Ahead of Market: 12 things that will decide stock action on Tuesday
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Ajit Mishra, VP - Research at Religare Broking said, Nifty has tested the lower band of the prevailing rising broadening formation around 13,150 and its breakdown could trigger a further decline towards the 12,700-12,800 zone. In case of a rebound, the 13,400-13,600 zone would act as a hurdle.
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We do not expect a big correction, but rather a consolidation in the short term, of not more than 7% to 10% in the main indices. Buying at dips can be considered as a strategy in the falling market, said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial services.
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Concerns about inflation are rising once again. We wondered whether inflation could spoil the party in the equity markets
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At its December 2019 meeting, a year ago, the US Fed projected 1.8 percent GDP growth in 2022, the unemployment rate at 3.7 percent, inflation at 2 percent and a Federal Funds rate of 2.1 percent. In December this year, it’s projecting GDP growth of 3.2 percent for 2022, unemployment at 4.2 percent, inflation at 1.9 percent, but guess what the Fed Funds rate for 2022 is estimated to be? It’s 0.1 percent. What’s more, it’s slated to remain at 0.1 percent in 2023, too. In other words, the Fed will remain very low for very long. And, as Fed chair Powell said, valuations in the equity markets are fine, given the low level of interest rates. Martin Wolf agrees in this FT piece, citing Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller’s CAPE (Cyclically adjusted PE) ratio, he says there’s no stock bubbl
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