is never done not even with tony blair. go to places like selby, and overturn a 20,000 straight tory majority. the shares we have the leadership, we have a missions driven platform for a new government, we are ready to take office and keir starmer is leading us towards it. the evidence is right there for you. us towards it. the evidence is right there for vom us towards it. the evidence is right there for you. before we go to helen moruan, a there for you. before we go to helen morgan. a lot there for you. before we go to helen morgan. a lot of there for you. before we go to helen morgan, a lot of reflection there for you. before we go to helen morgan, a lot of reflection about - morgan, a lot of reflection about the ulez factor, the environmental zonein the ulez factor, the environmental zone in london and whether sadiq khan undermined in a sense the position of the labour candidate fighting that seat. you have talked about that dumping result in selby but isn t the likelihood, b
that is precisely my point, mark. 6.7% swing applied around the country and a general election would mean labour is the largest party in parliament. from the starting point of 2019 which is the worst showing for almost 100 years so, that is a big, big advance. what you are doing is pointing to uxbridge. why not apply the swing that came to labour from selby which was over 20%? we had an incredible, historic night last night. it is quite extraordinary that the labour party is reaching deep down into these places in parts of the country we have never been before. the mission we had, the challenge after the 2019 election was to reconnect to voters that had turned away from labour in that had turned away from labour in that election. we did that. in the last english elections we started to connect to places like medway world you only win when you are a party thatis you only win when you are a party that is now ready to govern. now we are doing something the labour party
journalists, over react. so how scaleable are by election results? and do the issues surfaced in them get left behind in national elections? remember the next general election has to be called next year or actually inform us about the key battlegrounds ahead? joe is at the wall. well i hate to be a cross party party pooper but a word of warning to this mornings winners enjoy it while you can. yourfledgling political career may not last. remember these three? sarah olney s success at the richmond park by election was brief. voters kicked her out after just five months, though she s now back in parliament. lisa forbes s term as peterbrough s mp lasted 153 days. and as forjane dodds winner of the brecon and radnorshire by election her westminster career ended afterjust three months. she s now in the welsh senedd. the story of last night
the largest party. and a 12% swing would give keir starmer an overall majority. if we plot the two tory versus labour swings from last night. uxbridge and south ruislip ? 6.7%. and in selby and ainsty 23.7%. the trends point to major problems for the conservatives. we said last night watch out for signs of tactical voting. there s lots of evidence of that. and i also said keep an eye on turnout. it was low in all three races. it seems some tory voters stayed at home. would that be replicated when the choice of government notjust of local mp is in the balance? rishi sunak has been prime ministerfor nine months. and if he delays the election as long as he can to january 2025 he s still only a third of the way through. so he has a maximum of 18 months before crunch time. and all the signs are that his task is not just about stopping the boats, but turning an oil