months, they can t have a replacement. the democrats are very happy in some ways they are going to get rid of obamacare. this was the one big answer paul: politically. this was one big answer, a new solution that was going to be revolutionary and change things for the better. didn t work. they are happy. we had it for six years. they re happy to dump it off. i m more optimistic, there are a lot of pitfalls, we can go through them, if we have momentum, get one part down on the replace part, it creates the conditions for further things down the road. so i think that the main thing is that they need to show momentum. they have the repeal and show good things being done. because our goal is not, the problem is, obamacare is like, closing down a nuclear plant. there is all this waste. you can t turn it off and walk away. you have to be careful with that waste because it can kill you in the meantime. so i think they just have to have the momentum. paul: the argument is, that you hear
national republican party to be clear, in context, there s a whole bunch of problems that the trump dpan has for the republican party. there s a new poll that puts donald trump nationwide 14 points behind hillary clinton. 14 points behind? now, that is not the only poll in the world, right? there s another national poll out also tonight from fox news that says he s only 3 points behind hillary clinton. we ll be talking later on in the show with an expert about how to read the various polls right now. how to know what s right, especially when you ve got results like these that are so disparate. in either case 13 points behind or 3 points behind, he is still behind. the headwinds seem very clear right now. tonight at fivethirtyeight.com they re reading those headwinds for the presidential race and looking at the senate polls.
fivethirtyeight is giving the republican party a 68% chance of losing control of the united states senate this year. so that is just one of the problems that it
heading into the end, though, donald trump, look at this, the foundation of trump support, white voters without a college degree, a whopping 30-point lead on that question. one of the arenreasons this is a total blowout nationally. we didn t just ask voters who they re voting for, we asked them why. a five-point national lead, not a total blowout. one of the reasons it s not bigger than that, who would best handle the economy? donald trump wins on that. the other big issues, hillary clinton a little bit on terrorism, a bit on immigration. what has her campaign been about, saying he s erratic, unfit, temperamentally not fit to be president of the united states. the voters agree, nearly 30 points she wince on the question of which candidate has the best temperament to be president, also wins by 15 points when voters are asked which of these two do you trust to be commander in chief? she s winning on the qualification for the job, if you will, even though she trails on the economy. the
voters, between the ages of 18 to 34, by 2020 they ll be the largest segment of the american electorate. they re not part of this trend. white millennials will almost certainly not vote for donald trump, young white people. the children. heather mcghee, fernand amandi. we ll be right back here on saturday after joy reid s bonus hour. we ll be here, if my voice makes it. be sure to tune in for that. the rachel maddow show starts right now. do you know that i have magic throat lozenges that cure everything? i ll go right to your office and steal them. they sell them at my bodega. i think they re illegal. thanks for being with us here this friday night, this friday before the election. it s very exciting. i m very excited. when john f. kennedy beat
midmanhattan with our rca 501 computer. only one-tent of the total vote is in, we re going to have what we call projections. that s estimates on what the final vote will be in a popular and then what the final vote will be in the ele
greg: thanks, joe. that s the smartest thing you have said in eight years. [applause] [applause] greg: all right, the u.s. intel report released friday directly accuse russian president vladimir putin of ordering a campaign to influence the election. i wish they told us this thursday we could have skipped listening to this. first we cannot say they did not change in the vote tallies or anything of that sort. we have no way of gauging the impact that certainly the intelligence community can t gauge the impact it had on choices the electorate made. greg: what is with this guy over here? it s like he just saw one of my nudes on snapchat. [laughter]
this is serious. and it s on tv. friday president-elect trump met with experts to discuss the findings. what does russia really to? for one, they had to john podesta s e-mail. how did they do it? first they found one of his passwords. what was one of his passwords? password. [laughter] this may be the greatest achievement in espionage hist