20. Bourbonic 30-1
Essential Quality is the favorite because he s won each of his first five career races. The colt has also been impressive in doing so, as he notched victories at the Breeders Cup Juvenile in November and at the Southwest Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes earlier this year.
Not only will Essential Quality be looking to become only the 10th undefeated horse to win the Derby, but he s going to be starting from the No. 14 post. There hasn t been a winner to come from that gate since Carry Back in 1961. I think it ll be a good spot, trainer Brad Cox said, per Neil Greenberg of
Derby favorite Essential Quality brings strongest resume
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Essential Quality, a 2-1 favorite, draws post 14 for Derby
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Everything you need to know about the 2021 Kentucky Derby post positions Apr 27, 2021 J. Keeler Johnson
Post positions for the 2021 Kentucky Derby were drawn on Tuesday morning, triggering the annual debate among bettors as to which horses drew well, which drew poorly, and which might enjoy ideal trips in the “Run for the Roses.”
Some assumptions will be anecdotal, based on gut feelings and the relative draws of key contenders. Other conclusions will be based on cold, hard data specifically, the post position statistics meticulously compiled by Churchill Downs since the starting gate was first introduced for the 1930 Kentucky Derby.
How many winners have broken from post 1? What’s the win percentage of post 15? What percent of horses finish in the money (first, second, or third) when breaking from post 5? Who was the last horse to win from post 14? How about the last horse to finish in the money from post 17?