, are you going to change that? no, ourfirebreak month, are you going to change that? no, our firebreak will end month, are you going to change that? no, ourfirebreak will end on month, are you going to change that? no, our firebreak will end on the 9th of november as we have always said it would. i will be setting out later today the terms on which we will emerge from the firebreak but my main message to people in wales today will be, whatever the rules are after ninth november, please do not spend your time obsessing about the rules and asking how far you can stretch them. we will only get through this if each one of us asks ourselves, not what can i do, but what should i do. and if we do that, avoid company, travel as little as we can, work from home wherever possible, then we have a path out of this together. can i pick up on one of those points on mixing households, you are saying people should leave it at their own judgment, but what are you telling them? there will be a basic set of national rules in wales that will be simpler and clearer, and it will allow for something beyond what we have had during the firebreak period. that mytop message to people in wales is, don't make your first question to yourself, how far can i stretch the rules? make the first question, what should i do? what contribution can i make to keeping myself and others safe? and to judge your actions against that criteria. if we do that, then there is a way out of coronavirus that will safeguard us all. if we played as a game in which yourjob is to think about what the rule is and see how much you can stretch it, then i'm afraid the we said we very ethical. is somebody stretching the rules if they are a family of four and they choose to meet two grandparents?- the moment, they would be the rule. after the firebreak? beyond the firebreak, there will be a different set of arrangements and i will be setting them out later today. they will go beyond what people are able to do now. we will preserve as we have throughout the coronavirus experience a distinction between what people can do indoors and what they can do outdoors. but as i say, they can do outdoors. but as i say, the main thing i am asking people in wales to do is to ask themselves each time, is what i'm doing genuinely necessary, and if it's not, it should be avoided. can you tell us as well, when will you know, do you know, that the firebreak has actually worked? well, we have a lwa ys actually worked? well, we have always said that we will not see the results of the 17 day firebreak period while it is itself still on. we will learn it in the weeks that follow. there are some very early indications, and that's all they are, that travel in wales during the firebreak period has been very significantly reduced, that's a good sign, it tells us that people in wales are observing the firebreak period. and we will see in the weeks that follow the extent to which this extraordinary national effort that we are asking people in wales to make, the extent to which it has succeeded. so you don't know whether or not it has worked, but you are prepared to move on? well, it's impossible to know whether it has worked, because the r numberfor example, lacks a couple of weeks behind, it is a lagging indicator. we said from the very beginning that this 17 days would be a short but very sharp period, there have been enormous restrictions on people in wales during this period up to the 9th of november, we will learn in the weeks to follow the extent to which it has succeeded and that success will depend also on the way that people behave after the 9th of november is over. that's why i will be emphasising and emphasising again today the message about how we all collectively behave after the firebreak is over is crucial to giving us a path through to christmas and beyond. we now know that of course the fellow scheme is going to be extended, we have heard from the treasury this morning that it will be uk wide until england comes out of lockdown. —— the furlough scheme. what is your response? i welcome that, furlough scheme. what is your response? iwelcome that, anything that helps businesses in wales is to be welcomed. we had asked the chancellor for to flexibility during ourfirebreak period, chancellor for to flexibility during our firebreak period, he told chancellor for to flexibility during ourfirebreak period, he told me that was not possible, now that flexibility has been found, i welcome it. thank you very much indeed, i know you will be talking about it later. that is the picture in wales this morning. in scotland people will be waking up to new coronavirus restrictions today as the country enters a five tiered system. no areas are in tier zero, which has the most relaxed restrictions. tier one includes the highlands, the orkney and shetland islands. this restricts socialising to six people from two households inside and outside. indoor home socialising is banned in tier 2, except if caring for a vulnerable person. outdoors groups in public places is limited to six people from two households — and will affect areas including the scottish borders and aberdeenshire. most of scotland's central belt is in tier 3. socialising rules remain the same as level two but hospitality businesses will be banned from selling alcohol and will close at 6pm. there are no areas in the highest level four. with more details on this, we can now speak our scotland correspondent, lorna gordon. we have run to the various tiers there, a new area of restrictions for scotland, what is the reaction this morning? i think as ever when it comes to covid, there are a range of reactions, a range of emotions from people. weariness, worry, acceptance, disappointed. weariness because we have had a lot of restrictions for a long time here in scotla nd restrictions for a long time here in scotland and in the central belt, even tighter restrictions for a period of time. some people are going to see the restrictions tightened further. if you are in level three or ever in level four, you are asked not to travel outside your council area. there is worry for businesses who are wondering whether it is worth reopening, whether it is worth reopening, whether they can make it through the winter months. acceptance because the scottish government has said there are early indications that the rate of increase in the spread of the virus may be slowing, so i think some people are holding onto that. and there is also disappointment because this is not a national lockdown, these are localised restrictions in some areas think they had been placed in the wrong level. the scottish government to say the restrictions will be reviewed on a weekly basis. it's all change in scotland. the government here shaking up the restrictions to curb the spread of covid. this cocktail bar in hamilton had switched to delivering food and drink. the new regulations mean here, they could now welcome customers back in but they would not be allowed to serve them booze. we could open as a cafe but it would be a real struggle for us because almost half of our gross that we make is from our drinks. and it's basically, that's completely obliterating half the business for us. as well as that, there's lot of established cafes around here, about eight around the vicinity who have been doing this for a long, long time and have a loyal customer base. lanarkshire narrowly avoided the highest level of restrictions but it is possible that could change. definitely not out of the woods. there's a lot of concern as we are under daily review that we might end up in tier four. so if you're running a business just now, how do you know how much stock you need to buy? because you could buy it today and find out in two days' time you're going to be shut down and that stock willjust be wasted. people just don't know what to do. if this area was placed in scotland's highest tier of controls, nonessential shops like this barbers would have to close. as for us, there's nothing you can really do about it, you've just got to, at the end of the day it's about protecting everybody. so it'lljust be, aye, i'm one of the folk that just got to go with it, take it on the chin. more than 3 million people in scotland will be living under the level three restrictions, that now includes a requirement for senior pupils in secondary school and their teachers to wear face coverings in class. people in these areas are also being asked to restrict their travel, to remain inside their council areas, dundee among them. taxi drivers like graham say they're struggling and are not sure how the new guidelines will be enforced. you've got to wonder, i suppose, what these people are going into these areas for, are they going to go into a pub that's open there because there is nothing open here? you don't know but we can't ask those questions because that's personal. from places with high levels of transmission to areas like shetland which have had few recent cases. this bar supports the scottish government's cautious approach. some areas of the country, though, have questioned where they are placed in the new system. i don't think anybody should open up to tier zero, i think it needs to be a work in development. we should open up tier number one and see how it goes. we are in this for the long run, we need to make sure that we take it slowly and steadily otherwise we'll go back to square one and i don't think anybody wants that. and for all in scotland, a warning from the first minister against travelling to and from england unless it's absolutely essential. two things worth pointing out, there isa two things worth pointing out, there is a bit ofa two things worth pointing out, there is a bit of a discussion here in scotla nd is a bit of a discussion here in scotland about furlough, the scottish government and the scottish conservatives united on calling for the treasury to commit to extending the treasury to commit to extending the furlough scheme to any point in the furlough scheme to any point in the future should scotland enter a full lockdown. and on the issue of lockdown, we are at the moment in this more nuanced five tiered system in scotland. the scottish government is saying they cannot rule out a full lockdown at some future point should the rate of increase in virus cases here in scotland increase. thank you very much, the latest from glasgow this morning. you can hear the fitter patter of rain there. definitely rain around. we have got rain moving south eastwards, it has been heavy overnight across northern england. this is in the highlands, where there is a fair bit of cloud. the forecast today is that it is going to be quite cloudy, it will be mild first thing, then after that, it's going to cool down. you can see this line here, this is a weatherfront which is sinking south eastwards, it is taking some rain without but also it will have colder air following behind. another windy day in prospect. last night after midnight we had a gust of 81 mph. a lot of showers coming into the west. it is the front that brought the rain last night in northern england. it's slowly slipping southwards through today and it will eventually get into the south—east and it will clear. behind it, a drop in temperature. we also have all these showers, some brightness and sunshine, and still quite windy. windy in parts of the west and also the south. but not as windy as yesterday in parts of the north. into this afternoon, we are still looking at gusts of 40, 44 —— make 45 mph. a lot of dry weather with a few showers. rather scattered in southern areas with sunshine in between. for north—west england and north west wales and northern ireland and south—west scotland, we are likely to see the most frequent and heavy showers, some of them urging to give some longer spells of rain. in between them in the highlands, some brightness. temperatures ranging from about 9 or 10 in the north to 18 or 19. this will be this morning because my temperature, don't forget it's coming down to about 14. —— this morning's temperatures. we have a front across northern ireland and north—west england and north—west wales that will be pushing north eastwards. then another one coming in across south west england, south wales and some parts of central england. that would be moving eastwards as well. in between, some clearer skies and a colder night than we have been used to. tomorrow we pick up that same weather front as it continues to journey towards the north sea. still quite a few isobars in the chart, still a blustery day but not as windy as it has been or will be for some of us today. tomorrow, drier, again, looking at some skinny scars but still good peppering of showers. as we head into wednesday, we will start off with some frost because overnight we have some clearer skies, some patchy mist and fog, but look at this, almost bone dry. not quite but drier than it has been. a few showers knocking around and by the end of the afternoon, this next system coming in across the north—west which will bring in some rain. temperatures 9 in the north to 11 or 12 as we move down towards the far south. wednesday night into thursday worth mentioning, there could be some frost around and also some patchy mist and fog. some of that fog will be slow to left during the course of thursday and it's going to turn cooler as well. but you like some tea yes, please! it is 7:47. sally is going to talk to us about some sad news about sir bobby charlton. the former england and manchester united striker sir bobby charlton has been diagnosed with dementia. as well as winning the world cup, sir bobby — who's 83 — won three league titles and a european cup during his 17 years at old trafford. to reflect on this, we can speak to willie morgan, a former team—mate of bobby at manchester united. good morning. thanks very much indeed for chatting to us this morning. first of all, i know he is your mates, how shocked were you to hear the news? very shocked. i haven't seen him... we play at the same golf course, and i hadn't seen him for quite awhile. i didn't realise that was ill. it's always sad. it's been a bad week, last week. all the other three going, other three friends. bobby being diagnosed with this, hopefully it's in very early stages and he's not too bad. we don't yet know how serious his condition is at the moment but what we do know is, he has the most incredibly close family, you know, you rarely see him without his wife by his side at old trafford, and i know his daughters are an incredible support. how important will they be for him now? well, he will be well looked after. norma will be taking care of him and of course, andrea and suzanne, they love their doubtful he will be fine, he will be well looked after. —— they love their dad. hopefully he can still play golf! i don't know but we will be finding out. i hope he can still swing a club. he's a good golfer, by the way. you can only hope, as i say, that is not too bad to stop that he can carry on going to old trafford and doing what he does. you mentioned the recent sad news we've had about nobby stiles, who died a short time ago, and bobby's brother jack stiles, who died a short time ago, and bobby's brotherjack who died a few months ago, he had also been diagnosed with dementia. do you ever look back and worry that there is a link perhaps between the sport that you all played on what's happening now? well, i know it's been talked about, there has been similar things. who knows? there are so many people who get dimension at that don't play football. is there a connection? i really don't know. —— people who get dementia. in bobby's case, if they are talking about heading a ball, jack, yes because he was a centre half. bobby did not had too many balls. whichever way you look at it, you can only listen to the experts. even now, they don't know. it's one of those things. it's pa rt know. it's one of those things. it's part of life, sadly. i'm safe because i never headed the ball either. you just have to carry on and get through it. let's talk about the good times, shall be, for a moment? he's been described as potentially england's greatest ever player, what do you reckon? yes, no about that. one of the things —— no doubt. i do a podcast and i had a question about, is bobby charlton as dour as he comes across? no, he's not! bobby was the life and soul, whenjoined not! bobby was the life and soul, when joined manchester united, not! bobby was the life and soul, whenjoined manchester united, he used to do an impersonation of an old silent movie star. he was brilliant at it. dan will know who i'm talking about. no, bobby was just quiet. we see, the munich thing is something he had to live with all his life. it was hard. what he was a great guy. good fun on the golf course, he was a good golfer, very good. in fact, course, he was a good golfer, very good. infact, he course, he was a good golfer, very good. in fact, he was the longest hitter of the tea and all of us at the time. —— off the tee. he was very quiet and people can take that the wrong way. he wasn't dour at all. and yes, one of the great english players of all time. and i know you are saying that people suggest he might be a little bit dour at times but actually from my experience, what he was, he might have been quiet when you are talking to him but he was incredibly —— mikey is incredibly kind and generous with his time. just a nice quy- generous with his time. just a nice guy. most of the players from that era were nice people, they were working class, we were all working class lads, i'm just happy to get paid to kick a ball around, it was amazing. and yes, just all nice, nice people from that era, wanted to help people, do as much as you can to give something back. because we we re to give something back. because we were just so lucky. to give something back. because we werejust so lucky. it is to give something back. because we were just so lucky. it is lovely to talk to you this morning, thank you very much indeed and i'm sure you willjoin us in sending our very best wishes to sir bobby this morning with news of that diagnosis becoming clear yesterday. willie morgan talking to us there. asi morgan talking to us there. as i said, if anyone who ever dealt with bobby charlton in a professional capacity would be amazed by how generous and kind he was with everybody. didn't differentiate between who was important or not important, just a lwa ys important or not important, just always very kind. let's return to our main story. the prime minister will address mps later today to set out plans for a new national lockdown in england. the measures, similar to those seen in the spring, are due to come in on thursday and last for four weeks. but cabinet office minister michael gove has warned they could be extended if coronavirus infection rates don't come down far enough. we can speak now to the deputy director of public health england, dr susan hopkins. good morning to you, thank you for being with us this morning. is this an indication that they tear the system in england didn't work? -- met tiered system. i think the three tiers were set out to try and mitigate the impact of the coronavirus. but the chief medical adviser and other advisers to come and have always said we need to go further. i think this is a measure that with the cases rising as they are now and with the anxiety about rising debts as admissions to hospital, we have to go further and into a more full form of national looked on. —— rising debts. into a more full form of national looked on. -- rising debts. what was the difference between the predictions made in this dour —— —— in this —— predictions made in this dour —— —— in this -- in predictions made in this dour —— —— in this —— in september and what we are here now? was at the predictions of potential deaths was a number that you couldn't simply ignore? of potential deaths was a number that you couldn't simply ignore7|j that you couldn't simply ignore?” think the decision by government the interlocked and is always a decision for them. the government advisers, through sage and other agencies, have advised the government throughout about different decisions and options they can take. i think right now, we have seen the latest modelling data that's come through in the last week, which suggests that within the next four to six weeks, the nhs will start to get overwhelmed, and the rising number of deaths will become an unacceptable number for anyone. any death is unacceptable. and so again, the advice to government was that we need to go into a more stringent form of lockdown that we are currently in with the tier 2 and tier 3 system tests. do you think the delay in putting us into lockdown has cost us lives? every day that we see transmissions of the virus, people will die. but the numbers that we have now, we will sadly see rises in the cases of deaths over the next two to three weeks. the ambition of locking down is to reduce transmission and to stop those rising to very high levels. but to go back to the question, i suppose it's a case of the transmission would have been reduced if we had gone into lockdown earlier. i know hindsight enables you to see these things very clearly. but that is certainly a question the government should be looking at, shouldn't it?” question the government should be looking at, shouldn't it? i am sure they will be looking at it. we have been making this via modellers, and the advice to government predictions on the number of cases and deaths over the last weeks and months, and at the moment it is closely mirroring the predictions that they have been seeing over the last four to six weeks. —— projections. we know that rising above cases will lead to a rising number of deaths. the latest figures show that four in ten close contacts of people tested positive for covid—19 and are still not being reached by the system. you area not being reached by the system. you are a medical adviser to the nhs on test entries, what is going wrong with the system? firstly, the teams make every effort to call individuals. we do need to get people's contact details from the primary case and usually about one in five individuals, there is no contact details. so we struggle to find that individual through the system. people don't answer their phones, people don't want to get a contact from an unknown number and that's part of the reason why there is increasing local contact tracing, working with directors of public health and local councils, so that the local system and find some of these individuals that the national system cannot stop right so you are saying that the system is working, to ta ke saying that the system is working, to take your point. but it is the fa ct to take your point. but it is the fact is not being used properly by the people who are being captured by it? we need people to tell us the names of their context and their phone numbers if we want to find people. —— contacts. but we also need to be able, for people to a nswer need to be able, for people to answer their phone for us to give them information about isolation or what help they can receive when they are isolated, and we are working closely with local councils to improve that. so that there is a local voice, local telephone number and that may improve their compliance with the idea of contact tracing and isolation. very quickly, the prime minister talking about quick results on saturday for tests, how long will it be before that is in place? so, we are working to develop point—of—care tests that will be rolled out to the population over the next number of weeks. we are already piloting those tests which have a 30 minute turnaround time at some schools and universities and we are going to work with directors of public health and other parties to use these in their populations to test this further to see if it is another measure of control that can come in and help us over the next four weeks. doctor hopkins, thank you very much. still to come this morning: we've been following 80—year—old paul harvey — who lives with dementia. his four note tune was adapted and recorded by the bbc philharmonic orchestra. now it's topping the charts and raising money for dementia charities. stay tuned — in a few minutes we'll have a really exciting development in his story. we really mean that, it is worth putting whatever you're doing on hold x—menjust hold putting whatever you're doing on hold x—men just hold on for ten, putting whatever you're doing on hold x—menjust hold on for ten, 15 minutes and you will not regret it. stay with us, headlines coming up. good morning welcome to breakfast with dan walker and louise minchin. our headlines today: deaths from coronavirus could be twice as high as the spring — borisjohnson's message to mps as he seeks backing for a national lockdown in england. the prime minister will tell the commons that given these new figures he has no alternative but to act, but he hopes that the new lockdown in england will last for just but he hopes that the new lockdown in england will last forjust a month. england's new controls include a ban on holidays at home and abroad, but will you be able to get a refund? ryanair say no. i'll have more later. scotland's new five—tier system of restrictions comes into force — with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. it's emerged prince william had coronavirus at the beginning of the pandemic in april, around the same time as his father. captain sir tom joins us with his thoughts on the new lockdown and some plans on how he's going to keep busy. good morning. it's been a wet and windy weekend. a bit more of that to come today but as we go through this week it will dry up, it will cool down, and i'll have all the details in ten minutes. good morning, just gone 8am on the 2nd of november. the prime minister is expected to warn that coronavirus deaths over the winter could be twice as high as they were in the first wave of the pandemic. boris johnson will address mps in the house of commons today, where he's expected to say there is "no alternative" to a national lockdown in england. let's take a look at the rules which are due to come in on thursday. people are being told to stay at home and only leave for specific reasons like school or work. those who can work from home should do so. there's a ban on household mixing indoors or in private gardens, unless part of a support bubble. there is no time limit on outdoor exercise, but you can only meet up with one person outside your household. pubs, restaurants and non—essential shops will have to close except for takeaways and click and collect services. shielding will not be re—introduced, but people who are clinically vulnerable are advised not to go to work if they are unable to work from home. let's speak to our political correspondent, chris mason, who is on downing street. he follows this in all the detail. so many questions still to be answered. take us through what will happen next. good morning. the government is now of the view that it has a moral and medical responsibility to act, that, confronted with the data that was presented by the scientists to senior ministers at the tail end of last week, they simply had to do something and do something pretty quickly. that meant junking something and do something pretty quickly. that meantjunking the regional strategy we spent the last few weeks talking about in england, the tiering system. the rails with andy burnham, and in the last few days, significant change to come. in england there has already —— out changes to coming. in wales there has always done already been locked down, one in northern ireland. the debate in the commons this happening will follow a similar pattern to what we saw from the prime minister on saturday. the original plan had been that the prime minister was set out the measures today because reporters managed to ferret out what was going on, the whole thing had to be brought forward, which is why we had the much delayed news conference on saturday evening. the prime minister will say, look, on saturday evening. the prime ministerwill say, look, he has on saturday evening. the prime minister will say, look, he has to act now. labour will make the argument, look, we told you so, we suggested they should have been a lot down several weeks ago, after the government's own scientists suggested as much in the middle of september. but there will be some on the conservative backbenches deeply uncomfortable with this. cera graham brady, senior conservative mp, telling radio four last night that if this kind of thing was happening ina if this kind of thing was happening in a totalitarian country we would regard it as a form of evil. this will, though, pass the house of commons. labour are backing the government, so a lockdown 2.0 is coming to england and is coming in a matter of days. for the moment, thank you. people in scotland are waking up to new restrictions today, as the country is split into a five—tiered system. the new rules came into effect at six o'clock this morning. glasgow, edinburgh and dundee are amongst the areas with strict restrictions in tier 3 — although no area in scotland is currently in the highest tier. we will speak to the deputy first minister of scotland at 8:30am on brea kfast. minister of scotland at 8:30am on breakfast. in the meantime... wales' first minister, mark drakeford, will set out the new restrictions to be put in place when the country's firebreak lockdown ends a week today. people in wales have been told to stay at home — except for exercise and essential journeys. meetings between households are banned, and pubs, restaurants and non—essential shops are shut. earlier on breakfast, mr drakeford said the end of the firebreak shouldn't be a return to normal. please do not spend your time obsessing about the rules and asking how far you can stretch them. we will only get through this if each one of us asks ourselves not "what can i do?", but "what should i do?" and if we do that — avoid company, travel as little as we can, work from home wherever possible — then we have a path out of this together. in northern ireland, schools reopen today after being closed for an extended two week half term. the closures were part of strict coronavirus measures that will last a total of a month. our ireland correspondent chris pagejoins us now. good morning to you. fill us in if you can on the latest situation. what is happening? one of the ways in which northern ireland has done things differently from the rest of uk is that the schools here have been shot. there has been an extended half term break, usually at halloween pupils have a week of school. this time they have had two weeks. that extended closure is coming to an end today, they will be backin coming to an end today, they will be back in classrooms this morning. we are about halfway through a four—week period of restrictions. pubs, restaurants, they have all gonna take away only. no mixing of households indoors, with some exceptions. close contact businesses, the likes of beauticians, nailbiter, a close. politicians are stressing this is not a lot down. all the shops remain open, gyms remain open for individual training and places of worship can still hold religious services. there is no serious talk from political leaders hear of northern ireland going into fault lockdown mode on saturday whenever borisjohnson made lockdown mode on saturday whenever boris johnson made his lockdown mode on saturday whenever borisjohnson made his announcement for england. the first minister in belfast, arlene foster, tweeted pretty quickly that as far as she was concerned these restrictions would end here in the middle of this month, as planned. the infection rate is coming down, seemingly, though still higher than anybody would like here. thank you. thanks for that information. prince william was unwell with covid—19 earlier this year but it was not publicly announced. palace sources have confirmed the duke of cambridge had the virus around the same time that his father prince charles was self—isolating. jon donnison reports. prince william appearing on itv‘s pride of britain awards last night. you had it among your family as well? yeah, my father had it very early on. it turns out it wasn't just his father who was infected. the prince made no mention that he had also fallen ill with covid—19 last spring, but paid tribute to nhs workers. the devastating impact of the coronavirus pandemic has reminded us as a nation of how much we owe to the thousands of nhs workers who have gone far beyond the call of duty this year. kensington palace is giving no official comment or confirmation but a palace source told the bbc that a story in today's sun newspaper that the prince had shown symptoms of covid—19 around a week into the national lockdown last spring is accurate. i'm catherine and this is william next to me. at the time, prince william continued to carry out a number of official engagements using video conferencing. news of his father's covid—19 infection was made public. at the time he was photographed self—isolating in scotland. but it may be that, given the national mood last spring, there was no desire to add further alarm by revealing prince william's condition. jon donnison, bbc news. the us presidential election enters its final day of campaigning, with both candidates appealing to voters in crucial battleground states. president trump will hold his final rally of the campaign in michigan while his democratic rival joe biden will again focus his energies on pennsylvania. the scale of early voting has been unprecedented with more than 93 million americans having cast their ballots already. the budget airline ryanair has reported an 80% slump in passenger numbers during the coronavirus crisis. in its half—year results, it reported a loss of £178 million and its boss michael o'leary told breakfast it won't be cancelling any more flights in november. vishala can tell us more. no change to ryanair flights no change to ryanairflights in november despite government advice and that also means no refunds for people going on holiday. morning, everyone. the new rules outlined by the government will mean even less flights from england. but not from ryanair — its boss michael o'leary says they're not cancelling any flights — and that means no refunds for holidays. if the flights are operating they will not be any refunds, although they will be able to avail of our change fare policy, we allow people to change their flight timings to flights on later dates if necessary, but if the flight is upgrading, they won't. is the flight is cancelled they will be entitled to a refund. doesn't that go against government advice? doesn't seem very fair on passengers. it is only advice. if the government want to change that advice and provide refunds to passengers themselves they can feel free to do so. at the moment we are “ we free to do so. at the moment we are — — we have free to do so. at the moment we are —— we have people on those flights you are travelling for business reasons and if the flight is operating there are no refunds. that was the boss of ryanair. as he was saying, if the flight is not cancelled then you are not actually legible for a refund. it is the trouble people are having at the moment, that they are not really sure where they stand financially. people on package holidays should get in touch with their provider. the big companies are saying they may offer a full refund. it is worth checking your t&cs and calling and seeing what you are eligible for a. check, check again. we have a wonderful bit of tv coming your way very shortly. that makes it sound like the next bit isn't brilliant, does it? but it's also excellent because carroll is here. she has a rainbow, what more do you need? double rainbow. i can't wait for you whether! laughter really, it's the second time this morning. good morning, we have a bit of everything in the weather this morning. it is windy, wet, and through the course of the day what you will find is it will still be windy and wet. the rain we have clear replaced by showers and very mild in the south—east. that will be replaced by cooler conditions as this whether front sinks steadily southwards. you can see just by looking at the isobar is that it will be a windy day. not quite as windy as it was over the weekend. here is our weather fronts continuing to sink southwards, eventually clearing. killer ever had. a packet of showers, decent sunshine, some of those showers in northern ireland, north—west wales, northern england and south west of scotland will merge. these black circles indicate wind gusts you can expect, so as you can see, circles indicate wind gusts you can expect, so as you can see, some western and southern areas windy with temperature range 9014 degrees. this morning roughly 17 to 18 in parts of the south east —— 9—14. you can see how the temperature is continuing to fall. overnight, the showers across northern areas will push north—eastwards across scotland and, at the same time, we have the next batch of rain coming it across the south—west and that is going to move through southern wales and head eastwards. in between there will be some clear skies and it will be a cold at night than we have been used to. tomorrow we pick up this band of rain. as it continues itsjourney moving in the direction of east anglia and kent, the wash and lincolnshire before clearing, behind it will see a return to bright skies, sunshine and fewer showers. still blustery but not as windy as today. temperatures nine in the north to about 12 as we sweep down to the south. that leads us into a cold night, tuesday into wednesday, with thrust, but wednesday is looking much drier, and wednesday will also have lighter winds and temperatures up to about 12. thank you very much, thank you. wonderful weather, that, carol. this is a story that has touched all of our hearts. in the week or so of our coverage since covering paul harvey and the bbc philharmonic recording of his son, it has reached the top of his son, it has reached the top of the amazon and itunes charts. our inbox has been flooded with messages of support for the former music teacher who is living with dementia. now, breakfast‘s graham satchell has been to catch up with one viewer, who has a very special surprise for paul. it's been quite a week for 80—year—old paul harvey. his improvised tune four notes has been top of various download charts and touched people around the world. this music makes me so emotional and i hope everyone buys it to raise money for dementia charities. love to you, paul. i wish you well. 0h! how sweet. paul and nick have been overwhelmed by the public response. ijust think, wow, great stuff. i love it, but it's, it's, yeah, i'm riding the bucking bronco and just enjoying it. it's been incredible and i have been so overwhelmed by this, it's been like a tsunami of love for dad. yesterday, i received in the post, a letterfrom someone i've never met before with a £100 donation to one of the charities. honestly, it has been amazing. and i've been blown away by it. my wife, mhairi, and i were lying in bed watching bbc breakfast and all the doom and gloom that comes from the news these days, and this piece came on and it was like, it was like something so special. sir tom hunter, just one viewer deeply moved by paul's story. sir tom is an entrepreneur who set up his first business selling trainers from the back of a van with a £5,000 loan from his dad. so my dad was and is my hero. it really resonated with myself because i lost both my mum and my dad to alzheimer's. sir tom's other great influence, the philanthropist, andrew carnegie. we decided we were not going to be the richest people in the graveyard and really guided by andrew carnegie, who said you should do something with your money while you're still alive. time for one more surprise. so, hi, pauland nick. hello. we were so moved, my wife and i, when we saw your wonderful piece on bbc breakfast and in a time where people are searching for good news, you lit up the screen with, first of all, the relationship between the father and the son, and then the relationship with music. so my wife, mhairi, and i would like to help you by donating £1 million from the hunter foundation to help... put a light into trying to release people from alzheimer's. we really believe music is a key. we really believe you're onto something and we really want to help. wow! ina time when we're all searching in this confusing time, some things never change. wow. and the things that never change are a father's love for his son and a son's love for his father. thank you. so please, take good care. i will. thank you so much. wow. i don't know what to say. thank you. amazing! what a team, eh, dad? you and me, take on the world. that is fantastic. it really is. oh, dear. i didn't think i could be moved more much more now, but i can. shall we split that between the two charities? no! oh, yes, yes, yes. i thought you were going to say split it between you and me. can you imagine? split it between the two charities? that is fantastic. yeah. so £1 million split between the alzheimer's society and music for dementia. a remarkable moment for both nick and paul. and for all this to happen, and i'm in my flippin 805, that's pretty good, i think that is. you know, i'm happy with that. you know. just think what you'll achieve in your 90s. 0h, gawd help us! sensational. i know that two people are crying. watching that incredible film was arlene phillips, the former strictly come dancing judge who's an ambassador for the alzheimer's society, and also grace meadows, the programme director of music for dementia. thank you both forjoining us. i know we have surprised you with that news, and million shared between your charities and i know it has set your charities and i know it has set you off, hasn't it? raise, we will come to you in a moment, i know you have been in tears. arlene, what is your response? my make—up has run. apart from your make up and running, what is your response to that? it's so what is your response to that? it's so deeply moving. it's hard to believe. both those charities need all the money they can, of course, like every charity in lockdown, so much of the money they need hasn't been there. so this is incredible. but also, this music, this music that swoops and soars right into your heart and soul is so very, very precious. because everyone at the moment, again, going into lockdown, many, many people who have dementia, alzheimer's, they cannot see their families as much as they need to, and then you hear this music, everything you hold inside, stay tight, | everything you hold inside, stay tight, i will get on with it, it is that spirit, whatever happens, i have to be ok. that music hits you and really, all the tears that are locked inside, and in many ways, it is probably to say, it's ok that we don't all feel our best and it's ok to want people and feel so much for families that have someone with dementia to say, i want and need to be with them, my heart is crying for contact. that is understandable and this music kind of says it all. let's go to grace. half of that million pounds going to your charity. my heart goes out to you because we surprised you with that. dan and! because we surprised you with that. dan and i were watching your reaction, you are a bit overwhelmed, aren't you? it's been extraordinary. listening to paul and nick in that video, the roller—coaster, i cannot believe what they had been through and for that to be one of the many results that has come about because of his beautiful, naturally gifted musicality, their love for each other, it'sjust the most extraordinary thing. for me, my mind is racing, wonderful ways in which we can support a musical work force to support people with dementia and those who care for them because so many services have not been able to happen over the past six or seven months and now, more than ever, as arlene says, we need music in our lives and this really speaks to the power of music. i could not agree more with everything arlene so eloquently and beautifully said but for me, this is all about relationships. music is people, people are all about relationships, this isjust people are all about relationships, this is just extraordinary. people are all about relationships, this isjust extraordinary. i'm so, i'm flabbergasted! we are so incredibly grateful to tom and his generosity. i was going to ask you about that. that's one fewer who is ina about that. that's one fewer who is in a really privileged position and he said, like so many others, he has been so touched by what we have seen from paul and nick and the reaction of so many people, getting that piece of music to number one, donating £1 million split in those charities which will make such a huge difference, grace? such a huge difference, we know so many organisations are concerned about having to close, or are no longer offer their services and the services are really vital. we know music is so vital, paul has told this incredible story, nick and i we re this incredible story, nick and i were talking in the week about how were talking in the week about how we didn't realise how stratospheric this would go stop i think what it also speaks to is that music touches all of us, as arlene says. we don't need to be as musically gifted as paul but we can all feel the impact of it and there are lots of people out there who help you to do that, music therapists, practitioners, the wonderful performers and entertainers and we need to have their back in our care settings so everyone can feel the impact of music. arlene, you are an ambassador for the alzheimer society, this kind of thing also raises the profile, doesn't it, in many ways, which i presume is helpful? it's enormously helpful. they have a group singing the brain which many people might have seen on television. they have their christmas carol concert and, it's in december, the 17th, it's a fundraiser, everyone invited to watch and it's about music. it's about the help give to people with dementia. and singing, every single week, and again, it all needs funding so this, and the generosity, is incredible and i hope it will inspire people because we all know alzheimer's is increasing more and more and more, one in three people in the world, will get alzheimer's and the more funding, the more funding that goes into music, helping people contact with the music they listened to in their era, memory, somehow, there, people can sing along with songs from their youth or from a time when they listened to music or danced to music, it is the same with dance, people remember. this funding will help enormously and i hope inspire others to realise how important it is. it's lovely to hear you both so happy this morning. after watching that and hearing about the donation. i wanted, grace, that and hearing about the donation. iwanted, grace, tarski, people looking at the front page of the papers this morning, stories about sir bobby charlton, his wife saying she is happy for it to be made public that he is living with dementia at the moment. and she says it can help others with the condition, i wonder what impact that might have? i think somebody as significant as sir bobby, announcing he has dementia, it's really important because it means there is still a lot of stigma around dementia and it means people are going to be able to start feeling like they can talk about it more and be able to add conversations and get the help they need. we know there is an awful lot of people out there who have dementia who, for whatever reason, don't feel they can ask for help or feel they could even tell people about the fact they know that something is not quite right sol think having a significant figure such as him, telling their story, a bit like paul, telling their stories, it encourages others to reach out and have conversations about how important it is to get help. at this time, it is difficult to get services, we can really encourage you to use services such as the alzheimer's society, phone the helpline. try and speak to your gp. at the help you need. it's so important. the sooner you get help the better it is. thank you so much. grace and arlene. we are sorry we surprised you. we made you cry. it's an amazing surprise. inspiring. paul isjust, just incredible. everyone needs our paul in their lives to teach them, to educate them. he has done so much. looking back at the films from his students. he has done so films from his students. he has done so much. it makes you realise a good teacher is everything. thank you both so much. you are not alone. thank you to sir tom, for being in touch, for his donation and everyone else who has generously donated. thank you. i think we need to apologise. a lot of people saying where it was the warning for tissues? we were not ready for this. we promised you a lift. the story of paul and nick, the way it has just mushroomed out, initially coming on the programme, the wonderful work the programme, the wonderful work the bbc for the monarch has done. i don't know about you, i love the weight nick looks at his dad when paul is talking. i can't not watch it without being in floods of tears. amazing, beautiful. it is lovely. we have captain sir tom moore coming up. hello, this is breakfast with dan walker and louise minchin. you with dan walker and louise minchin. are watching there you are watching breakfast. we think there may have been a technical issue. some of you may have been staring at a bbc breakfast logo for the last few minutes. apologies, we will fix that for next time and we are back now and you do not need to adjust your tv set and we will continue with the programme. morning live will follow breakfast on bbc one today. its presenters kym marsh and gethinjones are here to tell us what's on today's programme. good morning! is i make a good morning. i'm glad we've sorted everything. thank you, we look forward to having your company every morning straight after breakfast. with all the new changes on saturday we are looking ahead to what eve ryo ne we are looking ahead to what everyone will be doing differently this time around. your questions have been flooding in, so dr xand will be here to go through them and give his advice on what it all means. plus he will set the record straight on rumours surrounding a shortage of the flu jab. the latest developments reinforce why, if you are heading out, you will probably be taking a face covering to help stop the spread of covid but is the style you picked offering as much protection as you might think? style you picked offering as much protection as you might think7m style you picked offering as much protection as you might think? in a morning live exclusive we have put the most popular masks through tests ina lab the most popular masks through tests in a lab and you will not want to miss the results. you will see just how effective or not each one really is. today is the start of men's mental health month and with three infour men mental health month and with three in four men finding it hard to tell a loved one they are struggling, matt is here to tell us about the simple things that can help lighten the load. we love hearing from brea kfast the load. we love hearing from breakfast viewers, so join the conversation by heading to our social pages and sending your questions and comments to us right now. what's my profession head triumph on the strictly denis law, janette manrara will hot step it to us for a chat and share how she is enrolling in one of the top universities in the well. we will see you at 9:15am. we will look forward to it, thank you, kym, gethin. for many businesses, the announcement of a second lockdown in england means they'll have to close their doors from thursday. this morning, we're looking at what it could mean for companies and workers who have already faced a very difficult year. in a moment, we'll hearfrom tim muffett who is at a gym in london. but first, john maguire is at a hair salon in bristol. give us an idea of how they are preparing for lockdown 2.0. they are absolutely flat out is the best way to describe it. this is the creations hair salon in bristol. we have had to turn the phone offer for a minute. let it rain, there it goes again. we will chat on. that is how busy they have been. they are working 14 hour days to try to get as many clients through as possible. good morning to you once again, rachel, how are you getting on with agnes? near the end. we are. this is the longest hair. tell me, what are your plans now? you have obviously been through the first lockdown. what are your plans for the next month or so? well, obviously, you know, we still have to keep in contact with our clients. yeah. keep them up—to—date with when we will be back open again, still making appointments for when we are back, but also preparing them if they extend it, your appointment will have to be moved every week. but apart from that, that's all we can do, you know? because... we can't work, so, you know, it's really tough. you were saying earlier that there was a good bounce back from there was a good bounce back from the first lockdown. yes. but then things quietened down over the summer. things quietened down over the summer. so obviously when we come backin summer. so obviously when we come back in december that is normally every hairdresser facing, it's manic. people want it done for christmas and new year, sol manic. people want it done for christmas and new year, so i know we will be really busy, you know? doing things like that. yeah. so it should help, but will it change after? yeah. we have all sorts of devices going off in the background now! you are very going off in the background now! you are very busy. agnes, what are your thoughts going into lockdown now and then the next couple of weeks? so, for me, because i worked through the la st for me, because i worked through the last lockdown, it's much the same. keeping me and my family safe and everybody around us that is your priority. we have just about enough time before the phone rings again, just a quick chat with pam. you are a regular, you come in a couple of times a week. why do you come and get your head and so often? times a week. why do you come and get your head and so often7m times a week. why do you come and get your head and so often? itjust makes me feel better. i don't like washing my own hair but i do do it, but ijust like coming in. it's a treat. yes, it is. he will miss it over the next few weeks.” treat. yes, it is. he will miss it over the next few weeks. i shall be first in the queue when it reopens. everybody will look forward to seeing you again. thank you to you all. you get a sense, the phone ringing off the hook, people trying to get in over the next couple of days. 14 hour days they are doing at the moment, and then of course helping to reopen at the beginning of december. normally a busy time, who knows what it will be like this year? 2020, the weirdest year ever, continues apace. thank you for the moment, i think you're right. tim muffett is at a gym in south west london for us. good morning to you and presumably from thursday that will be closed. that's right, and talking of continuing at a pace, just done my 10k ona continuing at a pace, just done my 10k on a treadmill. i haven't really! but for a lot of people in gyms are such a huge part of their daily routine. we are at a gym in new malden in south—west london. thomas and louise are two people who come here regularly. how important is this place for you? yeah, we come most days now, don't we? we have just got into a bit of a routine, so it's going to be a big change for us. closing on thursday for at least a month, what impact will that have on your life? is difficult, you can still do things at home but it isn't the same, you don't get the social interaction with like—minded people like you do here. this place is safe, everyone sanitises their equipment. they have only had to report one test and trace incident, they take everyone's temperature on they take everyone's temperature on the way in. thank you very much. i will let you carry on with your morning work—out. this gym only openedin morning work—out. this gym only opened injuly morning work—out. this gym only opened in july so morning work—out. this gym only opened injuly so it has always operated under slightly strange conditions. daniel, what are your thoughts about their state? you are the co—owner. thoughts about their state? you are the co-owner. we have to close down, it's going to put a lot of pressure on us from a financial standpoint. we we re on us from a financial standpoint. we were upset with the lockdown and the measures put in place. has enough been done to help businesses such as yours? not really, i know there has been help available but nothing has been put forward specifically for the leisure industry. best of luck. i hope your business gets through it. i will chat to one person here who is busy. what is this called? it is and doctor. you wear a reserve in the armed forces. exercise is also about mental health. absolutely, for me it's a routine. as a reservist, being in her majesties armed forces, it is important to keep fitness up. people say, gyms are close, you can exercise outside. what do you say? unfortunately it's not summer, so it's not really convenient to have even one to one, because the weather isn't great outside, unfortunately. if we go back to all that graphical steps we were talking about, i gym is by far the safest place to be —— graphical statistics. abductor? yes. sounds interesting. for so many businesses, a month of closure lies ahead from thursday. things will be very different. this business, like so very different. this business, like so many others, hoping it can somehow get through. thank you. tim is on somehow get through. thank you. tim isona somehow get through. thank you. tim is on a gym jenny stopped right he really is. people in scotland will be waking up to new coronavirus restrictions today as the country enters a five tier system. we can now speak to the deputy first minister of scotland, john swinney. good morning to you. thank you very much indeed forjoining us. we know these new rules started in scotland this morning. given what has happened in england and that it is going to go to lockdown, are you considering that physio wheat will certainly look at all of the developments that have taken place over the weekend and see what lessons and conclusions we need to draw from that. we have obviously been operating with very tight restrictions in place in scotland for the best part of two months, so we have seen quite significant effect on flattening out the prevalence of the virus, but obviously the changes that the prime minister announced on saturday may well have an effect so we will certainly consider the implications. you are not ruling out a total lockdown at this point?” you are not ruling out a total lockdown at this point? i cannot possibly rule out a total lockdown. we have to keep that open as a possibility. we are trying very much to avoid that if we possibly can do, and the restrictions we have had in place for the last two months have been designed to try to act at a very early stage to reduce the virus effect within scotland. we have obviously moved, this morning, as you said, into the levelled system and that is designed to make sure different parts of the country, we can apply tighter restrictions where there is case for doing so. a large pa rt there is case for doing so. a large part of the central belt is under very tight restrictions, continuing from this morning. so we are making a judgment about what is having the effect to make sure we stamp coronavirus, but i cannot possibly rule out the possibility of a further national lockdown. depress you further, what kind of timeline are you looking at that? we will look at that with great care, we look at that with great care, we look at that with great care, we look at it on a daily basis, we are looking at the numbers on a daily basis to make sure we are continuing to see that flattening off within the prevalence of coronavirus. we have seen that for quite a number of days now, which gives us some confidence that the measures we took way back in early september, that we re way back in early september, that were reinforced in late september and turned up a gear in early october, they are beginning to have that effect on the prevalence of the virus. so we are seeing that progress being made, but we look at this on a daily basis to make sure that ourjudgments are correct because we want to avoid a situation where we have a rising number of cases, where we have pressure on the national health service, and where we try to do all that we possibly can to minimise the effect of the virus on the public. so from today, scotla nd virus on the public. so from today, scotland has a five different levels which goes from zero to four. is there any particular area you are particularly concerned about that may have to go into four? we have looked very closely at the areas in the central belt, which is the main area between edinburgh and glasgow and the surrounding areas where there is very high prevalence. within that, the areas of north and south lanarkshire are the most challenging for us and we wrestled long and hard as to whether or not those areas should go into level four. what we were persuaded by was the fact that the two local authorities in that area, the health board and the police, they were working very effectively together to try to take these measures to suppress the virus and secure public compliance. we essentially enabled those two authority areas to stay in level three but they were very much on the cusp of the decision as to whether they went into level four and we obviously are keeping that under daily review to determine whether or not we made the correct decision or whether we need to revisit that. or for that matter the decision in any other local authority area. and there are some people who are concerned they are in the wrong level, some of the islands, for example, not many cases, do they really need to be placed in level one? yes, because we have to make sure we are not relaxing the restrictions too early. in the highlands and islands we have much lower prevalence of the virus, we have allowed them to operate with a bit less restrictions than other parts of the country. but there have been cases in the islands, only a couple of weeks ago, a very serious outbreak in the western isles and the local authority, the local health board had to work very, very ha rd to health board had to work very, very hard to get that under control and they succeeded in doing so. so the possibility is there that the virus could spread on some of our more sparsely populated areas and we've got to be, pay close attention to where that is happening to make sure we ta ke where that is happening to make sure we take early action to suppress the virus and the restrictions we have in place are designed to do that. cani in place are designed to do that. can i ask you about furlough? we know from the treasury this morning furlough scheme will be uk wide until england comes out of luck done, you would welcome that? until england comes out of luck done, you would welcome that7m until england comes out of luck done, you would welcome that? it is a step forward but i think the treasury has got a bit of a brass neck, to be honest. we've been asking for the extension of furlough along with wales and northern ireland bought the best part of a month and we've been told every time, no, and there was no money available and suddenly, furlough has been extended because of the problems in england. i welcome the fa ct problems in england. i welcome the fact that it has been extended at this stage, i will commit for the people of england but i want to make sure that furlough is available at 80% for any part of the united kingdom when it requires it, should we have to take more acute measures. that is a matter of real concern, that the treasury are not agreeing to that and we will press the treasury very hard on the point today to make sure we make progress and they change their minds.” appreciate your time. thank you for joining us this morning. john swinney, thank you. it is 47 minutes past eight. monday morning. here's carol with a final look at the weather. good morning, everyone. we have a little bit of this and that over the next few days, today, pretty wet and windy, mild start in the south and south—east, cooler through the day. this weather front is a cold front and as it sweeps into the south—east, taking a train with it, cooler air will follow behind. this weather front will enhance the showers across parts of northern ireland, south—west scotland, north—west england, north—west wales through today. in between, there will be some sunshine, some trite weather, but it's still going to be fairly windy, especially across southern areas and also parts of the west. not as windy further north as it was during the course of the weekend. temperatures today ranging from nine in the north to 14 in the south—east, starting this morning with temperatures between 15 and 18 degrees. you can see how they slipped behind the weather front as it clears. through this evening and overnight all the showers across northern ireland, northern england, north wales, southern scotland, merge at times and pushed north eastwards stop at the same time we have another weather front coming in across south—west and south—west england, drifting eastwards and in between there will be some clear skies so it will be a colder night recently. as we head through tomorrow at this weather front from the south—west continues pushing in the south—west continues pushing in the direction of the north sea, you see the isobar is still quite close together so it's still going to be a blustery day, not as windy anywhere as it is today. tomorrow, there goes that rain, clearing into the north sea eventually. a fair bit of dry weather left behind it but there will also be some showers, blustery showers, temperature range through the course of tomorrow climbing up toa the course of tomorrow climbing up to a maximum of round about 12, maybe 13 degrees. nine in lerwick and stornoway. tuesday into wednesday, this little ridge of high pressure building income at the isobar is spacing out so it's not going to be as windy on wednesday and in fact, going to be as windy on wednesday and infact, on going to be as windy on wednesday and in fact, on wednesday, what you find is it's going to be largely dry. we look at that to start with, some frost sting, we could even see some frost sting, we could even see some patchy mist and fog and through the course of the day, a lot of dry weather, one or two row showers here and there. later in the day the clown thickens in the north—west of scotland, later again we see the arrival of some rain. temperatures nine in the north, 12 or 13 as we push down towards the south. for the following days, you can see the trend, one or two showers knocking around but for many of us, it will be dry, not going to be as windy, but cooler by day and night. thank you so much for keeping us company as ever. thank you. it's 8:50am. sally is here. people are watching for the first time, some really sad news about sir bobby charlton. yes, he has been diagnosed with dementia, the news coming out in the last 24 hours, ina the news coming out in the last 24 hours, in a way, it is for a positive reason. sir bobby charlton's wife, lady norma, said she was happy for his diagnosis to be made public, in order to help others. sir bobby is the fifth member of england's1966 world cup winning side to be diagnosed with dementia. the news follows the deaths of his older brother jack injuly, and fellow world cup—winner nobby stiles on friday, both of whom also had the condition. iam not i am not sure what sir bobby would say about manchester united at the moment. manchester united's paul pogba admitted he made a "stupid mistake", giving away the penalty that handed victory to arsenal at old trafford, with a needless challenge on hector bellerin. and pierre emerik aubameyang scored from the spot — that's arsenal's first premier league away win over united for 14 years. tottenham are up to second — gareth bale with the winner in a 2—1 victory over brighton — that's his first goal since he returned to the club. rangers beat kilmarnock1—0 to move nine points clear of celtic in the scottish premiership — james tavernier scoring from the penalty spot. celtic have two games in hand, though. thanks largely to their scottish cup run they beat aberdeen 2—0 to set up a meeting with hearts in next month's final. manchester city beat everton 3—1 at wembley, to lift the women's fa cup for the third time. it was a terrific match — 1—1 after 90 minutes — and in extra time, georgia stanway and janine beckie scored to give city the trophy. lewis hamilton is on the brink of a seventh world f1 title, after winning the emilia—romagna grand prix at imola. he led valtteri bottas in a mercedes 1—2, which gave his team the constructors' championship for the seventh year in a row. hamilton can win the drivers title in turkey in two weeks' time. british cyclist hugh carthy enjoyed the biggest win of his career at the vuelta a espana. he won stage 12 in the spanish mountains, to move up to third place overall. it's his first stage victory at one of cycling's grand tours. carthy is 32 seconds behind leader richard carapaz. well done to him. quite an achievement on those hills. thank you. it makes you tired, just looking at it. but it is nice to have some sport to watch. thank you. during the first lockdown back in april, captain tom moore captured the nation's hearts as he completed laps of his garden to raise money for nhs charities. since then, he's gone on to raise nearly £33 million, released an autobiography, had a number one single and he's been knighted. i'm not sure he's been busy enough, in fairness! and luckily for us, he's managed to squeeze us into his busy schedule this morning. he joins us now along with his daughter hannah. good morning to you both and thank you for being with us this morning. how are you both? how are you? how are you? i am fine, thank you very much. in spite of this wind blowing, lam doing much. in spite of this wind blowing, i am doing fine! we wanted to invite you both onto the programme because of course, england is going into lockdown two and we wanted to know how you feel about it, going into it? we are on today because the country is about to go into another national lockdown. louise is asking how you feel about it. what would you like to say to people? how you feel about it. what would you like to say to people 7” how you feel about it. what would you like to say to people? i would like to say, at the moment, a lot of you do not remember, but i remember we had a very difficult time, it was called the battle of britain. things we re very called the battle of britain. things were very bad then. we fought on and were very bad then. we fought on and we fought on, the young people, everyone , we fought on, the young people, everyone, put their shoulders to the wheel. and we beat the battle of britain and whatever we are up against at the moment, we shall do exactly the same! remember, we are british and we always get through, we don't get downhearted. we will get through, whatever is happening. whatever is thrown at us. and we shall win. wonderful message and i am sure it will have a massive impact on our viewers and further afield. hannah, iwanted impact on our viewers and further afield. hannah, i wanted to ask you, your dad is with you, giving us a beautiful message to try and get the entire nation to battle through the second lockdown but what is it like for you to be living and spending so much time with this great man to your right hand side? is he is inspirational in the house as he is to the rest of the nation? absolutely! i think, to the rest of the nation? absolutely! ithink, we have to the rest of the nation? absolutely! i think, we have lived this incredible multi—generational life for 13 years and perhaps we took it a little bit for granted and then when we shared the story, exactly seven months ago, i think it has exactly seven months ago, i think it ha 5 a llowe d exactly seven months ago, i think it has allowed us to look inwards and save has allowed us to look inwards and save what an incredibly special environment we live in, so impactful to the children and now, this positivity, this beacon of hope, this sense of pride in being british is shared across the nation and around the world. we feel so, so lucky, we feel like we have been givena gift lucky, we feel like we have been given a gift and responsibility. you talk about the gift and responsibility, i know you are both very busy but imagine knowing your house, are you thinking of doing a new challenge? louise would like to know are you thinking of a new challenge? it is a challenge against this terrible business. and i think, whereas before, everybody put their shoulders to the wheel and we won through and i am sure we can do that again with everybody 's through and i am sure we can do that again with everybody '5 help. through and i am sure we can do that again with everybody 's help. lots of people over the weekend, you are very active on social media, lots of people saying they want your dad to get his trainers back on. i am not sure the weather is quite right for that but has he got something up his sleeves ? that but has he got something up his sleeves? well, we have but i think this is a very special moment for all of us. we know we are in this together and we would like to say to the nation, you tell us what you think we should do. we have some ideas but as we did just a couple of weeks into the initial fundraising, weeks into the initial fundraising, we would like to share this with the nation. what i would like to say to everyone , we nation. what i would like to say to everyone, we had fundraising before, now it is up to you, the nation, to decide whether we should go forward. and do another fundraising, we will do through our own captain tom foundation. we are prepared to go and raise a lot more and give a lot of hope for everyone. we are going to have help from you because there are so many to have help from you because there are so many lonely people who are in need of help and it is up to everyone to give us assistance in the foundation. to go through again. and do all the good that we did before. thank you both very much. hannah and sirtom, before. thank you both very much. hannah and sir tom, you have set as a challenge. to help you decide what to do. thank you so much. if you've got any challenge ideas for captain tom, you can email us at bbcbreakfast@bbc.co.uk or get in touch on facebook or twitter. it is cold so maybe not outside challenges. but it's your choice. they have ideas but they would love to hear from you. you're watching bbc breakfast. it's 8:59. this is bbc news with the latest headlines. boris johnson will urge mps to back his plan for a second national lockdown in england when he makes a statement in the house of commons later. the pm is expected to stress the government's intention to ease restrictions after a month. scotland's new 5—tier system of restrictions comes into force — with edinburgh, glasgow and the central belt facing controls on alcohol sales and restaurant opening times. and new restrictions for wales — later today the first minister will set out his plans for when the country's firebreak lockdown ends next monday. we'll be speaking to the experts later this hour to answer your questions on the new restrictions across the uk and how they will work.
virus. turmoil in downing street as one of the closest advisers to the primers to quicks as head of communications in behind inviting. a nurse has appeared in court charged with murdering eight babies, and the attempted murder of ten babies at a hospital in chester. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronavirus than white people. and also this hour, something to look forward to. a long bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's platinum jubilee in 2022. good afternoon. the number of people waiting more than a year for hospital treatment in england has hit its highest level since 2008. patients are meant to be seen within 18 weeks, but nearly 140,000 people are on the waiting list at the end of september and have been waiting for more than a year. health officials say cutting the number of coronavirus cases is crucial in tackling this backlog. 0ur health correspondent has more details. stephanie was diagnosed with a rare form of skin cancer injuly, after finding a suspicious mole. the 43—year—old pharmacist was told she should have surgery in four weeks, but it took nearly three months. waiting for my operation to come round, i did feel alone, i felt scared. depression. anxiety. just not knowing, and not having any contact with anyone, and having to phone the hospital to chase up times, timescales for appointments for these operations. it's hard. stephanie fears the delay has made her condition worse. she will find out if her cancer had spread further in a few weeks, and says without her family's support, she wouldn't be able to cope. i work for the nhs myself, so i understand the pressure the nhs is under with covid, and how it has been dealt with, but if it wasn't for those i feel i would totally be on my own. coronavirus has consumed the health service. the latest figures for september show the number of patients waiting for more than a year for routine operations is the highest it's been since 2008. nhs england say nearly 140,000 people waited more than 12 months. in total, there are now more than 4.3 million on the waiting list. if you want the nhs to look after the patients we see over winter when we are at our most stretched, if you want us to deal with covid patients coming in, and recover those backlogs, the bit you can control is the number of covid patients. you can't stop people having heart attacks, strokes, slipping over on the ice. cancer services are now back to pre—pandemic levels but there is still a significant backlog. these latest figures also don't take the pressures of the second wave into account, with cancellations of non—urgent work already happening. anoushka found a cyst on her breast injune. she sought medical advice but was repeatedly told it was benign. as a last resort she went to her local a&e where she was diagnosed with breast cancer. i feel very angry that i was not diagnosed earlier. seek treatment, don't be deterred. yes, covid is a factor, but there is a lot more going on out there. anna collinson, bbc news. 0ur health correspondent nick triggle is with me now. people will be really alarmed when they hear that stat about some people waiting more than a year. this is for routine procedures, but imean, this is for routine procedures, but i mean, these are still things that are very, very important to a lot of people. explain more about that. yes, they are. they are knee and hip replacements, cataract surgery for eyesight problems and over the summer eyesight problems and over the summer there was eyesight problems and over the summer there was a eyesight problems and over the summer there was a big push by the nhs to get back to doing more of this non—covid work, and let's have a look to see, and we can see a chart to see how they have been doing. hospitals have been struggling to carry out as many operations as they did prior to the pandemic, and we can see that these are the long waiting list, patients waiting over a yearfor are the long waiting list, patients waiting over a year for treatment. this time last year there was only just over a thousand on the waiting list who had waited over a year, but during the pandemic numbers have been increasing and now they have hit nearly 140,000. that added to a waiting list of over 4 million, so still a smack —— a small fraction but gives an idea of the pandemic, and we call these routine operations but the royal college of surgeons has come out today to point out that these are patients who are left in pain, often unable to get on with independent lives that they had previously led, so they say it's a really serious problem that the nhs must get on top of. but hugely difficult. that is a gargantuan task, and how much confidence is there amongst medics you speak to that they can do it? and i am wondering as well if there are differences depending on which part of the country you live in. there are differences, and we are seeing some of the more severe problems in the north where the infection levels are higher and we have seen more hospitals cut back on this nonurgent work. the thing the nhs is having to do because of the pressure from covid is prioritised, so for example, we know cancer services are back to the pre—pandemic levels in terms of the numbers of patients who getan terms of the numbers of patients who get an urgent checkup and the numbers of patients who are receiving treatment. there is still quite a backlog to be seen but they are back seeing as many as they were this time last year, but what it has meant is that those waiting for what are perhaps some would say less urgent conditions are having to wait longer. the nhs does have a massive task trying to catch up with this. there was a push over the summer, but the problem is that we are seeing rising numbers of patients admitted to hospital for coronavirus. at the end of september when the figures relate to, there we re when the figures relate to, there were just when the figures relate to, there werejust 2000 in hospital in england but there are now five times that number and that is why we are hearing of hospitals almost on a weekly basis having to cut back, and the fear is that waiting lists for these routine treatments will get worse. nick, for now, thank you very much. the uk economy came out of recession, with record growth between july and september, but still remains below where it was before the pandemic began. the chancellor rishi sunak says there is cause for cautious optimism but he added it's going to be a difficult winter, and analysts expect the economy to shrink again because of the impact of new coronavirus restrictions. 0ur economics correspondent andy verity reports. growth was up by three months to september as a result of the lifting of restrictions on the eat out to help out scheme but the news was not enough to reverse the damage caused by coronavirus on the lockdown. the economy is still more than 8% smaller than when the virus hit. 0ur economics correspondent andy verity reports. today's figures refer back to what now seems a bygone era — july to september. with lockdown over, restrictions lifted and half price fry—ups at taxpayers' expense, economic activity rose by a record 15.5%. at this exeter pub, business was up by 30% in august, though it slowed down in september, and now once again it's a bit dead. eat out to help 0ut was absolutely fantastic for us. we were turning away so many people, and we were very busy. our trade was around 25% up on the previous year in august, so we felt that this money that we make in august will probably be used to get us through the hard winter ahead. but in some parts of the economy, there was no summer bounce—back. this 3d printing company makes models for exhibition and was growing before the pandemic struck. it really just took the feet away from us. how do i reduce my costs? how do i avoid spending any money? how do i get through with little or no income? as a limited company owner, gavin was among up to 2.9 million people excluded from most government support. he's tried to adapt by shifting from physical models to computer—aided design, but it's a long haul. well, i've had some success there, but it'll take a long time to build that up from a very low base, and it'll be a year or two before that fills in all the activity that we were previously doing. just as the economy shrank by record amounts when restrictions were imposed in the spring, so it grew by record amounts when those restrictions were lifted, but at the end of september it was still a tenth smaller than it was at the end of 2019, and the bank of england's predicting that in the fourth quarter it will shrink again. what the figures today show is that the economy was recovering over the summer, but, yes, that recovery is slowing down coming into the autumn and it is likely that has continued as a result of the health restrictions we have necessarily had to put in place to suppress the spread of the virus. but there are reasons for cautious optimism. improvements in mass testing being rolled out, news on the vaccine, though early days. but the drop in activity of nearly 10% since the start of the year is more than twice as large as in italy, or germany or france. our country is experiencing the worst downturn in the g7. we have a long way to go and of course we are back in lockdown again now, so i would agree with the chancellor on this. unfortunately, we are likely to see a very severe impact from that feeding into the last quarter of this year's figures. a recovery needs businesses to invest and business investment is still down from a fifth from its pre—covid level. vaccination will do more to change that than any government policy, but for most of us that's still months away. andy verity, bbc news. i'll be talking to a business owner about the impact of running a business. 0ur economics editor, faisal islam said the government's top priority would now be to ensure the economic recovery continues despite the threat posed by the pandemic. it's clearly welcome, the technical recession is over, clearly welcome we have had a record quarter of growth over the summer, but history happens very quickly in this crisis, and that is in the kind of rear—view mirror now. now most people expect the economy is contracting by a smaller amount than the previous lockdown and there are clouds on the economy in terms of the continued uncertainty over our trading relationship with europe, but there is also a big ray of sunshine which is the prospect of a functioning vaccine. that should help people, you know, big businesses, trying to invest for next year, think, 0k, there is a prospect of the economy recovering. so far what we have is a catch up recovery from lights going back on in the economy, but not a full—blown recovery. faisal islam there. to find out how this is affecting bushiness in the real economy, we can speak now to patricia michelson, owner of the delicatessen la formagerie which has three shops in london. very good afternoon to you and i hope you are hearing me 0k. very good afternoon to you and i hope you are hearing me ok. i mean, goodness, you are a very specialist operation. just explain a little to the audience what the last few months have been like for you and your team. seven months, and it's been a very interesting seven months, a trial, but we think on our feet and we reinvent the shopping space all the time and it has obviously lost momentum, the month we are now in, we are closed down in central london, with no shops at all except for our marylebone shop and the highbury shop being in the suburbs, that's great, that's doing fine. 0ur bloomsbury shop, sadly, in an area right in the heart of the city is also suffering. but we are reinventing ourselves and doing lots of home deliveries, suppers to go, lots of virtual tutorials but we have lost out on the wholesale to restau ra nt have lost out on the wholesale to restaurant and are doing a massive amount online, so things are not great, but we are chugging along. we are doing our best. it's interesting you mention restaurants, because i assume a lot of what you do is supplying local restaurants and we all know about the parlous situation that a lot of them are in. that must have had a knock—on. that a lot of them are in. that must have had a knock-on. absolutely. i have had a knock-on. absolutely. i have a restaurant site to my business, a bar and restaurant side, and of course that has suffered, and all the people who would be working in the restaurant side are working doing things for the online supper clu bs doing things for the online supper clubs and things like that. i think it is tragic that all of our hospitality had spent a huge amount of money restyling their restaurants and putting in all the ppe in and then as soon as they've got it up and running, they are told to close down again for a month. it is just crazy. i just don't down again for a month. it is just crazy. ijust don't know what down again for a month. it is just crazy. i just don't know what the future holds. i really don't. in terms of forward planning, at the moment, we are all looking to the date of december the 2nd and we don't know what will happen then and i'm interested, as a business owner, and you're talking about how nimble business owners have had to be. can you plan for that date? what do you do? do you work on the assumption that it would be later than that date, and i wonder what you do and how you keep your staff going, and furlough and all of those issues. it's not just furlough, furlough and all of those issues. it's notjust furlough, it is keeping the staff working here in a good frame of mind, a positive frame of mind because everybody needs to be on the movement, it's like a pantomime, he's behind you? is he behind you? we just don't know, and we have to work everyday as it comes and make sure that are servicing the public and our customers as best as we possibly can and give them a christmas that will not be the usual christmas, but let's give them a delicious christmas with all the things we have got, and we are bringing in loads of stuff, but whether we will sell it is another thing but i committed myself to products, to produce, to cheese, all sorts of things. i can't let the cheesemakers down by not taking it, so i've got all of this product and we have to sell it and i am urging eve ryo ne we have to sell it and i am urging everyone to shop local, remember your beautiful shops that you could go shopping out every day, and just be positive, as positive as you can. we must work towards this, the 2nd of december, we will reopen and let see what we can do for the rest of the year. yes, well, we wish you and the year. yes, well, we wish you and the rest of the team the best in that. thank you very much. the number of people waiting more than a year for hospital treatment in england has hit its highest levels since 2008 as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer, 15.5%, but the economy as a whole is still smaller than before the pandemic and there are warnings it will slow again. and there is turmoil in downing street as one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications in behind—the—scenes infighting. a study of 18 million people suggests that black people are twice as likely as white people to catch the coronavirus. the researchers at the universities of leicester and nottingham also found that asian people are 1.5 times more likely than white people to be infected and may be more likely to need intensive care. dr manish pareek, who is one of the lead researchers, joins me now. thank you very much for your time this afternoon. those are horrifying statistics. explain how much more you have been able to understand about why this is the case, quite simply? thanks very much. these are data which are brought together the published literature from the start of the pandemic from december last year through to august this year, and all we have done is brought together all of the individual studies which have been looking at this in the last few months. we are trying to develop an overall risk in the different aspect groups, and there are three aspects, and one is infection, and there are increased risk of infection in certain ethnic groups, and the data on mortality and death is less clear and needs further work. in terms of the underlying reasons for that, i think there are a multitude of reasons, but it will come down to a variety of aspects coming together. firstly, household structure and multi—occupancy household structure and multi—occu pancy household. secondly, often individuals from different ethnic groups are working in front or key worker roles where they cannot necessarily shield or have an increase risk of exposure and we know in certain ethnic groups, certain underlying medical conditions like diabetes are more common, so we have a combination of factors increasing the risk of infection that you mention. and all of that information can be used in public policy. the fact that they are, to pick one example, more likely to be key workers on the front line of this weather in hospitals or taxi drivers are all of thejobs we hospitals or taxi drivers are all of the jobs we know about that are so crucial to the running of everyday life. what should that say to politicians who are making decisions about how we protect people, and who we vaccinate, those sorts of topics. absolutely. i think public health messaging has to be really central to this end at the start of the pandemic when we first outlined this in april, the concerns we had, i think public health messaging was not so clear. it has improved over the last few weeks and months but it is an issue. public health messaging needs to be much clearer. if you are working on one of those key worker roles in the health system, occupational risk assessment is really key and i work in the nhs as well, and we undertake them locally, andi well, and we undertake them locally, and i think that is important, but there are also studies under way to try and understand this much better andi try and understand this much better and i know there is a study looking at health workers and covid which will hopefully provide more clarity about which health care workers and from which ethnic groups within the key worker roles are at highest risk. i do want to add to your point about the vaccine. it's really good news what we've heard over the last few days about vaccination, but in the initial phases of the vaccine being available it's likely that the number of vaccines available, the supply line and supply chain, maybe, may be more limited. and i think the decision about the risk groups, who should be prioritised, will be very important and also very difficult decisions to make. don't forget, ethnic minority individuals are a risk group, but there are other risk groups. individuals who are very elderly, people with underlying health conditions and people who live in nursing homes, so these are important decisions that the government and the committee that looks at vaccination needs to look at and think about very carefully. really, interesting to talk to you. thank you for your time again and good to hear from you again. talking about that latest research on those very sobering statistics about who is more likely to be infected with covid. just while i was talking, some fresh details coming through in terms of numbers. just reading that the number of covid infections rose sharply in october, double the number of cases being reported by the end of october compared to the start of the month stop this is all figures through from a study from imperial college london, so that is where the data is coming from. so, far more cases being reported by the end of october than we saw at the beginning. perhaps our health correspondent is looking through the data and we will have a little more on that and a bit more context around that, but those are the initial details coming through from imperial college london. senior ministers insist they are focused on coronavirus of mid infighting. one of borisjohnson's key aides, lee cain, resigned as director of communications last night after disagreements about his possible promotion. labour and several conservative backbenchers have expressed dismay at the events at the heart of government. 0ur political correspondent chris mason reports. he resigned last night, but lee cain still turned up for work this morning, albeit heading into downing street via the back door. yes, i know, a person you've probably never heard of loses a job you didn't know he had, but office politics in the most political office in the land matters, because it shapes how we are governed. the prime minister has a strong team around him and all of us, whether it's his advisers or the cabinet, are focused on the big task, which as you say is tackling the pandemic, helping to shepherd the country through this very challenging period, helping to preserve people's jobs in an economic downturn, and ensuring all the other things people care about are not neglected at the same time. it is those colossal issues that the government is dealing with that helps explain why this row about advisers at westminster matters. those around a prime minister matter hugely. those who have his ear and those that don't, and they are crucial in shaping a government's priorities, style and communication. lee cain, like fellow adviser dominic cummings, here on the left, is a veteran of the leave campaign in the eu referendum. you will remember mr cummings for that row about his trip to county durham during the first lockdown. sorry i'm late. the word is mr cummings couldn't believe his eyes at what happened last night — mr cain being offered the job of chief of staff, then not offered it, leading him to pack it in. what happened in between, we understand, is carrie symonds, the prime minister's fiancee, intervened, suggesting it would be a mistake. she used to be the conservative party's director of communications and is very plugged in to what tory mps think. lee cain was already irritated at the appointment of allegra stratton as the government's spokeswoman. he wanted someone else to get the job. it really is time, i think, that downing street got in place what i think is known as somebody with big boy pants on, because a prime minister, particularly one facing the difficulties mrjohnson is facing, needs heavyweight help. i think that the country looks on with astonishment, really, that on the day that the uk reaches 50,000 deaths from the coronavirus pandemic with less than 50 days to go until we leave the european union, that downing street is focusing on internal battles. lee cain is now working out his notice. the prime minister is working out how to manage his office and his government. chris mason, westminster, bbc news. 0ur political correspondent leila nathoo is at westminster. for people who might be trying to follow this thinking, with the best will in the world, i've never heard of this chap, why should they be concerned? it is tempting to look at this and think, isn't this just one m, this and think, isn't this just one in, one out, a change of the guard in numberten, in, one out, a change of the guard in number ten, office politics coming to the fore but it is hugely significant but because we have the departure of one of the prime minister's key aides, a very small tea m minister's key aides, a very small team of trusted advisors the prime minister has in downing street and lee cain was one of the longest serving aides and had been with him long before they entered downing street, so that is destabilising for a prime minister at any time to lose one of a handful of people who you have been relying on for advice and guidance, but the departure of lee cain has guidance, but the departure of lee ca i n has clearly guidance, but the departure of lee cain has clearly come in the wake of all of this infighting, the personality clashes, struggles for power and tensions in downing street and it has really exposed them to the fore, and i think that that is quite damaging for downing street and you will hear criticism levelled today about why we are focusing on infighting in downing street, the departure of age, when the government should be focusing on the pandemic. remember brexit negotiations are coming to the crunch and a couple of weeks but there will be those who think that this could mark a moment, a shift if you like, in the approach of downing street and certainly people in the tory party, in government, who want the prime minister to use lee cain's departure as a moment to reset and change the approach of government, because there has been a lot of criticism within the party and within government about how number ten has been working. we will see how it unfolds. thank you for now. there are more patients in hospitals in wales with covid 19 than at any time including during the earlier peak of the pandemic. latest figures show 1,529 beds are occupied across the country 983 are with covid 19 patients. however, the number of people with the virus being treated in intensive care is lower than earlier peak. lockdown restrictions in northern ireland are due to end at midnight friday but it's not clear what happens next. the stormont executive is in political deadlock about whether hospitality and other small businesses should be allowed to reopen. 0ur ireland correspondent emma vardy is at stormont. if you are a business owner, frankly, there is not long for politicians to make a decision. yes, and that has been the main complaint from the business sector saying, come on, you guys, give us a decision, because they say they cannot just decision, because they say they cannotjust open the doors tomorrow evenif cannotjust open the doors tomorrow even if the decision was to go their way because they need a few days to get staff back or longer to plan. coming in, and that has been the huge criticism levelled at the executive in the last few days. what we are seeing here at stormont is debate, discussion dragging on, sometimes late in the night, for four days now, because the five party coalition have not been able to reach a decision on where to go next. northern ireland entered a second period of lockdown restrictions four weeks ago and back then the dup was very reluctant to go into it at all saying it had to be time—limited, and now they want to see it coming to an end. sinn fein and other parties on the other hand are concerned it might be too early to open up, saying infection rates are still too high and we need to protect the health service as there were 800 new cases on coronavirus in northern ireland just yesterday. in the $10 million question, are we likely to get a decision? is this going to drag on and on? who knows? we thought it was imminent at night after night and it hasn't come to pass. what has been going on behind the scenes, there was one plan on the table for a two—week extension and that was vetoed by the dup and there is a vetoed by the dup and there is a veto mechanism in the power—sharing government that allows them to do that and there was a one—week extension put on the table, also vetoed by the dup who have argued strongly that businesses cannot take any more and there are all sorts of unseen costs to additional restrictions and they are saying that we need to get things open, but it's a really difficult thing to resolve when you have five parties ina resolve when you have five parties in a coalition, a veto mechanism and so many conflicting arguments about people's health, the economy, and how much more the nhs can take. emma, thank you very much for now. we will keep an eye on that and more to come in the next half an hour and we will pause right now and take a look at the weather prospects. here is chris. the weather has not been too bad today and for most of us we have seen a little bit of sunshine coming up seen a little bit of sunshine coming upfora time seen a little bit of sunshine coming up for a time and this was how things looked earlier in the day. however, cloud is thickening and we have rain on the way. this wet weather is moving in this evening, spreading across northern ireland and then into scotland, england and wales. 0n and then into scotland, england and wales. on and ahead of the weather front, the wind will get very gusty for a time front, the wind will get very gusty fora time and front, the wind will get very gusty for a time and we could see a few gusts getting up to 40 mph, so a blustery kind of night, relatively mild, especially ahead of the front with things cooling off behind the weather front across scotland and northern ireland later in the night. friday, we will see the wet and windy weather pushing east across the midlands, across east anglia and south—east england before clearing. in the afternoon, sunshine follows to most of the uk but we will also see showers and they will be most frequent across north—western areas where they will be heavy and may be the odd clap of thunder. blustery conditions and temperatures between nine and 14 degrees. this is bbc news. the headlines: the number of people waiting over a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest levels since 2008 as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer, 15.5%. but the economy as a whole is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic. and there are warnings that the economy will slow again. turmoil in downing street one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications, in behind the scenes infighting. a nurse has appeared in court charged with murdering eight babies and the attempted murder of ten babies, at a hospital in chester. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronavirus than white people. and now the sport. it has been delayed by seven months but just 25 minutes it has been delayed by seven months butjust 25 minutes after the masters finally got under way, it is on hold again, this time because of bad weather at augusta national. the defending champion tiger woods was due to beginjust defending champion tiger woods was due to begin just before play was halted, and as you can see, wet weather made conditions very difficult, with parts of the course covered with pools of water. the threat of thunder and lightning and only three groups of players could com plete only three groups of players could complete their opening holes. no word yet on when play will start again. we will let you know. now to again. we will let you know. now to a huge night for scotland and northern ireland with both nations one match away from qualifying for next summer's european championships. scotland need to go back to 1998 for the last time the men's reached a majorfinals, the world cup, and tonight that could all change. victory over serbia in belgrade and they would seal a place at next summer's euros.|j belgrade and they would seal a place at next summer's euros. i was four the last time scotland got to a major tournament and my generation has missed out on seeing scotland at major tournaments and you look back on old videos and talking to the family, how good the tartan army is, and we know what a good fan base we've got and how passionate they are and we want to see them at a tournament. we are the next group of lads that can go and achieve it. setback for serbia. their influential captain and the crystal palace player has tested positive for coronavirus so he will miss tonight's match. they will be no supporters in belgrade but in belfast there will be exactly 1060 as northern ireland take on slovakia at windsor park. that is how many are allowed in because of social distancing. northern ireland ended a 30 year wait for a trip to a major finals by reaching euro 2016 and could now make it back european championships with a victory later tonight. captain steven davis says victory will be for the supporters and he is looking forward to having supporters back in the stadium. hopefully that will help us and we are disappointed not to have a full house because when we have a game of this magnitude you want the fans who have followed you through thick and thin to be there, to enjoy the moment, and difficult times for a lot of people. people will be looking to watch and hopefully we can give them something to look forward to in the future, off the back of what has been a difficult year. england will play the republic of ireland in a friendly but they will be withoutjoe gomez, the liverpool defender will miss a significant part of the season after having surgery on a knee injury he sustained while straining for england. wales are also in action, against the usa. the fa have asked the government for special exemption to allow their nation's league match against iceland to take place at wembley. it is in doubt because iceland play in denmark days before that and currently there is a travel ban on people arriving from denmark. the ban is due to come into effect on saturday with germany also a potential venue. after resigning as the chairman of the fa on tuesday, greg clarke has now stepped down as vice president for fifa. his resignation comes after he used outdated and offensive racial comments in a parliamentary select committee hearing. it was also criticised in relation to comments about gay players and female players. jack willis will make his england rugby union debut on saturday in their opening autumn nations cup match against georgia. eddiejones has nations cup match against georgia. eddie jones has named nations cup match against georgia. eddiejones has named the flanker alongside maro itoje while billy vunipola will start at eight and it will also be a big day for 0llie robbins who was not a test match for the first time. eddiejones says willis deserves the chance. he has worked really ha rd willis deserves the chance. he has worked really hard since he has been in camp and he came back in on some good club form, we have been impressed by his toughness and ability to get his head over the ball. very coachable, he mixes well with the squad, so a great opportunity for him. for details on all of those stories on the bbc sport website but that is all for now. studio: jane, thanks for joining us. a nurse has appeared in court via videolink charged with murdering eight babies at a hospital in cheshire. 30 year old lucy letby is also charged with 10 counts of attempted murder. our correspondentjudith moritz is at warrington magistrates' court and sent this update. it was a short hearing, 12 minutes, before a district just, nicola sanders, and lucy letby was on a video link away from here, spoke to confirm her name, her date of birth and her address, only those things. she was not asked to enter any pleas, and the charges which she faces were read out to her and to the court. she is accused of the murder of, as you say, eight babies, of five boys, whose names were read out, including josephjohnson, barney g, joseph gelder and eli gelder, and of three girls, including, daisy parkin and maddie freed. she is also accused of the attempted murder of maddie freed and of another nine babies whose identities we can't report. they are protected by a court order. as i say, she didn't enter any pleas. all we can tell you at this stage, these alleged murders and attempted murders are said to have happened betweenjune 2015 and june 2016 at the countess of chester hospital, where lucy letby was a nurse in the neonatal unit. she was remanded in custody and she was told she will next appear at court tomorrow. that will be at chester crown court tomorrow afternoon. judith moritz, there. an investigation into equal pay at the bbc has found no unlawful acts of pay discrimination against women. the equality and human rights commission opened an inquiry last year after complaints about large differences between the salaries of male and female presenters. but the watchdog has made a number of recommendations including a call for the bbc to improve transparency. david sillito reports. when the bbc was forced to publish the salaries of its highest paid stars, there was fury at the gap between many male and female presenters and correspondents. there were protests demanding equal pay. the bbc admitted there was a problem and a number of women were given a pay increase. but an independent investigation says it has found no unlawful discrimination. however, it says there were issues with the system. i do understand the feelings of bbc women and i think it's important to remember that these are people who suffered considerably. we are talking about delays of two years in one case, more in others. feelings of anger and humiliation and distress and insomnia. and i think this goes to the really important findings that we've made in terms of inadequate record—keeping and inadequate communications and transparency in terms of the decision—making that was made. campaigners remain sceptical. the presenter samira ahmed won a pay tribunal and the fawcett society, which fights for equal pay, has doubts about the equality commission's investigation. i think the fact they reached that conclusion really is based on what i can see to be quite a limited investigation. i think ten in—depth cases isn't really enough. i know it was very challenging for the commission, i know it's very resource intensive work, and undoubtedly, that has played a major factor in how they have approached it. the bbc has welcomed today's report and accepts there was a problem, and that it also needs to improve both transparency and trust with women in the corporation. david sillito, bbc news. more now on the departure of one of the prime minister's closest allies. lee cain will leave his role as director of communication at the end of the year, following disagreements over his possible promotion as borisjohnson's chief of staff. labour and some conservative mps have expressed frustration at the infighting at the heart of government. we can discuss that with someone who was at the heart of power for more than a decade. jonathan powell was tony's blair chief of staff for over a decade. what do you make of what has been unfolding at number ten? it would be keystone cops of the situation in the country was not so great, given we have a coronavirus crisis with thousands of people dying and we are at the final stages of crucial negotiations, so this is not a time to have a breakdown of this sort. this is a serious problem. politics if full with ambitious and driven people —— is full. is it more than a clash of personalities? it is a systemic problem we have seen extraordinary incompetence from the government in the way it has handled the coronavirus crisis and other issues, with constant u—turns, this comes from the mistake of inserting into government a campaigning machine, they bought a whole team in they are trying to run the government, notjust in downing street but in departments, with special advisers reporting to dominic cummings in number ten, and we discovered in 97 but we brought ina very we discovered in 97 but we brought in a very tight unit, and we work together in opposition and we try to govern without integrating into the government machinery and it did not work. campaigning and governing are different things and different skills, and they need someone who can run the place and make it official and stop making these mistakes. more attention needs to be paid to the parliamentary party? that is something you learn? the crucial issue is not politics but actually making it work. myjob was to make sure the government and number ten ran efficiently and we did not make mistakes and we did not lockdown too late for example in the foot and mouth crisis, which is less serious than the coronavirus, of course, but that is lacking, and there is no one in number ten who is bringing that rigour and execution to government and as a result we are paying the price. is it about someone and whoever it might be, borisjohnson in this case, but someone at relying too much on a very small number of key advisers and then one when of them goes, it sta rts and then one when of them goes, it starts collapsing? —— one of them goes. it is a different problem, it is an advisor led government. tony blair was always the leader and i executed what he wanted but now we have the situation where we have the chief aide putting the prime minister on probation. it is almost like spitting image has come to life. extraordinary way to play things. the nation is in the middle ofa things. the nation is in the middle of a pandemic, things. the nation is in the middle ofa pandemic, and things. the nation is in the middle of a pandemic, and there is brexit to think about, as well. rather a lot going on. the pressure that will bring about this change will be the tory mps, they need to have a grown up tory mps, they need to have a grown up in there, someone who can run the place effectively and efficiently and that brings together everything. we don't need to have lots of different people, and at the moment they have three chiefs of staff, lee cain, dominic cummings, but you need one person to integrate the whole thing and then it can work smoothly. jonathan powell, thanks forjoining us. he was the chief of staff to tony blair. the headlines on bbc news. the number of people waiting over a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest levels since 2008 as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer 15.5%. but the economy as a whole is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic. and there are warnings that the economy will slow again. turmoil in downing street — one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications, in behind the scenes infighting. it is an iconic picture that went viral, patrick hutchinson taking a protester to safety, this happened injune during a black lives matter protest. nearly six months on from george ford's death, and the clashes that followed, patrick hutchinson, the father of four and grandfather has written a book about this last period. it is an open letter to future generations and describes the realities of life as a black man today and why we must unite to bring about change. we can talk to patrick hutchinson right now. i can see you, hello. good afternoon. good afternoon. so many people will be familiar with that photograph but maybe not much more about you and everything you have done since, so explain the driving force and what has led you to write the book. what has led you to write the book. what has led you to write the book. what has led me to write the book apart from being approached by at harpercollins, the publishing house i have worked with, apart from them approaching me, it was a need for society to understand a bit more about racism, systemic racism, unconscious bias, and what it is like as a young black man, a young black boy, a young black person, growing up in a country that is systemically racist. even as i read out the title of your book, every versus out the title of your book, every versus racism, that is so striking, because that is the point, the first word is the most important, it is what people like me can do to help with the situation that is phased as you are suggesting in the book every single day by people in britain —— faced. and maybe more to understand it, because it is hard for some people to fathom what racism really is when they are not on the receiving end of it, so maybejust seeing it from one particular person, a black person's perspective, it may open their eyes. there are harrowing facts in there, harrowing statistics that don't make for easy reading for those that don't want to understand what is happening, but it is there. it is there to prove a point and to show that, there is an issue, but with unity we can come together and we can create a better world for the children. as you demonstrated on that day, because you rescued someone who was on the other side of the argument. yes. my friends and i, it was a collective, we did it. i just believe that regardless of the colour of your skin, or whatever their beliefs, in a moment like that, you do the right thing. that is what we did as a collective, my brothers and i, now we have formed an organisation off the back of it. what does it do? we are united to change and inspired this initiative is something we have set up to champion education, mental health, the criminal justice champion education, mental health, the criminaljustice system, and also child development and youth development. what we want to do at grassroots level, we want to get lots of funding and we want to make a difference within our community and at the other end of the spectrum we wa nt and at the other end of the spectrum we want to speak to the policymakers and the people that have power and we wa nt and the people that have power and we want to be the glue in between to try and make change for society as a whole. you have access now to those policymakers, do you, as a result of that act of generosity on your part? it strikes me that a huge amount has changed for you through one very generous, decent act. this is the thing, if you think about, there are lots of people already in the community doing great work, working in mental health, education, but they don't have the platform. we are not trying to reinvent the wheel, we will work with these individuals and use our platform that we now have, to make change. but patrick, it is a pleasure to talk to you. thanks for joining us. patrick hutchinson there. thanks for having me. the number of teenage murder suspects reached a five year high last year, according to research carried out by the bbc. data from half of the uk's police forces also shows a sharp rise in the number of teenage victims of murder and manslaughter. you may find some of the footage in this report from tom symonds distressing. armed police, show your hands! show me your hands! police move in on a violent drug gang in kent. listen to me! going through the conservatory... in london, officers chase two murder suspects. we tracked the first 100 killings of 2019 to create a picture of who the killers were. nearly all were male. but shockingly, over a quarter were teenagers. louai ali was just 16. he boxed for england juniors. he had a bright future, but he couldn't contain his violence to the ring. ali bought a knife off the internet and murdered a college student in birmingham, in front of a crowd. it was all over within a minute. another stabbing by another 16—year—old, days later, also in birmingham. adam muhammad was walking with fellow student hazrat umar. shortly afterwards he turned on hazrat, leaving him for dead. and his family, including his uncle, a former senior prosecutor, are devastated. hazrat was one of these people who warmed the room when he walked in. he was cheerful, joyful, adored by his own family and extended family. my family's grief is repeated, as your has survey found, dozens and dozens of times over every year. the government's planning higher sentences for teenage killers. his view? punish them, yes, try and deter other people, but also at the back of the judge's mind must be the view that this person can still make a contribution to society once they are finally released. our 100 killings project has highlighted the factors which lead to murder — drugs, alcohol, domestic violence, and young people living violent lives. tom symonds, bbc news. the government has given the go ahead for a controversial new tunnel alongside stonehenge, more than 30 years after it was first proposed. the transport secretary has approved plans for the a303 near the world heritage site in wiltshire. duncan kennedy reports. it's one of the busiest roads next to one of the greatest monuments. for decades, the debate has raged over what to do with the a303 alongside this world heritage site. now, the government has ruled that the a303 is to be buried into a tunnel, creating a traffic free landscape. the decision has been welcomed by english heritage, who say it will transform stonehenge. as guardians of the stones, english heritage welcome the news the a303 tunnel is now approved and will be implemented. it makes good on a decades long ambition to remove this noisy and polluting road from this very important prehistoric landscape. it's only when you get here on the ground that you realise just how close the stones are to the a303. it's just a matter of about 150 or 200 yards, and this is a road that attracts between 30,000 and 50,000 cars a day. but some campaigners have fought for years to stop a tunnel, saying it will damage the wider archaeological heritage of this unique setting. the landscape to each side of the tunnel will be gouged out into deep cuttings with dual carriageways in the huge tunnel entrances, masses of concrete, major road interchanges to each side of the world heritage site. this is devastation on a major scale. there have been memory promises before to put the a303 into a tunnel but is this the moment stones and vehicles really part company? duncan kennedy, bbc news, at stonehenge. celebrations have been in short supply this year but we can now look forward to a four day bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's 70 years on the throne. we do have to wait until 2022 for the platinum jubilee but ministers are promising a spectacular, once in a generation show injune that year, and buckingham palace says it wants as many people as possible tojoin in. here's our royal correspondent nicholas witchell. no british monarch has celebrated a platinum jubilee before. by the time the country marks the queen's 70 years on the throne in 2022, she'll be 96. nonetheless, the government says this milestone will be marked by what it calls... the celebrations will climax over an extra—long bank holiday weekend from thursday 2nd ofjune to sunday 5th ofjune inclusive. events are at an early stage of planning, but they're likely to echo some of the features of previousjubilees. the queen marked the 25th anniversary of her accession with her silverjubilee back in 1977. 50 years on the throne was celebrated by the goldenjubilee in 2002, when she undertook a lengthy series of visits to different parts of the country. most recently, in 2012, she marked 60 years on the throne with her diamond jubilee — which was also celebrated across a long weekend. there was a pageant on the thames which was handicapped by the weather and, after a service of thanksgiving at st paul's cathedral, an appearance on the palace balcony in front of large crowds. whatever may be in store to mark her 70 years on the throne, it'll be an opportunity for the country to show its appreciation for a monarch who continues to break records. nicholas witchell, bbc news. now it's time for a look at the weather with chris fawkes. the weather is looking pretty wet and often pretty windy as well, so we have got to grab the sunshine when it comes along. earlier most saw at least some sunshine and this was northern ireland earlier, but just to the west we have cloud gathering and some rain is on the way thanks to this weather front which will be pushing its way in and just ahead of the weather front the isobars pinched together so we are looking at a spread of windy weather to ta ke looking at a spread of windy weather to take us through the evening and overnight. the winds quickly building over northern ireland before strengthening over scotland and england and wales, as well. maybe 50 mph around some of the exposed western areas, with the band of rain and heavy and squally so the rain coming down very heavy. temperatures still into double figures in the southeast overnight, but things cooling off somewhat behind the weather front in scotland and northern ireland. into friday, the band of rain still with strong winds pushing over east anglia and south—east england before clearing, a bit of sunshine before time before chow was moving to scotland, northern ireland and western areas of england —— before showers move in. they could be most frequent and heavyin in. they could be most frequent and heavy in north western areas of the uk. temperatures, between 10—14, and it will stay pretty windy, and as we go into the weekend, even stronger winds on the cards, thanks to these weather systems pushing north—east across the uk bringing spells of rain as well. the weekend, not the greatest, often it will be wet and strong winds to contend with as well. saturday, the rain looks to be pretty widespread and heavy, and the winds, they look strongest in parts of wales and maybe into western areas of england, reaching maybe 40-50 areas of england, reaching maybe 40—50 mph through the course of saturday. very blustery in these areas. temperatures are still mild but maybe not feeling that special, given the strength of the wind. in the rain coming down, as well. sunday doesn't look much better. outbreaks of rain, a few dry spots but strong winds to come in the south coast of england with gusts reaching 50—60 mph. the rain still heavy and temperature starting to drop away as well, that's so this weekend looking particularly u nsettled. this is bbc news. i'm jane hill. the headlines: the number of people waiting over a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest levels since 2008 — as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. you can't stop people having heart attacks or strokes or slipping up on theice attacks or strokes or slipping up on the ice and breaking their wrist or hip, but the thing you can do is control the flow of covert patients —— covid patients. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer — 15.5%. but the economy as a whole is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic. and there are warnings that the economy will slow again: that recovery, slow coming into the autumn, and it's likely the slowdown will continue given the restrictions we've had to put in place more re ce ntly we've had to put in place more recently to control the spread of the virus. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronoavirus than white people. turmoil in downing street. one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications, in behind the scenes infighting. a nurse has appeared in court charged with murdering eight babies, and the attempted murder of 10 babies, at a hospital in chester. and, something to look forward to. a long bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's platinum jubilee in 2022. the number of people waiting more than a year for hopsital treatment in england has hit its highest level since 2008. patients are meant to be seen within 18 weeks but nearly 140,000 people on the waiting list at the end of september had been waiting over a year. health officials say cutting the number of coronavirus cases is crucial for tackling the backlog. our health correspondent anna collinson reports. stephanie was diagnosed with a rare form of skin cancer injuly, after finding a suspicious mole. the 43—year—old pharmacist was told she should have surgery in four weeks, but it took nearly three months. waiting for my operation to come round, i did feel alone, i felt scared. depression. anxiety. just not knowing, and not having any contact with anyone, and having to phone the hospital to chase up times, timescales for appointments for these operations. it's hard. stephanie fears the delay has made her condition worse. she will find out if her cancer has spread further in a few weeks, and says without her family's support, she wouldn't be able to cope. i work for the nhs myself, so i understand the pressure the nhs is under with covid, and how it has been dealt with, but if it wasn't for those i feel i would totally be on my own. coronavirus has consumed the health service. the latest figures for september show the number of patients waiting for more than a year for routine operations is the highest it's been since 2008. nhs england say nearly 140,000 people waited more than 12 months. in total, there are now more than 4.3 million on the waiting list. if you want the nhs to look after the patients we see over winter when we are at our most stretched, if you want us to deal with covid patients coming in, and recover those backlogs, the bit you can control is the number of covid patients. you can't stop people having heart attacks, strokes, slipping over on the ice. cancer services are now back to pre—pandemic levels but there is still a significant backlog. these latest figures also don't take the pressures of the second wave into account, with cancellations of non—urgent work already happening. anoushka found a cyst on her breast injune. she sought medical advice but was repeatedly told it was benign. as a last resort she went to her local a&e where she was diagnosed with breast cancer. i feel very angry that i was not diagnosed earlier. seek treatment, don't be deterred. yes, covid is a factor, but there is a lot more going on out there. anna collinson, bbc news. our health correspondent nick triggle explained to me what kind of proceedures were included in the figures. they are knee and hip replacements, cataract surgery for eyesight problems and over the summer there was a big push by the nhs to get back to doing more of this non—covid work, and let's have a look to see, and we can see a chart to see how they have been doing. hospitals have been struggling to carry out as many operations as they did prior to the pandemic, and we can see that these are the long waiting list, patients waiting over a year for treatment. this time last year there was only just over a thousand on the waiting list who had waited over a year, but during the pandemic numbers have been increasing and now they have hit nearly 140,000. that's added to a waiting list of over 4 million, so still a small fraction but gives an idea of impact of the pandemic, and we call these routine operations but the royal college of surgeons has come out today to point out that these are patients who are left pain, often unable to get on with independent lives that they had previously led, so they say it's a really serious problem that the nhs must get on top of. but hugely difficult. that is a gargantuan task, and how much confidence is there amongst medics you speak to that they can do it? and i am wondering as well if there are differences depending on which part of the country you live in. there are differences, and we are seeing some of the more severe problems in the north where the infection levels are higher and we have seen more hospitals cut back on this nonurgent work. the thing the nhs is having to do because of the pressure from covid is prioritise, so for example, we know cancer services are back to the pre—pandemic levels terms of the numbers of patients who get an urgent checkup and the numbers of patients who are receiving treatment. there is still quite a backlog to be seen but they are back seeing as many as they were this time last year, but what it has meant is that those waiting for what are perhaps some would say less urgent conditions are having to wait longer. the nhs does have a massive task trying to catch up with this. there was a push over the summer, but the problem is that we are seeing rising numbers of patients admitted to hospital for coronavirus. at the end of september when these figures relate to, there werejust 2000 in hospitals in england but there are now five times that number and that is why we are hearing of hospitals almost ona weekly basis having to cut back, and the fear is that waiting lists for these routine treatments will get worse. the uk economy came out of recession, with record growth betweenjuly and september, but still remains below where it was before the pandemic began. the chancellor rishi sunak says there is cause for cautious optimism — but he added it's going to be a difficult winter, and analysts expect the economy to shrink again because of the impact of new coronavirus restrictions. after bad figures earlier in the year, growth was up by 15.5% in the three months to september — a result of the lifting of restrictions, and the eat out to help out scheme. however the news wasn't enough to reverse the damage caused by coronavirus and the lockdown — the economy is still more than 8 percent smaller than when the virus first hit. our economics correspondent andy verity reports today's figures refer back to what now seems a bygone era, july to september. with lockdown over, restrictions lifted and half price fry ups at taxpayers' expense, economic activity rose by a record 15.5%. at this exeter pub, business was up by 30% in august, though it slowed down in september, and now once again it's a bit dead. eat out to help out was absolutely fantastic for us. we were turning away so many people, and we were very busy. our trade was around 25% up on the previous year in august, so we felt that this money that we make in august will probably be used to get us through the hard winter ahead. but in some parts of the economy, there was no summer bounce back. this 30 printing company makes models for exhibition, and was growing before the pandemic struck. it reallyjust sort of took the feet away from us. how do i reduce my costs? how do i avoid spending any money? how do i get through with little or no income? as a limited company owner, gavin was among up to 2.9 million people excluded from most government support. he's tried to adapt by shifting from physical models to computer aided design, but it's a long haul. well, i've had some success there, but it'll take a long time to build that up from a very low base, and it'll be a year or two before that fills in all the activity that we previously doing. just as the economy shrank by record amounts when in restrictions were imposed in the spring so it grew by record amounts when they were lifted but at the end of september it was still one tenth smaller than it was at the end of 2019 and the bank of england is predicting in the fourth quarter it would shrink again. what the figures today show that the economy was recovering over the summer, but yes, that recovery is slowing down coming into the autumn and it is likely that has continued asa and it is likely that has continued as a result of the health restrictions we have had to necessarily put in place to suppress the spread of the virus but there are reasons for caution optimism, improvements in mass testing being rolled out, news on the vaccine, although early days. but the drop in activity of nearly 10% since the start of the year is more than twice as large as in italy or germany or france. our country is experiencing the worst downturn in the g7. we have a long way to go, and of course, have a long way to go, and of course , we are have a long way to go, and of course, we are back in lockdown again now, sol course, we are back in lockdown again now, so i would agree with the chancellor on this. unfortunately, we are likely to see a very severe impact from that feeding into the la st impact from that feeding into the last quarter of this year's figures. a recovery needs businesses to invest. and business investment is still down by one fifth from its pre—covid level. vaccination will do more to change that than any government policy, but for most of us, that is still months away. our economics editor, faisal islam said the government's top priority would now be to ensure the economic recovery continues despite the threat posed by the pandemic. it's clearly welcome, the technical recession is over, clearly welcome we have had a record quarter of growth over the summer, but history happens very quickly in this crisis, and that is in the kind of rear—view mirror now. now most people expect the economy is contracting by a smaller amount than the previous lockdown and there are clouds on the economy in terms of the continued uncertainty over our trading relationship with europe, but there is also a big ray of sunshine which is the prospect of a functioning vaccine. that should help people, you know, big businesses, trying to invest for next year, think, ok, there is a prospect of the economy recovering. so far what we have is a catch up recovery from lights going back on in the economy, but not a full—blown recovery. let's talk about the impact on business generally. with me is natalie moore, a partner at ‘the pickwick inn & oliver's restaurant', near padstow, cornwall — a hotel with a restaurant and bar. good afternoon to you. goodness, we know about the impact on the hospitality sector, butjust give our viewers a flavour of what the last few months have been like for you. well, we are in a big tourist hotspot here, so everybody heard the news and cornwell was full for most of the summer and it's been a really busy season despite running on half capacity and it has been brilliant, and that carried on for a prolonged period as you normally have a slump at the end of half term, and that continued to be very profitable. it has been up and down, there's been a lot of changing and adapting to do, but generally it has been a good season up to the point where we had to close. so how and what do you think about christmas? can you plan for it? what sort of contingencies are you able to make? we are hoping we will be able to open, but in the industry is not a case ofjust turning the lights on. we really need at least a week's notice in terms of real ales, they need to be tapped and settled and the suppliers, the brewers they need time. the fresh food suppliers as well. it's not just time. the fresh food suppliers as well. it's notjust a case of giving us the sign to open and turn on the lights. it would be helpful to have some notice this time because obviously you don't want to be buying in lots of fresh produce and real ale and having you discarded. and even in what you say there, you remind us all about the supply chain. it's not just remind us all about the supply chain. it's notjust you and your staff inside the hotel, it is all the suppliers, food supplies, drink suppliers. it is an ecosystem, isn't it? it is. it is a huge network. there's literally hundreds and hundreds of people involved in our pub, directly or indirectly. so it is really important to have as much notice as possible because, like i say, it's not just notice as possible because, like i say, it's notjust a case of turning on the lights and opening up. any notice would be really, really welcome. what about your staff? have you been able to use the furlough scheme? yes, we have and it has been a lifeline because, obviously, there is no income coming in and this industry again, there is money trickling out that will have to be paid, so, yes, the furlough scheme is what we see that it is slightly less generous with a national insurance payments and contributions there, so that is money to be found, so this will be why it is so vital to open if we can when they say we can. of course. well, we wish you all the very best with that. thank you very much indeed. good of you to talk to us, natalie moore. the headlines on bbc news: the number of people waiting more than a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest level since 2008 — as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer — 15.5%. but it is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic, and there are warnings it will slow again: turmoil in downing street as one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications, in behind the scenes infighting. senior ministers are insisting they remain focused on coronavirus and other key issues, amid infighting at downing street. one of borisjohnson's key aides, lee cain, resigned as director of communications last night after disagreements about his possible promotion. labour and several conservative backbenchers have expressed dismay at the events at the heart of government. our political correspondent chris mason reports. he resigned last night, but lee cain still turned up for work this morning, albeit heading into downing street via the back door. yes, i know, a person you've probably never heard of loses a job you didn't know he had, but office politics in the most political office in the land matters, because it shapes how we are governed. the prime minister has a strong team around him and all of us, whether it's his advisers or the cabinet, are focused on the big task, which as you say is tackling the pandemic, helping to shepherd the country through this very challenging period, helping to preserve people's jobs in an economic downturn, and ensuring all the other things people care about are not neglected at the same time. it is those colossal issues that the government is dealing with that helps explain why this row about advisers at westminster matters. those around a prime minister matter hugely. those who have his ear and those that don't, and they are crucial in shaping a government's priorities, style and communication. lee cain, like fellow adviser dominic cummings, here on the left, is a veteran of the leave campaign in the eu referendum. you will remember mr cummings for that row about his trip to county durham during the first lockdown. sorry i'm late. the word is mr cummings couldn't believe his eyes at what happened last night — mr cain being offered the job of chief of staff, then not offered it, leading him to pack it in. what happened in between, we understand, is carrie symonds, the prime minister's fiancee, intervened, suggesting it would be a mistake. she used to be the conservative party's director of communications and is very plugged in to what tory mps think. lee cain was already irritated at the appointment of allegra stratton as the government's spokeswoman. he wanted someone else to get the job. it really is time, i think, that downing street got in place what i think is known as somebody with big boy pants on, because a prime minister, particularly one facing the difficulties mrjohnson is facing, needs heavyweight help. i think that the country looks on with astonishment, really, that on the day that the uk reaches 50,000 deaths from the coronavirus pandemic with less than 50 days to go until we leave the european union, that downing street is focusing on internal battles. lee cain is now working out his notice. the prime minister is working out how to manage his office and his government. chris mason, westminster, bbc news. let's get more from our political correspondent jessica parker. is all of this building up a greater head of steam, jessica? things seem to have settled down a little bit over the course of the day but as chris was saying, there are still questions over the future of some figures in downing street because clearly those tensions won't have com pletely clearly those tensions won't have completely disappeared overnight now that lee cain has decided to go, and he is not going until the end of the year, so i think downing street will continue to be under some level of scrutiny to see how this all plays out, and of course, some conservative mps are saying this is a chance for borisjohnson to move on and reshape the downing street operation and some of them have got quite frustrated particularly with the communication strategy in the last six months or so, strategy that has come under criticism from various quarters and giving his thoughts on how the operation is working today, the former labour chief of staff for tony blair, jonathan powell. it is a systemic problem as over the last year we've seen extraordinary incompetence from the government in the handling of the government in the handling of the coronavirus and other issues with constant u—turns, and this is the mistake of trying to insert into government a campaigning machinery, they brought a whole team in to run they brought a whole team in to run the government, not just they brought a whole team in to run the government, notjust in downing street but in departments with special advisers reporting to dominic cummings in number ten and we discovered in 1997 when we came in and brought in a very tight unit and work together in opposition and tried to govern without integrating into the machinery and it didn't work. campaigning and governing different things, different skills and we need someone in that house who can run the place, make it efficient and stop making the mistakes. and if people are wondering why on earth any of this matters, i can point out a couple of things. lee cain, the man who is going to depart at the end of the year as director of communications was from the vote leave camp and some people see it as a possible start of the changing of the guard in downing street and another reason it is important as well is that downing street is really the heart of government, the beating heart of government, so if there is some dysfunctionality the there will be concerns that that will have an effect on the rest of the government's operation whilst dealing with a pandemic, of course, tackling economic issues and trying to secure a brexit deal when there is very little time left to do so. ministers insisting though that they remain focused on the job. jessica parker, for now, thank you very much. a study of 18 million people in the uk and us suggests that black people are twice as likely as white people to catch the coronavirus. the researchers at the universities of leicester and nottingham also found that asian people are 1.5 times more likely than white people to be infected — and may be more likely to need intensive care. earlier i spoke to dr manish pareek, who is one of the lead researchers. he explained how much is known about what causes the disparity. these are data which are brought together the published literature from the start of the pandemic from december last year through to august this year, and all we have done is brought together all of the individual studies which have been looking at this in the last few months. we are trying to develop an overall risk in the different ethnic groups, and there are three aspects, and one is infection, and there are increased risk of infection in certain ethnic groups, and the data on mortality and death is less clear and needs further work. in terms of the underlying reasons for that, i think there are a multitude of reasons, but it will come down to a variety of aspects coming together. firstly, household structure and multi—occu pancy households. secondly, often individuals from different ethnic groups are working in frontline or key worker roles where they cannot necessarily shield or have an increased risk of exposure and we know in certain ethnic groups, certain underlying medical conditions like diabetes are more common, so we have a combination of factors increasing the risk of infection that you mention. and all of that information can be used in public policy. the fact that they are, to pick one example, more likely to be key workers on the front line of this weather in hospitals or taxi drivers or all of the jobs we know about that are so crucial to the running of everyday life. what should that say to politicians who are making decisions about how we protect people, and who we vaccinate, those sorts of topics. absolutely. i think public health messaging has to be really central to this end at the start of the pandemic when we first outlined this in april, the concerns we had, i think public health messaging was not so clear. it has improved over the last few weeks and months but it is an issue. public health messaging needs to be much clearer. if you are working on one of those key worker roles in the health system, occupational risk assessment is really key and i work in the nhs as well, and we undertake them locally, and i think that is important, but there are also studies under way to try and understand this much better and i know there is a study looking at health workers and covid which will hopefully provide more clarity about which health care workers and from which ethnic groups within the key worker roles are at highest risk. i do want to add to your point about the vaccine. it's really good news what we've heard over the last few days about vaccination, but in the initial phases of the vaccine being available it's likely that the number of vaccines available, the supply line and supply chain, maybe, maybe more limited. and i think the decision about the risk groups, who should be prioritised, will be very important and also very difficult decisions to make. don't forget, ethnic minority individuals are a risk group, but there are other risk groups. individuals who are very elderly, people with underlying health conditions and people who live in nursing homes, so these are important decisions that the government and the committee that looks at vaccination needs to look at and think about very carefully. a nurse has appeared in court via videolink charged with murdering eight babies at a hospital in cheshire. 30—year—old lucy letby is also charged with 10 counts of attempted murder. our correspondentjudith moritz is at warrington magistrates' court and sent this update. it was a short hearing, 12 minutes, before district judge nicholas sanders. lucy letby was on a video link away from here, spoke to confirm her name, her date of birth and her address, only those things. she was not asked to enter any pleas, and the charges which she faces were read out to her and to the court. she is accused of the murder of, as you say, eight babies, of five boys, whose names were read out, cemlyn bennett, josephjohnson, barney gee, joseph gelder and eli gelder, and of three girls, elsie mcnall, daisy parkin and maddie freed. she is also accused of the attempted murder of maddie freed and of another nine babies whose identities we can't report. they are protected by a court order. as i say, she didn't enter any pleas. all we can tell you at this stage, these alleged murders and attempted murders are said to have happened between june 2015 and june 2016 at the countess of chester hospital, where lucy letby was a nurse in the neonatal unit. she was remanded in custody and she was told she will next appear at court tomorrow. that will be at chester crown court tomorrow afternoon. an investigation into equal pay at the bbc has found no unlawful acts of pay discrimination against women. the equality and human rights commission opened an inquiry last year after complaints about large differences between the salaries of male and female presenters. but the watchdog has made a number of recommendations — including a call for the bbc to improve transparency. david sillito reports. when the bbc was forced to publish the salaries of its highest paid stars, there was fury at the gap between many male and female presenters and correspondence. there were protests demanding equal pay. the bbc admitted there was a problem and a number of women were given a pay increase. but an independent investigation says it has found no unlawful discrimination. however, it says there were issues with system. i do understand the feelings of the bbc women and i think it's important to remember that these are people who suffered considerably. we are talking about delays of two years in one case, more in others. feelings of anger and humiliation and distress and insomnia. and i think this goes to the really important findings that we've made in terms of inadequate record—keeping and inadequate communications and transparency in terms of decision—making was made. campaigners remain sceptical. the presenter samira ahmed won a pay tribunal and the fawcett society, which fights for equal pay, has doubts about the equality commission's investigation. i think the fact they reached that conclusion really is based on what i can say to be quite a limited investigation. i think ten in—depth cases isn't really enough. i know it was very challenging for the commission, i know its very resource intensive work and undoubtedly, that has played a major factor in how they have approached it. the bbc has welcomed today's report and accepts there was a problem, and that it also needs to improve both transparency and trust with women in the corporation. david sillito, bbc news. now it's time for a look at the weather with chris fawkes. the weather has not been too bad and we've seen a bit of sunshine coming out for the time and this was how things looked early in the day in northern ireland, but cloud is now thickening and we have rain on the way. this wet weather will be moving in this evening, spreading across northern ireland and then into scotland, england and wales. on and ahead of this weather front, the wind will very gusty for a time and we could see a few gusts getting up to 40 mph, so a blustery kind of night, relatively mild, particularly ahead of the front where things cool off behind the weather front across scotla nd off behind the weather front across scotland and northern ireland later in the night. friday, we will see wet and windy weather pushing east across the midlands, across east anglia and south—eastern— before clearing and in the afternoon sunshine follows to most of the uk but we will also see showers and no showers will be most frequent across north—western areas and they could be heavy with a clap of thunder. blustery conditions and temperatures between nine and 14 degrees. hello, this is bbc news. the headlines: the number of people waiting over a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest levels since 2008 — as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer — 15.5%. but the economy as a whole is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic. and there are warnings that the economy will slow again. turmoil in downing street — one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications, in behind the scenes infighting. a nurse has appeared in court charged with murdering eight babies — and the attempted murder of ten babies, at a hospital in chester. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronoavirus than white people. and, something to look forward to — a long bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's platinum jubilee — in 2022. sport now and a full round up from the bbc sport centre. here's jane dougal. good afternoon. it's already been delayed by seven months and — just 25 minutes after the masters finally got underway. it had to stop because of bad weather at augusta national. defending champion tiger woods was due to tee off shortly before play was halted. and as you can see from these images, the wet weather made conditions very difficult, with parts of the course covered with pools of water and only three groups of players could complete their opening holes. to a huge night for both scotland and northern ireland — with both nationsjust one match away from qualifying for next summer's european championships. for scotland — you need to go back to 1998 for the last time the mens side reached a major finals. that was the world cup. tonight — that could all change. a win against serbia in belgrade and they'll seal a place at next summer's euros. i was still playing the last time scotla nd i was still playing the last time scotland qualified, very long time ago. there is definitely a generation that has missed the atmosphere and the feeling that you get as a nation, when you do qualify, that proud feeling, so hopefully this group can deliver. there's been a setback for scotland's opponents serbia. influential midfielder and crystal palace captain luka milivojevic has tested positive for coronavirus and will now miss tonight's match. there will be no fans in belgrade — but in belfast there will be exactly 1,006. as northern ireland take on slovakia at windsor park. that's how many are allowed in due to social distancing. northern ireland ended a 30 year wait for a trip to a major finals, by reaching euro 2016 — and could now make it back to back european championships with a win later. defenderjonny evans says having home supporters back inside windsor park is a big boost. it is great to have them here, because everyone was worried it might be the case where we didn't have any. we know the importance of having fans in the stadium. it can create an atmosphere and a bit of tension throughout the match. also tonight, england will play the republic of ireland in a friendly — but they'll be withoutjoe gomez. the liverpool defender will miss a significant part of the season, after having surgery on a knee injury he suffered while training for england. wales are also in action tonight — they face the usa in a friendly. the football association have asked the government for special dispensation to allow their nations league match against iceland to take place at wembley. it's in doubt because iceland play in denmark days before that — and currently there is a travel ban on people arriving from denmark. the ban is due to be reviewed on saturday, with germany a potential neutral venue for the nations league game. after resigning as the chairman of the football association on tuesday, greg clarke has now stepped down as vice president for world football governing body fifa. his resignation comes after he used outdated and offensive racial comments in a parliamentary select committee hearing. he was also criticsed in relation to comments about gay players and female players. jack willis will make his england rugby union debut on saturday, in their opening autumn nations cup match against georgia. eddiejones has named the wasps flanker alongside maro itoje, while billy vunipola will start at eight. it'll also be a big day for ollie lawrence, who will start a test match for the first time. jones says willis deserves his chance. he has worked really hard since he's been in camp and he came back in on some good club form, we have been impressed by his toughness and ability to get his head over the ball. he's very coachable, mixes well with the squad, so it's a great opportunity for him. that's all the sport for now. i'll have more for you in the next hour. more details on the restart of the masters on the bbc website. studio: thanks forjoining us. with talks continuing between the uk and the european union today, ireland's prime minister has warned borisjohnson of the dangers of failing to reach a post—brexit trade deal. in an interview with the bbc, micheal martin warned that not reaching agreement would be very damaging to the uk and irish economies. europe does want a deal and is anxious we get it because it's the sensible thing to do. i mean, we all represent people, we've all had a very significant shock to our economic system because of covid—19. the last thing we need now, across all of our respective economies, is a second major shock. two former members of jeremy corbyn's shadow cabinet have called on the labour leader to issue a full throated apology" for the party's stance on brexit. in their report, jon trickett and the former party chair, ian lavery said sir keir starmer is losing the trust of those on the left of the party. let's get more from our political correspondent, iain watson. tell us more about this desire for an apology about brexit? the report produced is called no holding back and is published this evening and it does what it says on the tin, hard—hitting does what it says on the tin, ha rd—hitting report. does what it says on the tin, hard—hitting report. en library and jon trickett were close allies of jeremy corbyn, they served in the shadow cabinet —— ian lavery. when keir starmer took over they were asked to leave the top table, but what they are saying is, by labour changing its position from the 2017 election when they accepted the result of the brexit referendum and the 2019 election when it was then calling for another referendum, in the process they alienated many people in traditional labour seats, but they also argue that changing position when against the democratic principles of labour, as well, and the only way to rebuild trust in the so—called crumbling red wall, the areas that have gone conservative,, they say is for the party to make an apology for their brexit stance and they want keir starmer to that apology. keir starmer was the shadow brexit secretary and he was instrumental in party policy and this is indicative of some people on the left of the party who are openly challenging the direction of the party under keir starmer. i don't expect him to make an apology, by the way, and his allies are saying, if ian lavery and jon trickett felt so strongly about it, why did they not resign from the shadow cabinet about it? they say they argued privately very strongly about the party shifting position and they also say they should be an apology to those who voted remain, as well, because they were given false hope that the referendum could be overturned and that was never really a realistic option. their report covers much more ground than brexit. what about what they feel is the problem within the party generally? they say they have had these conversations with party activists and trade unionists and former voters and the impression they get, from the red wall seats predominantly, the areas that were traditionally labour, the perception of the party is that it is to soften and to middle class. what they are suggesting is a range of policy options to change that —— to southern. including having quotas to include working class candidates and giving funds to help less well off candidates and also not parachuting people into traditional labour seats. however, ian lavery did have the previous ability to stop this when he was in a different position but did not choose to do so. thanks for joining but did not choose to do so. thanks forjoining us. there are more patients in hospitals in wales with covid—19 than at any time — including during the earlier peak of the pandemic. latest figures show 1,529 beds are occupied across the country — 983 are with covid—19 patients. however, the number of people with the virus being treated in intensive care is lower than earlier peak. lockdown restrictions in northern ireland are due to end at midnight friday— but it's not clear lockdown restrictions in northern ireland are due to end at midnight friday — but it's not clear what happens next. the stormont executive is in political deadlock about whether hospitality and other small businesses should be allowed to reopen. let's talk now to stephen magorrian — he is a board member of hospitality ulster and the director of the horatio hospitality group, a pub company which owns four bars. what on earth are business owners meant to think and do right now?- the moment we are just having a conversation and we hope a decision is made. the regulations under which we are closed come to an end tomorrow night so technically if they change we can open on saturday but we haven't planned because we are expecting an extension, and the other side is that the grants we have been promised, we haven't received them yet, for when we were closed. they fall away on friday night when the regulations fall away, so if there is no decision between now and friday, we are allowed to open legally, and if we don't, there's no grant to support us so we are in a difficult position at the moment. you own four bars. are you having to plan to reopen? you need supplies and you have to talk to your suppliers and there is a lot of work? it is too late now for us to open, and all of our premises sell a lot of food, so at this stage, to get a plan going to do something at the standard we would normally do is impossible, so opening this weekend won't be possible. it is a case of trying to plan for the week ahead. what we we re plan for the week ahead. what we were hoping for and what we expected was for this extension, disclosure, to be extended by a further two weeks, that is what we expected. we we re weeks, that is what we expected. we were hoping the decision would be made early in the week with a clear date as to when we can open. not only is it a case of getting supplies in but we also need bookings. no point opening a restau ra nt bookings. no point opening a restaurant if you don't have anyone booked to come, so we can't open the doors and hope people will turn up. we need to let people know we are actually opening. we are at the mercy of the executive coming up with a decision. do you feel let down by politicians? you can't help but feel let down. we do understand it isa but feel let down. we do understand it is a very difficult decision and we do understand there is a pandemic going on and we know we all have a pa rt going on and we know we all have a part to play, but all of our businesses, we invested very heavily at the end of the last lockdown to make sure that we were covid safe and we trained our staff and put procedures in place. we were closed down again and told it would be for bad few weeks and we did that willingly. we are still closed down. —— told willingly. we are still closed down. -- told it willingly. we are still closed down. —— told it would be for four weeks. you sound, phlegmatic is not the right word, but people watching you would think you are trying to run a business and trying to employ people and trying to create jobs, and your hands are tied. that is a really tough position to be left in, it would seem, through no fault of your own. absolutely. to be honest, things have been made worse by the chancellor's extension of the furlough scheme in a strange way, because many people think this was the saviour for us but we have to also pay a pension for our employees, but i have no income coming in. one of the things we had been hoping for and relying on was the bonus at the end of january, for the bonus at the end of january, for the costs were incurred in the first lockdown, keeping our employees on, and when we open, keeping them on, but that has been taken away and thatis but that has been taken away and that is another loss, losing £100,000 in the last week, and now we are not open and we don't have a date to open, so it is frustrating. ifa date to open, so it is frustrating. if a decision isn't made by friday night we will have no option but to open next week. we can't stay closed because there is no support in place. we wish you all the very best. thanks for your time. a board member of hospitality ulster, still waiting for a decision on lockdown restrictions which are due to end there on friday night. the headlines on bbc news... the number of people waiting over a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest levels since 2008 — as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer — 15.5%. but the economy as a whole is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic. and there are warnings that the economy will slow again. turmoil in downing street — one of the prime minister's closest advisers quits as head of communications, in behind the scenes infighting. the number of teenage murder suspects reached a five year high last year, according to research carried out by the bbc. data from half of the uk's police forces also shows a sharp rise in the number of teenage victims of murder and manslaughter. you may find some of the footage in this report from tom symonds distressing. armed police, show your hands! show me your hands! police move in on a violent drug gang in kent. listen to me! going through the conservatory... in london, officers chase two murder suspects. we tracked the first 100 killings of 2019 to create a picture of who the killers were. nearly all were male. but shockingly, over a quarter were teenagers. louai ali was just 16. he boxed for england juniors. he had a bright future, but he couldn't contain his violence to the ring. ali bought a knife off the internet and murdered a college student in birmingham, in front of a crowd. it was all over within a minute. another stabbing by another 16—year—old, days later, also in birmingham. adam muhammad was walking with fellow student hazrat umar. shortly afterwards he turned on hazrat, leaving him for dead. and his family, including his uncle, a former senior prosecutor, are devastated. hazrat was one of these people who warmed the room when he walked in. he was cheerful, joyful, adored by his own family and extended family. my family's grief is repeated, as your has survey found, dozens and dozens of times over every year. the government's planning higher sentences for teenage killers. his view? punish them, yes, try and deter other people, but also at the back of the judge's mind must be the view that this person can still make a contribution to society once they are finally released. our 100 killings project has highlighted the factors which lead to murder — drugs, alcohol, domestic violence, and young people living violent lives. tom symonds, bbc news. now do something linked to coronavirus. —— now to something. millions of hindus, sikhs and jains around the world are celebrating the religious festival of diwali, popularly known as the festival of lights. it's normally marked by visiting families and friends and hosting big celebrations. but like many other festivals this year, diwali too is affected because of coronavirus. let's speak now to tarun patel from the shri swaminarayan temple in london. good afternoon. what a year it has been, how are people going to be able to celebrate? it is a tough time at the whole country are making sacrifices. this is the largest hindu festival in the year, so naturally we are disappointed, but fully understand the rationale behind this. we have made alternatives. neasden temple has been very proactive in trying to provide solutions so that the community can enjoy diwali whilst maintaining its civic duty and spiritual responsibility during the lockdown guidelines, and we have a host of interactive programmes broadcasted live from the neasden temple into the homes of hindus all over the uk, starting from this evening. fantastic. quite an operation and quite a feat of organisation. will celebrations and festivities, will it have a different tone this year? festivities, will it have a different tone this year7|j festivities, will it have a different tone this year? i would think so. there is nothing like going to the temple on diwali and celebrating with the whole community. the colours and vibrancy, the music, meeting yourfriends and family. the whole atmosphere is very different. so it will be toned down, naturally, but having said that, it isa time naturally, but having said that, it is a time for the family to be spending quality time in their own homes, and an opportunity to bring aspects of the temple into your own house. perhaps recreate the atmosphere by way of decorations, by way of putting inspirational quotes on your bedrooms, lighting, lighting the candle of hope, and simultaneously participating in the ceremonies that will be broadcasted live from the temple. so, we are making the best of what is available, using technology, and i think the community is really excited for the next five days. rightly so. we should be looking forward to celebrating during these dark times. of course, of course. my heart goes out to people because it is just about being together and seeing friends and family. being together in big groups. so many communities are having to adjust to this throughout 2020 and i suppose you feel you are really doing as much as you possibly can. you are absolutely right, but we have got to put things in perspective. celebration is very important but we also have do understand that people are losing theirjobs, businesses are losing theirjobs, businesses are going down, so the whole country is making sacrifices. , to make a small sacrifice of celebrating diwali slightly differently is not a big sacrifice in the larger scheme of things, but what is important, we have to remain collectively equal to the challenges that lie ahead. we have to be constant in our prayers and we have to be confident for the year ahead because better times will come and the temple will reopen. the festivals will be enjoyed in years to come. we don't have to get too downbeat. keep hope and move forward. thank you for ending on a positive note. that is really lovely. we don't always get a lot of that on a rolling news channel. it is lovely to hear those sentiments. i hope you and your loved ones very much enjoy the next five days. happy diwali to you all. thank you very much indeed. nice to be able to have a smile once in awhile. the government has given the go—ahead for a controversial new tunnel alongside stonehenge — more than 30 years after it was first proposed. duncan kennedy reports. it's one of the busiest roads next to one of the greatest monuments. for decades, the debate has raged over what to do with the a303 alongside this world heritage site. now, the government has ruled that the a303 is to be buried into a tunnel, creating a traffic free landscape. the decision has been welcomed by english heritage, who say it will transform stonehenge. as guardians of the stones, english heritage welcome the news the a303 tunnel is now approved and will be implemented. it makes good on a decades long ambition to remove this noisy and polluting road from this very important prehistoric landscape. it's only when you get here on the ground that you realise just how close the stones are to the a303. it's just a matter of about 150 or 200 yards, and this is a road that attracts between 30,000 and 50,000 cars a day. but some campaigners have fought for years to stop a tunnel, saying it will damage the wider archaeological heritage of this unique setting. the landscape to each side of the tunnel will be gouged out into deep cuttings with dual carriageways in the huge tunnel entrances, masses of concrete, major road interchanges to each side of the world heritage site. this is devastation on a major scale. there have been memory promises before to put the a303 into a tunnel but is this the moment stones and vehicles really part company? duncan kennedy, bbc news, at stonehenge. now it's time for a look at the weather with chris fawkes. the weather is looking pretty wet and often pretty windy as well, so we have got to grab the sunshine when it comes along. earlier most of us saw at least some sunshine and this was northern ireland earlier, but just to the west we have cloud gathering and some rain is on the way thanks to this weather front which will be pushing its way in and just ahead of the weather front the isobars pinch together so we are looking at a spread of windy weather to take us through the evening and overnight. winds quickly building over northern ireland before strengthening over scotland, england and wales, as well. maybe 50mph around some of the exposed western areas, with the band of rain and heavy and squally so the rain coming down very heavily. temperatures still into double figures in the southeast overnight, but things cooling off somewhat behind the weather front in scotland and northern ireland. into friday, the band of rain still with strong winds pushing over east anglia and south—east england before clearing, a bit of sunshine before showers move i to scotland, northern ireland and western areas of england. they could be most frequent and heavy in north western areas of the uk. temperatures, between 10—14, and it will stay pretty windy, and as we go into the weekend, even stronger winds on the cards, thanks to these weather systems pushing north—east across the uk bringing spells of rain as well. the weekend, not the greatest, often it will be wet and strong winds to contend with as well. saturday, the rain looks to be pretty widespread and heavy. the winds, they look strongest in parts of wales and maybe into western areas of england, reaching maybe 40—50mph through the course of saturday. very blustery in these areas. temperatures are still mild but maybe not feeling that special, given the strength of the wind. and the rain coming down, as well. sunday doesn't look much better. outbreaks of rain, a few dry spots but strong winds to come in the south coast of england with gusts reaching 50—60mph. the rain still heavy and temperatures starting to drop away as well, so this weekend looking particularly unsettled. this is bbc news. the headlines... the number of people waiting more than a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest level since 2008 as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. you can't stop people having heart attacks or strokes or slipping up on the ice and breaking their wrist or hip, but the thing you can do is control the flow of covid patients. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer — 15.5%. but it is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic and there are warnings it will slow again. that recovery, slow coming into the autumn, and it's likely the slowdown will continue given the restrictions we've had to put in place more recently to control the spread of the virus. and in an hour's time the business secretary, alok sharma, will be holding a news conference. do stay with us for that. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronavirus as white people. a nurse has appeared in court charged with murdering eight babies and the attempted murder of ten babies at a hospital in chester. something babies at a hospital in chester. to look forward to a bank something to look forward to a long bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's platinum jubilee in 2022. the number of people waiting more than a year for hospital treatment in england has hit its highest level since 2008. patients are meant to be seen within 18 weeks but nearly 140,000 people on the waiting list at the end of september had been waiting over a year. health officials say cutting the number of coronavirus cases is crucial for tackling the backlog. our health correspondent anna collinson reports. stephanie was diagnosed with a rare form of skin cancer injuly, after finding a suspicious mole. the 43—year—old pharmacist was told she should have surgery in four weeks, but it took nearly three months. waiting for my operation to come round, i did feel alone, i felt scared. depression. anxiety. just not knowing, and not having any contact with anyone, and having to phone the hospital to chase up times, timescales for appointments for these operations. it's hard. stephanie fears the delay has made her condition worse. she will find out if her cancer has spread further in a few weeks, and says without her family's support, she wouldn't be able to cope. i work for the nhs myself, so i understand the pressure the nhs is under with covid, and how it has been dealt with, but if it wasn't for those, i feel i would totally be on my own. coronavirus has consumed the health service. the latest figures for september show the number of patients waiting for more than a year for routine operations is the highest it's been since 2008. nhs england say nearly 140,000 people waited more than 12 months. in total, there are now more than 4.3 million on the waiting list. if you want the nhs to look after the patients we see over winter when we are at our most stretched, if you want us to deal with covid patients coming in, and recover those backlogs, the bit you can control is the number of covid patients. you can't stop people having heart attacks, strokes, slipping over on the ice. cancer services are now back to pre—pandemic levels but there is still a significant backlog. these latest figures also don't take the pressures of the second wave into account, with cancellations of non—urgent work already happening. anoushka found a cyst on her breast injune. she sought medical advice but was repeatedly told it was benign. as a last resort she went to her local a&e where she was diagnosed with breast cancer. i feel very angry that i was not diagnosed earlier. seek treatment, don't be deterred. yes, covid is a factor, but there is a lot more going on out there. anna collinson, bbc news. our health correspondent nick triggle is with me now. it is very worrying because people have been told repeatedly to seek medical help when they need it and yet we hear there is a huge backlog. yes, in the summer at the nhs had a big push to get back to normal, back doing that non—covid work that was stopped or severely curtailed in the first wave of the pandemic in the spring. but what they have had to do because of the backlog in cases is prioritise the most urgent, serious conditions. as we have heard, for cancer, services and activity levels are back to pre—pandemic levels but that has not happened for routine treatment and if we see a chart, we can see the impact of that. this shows the number of long waiters, those waiting over a year for treatment. this time last year there was just over a thousand patients on the waiting list who had waited longer than a year but we can see that during the spring, that has risen quite rapidly and there are now nearly 140,000 patients who have waited more than a year which is out ofa waited more than a year which is out of a total list of over 4 million. it isa of a total list of over 4 million. it is a small fraction but still a significant number of people and the worst level since 2008. we call these routine treatments but they are things like hip and knee replacements, cataract surgery to correct eyesight problems and the royal college of surgeons said we should not dismiss these as not important or not urgent because they are leaving patients in pain, often unable to carry on with the sort of lives they had before and their conditions are deteriorating as they are waiting longer and longer. 140,000 people waiting more than a year. is that figure likely to rise, could this get worse? that is the fear. this was the picture at the end of september. then there was around 2000 patients with covid in hospital and we are now seeing five times that number and already beginning to hear of hospitals having to cut back on some of this nonurgent work, hospitals in bradford, leeds and liverpool and birmingham and nottingham have all announced cancellations of routine work. at the fear is that the numbers waiting a long time will get worse as the nhs continues to struggle overwinter worse as the nhs continues to struggle over winter with coronavirus. thank you. and a spokesperson for the nhs said that the number of people having cancer treatment is now back to pre—pandemic levels and more people came forward for checks in september compared with the same month last year, almost 200,000 referrals injust one month. they also said that the nhs message has always been clear — "do not delay, help us to help you by coming forward for care." the uk economy came out of recession, with record growth between july and september, but remains below where it was before the pandemic began. the chancellor, rishi sunak, says there is cause for cautious optimism but he added it's going to be a difficult winter, and analysts expect the economy to shrink again because of the impact of new coronavirus restrictions. after bad figures earlier in the year, growth was up by 15.5% in the three months to september, a result of the lifting of restrictions, and the eat out to help out scheme. however the news wasn't enough to reverse the damage caused by coronavirus and the lockdown. the economy is still more than 8% smaller than when the virus hit. our economics correspondent andy verity reports. today's figures refer back to what now seems a bygone era, july to september. with lockdown over, restrictions lifted and half price fry ups at taxpayers' expense, economic activity rose by a record 15.5%. at this exeter pub, business was up by 30% in august, though it slowed down in september, and now once again it's a bit dead. eat out to help out was absolutely fantastic for us. we were turning away so many people, and we were very busy. our trade was around 25% up on the previous year in august, so we felt that this money that we make in august will probably be used to get us through the hard winter ahead. but in some parts of the economy, there was no summer bounce back. this 30 printing company makes models for exhibition, and was growing before the pandemic struck. it reallyjust sort of took the feet away from us. how do i reduce my costs? how do i avoid spending any money? how do i get through with little or no income? as a limited company owner, gavin was among up to 2.9 million people excluded from most government support. he's tried to adapt by shifting from physical models to computer aided design, but it's a long haul. well, i've had some success there, but it'll take a long time to build that up from a very low base, and it'll be a year or two before that fills in all the activity that we previously doing. just as the economy shrank by record amounts when restrictions were imposed in the spring, so it grew by record amounts when they were lifted but at the end of september it was still one tenth smaller than it was at the end of 2019 and the bank of england is predicting in the fourth quarter it will shrink again. what the figures today show that the economy was recovering over the summer, but yes, that recovery is slowing down coming into the autumn and it is likely that has continued as a result of the health restrictions we have had to necessarily put in place to suppress the spread of the virus but there are reasons for caution optimism, improvements in mass testing being rolled out, news on the vaccine, although early days. but the drop in activity of nearly 10% since the start of the year is more than twice as large as in italy or germany or france. our country is experiencing the worst downturn in the g7. we have a long way to go, and of course, we are back in lockdown again now, so i would agree with the chancellor on this. unfortunately, we are likely to see a very severe impact from that feeding into the last quarter of this year's figures. a recovery needs businesses to invest. and business investment is still down by one fifth from its pre—covid level. vaccination will do more to change that than any government policy, but for most of us, that is still months away. andy verity, bbc news. our economics editor, faisal islam said the government's top priority would now be to ensure the economic recovery continues despite the threat posed by the pandemic. it's clearly welcome that the technical recession is over, clearly welcome we have had a record quarter of growth over the summer, but history happens very quickly in this crisis, and that is in the kind of rear—view mirror now. now most people expect the economy is contracting by a smaller amount than the previous lockdown and there are clouds on the economy in terms of the continued uncertainty over our trading relationship with europe, but there is also a big ray of sunshine which is the prospect of a functioning vaccine. that should help people, you know, big businesses, trying to invest for next year, think, ok, there is a prospect of the economy recovering. so far what we have is a catch up recovery from lights going back on in the economy, but not a full—blown recovery. senior ministers are insisting they remain focused on coronavirus and other key issues amid infighting at downing street. one of borisjohnson's key aides, lee cain, resigned as director of communications last night after disagreements about his possible promotion. labour and several conservative backbenchers have expressed dismay at the events at the heart of government. our political correspondent chris mason reports. he resigned last night, but lee cain still turned up for work this morning, albeit heading into downing street via the back door. yes, i know, a person you've probably never heard of loses a job you didn't know he had, but office politics in the most political office in the land matters, because it shapes how we are governed. the prime minister has a strong team around him and all of us, whether it's his advisers or the cabinet, are focused on the big task, which as you say is tackling the pandemic, helping to shepherd the country through this very challenging period, helping to preserve people's jobs in an economic downturn, and ensuring all the other things people care about are not neglected at the same time. it is those colossal issues that the government is dealing with that helps explain why this row about advisers at westminster matters. those around a prime minister matter hugely. those who have his ear and those that don't, and they are crucial in shaping a government's priorities, style and communication. lee cain, like fellow adviser dominic cummings, here on the left, is a veteran of the leave campaign in the eu referendum. you will remember mr cummings for that row about his trip to county durham during the first lockdown. sorry i'm late. the word is mr cummings couldn't believe his eyes at what happened last night — mr cain being offered the job of chief of staff, then not offered it, leading him to pack it in. what happened in between, we understand, is carrie symonds, the prime minister's fiancee, intervened, suggesting it would be a mistake. she used to be the conservative party's director of communications and is very plugged in to what tory mps think. lee cain was already irritated at the appointment of allegra stratton as the government's spokeswoman. he wanted someone else to get the job. it really is time, i think, that downing street got in place what i think is known as somebody with big boy pants on, because a prime minister, particularly one facing the difficulties mrjohnson is facing, needs heavyweight help. i think that the country looks on with astonishment, really, that on the day that the uk reaches 50,000 deaths from the coronavirus pandemic with less than 50 days to go until we leave the european union, that downing street is focusing on internal battles. lee cain is now working out his notice. the prime minister is working out how to manage his office and his government. chris mason, westminster, bbc news. let's get more from our political correspondentjessica parker. stories about advisers always divide people into two camps, one lot who say, what on earth does it matter, get on with the issues on the other who say it goes to the heart of the issue. absolutely and if people are asking why should i really care about this story, clearly the last 24 hours have been a little bit messy for downing street. in downing street is the beating heart of the government, where key political decisions are made and of course particularly key political decisions given this government is dealing with the pandemic, with trying to revive the economy, looking ahead to the future and of course trying to seal a brexit deal as well ahead of the transition period ending at the end of this year. plenty of things on downing street's plate and that is why there had been particular attention on what has gone on over the past 24 hours in number 10 and the past 24 hours in number 10 and the idea of who gets whatjob. it is something been put a very senior cabinet minister by our political editor, laura kuenssberg, this afternoon. will there be a new chief of staff to drive this through? personal decisions the premise that makes are for the prime minister but we have the benefit of a great team of civil servants and advisers who are working well together in order to make sure we deliver on the promises we made to the british people. michael gove i think trying to say that as knitters have been saying they are focused on the job but laurette referred to this chief of staff roll —— ministers have been saying. there is debate about whether lee cain was offered that and on what terms. clearly he has decided to resign his role as director of the medications and another interesting aspect all this is that he was part of the vote lead campaign that boris johnson, is that he was part of the vote lead campaign that borisjohnson, michael gove, dominic cummings were very much involved in as well so they respect you listen this could be pa rt respect you listen this could be part of a changing of the guard in downing street but we don't know for sure yet because we have only seen one departure so far as we understand at the moment and dominic cummings is staying put for the foreseeable future. really interesting. and at the same time, the government does have a great deal on its plate, not least is the issue of the end of the transition period and brexit? of course the uk left the european union earlier this year but pretty much stuck to eu rules and regulations whilst both sides try to hammer out a trade deal but time is running out to secure that deal because the transition period will end on december the 31st. talks have been going on in london, set to go on in brussels next week but of course this deal, if it can be reached, needs to be ratified as well by european parliaments across the eu as well as here in westminster. it is an issue that michael gove is very closely tied to, something he oversees, preparing for a potential or no—deal brexit and he spoke about that. some of that detail is subject to the resolution of these talks and negotiation and there needs to be movement on the eu site if we are to get the progress we want. one of the arguments we have always made is that by choosing to leave the european union we became a sovereign equal it is absolutely important the eu recognised that. i think the penny is dropping but negotiations are going on at the moment in order to make sure those final areas of disagreement are finally resolved. michael gove insisting that penny is dropping. he had been talking to businesses as part of a new task force to ensure they are ready but there has been numerous warnings that businesses will not be ready. as for michel barnier, the eu lead negotiator, he has tweeted this afternoon something quite curious, saying he had taken a short break from intense negotiations in london and went looking for level playing field! he is seen looking out upon what i think if a football pitch, a bit of wordplay then but referring to one of the sticking points in the trade talks intend are trying to get both sides to agree to future competition rules. of the talks will carry on, probably next week as well and meanwhile at this afternoon we have a browning —— downing street press co nfe re nce have a browning —— downing street press conference to look forward to headed by business secretary alex, will bejoined by nhs england's stephen powers at around by pm —— alok sharma. and we will bring you that live. thank you very much. some breaking news, nicola adams and katya jones are to leave strictly come dancing after cat is —— katya tested positive for covid—19. this means they will no longer be able to ta ke means they will no longer be able to take part in the competition. in a statement, nicola adams said she was devastated that her strictlyjourney came to an end so soon because she said she had so much more to give and so many people to win this for. she also thanked katya for being the best dance partner anyone could ask for. there are more patients in hospitals in wales with covid—19 than at any time, including during the earlier peak of the pandemic. latest figures show 1,529 beds are occupied across the country — 983 are with covid—19 patients. however the number of people with the virus being treated in intensive care is lower than earlier peak. lockdown restrictions in northern ireland are due to end at midnight on friday but it's not clear what happens next. the stormont executive is in political deadlock about whether hospitality and other small businesses should be allowed to reopen. peter mccleery runs the sugarcane cafe and bistro in comber. hejoins me now. good afternoon. what is your understanding of what is going to happen? we are left in limbo at the moment because we really don't know. the restrictions were meant to end tomorrow. still here we are, not knowing what is going to happen. tomorrow. still here we are, not knowing what is going to happenm must be very frustrating for you? very frustrating for us and all the staff and morale is very low in hospitality at the moment. we just feel our industry is on the brink. we are coming to the christmas period, we need to be planning and we can't do any of that right now. what do you understand the problem to be? itjust seems to be that our executive cannot agree, it is more to do with the five coalition party agreement across the board. it is just a difficult one. i can't blame any individual political party, i'm not really into party politics, but we just need clear guidance to move forward. were you expecting to be able to open tomorrow? and have only just realised that you are not sure you can? we had planned all week. rotors were done, we were about to place orders and then on monday, the story broke that they might extend the lockdown for another two weeks. obviously then the politics kicked in. we have been in limbo, we had to cancel supplies for the weekend because if we get them now, it is still too late to do all the preparation. give me an idea, how much leading time do you need in order to get up and running again? probably a minimum of three orfour days but different suppliers come at different times so it is quite a logistical situation to get into place. what are your members of staff saying to you? thankfully, we have been able to retain every member of staff since the lockdown, we already had three months of lockdown earlier on. we are trading asa lockdown earlier on. we are trading as a takeaway and we have some stuff doing that but not all of them are back at work. again, the staff are in the darkjust as much as we are and we try to them but everyone is fea rful and we try to them but everyone is fearful for and we try to them but everyone is fearfulfor their and we try to them but everyone is fearful for their future and their jobs, as we are for the business. and how do you feel hospitality has been treated? we believe we are slightly being singled out, notjust hospitality but close contact businesses. hospitality itself is probably one of the most regulated business on the high street, we already have scores on the doors, checks by environmental health officers, we open to scrutiny. we are saying, let us trade but come and see what we do, the measures we have put in place to make it a secure place to dine and eat out and where transmission is not coming from hospitality. you are saying you followed the rules and you are being u nfa i rly followed the rules and you are being unfairly treated ? followed the rules and you are being unfairly treated? we followed the rules and invested quite heavily to make our premises secure. and to reduce transmission. we are the only industry to have track and trace taking customer details at the moment, so we have gone above and beyond already but here we are, at the 11th hour, still not knowing whether we can open our doors on saturday. what would you say to the executive? you have your chance, what would you say? i would just say, make up your mind and tell us one way or another so we can tell our staff and we can plan, that is all we ask for. christmas is coming, we need to plan and advertise but do we need to plan and advertise but do we spend the money right now? not really, not until we have clear guidance. all the very best to you. peter who runs the sugar cane cafe in tow local health bosses in hull are warning the city is facing a public health crisis as it battles to keep its covid infection rate under control. hull has the highest infection rate in the uk with 726 cases per 100,000 people. the city's director of public health, julia weldon, said local leaders wanted the authority to close certain schools for all expect vulnerable pupils and key workers if the virus spirals out of control. a study of 18 million people in the uk and us suggests that black people are twice as likely as white people to catch the coronavirus. the researchers at the universities of leicester and nottingham also found that asian people are 1.5 times more likely than white people to be infected and may be more likely to need intensive care. dr manish pareek is one of the lead researchers. he explained how much is known about what causes the disparity. these are data which have brought together the published literature really from the start of the pandemic, from december last year, through to the end of august this year, and what we have done is we have brought together all the individual studies which have been looking at this over the last few months and tried to develop an overall risk for different ethnic groups in three aspects. one is infection and we find, as you say, increased risk of infection in certain ethnic groups, but also in terms of intensive care. the data on mortality and death is perhaps less clear and i think needs further work. in terms of the underlying reasons for that, i think there are a multitude of reasons but i think it will come down to a variety of aspects coming together. firstly, household structure and multi—occu pancy households. secondly, often individuals from different ethnic groups are working in front line, key worker roles where they cannot necessarily shield or have an increased risk of exposure. and we also know that in certain ethnic groups, certain underlying medical conditions such as diabetes are more common. so, we have a combination of factors increasing that risk of infection that you have just mentioned. and some official figures coming and some officialfigures coming in about new cases which appear to have gone up considerably. the uk record 33,470 new coronavirus cases on thursday, compared to 22,950 on wednesday. that is more than 10,000 cases recorded in that 24—hour period which is really quite significant and we will have more on that when we have it. two senior members of jeremy corbyn's shadow cabinet have called on the labour leader to issue a "full throated apology" for the party's stance on brexit. jon trickett and former party chairman, ian lavery, said sir keir starmer is losing the trust of those on the left of the party. and we can speak to ian lavery now. good afternoon. why do you say this? can you hear me? i can. ijust asked him what you say there should be an apology about the labour stance on brexit? no holding back was a great listening exercise, public one of the biggest listening exercise the labour party has ever embarked upon. we listened what people had to say because there are too many people out there telling too many people out there telling too many people out there telling too many people out there why they voted for remain or leave without even listening to the arguments. we have listened to what people have said, listen to the views of people up and down the length and breadth of this country and we found that many traditional photos had felt let down, many traditional labour voters felt let down and betrayed by the party sta nce down and betrayed by the party stance on brexit and believe they broke promises and bleep voices have been ignored and they had not been listened to. —— their voices ponder when we listened to a number of things, it is notjust about an apology but about politics and education and local government and the redistribution of wealth, a whole range of things from this great listening exercise, but the apology is simply a suggestion to try and draw a line under the issue of brexit because we feel there is a great need to do so. it is pretty hostile out there and we think it is only right, listening to what people have got to say and this was their views emphatically that the party would need to rebuild trust in the communities, the 48 seats we lost plus many others, in order to try and move forward because we have a fantastic array of policies. we really have but you couldn't get past the doorstep because people believed they had been let down and ignored and betrayed. cani can ijust can i just be can ijust be clear, then? when you talk about the party's stance on brexit, this is about the position that there should be a second referendum, but i am just quite unclear why there should be an apology. what are you saying, are you saying this contributed to labour's defeat? what i am saying is emphatically it was a massive issue, and the main reason why we lost at least 48 seats at the election, that's because the party fudged the brexit issue, the party turned their back on the referendum result and the people who voted, many of them for the first time, as well as people who had voted for the first time, as well as many young ones, just thought the labour party were trying to fudge the issue, wanted a second referendum and basically didn't want to recognise and accept wholeheartedly the referendum result. that went down very, very, very badly indeed, and it was a major concern, which... misdelivery, the poll suggested it was simply thatjeremy corbyn was unpopular with voters. isn't that why labour lost? you must be looking at different folders to me. lost? you must be looking at different folders to melj lost? you must be looking at different folders to me. i think the polls showed that fairly systematically. again, it might be the polls that you were, i'm not saying that wasn't an issue, but what i am saying is that the major factor certainly in the 48 seats that were left was the fact that many traditional voters who voted labour, labour heartlands, felt let down, and! labour, labour heartlands, felt let down, and i think the people who count, these weren't statistics on computers by polling companies, they we re computers by polling companies, they were genuine individuals who were delighted for the first time to be listened to, to feel that their contribution actually mattered, and thatis contribution actually mattered, and that is where we got our results from, and that is why we are seeing what we are seeing. it is very important if the party agreed that there should be this full throated apology, for both sides, by the way, because the remain side, the leave side, the remain side were led down the garden park, people were informed we could have this wonderful new second referendum, it was never on the cards, and the people on the remain side, it was suggested that perhaps we are going to lose 50 to 60 seats to the liberal democrats, it was never the case, so they deserve an apology and the people from the leave side quite simply deserve an apology for the fa ct simply deserve an apology for the fact that they use their democratic vote, it is a basic principle of democracy in this country that we accept the result of a vote. that is why there needs to be a full throated apology. many thanks, that is iain lee very there. —— ian lavery. hello, this is bbc news. with reeta chakrabarti. the headlines — the number of people waiting more than a year for hospital treatment in england hits its highest level since 2008, as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. the uk economy grew by a record amount over the summer — 15.5%. but it is still smaller than before the coronavirus pandemic, and there are warnings it will slow again. and at 5pm, the business secretary, alok sharma, and the director of nhs england, professor stephen powis, will be holding a news conference. do stay with us for that. a major new study shows black people are twice as likely to catch coronoavirus as white people. coronavirus as white people. sport, and for a full round—up, from the bbc sport centre... here's jane. after a three—hour delay, the masters is finally under way. the threat of lightning meant they had to stop afterjust three and a half minutes. it was scheduled to start in april but covid meant it was postponed for seven months. this is how bad the weather got. very poor visibility at augusta national, puddles of water on the course. it did eventually clear up and one of the first to get under way was tournament favourite bryson dechambeau. started off well with this iron shot on his 1st hole. on to his second with everyone talking about his driving, this one didn't quite go to plan. his ball going into the trees. however, he still managed to par that hole. meanwhile, the defending champion tiger woods is out on the course and hit this nice little chip to save par on the 1st hole. to a huge night for both scotland and northern ireland — with both nationsjust one match away from qualifying for next summer's european championships. for scotland, you need to go back to 1998 for the last time the mens side reached a majorfinals. that was the world cup. tonight, that could all change. a win against serbia in belgrade, and they'll seal a place at next summer's euros. i was four the last time scotland got to a major tournament, and my whole generation has missed out on seeing scotland at major tournaments, and you look back on old videos, and talking to family and stuff how good the tartan army used to be, and we know how big a fan base we have got, we know how passionate they are we want to see them at a major tournament, and we are the next group of lads that can go and achieve that. good for scotland. there's been a setback for scotland's opponents, serbia. influential midfielder and crystal palace captain luka milivojevic has tested positive for coronavirus, and will now miss tonight's match. there will be no fans in belgrade — but in belfast there will be exactly 1,060, as northern ireland take on slovakia at windsor park. that's how many are allowed in, due to social distancing. northern ireland ended a 30—year wait for a trip to a major finals by reaching euro 2016, and could now make it back—to—back european championships with a win later. captain steven davis says victory tonight will be for the fans, and he's looking forward to have supporters back in the stadium. hopefully that will help us. we are obviously disappointed we can't have a full house because whenever you have a game of this magnitude you want the fans who have followed you through thick and thin to be there and try and enjoy the moment. obviously it's been difficult times for a lot of people and a lot of people will be able to tune in and, as i say, hopefully we can put a smile on their face, give them something to look forward to in the future, off the back of what's been a difficult year so far. also tonight, england will play the republic of ireland in a friendly — but they'll be withoutjoe gomez. the liverpool defender will miss a "significant" part of the season, after having surgery on a knee injury he suffered while in training for england. wales are also in action tonight — they face the usa in a friendly. the football association have asked the government for special exemption to allow their nations league match against iceland to take place at wembley. it's in doubt, because iceland play in denmark days before that, and currently there is a travel ban on people arriving from denmark. the ban is due to be reviewed on saturday, with germany a potential netural venue for the nations league game. after resigning as the chairman of the football association on tuesday, greg clarke has now stepped down as vice president for world football governing body fifa. his resignation comes after he used outdated and offensive racial comments in a parliamentary select committee hearing. he was also criticsed in relation to comments about gay he was also criticised in relation to comments about gay players and female players. jack willis will make his england rugby union debut on saturday, in their opening autumn nations cup match against georgia. eddiejones has named the wasps flanker alongside maro itoje, while billy vunipola will start at eight. it'll also be a big day for ollie lawrence, who will start a test match for the first time. jones says willis deserves his chance. more details on all those stories, including updates on the masters in augusta but that is it for now. while the uk has become the first country in europe to pass 50,000 coronavirus deaths, large parts of the continent are currently in lockdown. this week, italy reached the grim milestone of more than a million covid cases, while both france and spain have seen the daily number of cases start to fall in recent days. dr andrea ammon is the director of european centre for disease prevention and control, which has responsibility for strengthening europe's defences against infectious diseases. good afternoon to you, dr ammon. can you, i don't know if there is some way in which you can sum up, really, the current outlook for europe, when it comes to coronavirus? well, the current situation is definitely of serious concern. we see since almost four months of the case notification numbers rising, and for the eu average, we are now at 600 and a few more per hundred thousand notifications per 14 days. so the development is not only concerning because of the rise in case numbers, but also because the indicators that we have to monitor the severity and the seriousness are increasing. and yet of course within that overall picture, there are these differences, in that italy, the uk seem to be on an upward trajectory about france and spain are coming down. there are signs for some of the countries where the trend is stabilising. we can't say yet whether this is really the change of the trend, but we definitely see in some countries signals that the numbers stop increasing. and in terms of how to get, that all—important question, of how to get transmission rates down, which are the countries that are doing the best, and what is it that they are doing? i think all countries apply a combination of measures. one of course is all the measures that produce all the possibilities for contact within people, the so—called, well, premises closes, stay—at—home, physical distancing for people, wearing masks, washing hands and so forth, countries are protecting their vulnerable populations, that is the elderly, the ones in the nursing homes, the ones with underlying diseases, and i think what is very important is that the population plans there importance in order to control the pandemic, and they adhere to these measures. and where would you class the importance of a test and tracing system, in the uk we have an app, but it is not compulsory. do you think it should be? well, testing and contact tracing are things that we have very much throughout the last ten months emphasised, that it is an essential element for the measures. testing capacity needs to ensure that the test results are really conveyed very quickly to the persons. they need to at least test all of these symptomatic persons, and the contact tracing is something that has tended to insua, following the identification of an infected person. now the contact tracing apps area person. now the contact tracing apps are a complementary, additional tool for the contact tracing, but they are not completely replacing the human follow—up of contacts. the success or let's say the extent to which contact tracing apps can contribute to the success of contact tracing is of course the frequency they have taken out. whether they are compulsory or not depends on whether you can enforce the obligation to have this app. it is more to find out why they are not taken up, and then to initiate a communication to the population. 0k. we will have to leave it there. thank you so much. dr ammon from the european centre for the control and prevention. thank you. a nurse has appeared in court, via videolink, charged with murdering eight babies at a hospital in cheshire. 30—year—old lucy letby is also charged with ten counts of attempted murder. our correspondentjudith moritz has more from warrington magistrates' court. it was a short hearing, 12 minutes, before district judge nicholas sanders. lucy letby was on a video link away from here, spoke to confirm her name, her date of birth and her address, only those things. she was not asked to enter any pleas, and the charges which she faces were read out to her and to the court. she is accused of the murder of, as you say, eight babies, of five boys, whose names were read out, cemlyn bennett, josephjohnson, barney gee, joseph gelder and eli gelder, and of three girls, elsie mcnall, daisy parkin and maddie freed. she is also accused of the attempted murder of maddie freed and of another nine babies, whose identities we can't report. they are protected by a court order. as i say, she didn't enter any pleas. all we can tell you at this stage, these alleged murders and attempted murders are said to have happened between june 2015 and june 2016 at the countess of chester hospital, where lucy letby was a nurse in the neonatal unit. she was remanded in custody and she was told she will next appear at court tomorrow. that will be at chester crown court tomorrow afternoon. judith moritz, there. an investigation into equal pay at the bbc has found no unlawful acts of pay discrimination against women. the equality and human rights commission opened an inquiry last year, after complaints about large differences between the salaries of male and female presenters. but the watchdog has made a number of recommendations, including a call for the bbc to improve transparency. david sillito reports. when the bbc was forced to publish the salaries of its highest paid stars, there was fury at the gap between many male and female presenters and correspondence. presenters and correspondents. there were protests demanding equal pay. the bbc admitted there was a problem and a number of women were given a pay increase. but an independent investigation says it has found no unlawful discrimination. however, it says there were issues with system. i do understand the feelings of bbc women and i think it's important to remember that these are people who suffered considerably. we are talking about delays of two years in one case, more in others. and feelings of anger and humiliation in and humiliation and distress and insomnia. and i think this goes to the really important findings that we've made, in terms of inadequate record—keeping and inadequate communications and transparency in terms of decision—making was made. campaigners remain sceptical. the presenter samira ahmed won a pay tribunal and the fawcett society, which fights for equal pay, has doubts about the equality commission's investigation. i think the fact they reached that conclusion really is based on what i can say to be quite a limited investigation. on what i can see to be quite a limited investigation. i think ten in—depth cases isn't really enough. i know it was very challenging for the commission, i know it's very resource—intensive work and undoubtedly, that has played a major factor in how they have approached it. the bbc has welcomed today's report and accepts there was a problem, and that it also needs to improve both transparency and trust with women in the corporation. david sillito, bbc news. it is not possible to test all students at swansea university for covid before they return home for christmas, its chief operating officer has said. on wednesday, education minister kirsty williams asked all students in wales to travel by 9th december at the latest. andrew rhodes is the registrar and chief operating officer at swansea university — hejoins me now. good afternoon to you, mr rhodes. it won't be possible to test them all? why not? well, it is a simple matter of logistics. firstly, ithink testing students is a really big step forward. i think it would be a huge treatment for next year. the test will be available from 30th november to us. we were approached this week to gauge our interest in taking part, so between 30th november and students leaving, we will only have a small number of daysin will only have a small number of days in order to test all of the stu d e nts days in order to test all of the students that we have. it's just not possible in that time, so we will need to prioritise those that we can test during that window. how many stu d e nts test during that window. how many students do you have? we have 21,500 stu d e nts students do you have? we have 21,500 students enrolled with us at the moment. not all of those would be here to test, but if we were to test all 21,500 of them, based on the testing that has been done at other universities, where they are testing about 1500 students a day, using 45 staff members to do that. to test all of ours twice, which is what we need to do for a symptomatic testing would take us a month. we will actually probably have something like three to five days to fit that m, like three to five days to fit that in, which is why it is something we wouldn't be able to do for everyone. but we are ambitious about it, we are hoping to be able to test as many students as we can, but for any university it would be very difficult to do that in the time that they will have before students start to return home. that is really interesting, do you think actually swa nsea interesting, do you think actually swansea might be the first to be saying this but there will be other saying this but there will be other saying this but there will be other saying this too? certainly the other universities i have spoken to are saying the same thing. if you think about this from a pure mathematics point of view, if you have your stu d e nts point of view, if you have your students finishing there in person teaching, as we do on a round about the third or 4th of december, if they are then able to leave, you have a very, very small window in which to test students, if they are to be tested 24 hours before they leave, so it is a simple matter of logistics. we would need something the size of wembley stadium with probably close to 1000 people to test everybody in that three day period. it is a simple matter of operational logistics, but i do think that testing students who are asymptomatic would be a huge step forward , asymptomatic would be a huge step forward, something we are very supportive of. it is a simple matter of how many people can you test in a small number of days in order to give a small number of days in order to givea high small number of days in order to give a high degree of confidence. small number of days in order to give a high degree of confidencem you're just worried about the logistics, with it have been a help to you of the covenant had announced this earlier? i absolutely support the policy, i think it is the right thing to do. if the government had told us earlier we would have had a bit more time to prepare but the reality is none of that would change the simple logistics, if you are trying to test 21,000 people in a four or five day period, if you think about the difficulty of the governments have had setting up large—scale testing governments have had setting up la rge—scale testing programmes, imagine what it is like for 100 plus universities trying to test a million students potentially in a few days. not all would need to be tested. we a re few days. not all would need to be tested. we are talking about large numbers ina tested. we are talking about large numbers in a short time. we need to do this testing to test as many as we can by christmas, and particularly those filling with people who may be vulnerable, i think this would be of huge benefit to them. also how we use this testing regime from january in helping students attend universities, and to not have some of the issues that some universities experienced in september. 0k, many thanks for your time, andrew rhodes from swansea university, thank you. the government's approved plans to build a two—mile road tunnel near stonehenge in wiltshire, nearly 30 years after it was first proposed. it's intended to reduce frequent tailbacks on the a303. campaign groups had said they were worried about damage to the landscape. we can speak to anna davis, she's from english heritage. what is your reaction to this, where does english heritage stand on this issue? english heritage welcomes the decision. we look after stonehenge and anybody who goes there will know that currently the a303, there is a huge blight on the landscape, it cuts very close to the monument itself, and it is noisy, it is congested and it is dangerous. what this scheme will do by tunnelling the road will restore the ancient landscape around stonehenge. stonehenge is a monument that actually is part of a great prehistoric commemoratives landscape and at the moment the connections between the stones and the iron age burial cemetery is on the south, the great processional avenue to the site on the south—east are cut in two by this road, so we looking forward to a time when what is now a blight on the landscape will be transformed into a great public amenity, because people will be able to walk freely along the public of way, enjoying a landscape unsullied by the noise and site of traffic. so aesthetically it will be much better, but i wonder what you make planning officials, who recommended that the government withhold consent for this tunnel, because they say that it will harm the integrity and the authenticity of stonehenge? the whole issue is very complicated, and it is in the end a balance, and one of the contentious issues is to do with the western approach to the tunnels, so not the tunnel itself, which will be bored at geological levels, but with a quarter on the western side emerges, and there is an area to the west of that where the intensive archaeological investigation that has gone as part of the planning proposal has uncovered bronze age features. now what will happen now is that a really exemplary programme of archaeological research will take place on to those features, so our view is that this is actually a very exciting opportunity for us to learn more about that bronze age element of the landscape. so you are contending that it won't necessarily harm the other archaeological treasures that there might be there? the issue is about a benefit of —— a balance of benefit and harm. we think the benefits are considerable, it will result in a measurable improvements for the setting of stonehenge and we think the mitigations that will be put in place, by which i mean the archaeological excavation and analysis and scientific analysis of those bronze age fines actually offers an opportunity to advance knowledge, and so take altogether this is a scheme worth pursuing. and is this now going to go ahead? this is a scheme worth pursuing. and is this now going to go ahead7|j is this now going to go ahead?” think that we are all today digesting the news, and there are some conditions, a lot of conditions. i think many organisations who have an interest in the scheme are at the moment still digesting the detail of what happens next. it is certainly a very positive step in that direction. 0k, we have to leave it there, thank you very much indeed for your time. celebrations have been in short supply this year but we can now look forward to a four—day bank holiday weekend to mark the queen's 70 years on the throne. we do have to wait until 2022 for the platinum jubilee but ministers are promising a spectacular, once—in—a—generation show injune that year. to create the long weekend, the late may spring bank holiday no british moniker celebrated a platinum jubilee before. by the time 70 years were marked on the throne, she will be 96. nonetheless, the government says this milestone will be marked by what it calls an extensive programme of public events, which will mix traditional pageantry with events, which will mix traditional pagea ntry with cutting—edge technological displays. the celebrations will climax over an extra long bank holiday weekend, from thursday 2nd ofjune to sunday the 5th of june from thursday 2nd ofjune to sunday the 5th ofjune inclusive. events are atan the 5th ofjune inclusive. events are at an early stage of planning, but they are likely to echo some of the previous features ofjubilees. the queen marked the 25th anniversary of her accession with her silverjubilee back in 1977. 50 yea rs on her silverjubilee back in 1977. 50 years on the throne was celebrated by the golden jubilee years on the throne was celebrated by the goldenjubilee in 2002, when she undertook a lengthy series of visits to different parts of the country. most recently, in 2012, she marked 60 years on the throne with her diamond jubilee, which was also celebrated across a long weekend. there was a pageant on the thames, which was handicapped by the weather, and after a service of thanksgiving at st paul's cathedral, an appearance on the palace balcony in front of large crowds. whatever may be in store to mark her 70 years on the throne, it will be an opportunity for the country to show its appreciation for a monarch who continues to break records. nicholas witchell, bbc news. now it's time for a look at the weather with chris fawkes. hello, there. the weather has not been too bad for us. this is how things looked early in the day. however, cloud is now thickening and rain is on the way. the wet weather will be moving on this evening, spreading across northern ireland and then into scotland, england and wales. now on and just ahead of this weather front, the wins will get very gusty for a time as well. we could see a few gusts getting up to 40 mph. so a blustery kind of night, relatively mild, particularly ahead of the front, things starting to cool off high on that front across scotland and northern ireland late in the night. friday, the wet and windy weather continuing to push eastwards across the midlands, east anglia and south—east england before clearing. the afternoon. sunshine follows from most of the uk but also showers, which will be most frequent across north—western areas. the weather will also be heavy, with an odd clap of thunderfull stop will also be heavy, with an odd clap of thunder full stop quite blustery conditions, temperatures about nine to 14 degrees. this is bbc news, i'm reeta chakrabarti. the headlines... more than 33,000 new covid cases reported in the uk. we will pull away from the headlines and take you straight to downing street for the latest press briefing. good afternoon. i am joined today by professor stephen powis, national medical director of nhs england pulled that the average number of new cases each day is now 22,524, compared to 22,398 a week ago. there are now 14,196 covid patients in hospitals across the uk
authority. so how will the incoming administration deal with beijing? plus how turkmenistan‘s president has bestowed his favourite dog breed with the highest honour of the ball. a giant gold statue. hello, i'm a laura in washington and james is in london. nine days as america went to the polls and five days since joe america went to the polls and five days sincejoe biden was due to the winter and donald trump still when not concede any subpoenas failed to wina not concede any subpoenas failed to win a second term. today the pope became the latest global figure to congratulate joe became the latest global figure to congratulatejoe biden became the latest global figure to congratulate joe biden on became the latest global figure to congratulatejoe biden on his victory and to talk to the new president elect. throughout his presidency, donald trump redefined the role america plays in the world his refusal so far to accept the peaceful transition of power to his opponent, he risked creating a new legacy and eroding potentially america's credibility is a champion of democracy. for years to come the job of marketable mets promoting respect for free and fair elections brought may prove to challenging. let's speak now to the chief of the elders organisation, the former president of ireland mary robinson. shejoins us from president of ireland mary robinson. she joins us from dublin. president of ireland mary robinson. shejoins us from dublin. thank president of ireland mary robinson. she joins us from dublin. thank you for being with us. by refusing to recognise joe biden‘s victory, for being with us. by refusing to recognisejoe biden‘s victory, what m essa 9 es recognisejoe biden‘s victory, what messages the president sending to autocratic leaders around the world? that is our deep concern as elders that because president trump is not adhering to the normal protocols and processes for a transition of power, he is giving such a bad example. and the tragedy is that the us has always been a supporter of and a strong advocate for democracy and adherence to the will of people. when the votes are counted, you acce pt when the votes are counted, you accept that. and so we do see as being serious for the us in the short—term but also very worrying internationally because it is him as something that autocrats and bad leaders are rejoicing in. they must be laughing and saying who talks about democracy, look at the us. so it is very serious and we fell as elders because we know and ella brought together into thousand seven he told us to be independent he also said we must be prepared to bring and support courage where there is fear and to foster agreement where there is conflict and to inspire hope where there is despair. that means that you speak truth to power. did you ever think that you would see an american president attempt to disrupt the peaceful transfer of power? i'm going to answer that a little bit personally. i studied law at the harvard law school in the class of 1968. in that year, martin luther king was assassinated in april and robert f kennedy died just after i graduated. but i remember the idealism of the people. we learned the strength of the constitution of the us and i would never ever have thought that we would reach this point. and that is a humbling lesson and i hope it will bea a humbling lesson and i hope it will be a humbling lesson for the people of the us that democracy is more fragile than you think. it needs more reinforcement than you think. i am glad that some republicans are coming around. i urge all republicans now to encourage their leader who must be going through some sort of personal trauma. understand that a little bit. encourage him because this is too important. it is very important for the us and it's very important for the us and it's very important for the world. in other countries, would you be sending a delegation to tell the leader it's over? would you consider doing this in america? we certainly would make statements and i set myself in relation to sri la nka i set myself in relation to sri lanka and in kenya and it's time but would not of expected it. now there we re would not of expected it. now there were election observers and good thing is they observed a very peaceful, good, well organised, well—managed peaceful, good, well organised, well— managed election. and peaceful, good, well organised, well—managed election. and that is important because that means there is no substance to the idea that there would not be a peaceful transfer. and it is important now for the world because president—elect biden should be seen access to intelligence. that is important for the world. we will be safer if we know that there is a proper transition taking place and we woi’i’y proper transition taking place and we worry that some bad people might be taking advantage of the fact that there is not. a coherent peaceful transition of power, he is not getting access to intelligence which he should and i would really urge republican leaders in the us for goodness' sake, urge president trump to accept that he has lost and there will be a peaceful transition. looking back to 1974, the last time a president appear to be reluctant to give up the white house, richard nixon. there's a speculation that his vice president, gerald ford said i will pardon you if you leave office. our pardons or amnesties sometimes a useful tool in general terms and you are trying to get rid ofa terms and you are trying to get rid of a leader? i'm not sure i'm the best person to comment on that but i understand that you can pardon at the federal level but some of the problems may be at the state level and those cannot be pardoned. sol don't think it's possible to do that kind of pressure but i'm not an expert on that. just looking about theissue expert on that. just looking about the issue of leaders obeying constitutional norms and protocols, you recall a few months ago boris johnson in britain here threatened to break international law when it came to the brexit withdrawal agreement of the irish border. that threat was only criticised by the man who was about to take office in january. what is done the best way to preserve peace in ireland?” welcome the fact that president—elect biden before the election spoke quite a lot about the importance of adhering fully to the good friday agreement. and it is so important on the island of ireland. it is part of the whole way forward for both parts of the island. and it is sort of art lodestar, you cannot get away from the good friday agreement. in seeking to undermine it because it is an international agreement is not a good idea and i was very pleased that the house of lords affirmatively throughout and rejected that because it is not good for britain. which is also in global terms a great champion of the rule of law. i have worked as high commissioner of human rights with the us and uk in other european countries and canada and new zealand etc. they were my champions. they we re etc. they were my champions. they were my friends. they supported the office of high commissioner and they support the values of democracy, rule of law, human rights. and any cracks and you know this internal market bill is a crack in that because it is actually admitted that it is prepared to breach international law in certain circumstances but that's no excuse. some things are more valuable than short—term gain. and they are the values that we adhere to. and we have covid to address in the climate crisis to address and the need for nuclear disarmament to address. we needed this is what the elders are so needed this is what the elders are so keen on, we need multilateral cooperation and we wrote a paper re ce ntly cooperation and we wrote a paper recently almost a national cooperation in the hope for a sea change. why multilateralism must reshape the world after covid—19. anything that fractures that kind of cooperation is very worrying and that's why we expressed our our objections and sadly. thank you so much, mary robison. a love affair between president trump and fox news began going sour on election night and even before that when the network called arizona forjoe biden. judging by the president's twitter feed cameras and ship biden. judging by the president's twitterfeed cameras and ship is now well and truly over. the president posted that the fox news ratings had collapsed and they have forgotten what made them successful. he then retweeted in rapid—fire his followers agreement. one said fox was pandering to the left and another said moving to another station called news... let's get our correspondent‘s take on the last week in general. speaking of concessions evidencing the book is refusing to acknowledgejoe biden path to victory at a rate of one per day? the resistance dusted to be crumbling slow though it is. senators like marco rubio —— rebo has come out and said joe biden has one and he has a future as potentially a positional nominee. some of the biggest advocates early on were those who had a eye on it a future domination like ted cruz from texas or lindsey graham from south carolina or like nikki haley former governor of south carolina. so that is significant. also we have seen a numberof is significant. also we have seen a number of senior republicans like john thune for south dakota and chuck grassley and lindsey graham has said thatjoe biden should receive intelligence briefing. and the governor of ohio who is also highly recognised in the relevant party has also recognised joe biden's status today. you do since a bit of a sea change now in the party. a sort of resistance starting to crumble. we should acknowledge that the president had one court victory today in pennsylvania but is it going to be enough to prove his theory that the election was stolen from him? this is his problem. he has suffered legal defeats up until fiow. has suffered legal defeats up until now. and it really you wonder where the cases for this massive fraud. we are a week on it, more a week on now from the election. they have produced nothing. to validate their claims to underscore this idea and the trump resistance seems fairly halfhearted i have to say. if you really believe this election had been stolen from him, if he really believed that a massive fraud of a committed, i would've thought we would've seen donald trump in front of the cameras more. what is it now almost a week since we have seen him before the cameras in the white house. i think that's an indication of perhaps an acknowledgement in the we st of perhaps an acknowledgement in the west wing and the executive mansion that things simply are not going their way. there have been unable to produce any evidence for the civil reason that the evidence just is not there. i wonder what is going on between president trump and fox news. to me on the outside it looks a bit like pope francis picking a fight with the official vatican newspaper. so says a former rome correspondent. busted. carry on. i love that analogy. fox news is a split screen beast. there is a new division that reports things pretty straight and there are anchors that report things very straight. then there is the opinionated fox news with a commentary and it starts with fox and friends in the morning which is been very slavishly little to donald trump to the extent of syco p ha ncy donald trump to the extent of sycophancy really. then you have his champions like sean hannity in prime who is sometimes described as the unofficial chief of staff and he speaks to donald trump so frequently. he is the prime time makerand the same frequently. he is the prime time maker and the same with tucker carlson and those like laura ingraham. and they are very different and donald trump has been watching the news output of fox news, they have been reporting the news and the news is that the administration has been able to find any evidence to back up their claim ofa any evidence to back up their claim of a massive fraud. so that would obviously annoy him. nick bryant, thank you so much. sufficient to the vatican if favourite for that man. speaking of books and papers, extracts of the barack obama memoirs are out. normally for my own experience and i've read so many of them, they are bone dull. they are just platitudes and diary events but i don't know if you had a chance to look at any of the extracts, what is it tell us about how we got to where we are today through his eyes?m you think we're talking about obstructionism at the moment. president trump refusing to recognise that joe president trump refusing to recognise thatjoe biden has one, in his new memoir, barack obama talks about how his election in 2008, how he feels that it really was his presence triggered eight deep seated panic amongst some americans that donald trump then exploited. and he is some ways gives donald trump credit for understanding that and then paddling the myth that barack obama was not even born in the us. so it is a very effective memoir and getting rave reviews for his purple prose. no surprise, he was a writer before. absolutely. shifting demographics here in the us, those played a role in the result of the election. joe biden won the popular vote by more than 5 million but drilling into the figures gives us insight into how he won. voter turnout was 65.1%. that is the highest in more than 100 years. early voting this time soared with democrats using the ease of casting ballots to garner more support for joe biden. while donald trump one more counties, racking up support in rural areas were fewer people actually live. joe biden though carried more votes in urban areas and that is why he won the popular vote. people who call themselves moderates voted in favour ofjoe biden by 30 points this year. suburban voters selectively swung towards the former vice president in the suburbs are growing and becoming more racially and ethnically diverse and exit poll suggested joe biden won black voters by 87%. join now by ashley from newjersey the director of the eagleton centre for public interest polling at rutgers university. thank you for being back with us. the suburbs began shifting away from donald trump in 2018. in the midterm. but at 2020 just accelerate that trend? certainly. the suburban vote was a key demographic to have for we saw it starting to shift away to democrats in 2018 and really completing that shift more so in 2020. and the president knew this. back at the convention, he made this theme of law and or to try and get back suburban voters especially white suburban voters especially white suburban women voters and it really did not work. it was an antiquated to my more archaic message given how diverse and suburbs are racially and ethnically and it just simply did not work as the suburban voters who are a key voting block moves more towards joe are a key voting block moves more towardsjoe biden are a key voting block moves more towards joe biden in are a key voting block moves more towardsjoe biden in 2020. are a key voting block moves more towards joe biden in 2020. the polls picked up that shift in the suburban vote pretty well but they really did not pick up this make it turn donald trump supporters, especially non—college—educated supporters. as someone non—college—educated supporters. as someone who studies polls for a living, how did we get over this polling miss? this is the big question ever since last tuesday. we saw a polling miss in 2016 and posters went back to 2016 data and attempted to fix this by using tools like waiting on education so that we represented more of the non—college—educated vote, especially among white voters. trying to pull more in battleground states and more frequently and more credible pollsters closer to election to capture those undecided vote rs election to capture those undecided voters and it looks like it a lot of these battleground states, we are right but we were in 2016 even with the fixes of that year. number one we are in numbers and a territory with the voting systems that were in place because the pandemic and number two it really looks like there was a large underestimation of donald trump support once again which could possibly be a looting to the people that we are getting polls evenif the people that we are getting polls even if they are republicans are not aligned with the supporters of donald trump actually out there. if people are defiantly not answering the phone or telling the truth, something is happening where we are seeing a bias emerged when those who we re seeing a bias emerged when those who were answering seeing a bias emerged when those who were answering us seeing a bias emerged when those who were answering us and those who were not. as any will consider doing a campaign without polls then? honestly campaigns without polls is an interesting subject but we have to know what polls should not should not be used for. there is too much focus and concentration in the horse race and entreating these poll numbers like absolutes when really they are survey estimates. that is by definition exactly of staff and portability estimates that represent a range of possibilities. we also have to factor in the margin of error and the price we pay for not talking to an entire population silly because we cannot. sol talking to an entire population silly because we cannot. so i think there needs to be more education on both sides of the posters, the media and the public of knowing how to do it read polls and also knowing how to know this is one of the best democratic tools we have to represent every voice and a population. i'm so sorry to cut you off. our time is up but thank you so much, ashley. thank you. for those watching on bbc world news, we'll be right back. the olympic boxer nicola adams and her dancing partner because your gels are been forced to pull out of strip become dancing after the professional dancer tested positive for coronavirus. here is sarah campbell. well, the good news is that katya is asympomatic but the new rules state that any couple which tests positive does have to withdraw from the competition. so for nicola who is currently self isolating, her time on the dance floor is done and she says she is devastated. they were of course the first same—sex couple to dance in strictly‘s history so it is disappointing on that front. but this comes despite the fact as viewers will know as they are told every week that they are have been huge efforts to adhere to covid—19 guidelines. the dancers are in bubbles and they are social distancing and according to the executive producer today, the rest of the cast is unaffected. the show will continue as normal on saturday. but for them and the millions of people who are watching every week, they will be hoping that nicola and katya wil be the first and last couple who have to exit due to covid. china has condemned the mass resignation of pro—democracy lawmakers in hong kong is a blatant challenge to their authority. if nearly all pro—democracy lawmakers quit in protest of your four of the colours were deemed threats to national security and dismissed. for the first time since the handover of hong kong and 97, the legislative council is now without any effective opposition. the british government has summoned the chinese ambassador in order to express its concern about these developments and remember that when britain handed over hong kong in 97 there was an agreement that for the next 50 years there would be a discussion between there would be a discussion between the two. we do hope to have a guest with us in a little while. some developments there and this summer russian politicians declared victory over coronavirus with the infection rate is surging again. russia has recorded 439 deaths on thursday, the highest daily number for the country. this time it's the remote provinces which are being hit ha rd est. provinces which are being hit hardest. while the wealthy and well resourced moscow is opening vast temporary hospitals, without a clue mark —— lumberto temporary hospitals, without a clue mark —— lumber to the north, they're running out of beds and a blue's clues —— crews are struggling to cope. saracens at this report. "tell them to stop calling for ambulances," a russian paramedic pleads. she says there's no one left here to respond. just back from picking up one patient with covid, her team has already been called out again. they are taking precautions, but many colleagues have fallen sick, piling even more pressure on the rest. up in kotlas, this doesn't look like the victory over the virus russia's politicians once claimed. a record surge in infections is now hitting remote regions like this one hard. another ambulance has just arrived with medics in full ppe, so presumably more covid patients on board. and in fact, there's a lot of activity here at this hospital. a senior official recently said they were very few beds left here. they‘ re operating under extreme pressure and the number of covid patients, new cases in this region, is still rising. these were the scenes inside recently after a sudden increase in admissions. the sick left in corridors, even on benches. a medic says she's caring for 100 patients on her own. meanwhile in moscow, they're treating covid patient on an ice rink. a giant field hospital where the screens now show films for the sick instead of the hockey scores. cases are rising here, too, but there are far more resources. and the chief doctor is insistently upbeat. translation: we've fully prepared for this surge in infections. you can see we have plenty of reserves. i think it shows that no access restrictions or lockdown will happen. 1000 kilometres north, there's no lockdown in kotlas either. but there are lots of facemasks. this babushka does worry about getting coronavirus, but she says she needs to come out to sell her cabbages. sarah rainsford remote —— reporting there. countries around the world put up statues to celebrity achievements of their countrymen. we spoke yesterday about the controversial statue in london of mary wollstonecraft. ort slovenia's wooden tribute to maloney a truck. todayit wooden tribute to maloney a truck. today it is the president of turkmenistan‘s turn. he is revealed to the world this new statue in his capital city and there is, the favourite dog breed of the president which is a turkmen variety of a central asian shepherd dog. a golden statue has been measured of a six metres tall and there is the president. it features an led screen with the dogs in action and it is the president. it features an led screen with dogs in action and because of the screen there. for the ultimate viewing experience. it is not clear how much it cost. looks like it would eat my lab or doodle ally. here is a real—life version of thisjob being gifted to russian president putin rather us are mostly backin president putin rather us are mostly back in 2017. as you can see, she does not seem to be bothered and she is quite cute and very and not scared. so james is interesting as donald trump as a first president in yea rs not donald trump as a first president in years not to have a pet of any description. butjoe biden is going to going to come to the white house with german shepherds and rescue dogs no less. i recall was it portuguese water dog for president obama. fdr had his dog. very untrue to have a hypoallergenic dog. but now we are going to have rescue dogs, not fancy dawson breeders but a good old —fashioned dogs, not fancy dawson breeders but a good old—fashioned pooch. dogs, not fancy dawson breeders but a good old-fashioned pooch. first dogs. exciting dogs news here in washington. most of us saw some sunshine today but the clouds has been gathering more recently across the north—west of the country. that was how the weather looked around cumbria through the afternoon. the cloud you can see spilling in here is associated with this area of low pressure, cold front set to move in through the night and this front will have some strong winds on and just ahead of the front, as well, so it will become quite gusty for all of us for a time through the next few hours with the rain really quite heavy as well as it moves across from northern ireland into scotland, england and wales. those gusts of wind could reach 40—45 in places, so it is going to be pretty blowy and the rain will be intense for a short time. one of those weather fronts that might wake you up for a time overnight. following the front, fresher air works into northern ireland and as we head into tomorrow morning the cold front pushes eastward, so rain for a time across the midlands, central and southern england on into east anglia and south east england. then there will be some sunshine so the weather improving, it will get brighter and drier for most of us, but there will be showers across northern and western areas and the showers will be accompanied by blustery winds across the north west of the uk. the winds falling lighter across the south east later in the afternoon. this weekend sees low pressure in charge, a whole tangle of weather fronts crossing the uk, each of these bringing zones of heavy rain, so heavy rain both saturday and sunday and strong winds at times as well. on saturday, the strongest winds will be blowing through the irish sea, so wales, western areas of england picking up the strongest gusts, 40—50 mph, outbreaks of rain driving northwards through the day, so it might start off bright across the north of scotland, we will all see a soaking at some point. maybe brighter spells at times across eastern england, it is going to be mild with the temperature of 11 in edinburgh and glasgow to around 16 in london. more wet and windy weather to come on sunday, our main band of rain clears through eastern england, but rain at times for scotland and northern ireland still quite heavy. strongest winds through the english channel, and those gusts could reach around 50 or even 60 mph. so particularly blustery here, fresher air eventually working in for most of us as we head through sunday afternoon. that's your latest weather. bye for now. this is bbc news. our top stories... barack obama's former adviser joins our top stories... barack obama's former adviserjoins us live to talk about a presidential transition like no other. something drawing criticism from some world leaders, ireland's former chair of the elders had this message for his gop colleagues... democracy is more fragile than you think, it needs more reinforcement than you think. i'm glad that some republicans are coming around. i urge all republicans now. new york has more students in classrooms than any other city in the country, but as the number of cova cases rises, the mayor could be on the brink of shutting down schools again. also in the programme... how the vice president husband is how the first ever to become the stuff the next second gentleman. and pretty much from management level males in the bbc news room, but what is at about this particular pair of khakis that has got american men or maybe women so overexcited? laura, we will come back to those trousers later on. can't wait. republicans willing to openly acknowledge joe republicans willing to openly acknowledgejoe biden's victory is growing but only as a snail pace. as of today, four of the 53 sitting senators have publicly congratulated the president—elect, joining every living former presidents, the leaders of america's allies and acknowledging mr biden's victory. today, republican who sits on one of the senates key oversight committees became the first to promise action if preparations for a transition of power didn't begin soon. james la ngford power didn't begin soon. james langford of oklahoma told local radio station that he would take steps himself if mr biden did not begin to receive intelligence briefings by the end of the week. well, one person who has first—hand experience of presidential handovers is valerie, she served as co—chair of the obama — biden transition team backin of the obama — biden transition team back in 2008 and was also a senior adviser to barack obama. she's written a book," finding my voice. and you so much for being with us. with your experience, what impact do you think it's having onjoe biden's transition team, not being formally recognised and of the president not conceding? we are having a little bit of a sound issue there with valerie. we hope to get her back with you, that's a real shame. she's back! valerie, thank you so much for joining us. you arejust muted there. but can you tell us, now that we have a pandemic, you have the president not recognising the legitimacy ofjoe biden as president—elect, what impact does that have on the transmission of power? hello, sorry about this technical difficulties. i take power? hello, sorry about this technical difficulties. itake heart and what president biden said earlier in the week when he said, look, my transition is moving forward. i have assembled a team just yesterday he announced the selection of an extraordinary person to be his chief of staff. he has put together a coronavirus task force to advise him on how to contain the virus and make sure that we distribute the vaccine and a fair and reasonable way. so he is moving forward and because he was a sitting vice president for eight years, just four years ago, and vice president for eight years, just fouryears ago, and his vice president for eight years, just four years ago, and his team, vice president for eight years, just fouryears ago, and his team, many of them were part of the obama— biden administration are they served with him on the hill. he has got a strong team around him and frankly, many of the people who left the trump administration have been quite helpful as well. so he's moving forward. now, having been the chair of the biden— obama transition from ican of the biden— obama transition from i can say, would it be helpful to have the resources that should be flowing by now? most certainly. that way he could pay his staff. would be hopeful to have access to all the agencies of the federal government sharing nonpublic information so that he can get up to speed and hit the ground running on hit the ground running because mike would be helpful to see the of daily briefing, the security briefing, the you but you. but in our country, we have one president at a time. even with all that information from he wouldn't be acting as president now it's heartening to see world leaders who recognise his election and we are beginning to see members of congress and those who are speaking publicly. there are many more who are whispering quietly there congratulations, so i think it's just a matter of time before we trigger that important document that will provide for the peaceful and smooth transition. but vice president—elect biden is not missing, he is moving forward elaborately. we just saw there some pictures of ron kleen, joe biden's pictures of ron kleen, joe biden's picture chief of staff. just house about what kind of a job you think he's going to do. it's going to be very challenging with the pandemic and an economic emergency. 0h, he is more than up to it. he is smart as a whip, hard—working public servant. he's had years of experience serving in the clinton administration and the obama— biden administration. he's worked on the hill. he was a supreme court clerk. and my experience working with them both as the chief of staff to the then vice president biden and then heading up our ebola efforts is that he was really the point person for the vice president on the recovery act. president obama asked vice president to oversee the recovery act which was $800 billion that was appropriated early in their term to help the us economy and ron kleen executed that masterfully. and he is the person who principally i give credit to to ensuring that the e bowl epidemic was contained and did not venture onto our shores. so he has had experience that is so essential right now. he is well respected by everyone i know. he certainly well respected by both sides of the aisle up on the hill, and most important the president—elect trusts him completely. and so i think ron will lead a very competent, experienced team and we two will serve the vice president —— president—elect quite well, once he sworn in, quite well. valerie come as you know, extracts of former president obama's memoirs have been published. it turns out he had a secret device, he was still smoking. did you know that's? yes, it wasn't a very well—kept smoking. did you know that's? yes, it wasn't a very well— kept secrets. i had never seen him smoke —— most of the public had never seen him smoke a cigarette. he was a quiet smoker. he quit right in the middle of our efforts to get the affordable ca re of our efforts to get the affordable care act passed. i said he sure picked the hardest possible time when there was so much stress in your life, but that's how he rolls. it was great can i encourage everyone to read it as soon as it's available, i lived it, and still read every page, i was riveted and couldn't wait to turn the page. there is another passage that a lot of people are looking up really personal passage about the pressure that the presidency put on his marriage with michelle. you know them both better than anyone else, what do you think a personal passage like that adds to our understanding of what he was going through in those years? yeah, so that's a very good question from actually, james. it was important to president obama to be honest and candid in the book, notjust to be honest and candid in the book, not just about his to be honest and candid in the book, notjust about his responsibilities as president in the book takes you to the situation room in the oval office and all around the world and all around our country, but it was also important to send a message about how hard it was on your family. and he struggled with that mightily. he knew that michelle has no interest in politics, although she's devoted her life to public service, but she had no appetite for any of this, and she did it because it was so important to him and he knew it took its toll. and so part of being honest and authentic is telling the whole story. even the parts of the story that might be painful. it's —— i think it will be a learning document for those who wa nt a learning document for those who want to go into public service to recognise that it's not your life alone that you are affecting, it's those you love as well. valerie, thank you so much. you're welcome. good night everybody. she was off mute, in the end. right! donald trump's refusal to concede, we are back to that. it's raising concerns among american security asked... experts. nearly 150 former administrations have put their names toa administrations have put their names to a letter warning that mr trump oz my failure to recognise joe to a letter warning that mr trump oz my failure to recognisejoe biden as president—elect poses what they say isa president—elect poses what they say is a serious risk to national security. us representative, adam smith, is the democratic chairman of the house armed services committee. we spoke to him a short time ago from seattle. congressman smith, thanks for being with us. so what kind of a relationship will you have with the new defence secretary, christopher miller, given he's only in place for 70 days and his predecessor was fired in this fashion. yes, i know it's a difficult situation. there was no reason to fire secretary s borough at this point. it the transition in government is always difficult. you wa nt government is always difficult. you want as much stability as possible, you are coming in with a whole bunch of people. thisjust you are coming in with a whole bunch of people. this just adds another layer of instability. i don't have a particular problem with mr miller. we have spoken. but he is coming and trying to learn a newjob buddies going to be out of very shortly, so i have a decent relationship with him, but does give us greater vulnerability and creating problems that don't need to be created. do you think that mr miller is going to try to do the president's bidding and withdraw us troops from afghanistan more quickly than secretary esper would've liked ? afghanistan more quickly than secretary esper would've liked?” think there is a risk, absolutely. now, as the president going to follow through with that? and they get the logistics going? as you said, you know, if we are down to, but i am counting the days when i think we're down to 69 now, don't wa nt think we're down to 69 now, don't want to make it any longer than it is. there is a huge risk. we see the president do this before. he tweets a policy. we had a pull out of syria, we gotta pull out of afghanistan, and then the department of defence in partnership with our allies, by the way, and that's the pa rt allies, by the way, and that's the part that president trump always forgets, there are actually more allied troops in afghanistan right now than there are us troops. and what we do impacts them. and we need to work in coordination on that plan, not do it off the cuff based ona plan, not do it off the cuff based on a tweet. yeah, so there is concern that the president might do something like that. —— now that he is fired secretary esper. looking had to president—elect, biden's team, which names do you think that —— which names do you think would be tossed for secretary of defence? it's hard for me, i would certainly not want to predict exactly what the republican—controlled senate is going to do. i would say that the name most frequently floated for secretary of defence is michelle, she was the undersecretary for policy in the administration. i worked very closely with her, and i think she would be outstanding, and i also think she has bipartisan support. so i am sure she would be ina support. so i am sure she would be in a strong position on that. there have been a number of different names floated out there for states. don't have a clear picture on where that would go. and i would tend to think thatjust that would go. and i would tend to think that just about any of them would ultimately get confirmation. we don't have terribly controversial names out there. there are few senators who are thinking about it, susan rice was the former national security adviser and a un investor, so someone who has been confirmed before. so i think we will be able to get there on that. the big problem right now, of course, is president's from's efforts to block the transition and make it more difficult. congressman adam smith thank you so much forjoining the bbc. thanks for the chance. now, back in the spring, new york city was the epicentre of the covid—19 outbreak in the us, reporting 800 deaths a day at the peak. those days have now passed, but officials are cautiously eyeing the slow uptake in cases and wondering what actions should be taken and when. one consideration is the closure of schools. over 300,000 students have been regularly going to class in the city. that's more than most parts of the nation, but infection rates are rising again so parents, teachers and city officials are weighing up their options. shejoins and city officials are weighing up their options. she joins us and city officials are weighing up their options. shejoins us now. doctor, should schools close? well, no. actually, right now no schools in new york city should not be closed. we are in dealing with an increased number of cases in new york city because of the increased numberof york city because of the increased number of cases all over america. we know the standards set by the mayor was a 3% positive test rate, and unfortunately, we see the city hit that rate very very quickly. but what we have also learned is that the transmission from student to student or even student to teacher in new york city is basically nonexistent, and i think that we need to incorporate the data we have learned from the experience of set that we've had over the last few months to try and invest further into keeping our kids in school while also addressing the fact that this virus is spreading throughout our city. doctor cass, my son has just started ninth grade in new york city. he's only in school two days a week and he lives for those two days. he checks the test positivity rate every day on the computer and he is terrified that those two days are going to go away. how does the mayor of new york city balance the mental health of students with what you say is basically a pretty low risk? so i think that's the difficult part. it's notjust the students, but also the teachers and the union and the balanced interest of the economy. there is a lot the mayor has to put into his decision—making. i agree with you, i have three students in school summer between 1—2, even three days a week, and they love going to school. i realised how important it was for them to be in person school as long as we can do it. sol them to be in person school as long as we can do it. so i think it's really going to take some collaborative efforts from the mayor and the union leaders, also the parents to really keep our kids in school for as long as possible, because it is important and we have seen it'sjust because it is important and we have seen it's just not because it is important and we have seen it'sjust not the same risk as most of the other things we are doing in the city right now. most of the other things we are doing in the city right nowm most of the other things we are doing in the city right now. if you look at other countries around the world, they have prioritised putting kids in school. why do you think that america is different?” kids in school. why do you think that america is different? i think that's a very large question that we can start with. but the truth is that it's an investment, writes? the fa ct that it's an investment, writes? the fact that we don't prioritise our schools and education in this pandemic. we didn't invest in testing or infrastructure. we didn't send our states resources to keep our schools open safely. so now we are dealing with the consequences of that which is to say that everybody is on their own to make their own decisions and have their own standards. i'm optimistic that come january and february, those standards will be common in the investment will be available. but until then, we have to do the hard work on the ground. doctor cass, do you think we are going to have to wait for a vaccine until we are out of the woods with schooling? no, i don't. i think we can keep schools open safely with investments and testing and resources and community involvement. i think a vaccine itself is coming but it's going to ta ke itself is coming but it's going to take a long time, probably upwards of six months to get really into communities enough to decrease the viral load just from the vaccine alone, and we are not reallyjust not discounting the idea that a lot of people are hesitant to take this vaccine. so i'm not looking to wait for a vaccine to get our kids back in school, i think we can do it without it. doctor cass, thanks for that. stay with us, here on bbc news, still to come... we will take a closer look at doug, the man plays to play second fiddle to the country's first female vice president, kamala harris. a controversial plan to build a tunnel for stonehenge has been given the go—ahead by the government. highway england says the two stretch will remove noise and visual distraction from the landmark, but can pain groups and our galjust worry that the... is often badly suggest on a single care wage stretch in wiltshire. our correspondent reports. the a303, gateway to the south—west, but routed past the richness of this world heritage site. for 30 years, they've debated how to save stonehenge from the roads noise and pollution. well, now the government says the a303 is to be buried into a tunnel, creating a traffic—free landscape. english heritage say it will transform the monument. it makes good on a decades—long ambition to remove this noisy and polluting road from this very important prehistoric landscape. the tunnel will be two miles long, and the government insists there won't be any major damage to the archaeology here. it's only when you get here on the ground that you realise just how close the stones are to the a303. it's just a matter of about 150 or 200 yards. and this is a road that attracts between 30,000 and 50,000 cars a day. but some campaigners have fought for years to stop a tunnel, saying it will damage the archaeology of this unique setting. the landscape to each side of the tunnel will be gouged out into deep cuttings, with dual carriageways, huge tunnel entrances, masses of concrete, major road interchanges to each side of the world heritage site. this is devastation on a major scale. there have been many promises before to put the a303 into a tunnel, but the main work here is finally expected to start in three years' time. duncan kennedy, bbc news, at stonehenge. it has been an election of firsts here in the us. the most votes ever cast, the oldest nominee to ever be elected president and kamala harris as the first woman and the first woman of colour to become vice president. as she makes history, so does her husband. it's the first time that the spouse of a vice president or indeed a president is a man, leading to confusion about what his official title might be. second husband? his official title might be. second husband ? second his official title might be. second husband? second gentlemen? and online hashtag, celebrating the first second husband is proving popular. so what can doug expect from his new role, and what can we expect from him? jessica goldstein profiled doug us now. jessica, can you clear it up, what is his going to be? that is an excellent question that i not only asked him, i asked every single person that i spoke to for my profile, and at that time, they were not yet, they were not yet committed to a title. i believe that the most traditional option would be second gentlemen, but as you both just pointed out, this is benign traditional tickets, so they could go in any direction they choose. jessica, what is he going to do for the next four years? he won't want to give recipes or open fares, will he? will he be able to carry on his job? he's taking leave from his job, i believe they announced yesterday that he was so facially leaving his law firm to focus solely on his duties the second spouse. i think what will be exciting to see is that for better or worse, this is a role that has virtually zero job requirements. it's a totally choose your own adventure situation, and that means that any individual who occupies this role is able to mull it in theirown occupies this role is able to mull it in their own image and they can bring their expertise, their passion, their ideas and it's all very dependent on who the person is, what is their relationship with their spouse, and what is the vice president's elation ship like with the president. tell us a few more fa cts , the president. tell us a few more facts, the one that struck me is that his favourite groups is depeche mode. yes, he told me that he stopped listening to new music rate around the time he graduated from high school. annette that's about 35-40 high school. annette that's about 35—40 go! he has a lot to catch up on! it's true, it's true. and he has young kids, so what is his excuse was meant we don't know. he's on a fa nta sy was meant we don't know. he's on a fantasy football team named nirvana, so he is very committed to the theme. he, as i mentioned, he's got two children, he has excellent relationships with his ex—wife, kirsten, everybody seems to get along. it's like one big happy extended blended family over there. and he really, i have to say what struck me most about him when we spoke, it was about a month before the election, and i felt like the entire country was curled up in the foetal position hitting refresh on twitter, biting their nails down to knobs and he seemed very calm about the whole thing. so it seems like somebody who is probably good to have in a high—pressure job and in a very intense and overwhelming situation which vice president—elect harris is about to find herself. jessica, do you think that he's going to be the ultimate symbol of the postfeminist world, and therefore something of a role model? that sounds like a lot of pressure. you know, ithink that sounds like a lot of pressure. you know, i think what's exciting about all of these roles is that they give us the opportunity to imagine things differently and so to your question earlier, "will he be making up recipes and planting the easter egg roll? close but the fact that we even find that funny i think is telling about how limited our imaginations are about what men are supposed to feel comfortable doing, what husbands are supposed to do to support their wives, so i think it's exciting to just support their wives, so i think it's exciting tojust see support their wives, so i think it's exciting to just see as we are seeing with doctor biden keeping her teaching job while assuming the role of first lady, that there are as many different ways to be a husband, to bea many different ways to be a husband, to be a wife, to be a man in this world as there are people. jessica, thank you so much forjoining us with those insights into the first second gentlemen. thank you. james, you know it's really interesting is that i learned once at a dinner where i was in between some second gentlemen that they told me that when the g7 happens, you know, the world leaders meet, that there is a special spouse programme, and that the guys who are in the minority go along with the girls, but it's a very female centred kind of g7 programme, but i would think that having you know, un—american as a second gentlemen could mean they get some more boy activities there. a different imagination than i go to. it was only once. this election did give newsjunkies a only once. this election did give news junkies a lot of material as it was days of waiting in drilling down into the vote count and individual counties. we had christian here on the bbc helping us understand how key vote tallies and counties like bucks county, maricopa or going. nbc has its own version of christian. this tireless statistical analysis caused a stir, but it wasn't the numbers, the lasting legate doug mag legacy of his work, if he's watching, appears to be his wardrobe. his somewhat nondescript brown trousers have taken on a life of their own. for those wondering, they are palomino brown khakis from they are palomino brown khakis from the gap, according to the gap, they have been an increase of around 90% in sales for those particular pair of trousers. very interesting, those trousers. they are not exact the gap exactly the height of fashion, but over here in america, of course, we don't call them chinos, we call them khakis, but are they all the rage in newsrooms in britain, james, do you think? if i went upstairs to the newsroom is, almost everyone from every male person about my age is wearing chinos or khakis, but if you area wearing chinos or khakis, but if you are a presenter, you want to try to stand out, so it... welcome to court city. put arrays, you might think yes, sit down, i'm told. you might think that these are not fashionable. i can assure you, they we re fashionable. i can assure you, they were worn by robert redford, matt damon, fantastic mr fox and byjango injango unchained. damon, fantastic mr fox and byjango in jango unchained. they damon, fantastic mr fox and byjango injango unchained. they are really cool injango unchained. they are really cool. i thought you were going to give us a tour, james. i'm really disappointed. thank you forjoining us, everyone. now we know thatjames wears cords. bye for now. bye. hello there. the weather is going to stay unsettled for the next few days, often wet and often windy as well, so make the best of any sunshine when it does come along. satellite picture then shows an area of low pressure to the northwest of the uk with a squally band of rain pushing its way eastwards. well, that rain will still be hanging around across parts of eastern england into friday morning. so, rain for a time across east anglia and southeast england with the rain clearing. what follows is a spell of sunshine, so the weather brightening up and improving. it will stay blustery across the northwest with plenty of showers — these could be quite heavy, maybe with the odd rebel of thunder. but towards the southeast, the winds should become a little bit lighter. temperatures, quite a range from 10 degrees in aberdeen, 14 in london. 14 in london is mild for the time of year, it should be about 11 degrees at the stage of november. the weekend's forecast, welcome a low pressure dominates. you can see a whole tangle of weather fronts crossing the uk. they'll be bringing rain at times. the rain will often be quite heavy. there were also be some strong winds both saturday and sunday. now, on saturday, it looks like the strongest winds will be working through the irish sea, so wales, western areas of england, could get gusts of wind going up to about 50 odd miles per hour. there will be rain extending northwards and eastwards, so we we'll all see rain at times. maybe a few brighter spells across eastern england, but these are quite unreliable, really. temperatures as high 16 degrees towards the southeast, but perhaps not feeling quite that mild given the strength of the winds. we've got more strong winds to come on sunday. this time, the strongest winds working through the english channel. gusts around the south coast could reach around 50—60 mph. the rain clears through, the weather breaks, sunshine and showers, but those showers will merge together to give some lengthier outbreaks of rain across the northern areas. those temperatures, well, it will start to feel fresher, that's cooler air will begin to edge its way into sunday afternoon. now, turning to fresher weather, still with us on into monday, monday looks like a quieter day. a little ridge of high pressure building across the uk for a time. most of us will see sunshine. temperatures close to normal for the time of year, but rain returns to the northwest through monday afternoon. now, looking at the weather charts into tuesday, into next week, well, again, perhaps not so bad a day with some sunshine across england and wales. we will probably see a band of rain, though, extending into western areas as we go through the day. i say probably because there is some uncertainty about how quickly this rain will arrive off the atlantic. and into the middle of next week, the forecast becomes very unsettled. to understand why, we have to look at the jet stream, not here in the uk, but actually what's happening over the next when he for hours across the pacific northwest, specifically the size of these troughs and ridges moving in. because there are different computer simulations, and these differences start off being quite small, but grow to be quite large differences by the time we get into the middle of next week and these differences start off being quite small, but grow to be quite large differences by the time we get into the middle of next week across our part of the world. and this plays a significant factor in what the weather will be up to. so, for example, there are two main scenarios, one is that we see high—pressure buildi in off the atlantic and this would, of course, settle the weather down. however, this looks like a less likely scenario. what looks to be more likely is a continuation of the unsettled weather with spells of rain crossing the uk with strong winds at times, brief windows of brighter weather and fresher air moving in before it turns unsettled with more rain, again, that looks like being the most likely scenario. i think the computers may well become a bit more certain about the forecast tomorrow. tonight at ten — the huge impact of coronavirus on the nhs. almost 140,000 people have been waiting for more than a year for routine operations in england. it's the highest number for 12 years — and looks set to get worse as some hospitals start to cut back even more on non urgent surgery — to the distress of many patients. i'm in quite a lot of pain. some days are worse than others. sometimes i go into a spasm. you are just left in a sort of wasteland, sort of not knowing what's going on. it comes on the day of a record number of new infections in the uk — thought to be the result of people going out and mixing in the days before this latest lockdown. reasons to be cautiously optimistic, says the chancellor after a big rebound for the economy over the summer — but there are signs of another dip as the second lockdown bites.
in the new year. we are heading in the right direction. in scotland, 11 council areas have just entered the toughest tier of covid—19 restrictions, which will last for three weeks. while in northern ireland, businesses such as hairdressers reopened today but will have to close again in a week's time. and, in the first round in the legal battle between the footballers‘ wives, rebekah vardy is 1—0 up against colleen rooney. and coming up on bbc news... why liverpool are counting the cost, following mo salah‘s positive test for coronavirus in the international break. good evening. the prime minister has expressed full confidence in the home secretary, priti patel, despite a report into claims of bullying, which found that she broke the rules on ministerial behaviour. the inquiry looked into allegations about her conduct as a minister in three different government departments. the man who investigated the bullying claims today resigned, after borisjohnson contradicted his advice. this afternoon, priti patel told the bbc she was sorry if her behaviour had upset people. our deputy political editor, vicki young, reports. he is standing by her. borisjohnson has taken months to give his verdict on the home secretary's behaviour, which an independent report described as bullying. priti patel shouted and swore at staff. the prime minister has judged she shouted and swore at staff. the prime minister hasjudged she didn't break ministerial rules. i asked her what she thought about the criticism in the report. are you a bully?|j what she thought about the criticism in the report. are you a bully? i am here to give an unreserved apology today, and i'm sorry if i have upset people in any way whatsoever. it was com pletely people in any way whatsoever. it was completely unintentional. i will be very candid, the work that i do here, in this department and across government, is deeply challenging so, ifi government, is deeply challenging so, if i have upset people, that has been completely unintentional for top was not my intention. it all started nine months ago, when sir philip rutnam, the most senior civil servant at the home office, walked out, complaining about miss patel‘s actions, but his former department has been criticised for being inflexible and unsupportive. the prime minister ordered an enquiry and today sir alex allan concluded that the home secretary had not consistently met high standards required by the ministerial code. her approach on occasions had amounted to behaviour that could be described as bullying and, to that extent, her behaviour had been in breach of the ministerial code, even if unintentionally put up despite this, the prime minister has the final say and has disagreed. sir alex has resigned. in overruling his independent adviser, the prime minister has made a huge political decision. demonstrate points to what they call mitigating circumstances, they call mitigating circumstances, the fact that no one mentioned the home secretary's behaviour to her at the time and the fact she has apologised. miss patel‘s friends think she has been the victim of snobbery and sexism. the home secretary insists the culture in the home office has changed. at the time, it says this in the report, shoes were not pointed out to me, we we re shoes were not pointed out to me, we were not being supported in our work, but this is a challenging department. people listening will think you are making excuses and actually there is no excuse for somebody in a senior position treating others badly. there are no excuses. i am giving an unreserved, fulsome apology today. i cannot be any fulsome apology today. i cannot be a ny clearer fulsome apology today. i cannot be any clearer about that whatsoever. labour say priti patel should resign oi’ labour say priti patel should resign or be sacked. the prime minister has said he loathes bullying and yet today he has comprehensively failed a test of his leadership, where he has had a report on his desk precisely on that issue. sir alex allan could not have been clearer that the home secretary has not consistently met the high standards of the ministerial code. hanging on to priti patel will be a popular decision conservative party members but it will bring this tojohnson or political pain. the report had criticisms of priti patel and the home office but tonight sir philip rutnam, the former top civil servant in the home office, has broken his silence and contradicted the version of events given by priti patel to stop says that he did warn her as early as august 2019 that she must not swear and shout at staff. he also said there were other occasions when he had to remind her she had to treat staff with respect. this issue is not going away. thank you, vicki young, in westminster. the uk government has asked the medicines regulator to formally assess the pfizer—biontech vaccine. if approved, it will begin to be rolled out from next month across the uk. it comes as official figures suggest that coronavirus infection rates are levelling off in england and scotland, and decreasing in wales and northern ireland. the r numberfor the uk continues to fall, and is now between 1 and 1.1. our health editor, hugh pym, reports. they flu jab today at this gp practice. they are now preparing to start free vaccinations for all patients aged 50 and over. so a very busy few weeks ahead. then there is the covid vaccine as well, assuming it's approved. this doctor told me they are ready when given the word to start contacting the first patients. there will be huge logistics involved, in terms of texting patients, writing to them, phoning them, and obviously the personnel to do the vaccinations, but we have done that already. we have done it with vaccination programmes for flu. today's downing street briefing, the health secretary set out more plans for the covid vaccine roll—out in england. we will be ready to start the vaccination next month, with the bulk of the roll—out in the new year. we are heading in the right direction, but there is still a long way to go. coronavirus remains a grave danger right now. so what is happening with the virus? the r numberfor the happening with the virus? the r number for the uk is happening with the virus? the r numberfor the uk is down a little, but still just above one, showing numberfor the uk is down a little, but stilljust above one, showing it is spreading. the office for national statistics survey for the week ending november 1a says in england won in 80 people were estimated to have coronavirus, which was similar to last week. in scotla nd was similar to last week. in scotland it was won in 155 ad rates had levelled off. in wales, it was one in 165 with rates decreasing in the last fortnight. in northern ireland, one in 135 had the virus, with rates decreasing over the most recent four weeks, some of this might reflect different lockdown plans and timings. one expert says in england there are big regional variations. it seems to be very much that the north—west and yorkshire are going down and almost everywhere else is going up. some places it's going up quite quickly. until we understand that and reverse that everywhere, i don't think we can say the lockdown is working. listers must decide soon what happens after full lockdown ends. —— ministers must decide how strict will restrictions be in england after december the 2nd and how many days might there be some relaxation at christmas? we have not made those decisions yet. over christmas, i know how important it is that we have a system in place, a set of rules that both keeps people safe but also allows people to see their loved ones. drive through centres like this in greater manchester are delivering the flu vaccine but still will come the much bigger task, with the hope of getting all adults vaccinated against covid—19 by the spring. hugh pym, bbc news. the latest government figures show there were 20,252 new coronavirus infections recorded in the latest 24—hour period. and 511 deaths were reported — that's people who died within 28 days of a positive covid—19 test. it takes the total number of deaths so far across the uk to 54,286. more than two million people in scotland have just moved into the toughest coronavirus restrictions, with the rules again varying widely within the four nations of the uk. in england, the situation remains the same, with lockdown continuing until december 2nd. wales had its lockdown lifted ten days ago, but some restrictions on meeting others remain, and travel to and from england without a reasonable excuse is still banned. northern ireland was due to come out of its five—week lockdown, but now there'll be new restrictions from next friday, lasting until december 11th. but tonight, the focus is on the 11 council areas in scotland which have gone into the strictest level 4 lockdown, meaning that everything but essential shops are closed. —— schools and essential shops. we'll be hearing from wales and northern ireland in a moment, but first let's join alexandra mackenzie, who's in glasgow for us. with only five weeks to go until christmas, glasgow's buchanan street would normally be filled with shoppers, but not tonight. at 6pm, non—essential shops had to close for three weeks. the doors locked, the shutters came down, and that is part of the new tier 4 coronavirus restrictions. the toughest of restrictions are now in place to help suppress the virus before christmas. who is it you are buying for today? this candle company is determined to get through these challenging times. it's heartbreaking, but normally, from october to december, we are full—on, and this year, it is stop, start, stop, start, so you just have to adapt. it's not only nonessential retail that will be closed for the next three weeks. gyms, hospitality and hairdressers will also be shut. and if you live in level three or level four, travel outside your council area will be illegal, though there are some exceptions. today, shoppers of all ages braved the glasgow drizzle. i think we do have to do it. i think we possibly should have done it a bit sooner. the government is treating the economy like a light bulb, switching it on and off as it once, so it's not going to work. but scotland's first minister said the decision was not ta ken lightly. it stands to reason, we would not be taking these difficult and potentially unpopular decisions if we did not think it was absolutely essential to do so. so, at this usually sociable time of year, the message is to stay at home as much as possible. while others live in lockdown, across wales, people have been shopping, dining, doing the things forbidden in other parts of the uk, since the firebreak finished on november the 9th. customers have come back to this toy shop in pontypridd. they want to get their christmas done now because they don't know if we will go into a further lockdown, so they are out and around and wanting to buy everything now. the fear of another lockdown hangs over emma's business as well. we can't keep having lockdowns which force people to stay m, lockdowns which force people to stay in, which brings numbers down, but then everybody goes out in droves and the numbers go up again. thank jim is opened 11 days ago as well. around wales, things are looking healthier. coronavirus cases and positivity rates are lower now than when the lockdown began but... if people react to the end of a firebreak as though coronavirus was over, it is very likely indeed that we will see coronavirus come flooding back into our communities, and then we will be faced with another series of difficult decisions. inevitably, people want to know where that leaves them for christmas. will the firebrick have been enough to earn more freedom for the next few weeks? will families be allowed to gather? rachel and ebbw vale is a ready brought the presents. she feels they have sacrificed enough to deserve a get—together. sacrificed enough to deserve a get-together. we have cancelled holidays, things that were planned, birthdays, and mental health has definitely suffered among people. we have done a lot. so you need this. we do. the firebrick worked but few here feel like basking in its success. just as restrictions were lifting... ..businesses in northern ireland reopened their doors today only to have to close them again in a week's time. we were all very excited to be back to the shop again, and that we work hard and pay the bills. and then it was really spoiling when i heard yesterday that we have only one week. last night, the stormont executive made the decision which took a lot of businesses by surprise, to return to an even stricter two—week circuit breaker. the scale of closures we saw back in march, except schools will stay open. i don't think we could put any more safeguards than what we have. and i don't think that has been seen. that's what it feels like. there's a lot of anger today in the business community. in fact, so much so that the business community have lost trust in this executive. hospitality and retail are symbiotic, they rely on each other. and they are now closed in what's known as the golden quarter, one of the most important times for both of those industries going forward. the northern ireland executive said the scientific modelling they were presented with showed hospitals could become overwhelmed in weeks, and said they took the decision to revert to stricter measures now to avoid them just before christmas. but only last week the dup had blocked longer restrictions and argued strongly for the economy opening up. today, the party denied a u—turn. i've always said that we will only take whatever restrictions are necessary. we try to do it in a proportionate and balanced way, but sometimes the virus behaves in a way even our medical advisers don't for see. hospitality organisations have warned of further redundancies. emma vardy, bbc news, belfast. england's test and trace system is failing in areas with some of the worst infection rates, according to a bbc investigation. six months ago, borisjohnson promised a "world beating" system, but research has found thatjust half of close contacts are being reached in some places like bradford, nottingham and leicester. the government says test and trace is helping to curb the spread of covid. sophie hutchinson reports. i've got the case up... foot soldiers in the war against coronavirus. this is the length leicester council, one of the worst hit areas, is going to. doorknocking people who have tested positive with the virus and to the national track and trace system has failed to reach. it's the first time this operation has been filmed. the first one was for a case that was under 18, so we had to talk to a parent or guardian. when we knocked on the property they weren't available to talk to, but we were told if we ring back from one o'clock this afternoon it would be able to talk to us. around half of england's councils are now contact tracing to address some of the problems of the national track and trace. back in the office in leicester, contact tracers trawl the council's data bases for addresses and phone numbers. there are a handful of people making calls here, but despite their size they pay considerable success tracking down and speaking to, on average, 89% of people that the national system has failed to contact. but councils are only allowed to trace those with positive test results, any details of close contacts they get have to be sent back to the struggling national system. and there are other problems. after dad robin marlowe tested positive for covid—19, his family were called more than 45 times. by phone call number 45 ijust thought it was, in a way, funny. except it just felt like the most appalling waste of money. six months on from the prime minister's promise of a world beating system, experts say it has failed. we are nowhere near having a properly functioning one, and this has been the problem throughout the summer and into the autumn. that we did not use the time that the last lockdown bought us to create such a system. but the government says it is refining and improving track and trace, building an integrated national and local system, and that from this week it will no longer insist on speaking to children. sophie hutchinson, bbc news. it is 18 minutes past six. our top story this evening... borisjohnson gives his full support to the home secretary, priti patel, despite an inquiry upholding claims against her of bullying. millions of public sector workers in england, including teachers and police, could face a pay freeze next year. coming up on sportsday on bbc news... novak djokovic takes centre stage at london's o2 arena, as the world number one reaches tomorrow's semifinals to remain on course for a record equalling sixth atp tour title. there are just six weeks left before the end of the brexit transition period, which is where the uk has been following eu rules on a temporary basis, to allow for a new trade deal to be thrashed out. it's been a fraught process, and talks have stopped for a short time, because one of the eu team tested positive for covid—19. over the months, deadlines have come and gone. but now that it's crunch time, how ready are we? here's our political correspondent, alex forsyth. sunday night, six minutes past six, heading into dover for the boat to france. this is a familiarjourney for lorry driver vic. he's been moving goods to and from europe for years. he kept us a video log of a recent trip. it is relatively easy. all you do is show your passport, and i'm presuming that'll go out the window. it is all about to change. new trade rules come into play injanuary. goods moving between the uk and eu will be subject to new customs controls and checks, some phased in, but still, for drivers and traders, a whole new system to grapple with. now leaving in calais. straight off the dock and away we go. i doubt that'll happen injanuary. the driver is almost going to have to have a briefcase full of new paperwork. in lincoln, permits and papers are piling up as the boss of vic's firm prepares. his transport company specialises in international haulage. he fears, after some brexit false starts, not all businesses have realised this time change is coming. there's a sort of feeling of, we've all been here before, and it's been put back a couple of times, and i think that hasn't helped, and add covid to that, that hasn't helped, either. but i certainly foresee severe disruption in the first few weeks as far as goods moving to and from the uk are concerned. in kent, work is under way on this new lorry park to help both process vehicles and manage traffic. the fear is lorries backed up, supply chains disrupted. to try and avoid that, hgvs will need permits to enter kent, to show they are prepared. all part of government efforts to keep things flowing. but some local residents aren't convinced. it will be very interesting to walk up here onjanuary the first and see what's happening. it will no doubt be completely inaccessible by vehicles, because they'll be queueing right round the motorway exits in both directions. preparations by government have ramped up. there are checklists, guidebooks, help centres for hauliers, millions spent on technology and infrastructure. but it is late in the day. the diggers are still in the ground, with six weeks to go. whether we reach a trade deal with the eu or not, these changes will happen come january, because we've left the customs union and the single market. the government says its systems should be in place in time, but there is a real worry that businesses don't have long enough to be ready. at this manufacturer's in kent, there is uncertainty. they export engineering parts to the eu. they are ready for new systems but don't know about tariffs, which are still the subject of trade talks. there is a large amount of nervousness. we understand the process, we understand that we've got to change our paperwork. we also believe there is going to be tariffs, but if you go on the website, it doesn't really tell you what it's going to be. it always says, to be confirmed. wacky races, here we go. for those like vic, on the front line of trade, the changes brexit will bring really are now just a few weeks away, with much still to be done to keep things moving. alex forsyth, bbc news. the bbc has learned that millions of public sector workers in england, including teachers and police, could face a pay freeze next year. there are 5.5 million public sector workers, but it's thought that nhs staff may be exempt from the measures. figures out today show that government borrowing hit £22.3 billion last month — that's the highest october figure since monthly records began in 1993. our economics editor, faisal islam, has the details. 2020 has been a year of public serva nts 2020 has been a year of public servants keeping the country going in tough times and the nation showing its appreciation. our government trying to cope with huge borrowing is now planning pay freezes to help save billions, surprising teachers such as allen in walsall. we've kept the country going to allow the rest of the economy to get back on its feet a bit, gone out of our way to do our job but at the same time were not being recognised, so i think it would be grossly unfair. nathan also helps kids to school. the coach driver in buckinghamshire, he says wages should reflect the lockdown economic turmoil. now was not the time for a pay rise. whilst everyone in the private sector is worrying whether they will have a job by christmas, this is unfair. us drivers have had to take a 20% pay cut. this is a result of me being on a small desk like this has resulted in needing on a smaller hourly rate thanl in needing on a smaller hourly rate than i was 18. white might the government says that fairness pay restraint. there were exemptions for --... during the middle of restraint. there were exemptions for --. .. during the middle of the pandemic, we have told people they will have a pay freeze for three yea rs. we have will have a pay freeze for three years. we have clapped them on a thursday night, and yet, at the end of it, what are we doing? might make nhs workers are expected to be exempt from any freeze, but there is a sea of red in the public finances. it is not how the private sector workers should be exempt from paying. white make the government borrowed more than £22 billion last month, what than is spent on policing across the uk, a record for october, but with a new lockdown and extended support, and extended support, annual borrowing is head a wing closer to £400 billion, a peacetime record. the unions are furious, but they think they have the public on their side in this year of all years against the government's fundamental argument that there are billions to be saved from the public sector wage bill. for a chancellor more used to signing multi—billion rescue checks, this is risky politics, but the detail of this pay freeze, whether it is chilly or arctic, depends on, for example, the detail we will get at the spending review. the economy continues to suffer and the bulk of limits the tax and spend about to be put off, but not for public sector workers. a coroner has said the television presenterjeremy kyle may have "caused or contributed" to the death of a man, following his appearance on an episode of the itv series. steve dymond, who was 63, was found dead at his home in portsmouth in may last year, days after he took a lie—detector test on thejeremy kyle show. duncan kennedy reports. thejeremy kyle show ran for 14 years and was known for its confrontational style, with guest against guest. in may last year, steven dymond appeared and took a lie detector test to prove he wasn't cheating on his girlfriend. today's pre—inquest hearing in winchester heard that he was booed and became distressed. seven days later, he was found dead after apparently taking his own life. the coroner, jason pegg, said today he had madejeremy kyle an interested person and that he may have caused or contributed to mr dymond's death. jeremy kyle himself wasn't at today's hearing. but his lawyer said that he had found this experience upsetting. his tv show was later cancelled by itv. the coroner said it would be ludicrous ifjeremy kyle wasn't called in person at the full inquest into steven dymond's death, which is due to begin next year. duncan kennedy, bbc news, in winchester. rebecca vardy has won round one of her legal battle against coleen rooney. ajudge has ruled that mrs rooney "clearly identified" mrs vardy when she made allegations against her about social media stories being leaked in tabloid newspapers. their disagreement broke out in october 2019, when coleen rooney attempted to find out who was behind fake stories about her — by putting out false information, which she claims could only have been seen by rebecca vardy. david silito reports. coleen rooney, rebecca vardy — both famous for being married to premiership footballers, both with high—profile celebrity careers. and the issue — who was leaking stories about coleen rooney to the papers? she had a suspicion and set up an instagram account with some fake stories, and limited access to just one other account — rebecca vardy‘s account. rebecca vardy says she didn't leak anything, and began legal proceedings. and so, at the high court today, the lawyers gathered for round one of vardy versus rooney. this was, of course, only a preliminary hearing to decide if that post was directly pointing the finger at rebecca vardy and rebecca vardy alone. the judge decided it was, and so a victory for rebecca vardy. and for coleen rooney, a cost of £22,913.50. the law is a costly business. coleen rooney and rebecca vardy are being given a couple of months to see if they can resolve this and avoid a high court libel battle. david sillito, bbc news. time for a look at the weather. here's sarah keith—lucas. one place in aberdeenshire last night recorded the lowest temperature of the autumn so far, down to minus 5.3 celsius. the cloud has been increasing there, as it has for all of us through the day. it has been milder. this is the picture in aberdeenshire as the sun set earlier. as we head through the rest of the night, more cloud around than last night. it will be mild, breezy and for some of us, some rain in the forecast as well. he was the first area of rain coming —— here is the first area of rain, pushing west across the uk. more rain coming in across the uk. more rain coming in across northern ireland and scotland overnight, quite heavy, and gales developing across the scotland, particularly in the northern ads. for most of us, mild under the cloud, 10—12 c, very mild for the time of year. heading to tomorrow, low pressure to the north of the uk. quite a few isobars on the trot. it will be quite a windy picture. we also have this cold front bringing rain which will slip slowly south. the rain clearing northern ireland. cloudy and mild to the south, the odd bright spell. further north, a mix of sunshine, blustery showers and those particularly window conditions in northern scotland. 8-10 in conditions in northern scotland. 8—10 in the north, 13—14 in the south. loss of wind will be quite miserable for all of us. we keep with the showery weather in the north as we head through saturday evening and overnight into sunday. on sunday, colder conditions return from most of us, but we still have that mild air lurking in the south, so that mild air lurking in the south, so cloudy in the far south with the odd spot of rain, but for most of us, more sunshine on sunday, some showers. temperatures round about eight or nine celsius in the north, perhaps just 12 eight or nine celsius in the north, perhapsjust 12 in eight or nine celsius in the north, perhaps just 12 in the far south. a reminder of our top story: priti patel, who was found to have broken the code that covers ministerial behaviour, said she was sorry if you're offended. i'm here to give an unreserved apology
but how do they cope when one even if it is only for one day, in five students is at home just to let families get because of covid restrictions? together to enjoy christmas. why should leaseholders have to pay for cladding defects they didn't know about — what about the risks to public mps say the government is wrong. health of people mixing? origin of species — location unknown. i think that's the problem. cambridge university library people cannot go silly. launches a public appeal to find two they have to be sensible notebooks written by charles darwin if they want to do this, otherwise that have been missing for 20 years. we will have a rot injanuary. and coming up, the military dog little gatherings would be ok maybe? who saved the lives of british soldiers in afghanistan is awarded the animal equivalent of the victoria cross. hopefully. it's a big decision for politicians and for families right across the uk. some say it should be up to individuals, not governments. others say it is wrong to prioritise one religious festival. i guess this is what christmas might be like. if this is as good as it gets. naomi and roy are resigned good evening and welcome to bbc news. with just a month to to an online christmas and have go before christmas, decided not to make their usual ministers from england, trips between devon and south wales scotland, wales and northern ireland have agreed on broad uk wide even if it is allowed. rules to allow families i would love to do it, but no, to gather for christmas. i will be advising them the cabinet office minister michael it is not a good idea, gove said they needed to find especially as there is so much hope a balance between allowing people with the vaccine development. to meet loved ones, and the risks involved. it seems like it is too high risk regardless there was a reminder of what we are allowed to do. today of those risks. how do you react to that, roy? 608 deaths were reported in the latest 2a hour period — the only thing that's missing the highest since may. is the physical contact and if that has to be, now, there may be slight differences across the nations but here's i would rather miss out in 2020 what the new christmas rules if it guaranteed we could do will look like. up to three households will be able what we do next year. to mix in each other homes — but he will miss having fun with his grandkids. that does not include looking a bit santa hospitality settings, and rules claus with the beard. around support bubbles you are not the first are different between nations. one to call me that. families will be able to cross national borders it's all about family, family making memories. to celebrate christmas. tonight sam is hopeful, and these new rules will be building a grotto in the garden limited to a few days either side of christmas. and planning for the christmas in a moment we'll hear she has been dreaming of. from our health editor hugh pym but first... jon kay, bbc news, plymouth. in the past half hour, as we've been hearing any easing downing street has released a video of restrictions over christmas will come with added risks. message of the prime minister, speaking from isolation on the agreement with the four the government's scientific advisers nations of the uk over christmas. are warning that transmission this year, christmas will be different. of the coronavirus is most likely when people meet indoors. many of us are longing to spend time our science editor david shukman has with family and friends been looking at the latest research irrespective of our on transmission and what we can faith or background. do about it. # rocking around and yet we cannot afford to throw caution to the wind. the christmas tree...# the virus doesn't it's traditionally the time of year for celebrations, know it's christmas but when friends and family crowd and we must all be careful. together and maybe relax so, all four nations of the uk have about covid for a while, the coronavirus can easily spread. and scientists say that scenes agreed that from the 23rd like this can lead to infections. of december from the 27th of december, you will the way with we would normally be able to form a christmas bubble experience christmas, with up to two other households, you a christmas meal for example with friends and families will be able to spend is probably the worst possible time together at home scenario for this type of virus. or go for a walk it will be difficult or go to to physically distance, church, or any other people care for each other. communal service for worship, reflecting the they are not used to that. if you're outdoors, all the evidence ties of kinship across our islands, this agreement suggests you're very unlikely means that wherever you to catch the virus because it gets live in the uk, families dispersed in the open air. will be able to reunite. now, i know that this but at this time of year, doesn't equate to a normal no one wants to spend too christmas and it won't long out in the cold. this is, after all, the season work for everyone, work for gatherings indoors, for everyone, and it is up to but that brings a whole each of us to think carefully series of risks. about how we use this special time in any group sitting down to a meal, limited dispensation. the virus has not gone away it's possible someone may be infected without realising and families will need to make because they have no symptoms. a personaljudgement about the risk and the more people there are, the greater that danger, of forming a bubble with or visiting especially if they've come elderly relatives from different households. and the vulnerable. one risk is from sharing tis the season to be jolly, because dishes or bottles but tis also the season could be contaminated to be jolly careful. as they're passed around. another is that if someone christmas is coming and ministers and officials from the uk's four administrations had big decisions is infected, they'll release to make about families meeting up over the festive season. the virus as they talk, and more emerges the louder people the aim has been a common uk—wide approach and scotland's first are as they project their voices. minister earlier indicated extreme hour by hour, the longer everyone's together, caution was required. the more it can accumulate we will continue to ask people in the air. and if the windows are closed against the winter cold, to err on the side of caution. there'll be no fresh air to dilute the virus — again, increasing the chances of infection. our advice is to use any flexibility carefully and only if they believe by opening windows regularly it right and necessary throughout the day, you can remove for their personal circumstances. the infected particles... this afternoon, the agreed so the government's advice is to open windows, which might make christmas plan was set out. for five days from the 23rd the room colder but should clear to the 27th of december, the tiny virus particles people will be allowed to have three households getting together known as aerosols. hands, face, space. so they can enjoy something closer there is growing evidence that to a normal christmas. if you were in a poorly ventilated space for a long period of time it is not an instruction to travel with people who are infected, or to meet with other people. people should still use that you may be breathing in those a sense of responsibility, aerosols and that might be one of the routes of infection should still ask themselves whether what they are doing and especially in a social setting is keeping themselves where the chances are you're not wearing a face covering. and other people safe. so the guidance is to reduce kent has two council areas the numbers getting together in the top ten uk hotspots for virus and maybe save a big gathering for the summer. infections, so how do locals avoid sharing plates and utensils. see the next few weeks? the american government says everyone should bring their own. i would like to mix at christmas and keep the event but i can see i may not do it. as short as possible. everybody wants to get back but even with measures like this, to a sense of normality but we have the elderly and other vulnerable all got to be patient. people may still be at risk. i think really we should all have been locked down untiljanuary so there's a christmas balance to strike between the chances and then start the tier system. of infection and the benefits to morale, and getting that restrictions will be reimposed right won't be easy. after christmas but for how long? david shukman, bbc news. is it possible we could be back to normal after easter? after easter we think we will be getting back to normal. what will that mean in practice? with me now to explore how what these rules mean in real terms and the importance of following them, those damaging social is stephen reicher — a behavioural expert who sits distancing interventions that have big downsides, on the scientific advisory group, sage and is an adviser to the scottish government. whether economic or social in terms of our wellbeing, if we made, can we talk about the i should hope that we can lift those whole of the uk since this has been after easter if these two vaccines now agreed more oi’ whole of the uk since this has been now agreed more or less between the are approved by the regulator. four home nations? do they seem that's what might happen in a few sensible and safe? well, i mean, months, but the nhs is having to cope right now that science is unambiguous. the with the consequences of covid infections. more we are in contact with each the number of patients other, especially indoors and poorly with the virus at cambridge hospitals has trebled over the last three weeks and there are staff ventilated crowded come under shortages because of illness. hygienic conditions, the more there is concern what might happen if case numbers escalate again. infections there will be. and therefore, if people mix more of i don't think this lockdown has felt christmas inevitably the infections will go up in the deaths will go up. like a proper lockdown as it is because everywhere of course that has to be balanced is still busy, but definitely when against the harms in the mental the rules relax and numbers go up, health harms, the real mental health we will definitely struggle more. harms of not meeting up with people. some seriously ill covid patients but also, psychologist talk about will not survive and daily death numbers may continue to rise. the process called reacting. sometimes if you say to people you one way of looking at the impact is looking at total cannot do something, they want to do deaths from all causes. is simply to prove their autonomy to the grey line shows the average for weekly deaths in the uk say that we can come and when you and here is what has happened turn around to say ok you can do it, so far this year. people might discover that perhaps the red line is covid deaths they don't really want to do it. and and in the last month or so it has i think all of us have to ask taken the total above the average ourselves very carefully do we by i9% in the last week, really wa nt ourselves very carefully do we really want to meet up. is that the but it is still a lot less best thing for our families? because than in the first peak. after all, as everybody agrees? christmas is about family commit is the total is 100% then above the average. once the vaccines have been rolled about goodwill and love and keeping out and restrictions lifted, people safe. it is about giving gifts, and they'll ask if you want the number of excess deaths throughout the pandemic will be to give people is the infections, so the best benchmark of how the uk has fared compared with other nations. in many ways, and the time of the hugh pym, bbc news. pandemic, the way of caring for your family might be just for now not to hug people, not to spend time with let's speak to our political people, but to save it up for when it is safe and went in doing it they correspondent iain watson. will be safe as well. interesting. agreement in principle but there are by will be safe as well. interesting. by not being too authoritarian you might get get the result you want a few variations. just talk us and compliance around the uk has through what we know. certainly the case in england, the three been pretty good, has in it, so far? households will be allowed to meet it has been. it has been very good indoors to those five days between the 23rd and 27th of december, that in terms of behaviours like wearing is likely going to be followed throughout the rest of the uk. it is mass, like socially distancing. if not your clear what constitutes a you look not only a what people say but i do, systematic observation of household in scotland for example. behaviour show compliance is up in england, a household would around 9095%. —— —— 95 to 99%. it is include a support bubble if you are for example a civil parent, and meeting with on a regular basis with that of the household, you will only we ask people to do things that still count as one unit. —— a single are difficult like social distancing parent. and in scotland, extended which is low and people say the households, they may be treated government should spend more time helping us and wagging their finger. separately for the christmas effectively the back—up argument has when i would ask us we will see much more emphasis on the government been this, that while a limit of helping people to be safe and helping people to be safe and helping people to make their decisions about how to be safe. i three is acceptable for nicola sturgeon and the number of think by a large there are two main households, she was very concerned ways of being safe. the first is about dangers of indoor transmission outdoors. as your report showed, of the virus and doesn't want this very little of the infection is to escalate into perhaps six spread outdoors. probably about 95 to 97% of the infections happen households, so we are told it will be for the clarification from the guidance of the scottish government indoors. outside is relatively safe on this but it may well be that an and while completely agree the middle christmas you don't want to spend all day outside, we can have anomaly on how the households are constituted in different parts of events for a short period outside the uk. if you are travelling from and we can have community england to scotland or whatever the rules are over christmas, the rules festivities and perhaps the don't apply to you and indeed vice government should be supporting this and organising those community ve rsa . don't apply to you and indeed vice versa. also some differences in northern ireland, a little bit of a festivities, drawing on those groups and community groups which have leeway for travel to and from sprung up during the pandemic up and northern ireland. so you can travel down the country, a community there on the 22nd, and i guess if celebration fund so we can go outside and be with people and be you arrive you can be with three safe. and secondly, to give us very households indoors, you can also travel back from the 28th of clear advice on how to be safe indoors. to help us to draw up plans december, so i let a bit more leeway for travel and northern ireland and so we can indoors. to help us to draw up plans so we can look after each other, and would be an britain. again if you're not just to tell us what we can so we can look after each other, and notjust to tell us what we can do, but to help us, so for instance one travelling between wales, england and scotland, you would expect to of the things in your report was the point about keeping windows open, leave you three households a very important in terms of christmas bubble on the 27th on the ventilation. of course it gets us 28th. already sounding a bit like a cold so we have to turn the heating up cold so we have to turn the heating up in some people can afford that. christmas jigsaw. let's just look at so why not to support us, notjust the bubbles themselves, because you can't chop and change, can you? once lecturers, the government sets up you have agreed your bubbles, you like a winterfuel lecturers, the government sets up like a winter fuel allowance, a can have another three or four pandemic fuel allowance of everybody can pandemic fuel allowance of everybody ca n afford bubbles along for a eve drink. —— pandemic fuel allowance of everybody can afford to do the right thing and you cannot have. that is right. this to be safe? i think what i like to see much more of his support for is different difficulty. you have to define your bubble and stick to it. people to make the right decisions it would be impossible during those to keep them and their families safe five days a christmas it is now to over christmas. so a marriage decide to chop and change between your relatives you might see one set psychology? i wonder what you of the 23rd and another on the 24th. thought about... i wouldn't use the word in edge. i don't think it is not exceeding that three household not next. —— imagine psychology. i limit. no, that is not acceptable. think it is about partnership and it answered with the same three households bublik together for the the government helping us and full five days according to the working with us to make for notjust government. again, they are worried a safe christmas but more generally about too much household for us to be safe during this pandemic. it is about practical measures come about support and what is more come psychology shows that if people see the government as other, they are doing things to us, then we trust them less and we comply less. the more that we see the government on our side as acting for us, as helping us, not only does that practically allow us to do the right thing, and motivates us to go along with them because we see them on our side, so i think that shift from a rather paternalistic finger wagging to a partnership approach from telling people off to supporting them is profoundly important both in practical terms in of motivating people to adhere to these restrictions. why five days? why not seven or ten? if everybody agrees with the same rules? well,... as some level i think these are questions which people need to ask themselves more than others. mark dra keford themselves more than others. mark drakeford put themselves more than others. mark dra keford put it themselves more than others. mark drakeford put it very nicely when he in wales he talked about restrictions to me that if we all think about how we can get away with things, of course we will find contradictions and problems. if we think about what we should do and what is good for us, us as individuals and families and as communities, we begin to think very differently. so yes, people might not find loopholes well who will you harm to picking up those loopholes? if you socialise more, you will harms those who socialise with you with. and he spent a lot of time with. and he spent a lot of time with vulnerable people you put them more at risk. —— if you spend a lot of time. it is not about getting went over the man or over authorities by going beyond these rules, we will harm ourselves and so asi rules, we will harm ourselves and so as i say, i think it is about government helping us and guiding us, not telling us what to do, but guiding guests and helping us to be safe in our families guiding guests and helping us to be safe in ourfamilies in our communities. some people think five daysis communities. some people think five days is plenty enough anyway. thank you very much indeed forjoining us. the latest government figures show there were 11,299 new coronavirus infections recorded in the latest 24—hour period. that means the average number of new cases reported per day in the last week, is now 18,295 1,654 people had been per day in the last week, is now 18,295. 1,654 people had been admitted to hospital on average each day over the week to last friday and 608 deaths were reported — that's people who died within 28 days of a positive covid—19 test. that means on average in the past week, 442 deaths were announced every day. it takes the total number of deaths so far across the uk to 55,838. keeping children in the classroom has been one of the key goals for the government. but it's a policy which comes with enormous challenges for both pupils and staff. more than one in five secondary school students in england was out of school last week because of coronavirus. the latest figures showjust 78% of teenagers were in the classroom, the lowest level since september. before the pandemic 95% attendance was normal. our education editor bra nwen jeffreys reports from knowsley on merseyside, one of the worst affected areas this term. even break time is carefully managed. a school hit hard by coronavirus, teachers and pupils having to isolate. in year ten, we have had to have bubble closure, an entire bubble closure in year 11. we have had a partial bubble closure. there's a significant number of days that have been lost as part of that. across year 11 just since september, more than 700 days in the classroom lost. even now, we're stilljust catching up with work that we missed in lockdown. so there's still a lot of content that we need to catch up on before learning the content that we should be right now. i don't think it's really fair because at the end of the day, we're all sitting the same exam and some have had more time in school than others. and it could affect people differently. as someone who isolated already i think it's really stressful to even think about the fact we have got to do exams in a few months' time. it won't be learning all the content on your exams. it will not only affect your gcses but also college. in this part of merseyside, as many as four out of ten teenagers have been at a secondary school at any one time. local infection rates have improved very slightly, but those are still days in the classroom those teenagers won't get back. and schools are worried that if there's more disruption after christmas, they simply won't be able to cover all of the content of their gcses. plans for exams promised soon — one suggestion grades could be more generous than usual across england. it's exactly the same as reducing the content for everybody. what we need is a more localised approach to take into account the exact nature of the disruption that we faced. in english, pupils will have more choice and exam questions, someone it allowed in other subjects. you could have different papers that covered different parts of the content, or you could have a single paper, that guide pupils to the questions that they should answer based on the content they've studied. how high would you put the risk of the government getting itself into a very difficult position again? at the moment, i think that risk is very high. as they try to keep cases at bay, unions warn more pupils may need to learn at home. ministers determined schools will stay open come what may. branwen jeffreys, bbc news, knowsley. organised criminal gangs have been abusing the universal credit system, as rules were loosened to cope with a rise in applications during the coronavirus pandemic. officials told the bbc they've stopped as much as a billion pounds of taxpayers' money from being paid to fraudsters. our social affairs correspondent, michael buchanan, has more. there is a concern there is a lot more and i've been told there are more than 1 million applications for universal credit within the system that still need checking and there is a concern that some of that may be fraudulent although the applicants may simply not be eligible for the benefit if, for instance, they have applied for some of the covid support schemes like the self—employed grant. there is also concerned that the highly automated universal credit system did not spot this particular scam and it was stopped effectively by a junior civil servant working with high street banks who noticed dozens of applications for the benefit were being rooted towards the same bank account. that led to further investigations which revealed more than 100,000 fraudulent applications for universal credit is with gangs using stolen identities. that led to officials calculating that as much as £1 billion may have been paid out had the scam has been successful. now it's time for a look at the weather with matt taylor. hello. the rain across western scotland and northern ireland finally eases off tonight so there will be a few showers later, that rain will be on the move southwards and eastward. pushing into northern and western england and wales, further south to stay dry and partly clear skies and a bit breezy here but that breeze still filling mild airfor england or wales overnight into the morning. for scotland and northern ireland with clearing skies and a much colder night with a touch of frost for one or two even some ice as we start the day. but a much brighter day in prospect here. sunshine and showers, brightening up in western england and wales after that slightly cloudy and damp start. to the midlands towards a singly in the southeast, you start with to the midlands towards east anglia in the southeast, you start with sunshine plenty of clattering, rain, drizzle, coming and going through the day, the odd heavy burst of rain, holding on the mild air here but much colder for the northwards and westwards, temperatures back into single figures. with clear skies that take us to wednesday night and that there is a way come get ready for the return of some widespread overnight frost and also some patchy fog. hello this is bbc news. the headlines. a christmas like no other. uk wide rules on festive bubbles — up to three households will be able to mix over five days. so the decorations are not in vain — with a month to go families up and down the country can start planning. i love christmas, and it's the only time of year that i get everybody together, so it is very important. schools may be open — but how do they cope when one in five students is at home because of covid restrictions why should leaseholders have to pay for cladding defects they didn't know about — mps say the government is wrong. more now on our top story. england, scotland, wales and northen ireland have agreed on broad uk wide rules to allow families to gather for christmas. the cabinet office minister michael gove said they needed to find a balance between allowing people to meet loved ones and the risks involved. so for five days from the 23rd until the 27th of december people will be allowed to have a christmas bubble. that means that three households can get together. so that families can enjoy something closer to a normal christmas. now we all know that christmas this year won't be as it has been in years past. but all governments agree that we should balance the need to protect public health but also allowing people to be with their loved ones. is there a public health risk and relaxing the rules in this way? well, we have to be careful. and the prime minister emphasised last night in his press conference that it isn't critically important that we recognise that this vibrance is not yet beaten. so a balance needs to be struck. people want to be with their loved ones and those close to them. what is the most important holiday of the year. but at the same time the limits and restrictions we are placing just five days and just three households are a way of seeking to ensure that what we can have an opportunity to be with those that we love. it's also the case that we are taking a cautious approach wasn't mystical, did you discuss in the meeting the pay back injanuary for relaxing the rules as you know very well sage it made the observation that for every date you lose some over christmas it requires five more days of tougher restrictions? that will be a payback for all of us in january while there? again, the balance has to be struck. most people i think that most people will want to have the additional flexibilities that are there. not everyone will want to exercise them. some people will be particular cautious this christmas will stop and we have emphasised that even through three households can meet, those three households can't meet together. in hospitality settings in pubs aren't restaurants. it's only in peoples homes. and of course the prime minister laid out on monday a clear approach towards tearing. which will mean they will continue to be restrictions for some so will this be seen as a much—needed festive boost after months of restrictions? we got the thoughts of people in loughborough in the east midlands where cases of coronavirus are higher than the national average. ultimately not sure it's the right decision to make, to be honest. i think, especially since they're using christmas as an excuse, i think a lot of the religious holidays have not been able to take place like diwali just happened, they have not been able to celebrate. muslims, they have not been able to celebrate eid, and thejewish community has not been able to celebrate either, so i just don't think it's very fair. and i think it would definitely lead to a massive spike in cases, that's not going to be worth it my opinion. i think is inevitable because people will do it or this of whether they are allowed to or not. so, yeah. it's the only choice they could make. i don't really agree with that, because, personally i think it would keep us in longer lockdown. it's one day. i think we can actually give up just for one dayjust to keep everybody safe. i was do to go to my sisters, and she would not have me until this new announcement came, now she's saying you can come over now, but you are single, we can mix, just one but i don't mind doing that but anything else i'm really against it. i really don't think it should be happening. i think they should have locked us down, keep us locked down because we all want to get back to normal, and i'm literally fed up of doing what we are doing now. basically, people are going to do what they want anyway. whether they say three households, four households, five households, i think extended families, most are going to try and meet up no matter how many household coming from. i suppose the big difference is how spread out around the country they are. so if they are coming from all over it's going to be more spreading. now for a look at how the potential chirstmas plans could impact on the travel industry is simon calder, a travel editor at the independent. well—known face here. good evening to you. it's grim every year, travelling at christmas. it's going to be much worse this year, isn't it? it's going to be, if you are not one of the, if you are one of the 19 million british people who do not have access to a car you are going to face some challenges, and i'm very sorry there is little you can do about it. if you want to make a long distance journey by rail at the moment. cannot serve the trains, of course with this five days from the 23rd to the 27th immediately two of them, there aren't any trains, well there's a handful on boxing day but not going any great distance. a great big rush going out on the 23rd 01’ great big rush going out on the 23rd or 24th, and then back on the 27th there will be an awful lot of people leaving their kind of expanded bubble to go home, and they will discover that hey, guess what, it's engineering work time and this is absolutely traditional network rail time. it's the period of lowest demand so of course they schedule work for then, and that's what they have done this year. kings cross station in london, one of the busiest stations in britain is going to be closed basely from the last train on christmas eve to the morning of the new year's eve. east coast main line very difficult, you got other things, greater anglia going from liverpool street to norwich, that's going to be closed after christmas and things like bristol to bristol parkway, which means there's no trains running direct from the southwest of the northeast. it's a real mess and added to that the fact that people will have to socially distance on trains, and a lot of operators are making it reservation only you think we better start planning, well good luck with that i just we better start planning, well good luck with that ijust had a look and an to york, afraid we don't know what trains will be running so you can't yet. so if you have it private car, and the roads visibly will be busy but you might be able to get around and take a lot longer. about fairies though? fairies will keep running. running the usual service in scotland, of course the many fairies across the irish sea will be going as normal. there will be a reduced service going to france but that's partly because with quarantine applied for anybody coming from france demand is vastly diminished and of course france has its own issues with getting around there. one good thing is the roads going through kent, the m2 won't be at all busy. but you are going to see massive problems in previous christmases are anything to go by. the three quarters of the and 25 all the way from gatwick and the and 23, all the way to the a 12 going into essex will be busy. the six pre—much anywhere from the west midlands up to lancashire could have problems, and because it's new we never had this sort of concentration of traffic. well, it could be absolutely fine and indeed the survey earlier this month at a 40% of people were just not going to bother, that's of course before tonight's announcement. and we might find that it jams just tonight's announcement. and we might find that itjams just pop up randomly here or there. it's good to be extremely difficult for anybody to do any planning and if, by the way, you are thinking not really sure if i fancy public transport, don't want to get on a train, well personal i would try to persuade you otherwise, lots of good research saying it's safe but next thing is renting a car is going to be tricky. i've looked at birmingham airport, and it broke and the prices of her christmas up by 50% and the council of social media of prices going a lot higher than that as well. i would hate to be a christmas grinch but not a lot of reasons to be cheerful in terms of travel that i can see at the moment. sounds around us. we still got the quarantine issue in place. there's some talk about changing that. what are you hearing? if people have tests. it's all quiet, so what we heard this morning from the transport secretary is that quarantine as we know it, which is absolutely mandatory 14 days of self—isolation sitting at home, is going to be eased from the 15th of september,... sorry you mean december? yes, the 15th of december. and you seem to take a test that will allow you to leave quarantine early if it is negative which of course everybody hope that will be, you have to self—isolate for five days before you do that. that's going to be great news for lots of people who have got friends, family coming in from all over the world to see them and how lovely that will reduce the amount of time they have to spend in quarantine. it might mean that a few people think, yeah, let's get away for a pre—christmas trip, let's go to spain and have to quantity when you come back. not going to be a huge difference, the airports that are normally pretty quiet actually on christmas day are going to be completely quiet this year. good for getting around domestically, if you are not having any luck finding domestically, if you are not having any luckfinding train domestically, if you are not having any luck finding train tickets i would not normally fly from london but at least you'll be able to get some certainty, and heading across to belfast or back from belfast to london, great fares. you can fly to sta nsted and back london, great fares. you can fly to stansted and back on the 27th, and that's only going to cost you £30 at the moment. get there quick, that's ona the moment. get there quick, that's on a well—known orange budget airline. who of course i hope you don't work for. comprehensive as always. a committee of mps says government attempts to pass a law that would make leasehold flat owners pay for building defects such as flammable cladding and fire safety defects a mou nts to ‘an abdication of responsibility‘. their highly critical report says nobody believes leaseholders should pay for historical problems exposed in the wake of the grenfell tower fire — except the government itself . our consumer affairs correspondent sarah corker reports. a bombshell has just been dropped on us with this cladding. caught up in britain's building safety crisis. these sums of money are absolutely eye watering, something that we could never afford. hundreds of thousands of people are trapped living in unsafe homes. these flat owners in salford are now facing crippling repair bills. and if i am made bankrupt by this, i lose myjob, my career and my home. when they bought apartments here at millennium point and tower, they were told they were safe but fire safety defects have been found behind the cladding. fixing it could cost millions. the grenfell tower fire exposed serious failings with building regulations. new laws are coming, designed to remedy those flaws. but a critical report by a group of cross—party mps warns the legislation fails to protect leaseholders from spiralling costs. the housing select committee concluded leaseholders should not pay anything towards the cost of remediating historical building safety defects. it said the £1.6 billion building safety fund will prove insufficient, and in the short—term the government must foot the bill. back in salford, paul and jake were first—time buyers at millennium point, and they welcome today's report. ultimately, we purchased properties in good faith and the buildings overall — the change in regulations or they either weren't built correctly to begin with, so how is it fair that them costs fall on us? it's great that the voice has finally been heard by the select committee. we don't have that money. it's very difficult for anyone in our kind of situation, like a modest—sized flat to have that sort of money. in the commons today, the housing committee chair described government support as totally inadequate. to make all high—rise buildings totally safe and remove all defects, the total bill could be as high as £15 billion, and leaseholders should not have to pay that. in response, the housing minister said he could not guarantee that all leaseholders would not have to contribute. we cannot write an open cheque on behalf of the taxpayer. that would send the wrong signal to developers and those who are responsible for these buildings that they do not have to pay because the taxpayer will. but 25 conservative mps have expressed concern about the government's proposals. and across britain, people are living with the constant uncertainty of who will pay to fix this crisis. sarah corker, bbc news, in salford. the high court has ruled that the american woman alleged to have killed harry dunn in a road accident last year was entitled to diplomatic immunity. the teenager died after being injured outside an raf base in northamptonshire. anne sacoolas — who was accused of driving on the wrong side of the road — was allowed to leave the uk after he died. duncan kennedy reports. harry dunn was just 19 when he died in august of last year. he was knocked off his motorbike here by an american woman driving on the wrong side of the road. she was anne sacoolas, who left britain two weeks after the crash, claiming diplomatic immunity through her husband's job at an american airbase. harry's parents, charlotte and tim, have tried to get mrs sacoolas to come back. but after reviewing the case, the high court today ruled that mrs sacoolas did indeed have diplomatic immunity. it's a decision that's left tim and charlotte profoundly disappointed. we've had many tears and tantrums, but we've kept our feet on the ground. we've already launched an appeal. you know, she cannot move on, surely, with her life in a wholesome way without facing up to what she's done. she openly admits what she's done. so come back, face the courts, get it over and done with and then move on. and, yeah, we can close this for everybody. the foreign secretary said thejudges had made the right decision today, but that he felt sympathy for harry's parents. there will be no solace to the family of harry dunn. my heart is with them. we've made clear right from the outset we're on theirside. we've called and we continue to call for anne sacoolas to return home to face justice. so where does this all leave harry dunn's parents? well, today's decision by the high court was undoubtedly a setback, but they say they will appeal. they also say they'll askjoe biden to intervene when he takes over the presidency. in a statement tonight, anne sacoolas's legal representative said... anne would like nothing more than to find a path forward and to provide the family some measure of peace. duncan kennedy, bbc news in oxfordshire. cambridge university library has announced that two notebooks written by charles darwin, worth many millions of pounds, have been missing for twenty years. one of them contains the nineteenth century scientist's famous tree of life sketch, exploring the evolutionary relationship between species. following a number of intensive searches, curators have now concluded they have probably been stolen — and they've launched a public appeal for help in trying to find them. our arts correspondent rebecca jones has this exclusive report. imagine losing something in here. cambridge university library is vast. 200 kilometres of shelving, 10 million books, maps and manuscripts and amongst it all, two missing notebooks by charles darwin. each of these notebooks which are the same as the ones we are looking for, are about the size of a postcard. they are written in landscape so across the page and they have, of course, darwin's writing. the notebooks have been digitised but the originals have not been seen since november 2000 when they were taken to be photographed in a temporary studio in the university's grounds. it wasn't until two months later that librarians realised they were missing. they assume they'd been put back on a different shelf and there were a number of extensive searches. now, a new team thinks they got it wrong. i have reluctantly come to the conclusion that these notebooks have probably been stolen. that is heartbreaking for me, heartbroken this has happened, i have spent my whole career devoted to the preservation of cultural heritage and i will spend all my time here trying to determine the possibility of recovery of these items. in 1837, a young charles darwin had recently returned from the galapagos islands aboard hms beagle. in his notebooks, he is working through scientific ideas inspired by his trip. and in one of them, he sketches the tree of life. these notebooks really are darwin's attempt to pose to himself the question about where two species come from? what is the origin of species? it is almost like being inside darwin's head when you are looking at these notebooks. they are jottings of all sorts of information he is writing down. to have such an iconic object go missing is really a tragedy. your help could be critical in seeing the notebooks safely returned. the library has launched an appeal calling for help from the public, former staff and researchers, in locating the notebooks by one of the best—known scientists of all time. it will take another five years to complete a full search of the building here so it is still possible the notebooks could turn up. in the meantime, their disappearance has been reported to cambridgeshire police. and if you have any information about where they might be, the library would love to hear from you. rebecca jones, bbc news, cambridge. joining me now from his home in suffolk is dick ellis, director of the art management group who also set up the metropolitan police's art and antiquities squad. thank you forjoining us this evening, if they were stolen 20 yea rs evening, if they were stolen 20 years ago it's a very cold crime, isn't it? what do you think has happened? i think that the books themselves were probably ordered by an academic who was researching them, and thereby rbc failed to go backin them, and thereby rbc failed to go back in after they were photographed, either at their request or whoever‘s request. i think you need to restart the investigation of looking at those records that would have been completed, because the sort of books don't only sit on shelves, they come out of a temperature humidity controlled store room and only would have been brought out the specific request of a recognised scholar or an academic reader who is researching darwin. should be an audit trail as to who requested them, and with crimes like this, u nfortu nately, them, and with crimes like this, unfortunately, historically it's shown that either the academic or scholar develops an affinity with that particular book or manuscript that particular book or manuscript that they regarded almost as their property, and has been known for them to walk off with it, and sort of keep it. so that's one thing that could have happened. sadly the other, because of the limited access, other, because of the limited a ccess , you other, because of the limited access, you would have to look at the library staff of the day 20 yea rs the library staff of the day 20 years ago who had access to them. i suspect they will eventually be found, this is not the sort of item, it's so unique it will not have been destroyed. its not come in your view, innocent forgetfulness, oh my goodness i've ta ken view, innocent forgetfulness, oh my goodness i've taken that out 20 yea rs goodness i've taken that out 20 years ago, and here it is on my book sheu years ago, and here it is on my book shelf in my study. i don't think it would be that simple, no. you can't rule out, and i know the library has moved heaven and earth trying to find these books to me but you cannot overlook the fact that they could have simply been misfiled. and ina library could have simply been misfiled. and in a library the size of cambridge university, finding the needle in the haystack could take time. but i think that, you know, they've exhausted that and hence this appeal now for their return. and the appeal isa now for their return. and the appeal is a good way forward. whoever borrowed them 20 years ago or took them out 20 years ago, they may have died. they may be sitting on, you know, in a book shelf and somebody‘s house without even realising they are there. so that's one aspect. also i think the appeal for the return of the books is the right way to go. the police obviously are there to investigate crimes and to identify those responsible for those crimes. if it was something like an affinity with the work which led to its disappearance and i think the appealfor its its disappearance and i think the appeal for its return its disappearance and i think the appealfor its return is its disappearance and i think the appeal for its return is the its disappearance and i think the appealfor its return is the right way to go. the fact that they are so well known, would that mean that a bona fide book dealer would not touch them? it would be too hot to try and sell? yes. this isjust so unique, i mean it's not a printed book, it's a handwritten, it's a one off. even when you have books of limited editions, i recovered a com plete limited editions, i recovered a complete set of birds of america which, at the time he was selling for around about the £2 million mark. they had, all the pages had been physically cut or torn from their bindings in the national library in st. petersburg in russia. but so unique, are these books, that christie's, the auction house asked to sell this undertook their due diligence and from the watermarks on the pages, and the records that existed in academia, were able to identify these books as having come from the state library in russia. so any book dealer or collector undertaking due diligence would insta ntly undertaking due diligence would instantly realise that this handwritten work by darwin belonged in cambridge, because that's where the records were shown it should be. so the other thing about the book—sellers association is that they've always been extremely good at circulating stolen books to their memberships. so they can be alerted that these books are stolen, and they can work to recover them. fascinating, thank you very much indeed forjoining us here on bbc news. something completely different. from darwin to sanitary pads. scotland has made history and become the first country in the world to give free access to items such as tampons and sanitary pads in public buildings. msps unanimously approved the bill which aims to tackle so—called period poverty and ensure anyone who needs period products can get them for free, by law. a military dog who charged through enemy gunfire to save the lives of british soldiers in afghanistan has been awarded the animal equivalent of the victoria cross. during a raid kuno tackled a gunman and was hit by bullets in both back legs. after losing one of his paws as a result, he became the first uk military dog to get custom—made prosthetics. tim muffett reports. kuno, the pdsa dickin medal. military honours for a remarkable dog. at woolwich barracks in south—east london, four—year—old kuno was honoured today for his actions in afghanistan last year. he was supporting uk forces when they came under attack from al-qaeda extremists. he's been honoured because he performed exceptionally on the battlefield. exceptional courage, exceptional loyalty, devotion to duty, he did a fantastic job, saved lives when it mattered. the ministry of defence have asked that kuno's handler at the time remains anonymous. i moved over to him and he was hobbling around, and he was clearly in a bad way. his paw was all mangled up, it didn't look good. so we bandaged that up. he had what's called a through and through on his thigh, so the bullet had gone straight through his thigh and out the other side. you can see kuno's prosthetic limbs here which allow him to be mobile. he was actually the first serving military dog to be fitted with them. lots of challenges, varied challenges, quite severe injuries, combination of injuries that were difficult to manage. individually they would have been very achievable but as a combination, they were challenging. he is a brilliant patient, it was quite clear he was going to take it in his stride and stood the best chance of a full recovery. the pdsa dickin medalfor animal bravery was introduced in 1943. as well as dogs, horses, pigeons and even a cat have previously been honoured. for this four—year—old belgian malinois, retirement in dorset now beckons. kuno has certainly earned it. tim muffett, bbc news. now it's time for a look at the weather with matt taylor hello. the rain across western scotland and northern ireland finally eases off tonight so there will be a few showers later, that rain will be on the move southwards and eastward. pushing into northern and western england and wales, further south it'll stay dry with partly clear skies. a bit breezy here but that breeze still feeding mild airfor england or wales overnight into the morning. scotland and northern ireland with clearing skies and a much colder night with a touch of frost for one or two places, even some ice as we start the day. but a much brighter day in prospect here. sunshine and showers, brightening up in western england and wales after that slightly cloudy and damp start. to the midlands towards east anglia in the southeast, you start with sunshine, plenty of cloud around, rain, drizzle, coming and going through the day, the odd heavy burst of rain, holding on to the mild air here but much colder for the northwards and westwards, temperatures back into single figures. with clear skies that take us to wednesday night and that there is rain, get ready for the return of some widespread overnight frost and also some patchy fog. this is bbc news — it's all change in washington as the transfer of power formally begins mr biden today introduced as the transfer of power formally begins. mr biden today introduced the men and women who will lead his national security team. in the new cabinet the first woman to serve as treasury secretary, the first woman to serve as national security adviser, and the first latino at homeland security. it is 18 team that reflects the fact that america is back, ready to leave the world, not retreat from it. once again, sitting at the head of the table. the president hasn't conceded but he has at least allowed the transition of power to begin — and in response the dowjones index hits a record high. also in the programme. millions of americans are travelling home to see family and friends for thanksgiving, in spite of the public