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Told Modi govt in March second Covid wave afoot, expect peak in mid-May: Expert panel chief
National Covid-19 Supermodel Committee s current projections indicate that by early next week, second Covid wave is expected to peak at around 4 lakh cases, give or take 20,000.
Himani Chandna 30 April, 2021 5:38 pm IST Text Size:
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New Delhi: The Narendra Modi government was informed that a second Covid-19 wave was “afoot” and expected to peak around the middle of May, ThePrint has learnt.
According to the head of National Covid-19 Supermodel Committee, M. Vidyasagar, professor at Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Hyderabad, the panel gave “informal inputs starting around the first week of March, and gave a formal input on April 2nd”.
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Meanwhile, government remains remorseless, even as the healthcare infrastructure struggles to keep up
Sabrangindia29 Apr 2021
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10 days ago, scientists from Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) had used a mathematical model to predict that India’s Covid graph could peak at 33-35 lakh active cases by mid-May and decline thereafter. But the same scientists have now revised their predictions upwards.
Now, these scientists from IIT Hyderabad and Kanpur say that the peak numbers could range from 38-48 lakhs between May 14 and 18. They also say that the daily infections could go as high as 4.4 fresh cases between May 4 and 8. Given how, we are already recording over 3.5 lakh new cases every day, the number doesn’t seem that far off.