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Why the reflation trade can work for Gulf economies
Cornelia Meyer
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https://arab.news/vc7mp
US Treasury yields have turned positive. The most significant jump was the 10-year Treasury note, which jumped from 0.72 percent in September to 1.375 percent on Monday morning.
The questions to ask are: What is behind the move? What does it mean for equity markets? And what are the implications for emerging markets, especially the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)?
The name of the story is reflation, or rather a fear of inflation.
Since last March, central banks have pushed $6.6 trillion of liquidity into their economies and are expected to follow suit with an additional $5.8 trillion later this year, according to Cross Border Capital, a London-based consultancy. This is monetary stimulus alone, which is enhanced by huge fiscal stimuli in the US. Last year’s monetary expansion was the largest in 150 years. On top of that, the fiscal stimulus amounted to $2.9 trillion. It is