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I. Understanding Analytical Tools for Thinking About the Futures The further one seeks to gaze into the future, the less useful forecast techniques become. The forecast aims at “calculating or predicting (some future event or condition) usually as a result of study and analysis of available pertinent data.” 2 But the distant future is hardly a singular event. Rather, it is a landscape created through a combination of change and continuity, and so there is a high probability of departing from at least some currently dominant trends. Accelerating changes in recent years, including massive increases in the amount, variety, and tempo of information available, the rate of technological advances, climate change, and the interconnectivity and interdependencies between distant geographical locations further increase the level of uncertainty regarding the future.

United statesUs national intelligence councilRoyal dutch shellIsrael institute for national securityGlobal business networkUnderstanding analytical toolsThinking aboutNational security studiesMiddle eastGlobal futureIntelligence councilLatin americaஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில்எங்களுக்கு தேசிய உளவுத்துறை சபைஅரச டச்சு ஷெல்இஸ்ரேல் நிறுவனம் க்கு தேசிய பாதுகாப்பு