$8.0bn
“The portfolio value is our indicative market value and is significantly lower than the reported deal value since it considers only the half-life value of the asset in today’s market which of course is significantly depressed at present.
“The attached leases will significantly enhance the value of the GECAS portfolio, albeit the $30 billion being reported is still much lower than the $40 billion Bloomberg reported last year when Apollo Global Management was exploring buying GECAS for up to $40 billion.
“By merging (or AerCap acquiring GECAS), it will create a mega-lessor with a global portfolio which is 16% of the entire passenger jet leasing portfolio (or 15% by value). AerCap presently has 159 airline customers, GECAS 176,” says Morris, adding: “Only 69 are common so the combined entity would have 266 airline customers.”
By Cirium2021-01-20T04:06:00+00:00
The pandemic has upended lessors’ market assumptions more than any crisis in the history of aviation, forcing them to reevaluate their approach to risk, an industry panel of lessors, lenders and remarketers has observed.
Ted O’Byrne, Carlyle Aviation Partners’ co-head of aviation, used to think about asset risk, financing risk and credit risk – “pretty much in that order” – but with the Covid-19 crisis things have now turned “completely upside down”.
Source: Wikimedia Commons
SpiceJet 737-800 in 2014
“First and foremost, discussions that we have when we originate transactions is: Who is the airline? Can they make it through the next six, 12, 18 months? Can they access capital? Can they shrink themselves to go through this crisis, and more importantly even, do they have relevance over the long term,” he says, speaking at a panel discussion at the Airline Economics Virtual Growth Frontiers Dublin event on 18 January.