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USD/JPY Weekly Forecast: US data confirms recovery but markets take profit

4/16/2021 4:26:40 PM GMT USD/JPY falters as Treasury yields slide, drops 1% on the week. 10-year yield sheds 15 points to Thursday, recovers 5 on Friday. Excellent US Retail Sales, Jobless Claims provide no immediate dollar support. Consolidation likely in USD/JPY as markets await initial US second quarter data. FXStreet Forecast Poll predicts extending USD/JPY weakness. In a classic case of following the bouncing yields, the USD/JPY sank for the first four days as US Treasury yields saw their steepest losses in a month then rebounded as the credit market reversed on Friday. From Monday’s close at 1.675% the return on the benchmark 10-year note dropped 15 basis points to 1.530% on Thursday and the USD/JPY descended from 109.66 to 108.78. Friday’s reversal in yield, up six points to 1.59%  stabilized the USD/JPY above 108.80 after Thursday’s intra-day dip to 108.61. 

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