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Investors Looking for Inflation Clues Should Heed New Jobs Data

Investors Looking for Inflation Clues Should Heed New Jobs Data May 24, 2021 Market participants are being inundated with inflation talk. As is the case with so many financial market debates, there are divergent camps on this issue. Some experts believe this round of rising consumer prices will be transitory. Others are wagering higher prices could be longer-lasting. Investors looking to draw their own conclusions don’t need advanced degrees in economics. Rather, easy-to-understand jobs data holds important clues regarding inflationary pressures. In fact, the April jobs reports, which showed the addition of 266,000 roles (economists expected much more) is a case study in how employment data can impact inflation expectations.

Asset Allocation Weekly (May 21, 2021)

May 21, 2021 Confluence Investment Management offers various asset allocation products which are managed using “top down,” or macro, analysis. We publish asset allocation thoughts on a weekly basis in this report, updating the report every Friday, along with an accompanying podcast and chart book. In March, job openings rose to their highest level on record. According to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), there were over 8.1 million job vacancies, surpassing the previous record of 7.6 million set in November 2018. The surge in vacancies is supported by data from Indeed showing that job postings in the last week of March were 15.7% above their pre-pandemic levels and were 24.2% higher in the following month.In contrast to the JOLTS report, the most recent employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed a general slowdown in hiring. Non-farm payroll growth in April came in at a seasonally adjusted 266,000, well below the previous month’s incr

Week of May 10, 2021: US Federal Labor Viewpoints

Final Rule on Wage Protections for Temporary and Permanent Employment of Certain Aliens Delayed Forced Labor | More Nitrile Glove Imports Seized Upcoming Congressional Hearings Biden Administration Labor Leadership Updates On May 12, the Senate Health, Education, Labor, & Pensions (HELP) Committee advanced the following nominations out of committee for full Senate consideration: Jennifer Abruzzo, to serve as General Counsel of the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB), by a party-line vote of 11 to 11; Seema Nanda, to serve as Solicitor for the U.S. Department of Labor by a vote of 14 to eight; and Jocelyn Samuels, for a new term on the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, by a vote of 14 to eight.

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