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4 mayo, 2021 Six months before the general elections in Nicaragua, The Economist Analysis Unit (EIU) predicts that the regime of Daniel Ortega and Rosario Murillo will win the November 7 elections. This despite public support for its party, the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN), being at “an all-time low.” It’s a given that his control over all State institutions allows him to “manipulate” the rules of the electoral contest in his favor. With a reform to the Electoral Law in which independent electoral observation is eliminated, potential opposition candidates are inhibited, electoral campaigning is left in the hands of the Police and the Supreme Electoral Council (CSE) stacked with Sandinista magistrates; the FSLN will go to the polls “with the rules of the game manipulated against the opposition,” says the EIU. So, it will not only hold on to the presidency, but it is likely to maintain “a qualified majority” in the National Assembly.

United statesUnited kingdomDaniel ortegaRosario murilloUnited states department of the treasuryNational assemblyNational policeEuropean unionUs congressSupreme electoral councilOffice of foreign assets controlSandinista national liberation frontEconomist analysis unitElectoral lawApril rebellionCentral american