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Chinese rocket: What happens if falling Long March 5B hits Earth?

Chinese rocket: What happens if out-of-control falling Long March 5B hits Earth?

Chinese rocket: What happens if out-of-control falling Long March 5B hits Earth? Adam Smith © Provided by The Independent The 30-meter long rocket entered orbital velocity, meaning it is now traveling around the world every 90 minutes – too fast for space agencies to tell where it is going to land. Last year, a similar prototype craft came within 13 minutes of hitting New York City. The craft was eventually confirmed by the US Space Force’s 18th Space Control Squadron to have landed in the Atlantic Ocean. Fortunately, the likelihood is that people will remain safe and there will be little damage to buildings or the environment. This is not due to preventative or defensive measures, however, but rather a question of statistics.

China falling rocket: What happens if out-of-control Long March 5B hits the Earth?

For an uncontrolled re-entry event like this, it is not possible to accurately predict where the object or parts of the object will fall, the European Space Agency (ESA) says. This is mainly because atmospheric density, which is what will push the rocket’s altitude to eventual re-entry, is not known below 300 kilometres because spacecraft do not fly at such low heights. The Long March 5B rocket is currently fluctuating at an altitude of between 170 and 372 kilometres, but has been seen dropping to 160 kilometres today. It is also likely that the object will simply burn up on re-entry, but parts of the rocket with a high melting point could make it to the ground. Experts struggle to know exactly how the rocket will make it through its re-entry, because the Chinese space agency only gives limited information about its spacecraft.

Lack of regulation will create a Wild West in SPACE warns expert

The world is heading for a wild west free for all in space that could lead to disaster as firms fight for every scrap of resource in low Earth orbit, an expert has warned.  Paul Kostek, a space policy specialist from the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), says global agreement is highly unlikely anytime soon. As the commercial space sector continues to grow at a rapid rate, firms are vying to launch constellations of satellites and new experimental craft into low Earth orbit. This has left astronomers frustrated and struggling due to blots in the sky that make observations harder and less accurate, as well as concerns over space junk.

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