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almost all the arguments are value free, no value judgment, i'm a stronger candidate, we need generational change. she has to make a case to republican voters why not to go with someone they view as the incumbent in the race. >> make the differences more starker. good to get your breakdown. thank you ron. >> thanks for having me. sunday marks 100 days since hamas launched its deadly raid into israel, killing 1,200 people. and right now a massive rally is under way in tel aviv to mark the occasion. estimated 120,000 people are taking part in the event said to last 24 hours straight until sunday night, also calling for the release of the more than 100 hostages still believed to be held in gaza.
are locked in. they say their minds are made up. only 64% of desantis supporters and 63% of haley supporters say they are locked in. what that speaks to is commitment, enthusiasm, energy. all of those things are three essential ingredients to the turnout and organization for the monday night showing here particularly with the weather. so those numbers certainly important, jim. >> yeah. ron, if you can pick up on that thought, but jeff zeleny just passed along i mean the numbers matter. to our viewers this is poll, it's not taking into consideration this devastating winter blast that i suppose could affect things around the margins and so on. but, ron, when jeff zeleny says 82%, jeff, correct me if i'm wrong, jump in if i said it wrong. 82% of trump supporters say their mind is made up. >> yeah.
>> yeah. and of course the weather is a big wild card in all this. jeff, standby. i want to bring in ron brownstein, our cnn political contributor and analyst. and ron, you're hearing jeff zeleny read off these numbers, and we don't want to have this skate by too quickly. if we can show the viewers at home these numbers one more time. there you have donald trump at 48%, nikki haley at 28%. she has passed ron desantis according to this des moines register poll. ron desantis at 16%, and rivek ramaswamy not much of a factor here at 8%. ron brownstein, donald trump -- there's a story line about nikki haley versus ron desantis and of course we can talk about that. but what jeff zeleny was talking about a few moments ago, this poll showing donald trump so far ahead, a former president now leading the republican party with all the legal questions hanging over him being cast as a threat to democracy by the sitting president, joe biden who
welcome back, you're watching cnn "newsroom" with me, michael holmes. as we've been reporting, republican voters in iowa head out for the first in the nation caucuses monday, and they'll have to brave brutally cold weather to do it. the wind chill could be feeling like minus 20 fahrenheit or minus 29 celsius. latest polling shows former president donald trump on the verge of a historic victory in iowa. des moines register putting him at 48%. former south carolina governor nikki haley at 20% and florida governor ron desantis 16% of likely voter support. cnn senior analyst ron brownstein is there and joins us
against somebody that has 91 counts against them, and you don't even bring it up in a debate? how sad and pathetic is that? it just shows you're really not interested in winning. a lot of this is going to be about '28, who's going to be after trump because trump is going to be the republican nominee. i think biden is going to win this thing. i think biden is going to win it more comfortably than he did last time, but this is just a terrible intitle to me and i think a lot of us who used to work in the party of the depth the party has fallen to that it's embracing trump with this kind of intensity. >> what was the strategy all along here for nikki haley and ron desant and to some extent vivek ramaswamy, although he's sort of a nonfactor here. we were talking about with jeff zeleny and ron brownstein
value free, no value judgment, i'm a stronger candidate, we need generational change. she has to make a case to republican voters why not to go with someone they view as the incumbent in the race. >> make the differences more starker. good to get your breakdown. thank you ron. >> thanks for having me. while the polls indeed suggest donald trump could score a historic win in iowa, there are some votes up for grabs after former new jersey governor chris christie dropped out of the race. which candidate will benefit most from his exit? >> reporter: chris christie hasn't endorsed anyone yet, but there's one candidate most likely to benefit from his exit. cnn poll from new hampshire showed 65% of christie voters said they would pick nikki haley
has been a central concern, blizzard warnings and dangerously cold weather, the committed supporters may be the answer to who shows up monday night. but haley is riding a wave of momentum. her supporters are not as committed or enthusiastic. a quarter of iowa voters have not made up their minds, there's still room for movement. but it's still donald trump's race to lose, no doubt. and it raises expectations. 28 points ahead of his leading rival, so his margin of victory should he have one on monday night should be judged against that number. cnn, des moines. >> ron brownstein is there in des moines, senior editor for "the atlantic" joins us live.
they have from the beginning really banked their candidacy on new hampshire. now, she is still campaigning in iowa. they are having those teletown halls today, but certainly they have always thought here that if she could turn this into a two-person race in new hampshire or afterwards, then she could win in her home state of south carolina and carry that momentum into super tuesday. now, we will see what happens next week in new hampshire as well. but that has been their theory of the case. >> and, ron, the governor of new hampshire, chris sununu, a big endorsement pickup for haley made clear on cnn last night he will support the eventually republican nominee even if it was donald trump and even if he was a convicted felon at that point. let me play there for you. >> all right. >> i'm going to support the republican nominee, absolutely. yeah, that shouldn't shock anybody. that shouldn't be a surprise to anybody that the republican governor and most actually of america is going to end up going against biden because they need to see a change in this country.
who goes outside. joining us is francesca chambers, white house correspondent for "usa today" and cnn senior political analyst ron brownstein, senior editor for "the atlantic." how serious is the weather factor for these candidates? >> yeah, i'm indoors in iowa. look, you know, obviously i think, you know, it makes it harder for people to come out, and it is at the end of a caucus, you know, i've been c coming to the caucuses since '88 and among many who have watched it for a long time there's been a certain perfunctory nature given not only trump's lead but the limited way in which desantis and haley have been willing to directly challenge him. it should as jessica said benefit the candidate who has invested the most in organization and desantis, i think haley also might have the problem that they are voters