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Among Southeast Asia s governments, Thailand s may regret the most Donald Trump s departure from the White House. The government of Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha has benefited from the Trump administration s de-emphasis of human rights and democracy in favour of geostrategic interests. A shift in emphasis under President-elect Joe Biden s administration is likely to ensnare the Thailand-United States treaty alliance in Thai domestic politics.
The pro-democracy side of the Thai political divide, which is led by younger generations under 40, will be looking for international solidarity and support, while the royalist-military regime will try to keep a lid on protests at home and democracy voices from abroad at bay. As a result, Thai-US relations will likely experience more friction under Mr Biden compared to the rather smooth ride Mr Trump gave the Thai military authorities.