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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Outlook Improves, What to Expect From ECB Meeting
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Outlook Tilted to the Downside in Week Ahead
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Well Supported as Global Central Banks Meet
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD to Weaken if ECB Increases Bond Buying
Fundamental Euro Forecast: Neutral
The recent sharp rise in sovereign bond yields, including those issued by Eurozone governments, has clearly unsettled members of the European Central Bank’s policymaking Governing Council.
That means action is possible at their meeting this coming Thursday. There will be no major easing of monetary policy, such as a cut in interest rates, but a decision to step-up bond purchases is possible and such a move would be negative for EUR/USD. Advertisement
Euro price to weaken if ECB steps up bond purchases
Member after member of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council was warning last week that the ECB would have to respond to the recent surge in sovereign bond yields around the world as traders reacted to fears of higher inflation when the global economy recovers from the slump caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Outlook Improves as German Bund Yields Rise
Fundamental Euro Forecast: Bullish
The European Central Bank’s Governing Council has clearly decided to stress to the markets that it’s watching rising Eurozone sovereign bond yields.
That’s a way of signaling that it doesn’t want them to rise too far too fast.
But last week they rose anyway and that’s positive for both EUR/USD and the major Euro cross rates such as EUR/GBP. Advertisement
Euro price outlook positive
Members of the European Central Bank’s Governing council, including President Christine Lagarde, Germany’s Isabel Schnabel and Chief Economist Philip Lane, were all stressing last week that they are closely watching Eurozone sovereign bond yields – code for warning the markets that they don’t want them to rise too far too fast.