Two big reasons to doubt the global boom
While the debate raging in financial markets focuses on whether the uptick in inflation will be transitory, it is time to ponder the possibility that the economic boom will prove more transitory than expected.
Ruchir Sharma
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Though economists expect the reopening boom in the global economy to roar through the coming quarters, there are two increasingly pressing reasons to question its strength and length: China and the United States.
The two superpowers are the locomotives of global growth, but cracks are appearing in their economic engines.
China alone has accounted for more than a third of growth in the world economy over the past five years. Today, a one-percentage point slowdown in China shaves a third of a point off global growth in gross domestic product, so the world has reason to worry when Beijing tightens the screws.
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