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Social activity, pandemic fatigue behind new Covid-19 peaks

Social activity, pandemic fatigue behind new Covid-19 peaks ​ By IANS | ​ 3 Views Coronavirus (File Photo: IANS). Image Source: IANS News New York, April 22 : US scientists have developed a new mathematical model for predicting how epidemics such as Covid-19 spread. This model not only accounts for individuals varying biological susceptibility to infection but also their levels of social activity, which naturally change over time. Using their model, the team showed that a temporary state of collective immunity which they termed transient collective immunity emerged during the early, fast-paced stages of the epidemic. However, subsequent waves, or surges in the number of cases, are predicted to appear because of changing social behaviours due to pandemic fatigue or variations in imposed mitigations.

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