a plot that is led by the science a few words make a honda of difference also coming up and keeping the cash flowing to ukraine, kind of allow them is that landscape still count on gold will on weapons from georgia and the united states. the food is banking on the united states. failing to deliver for ukraine. we must, we must, we must prove him wrong. welcome to the day we begin with the dramatic conclusion often un climate talks into by talks of 24 hours ago appear to be heading for failure comp. 28th is it's called, was forced into over time to be in trouble over the divisions on the future. of fossil fuels that it gets rejected. the 1st draft of the text, but after intensive negotiations under reworking the 2nd draft was unanimously approved heating. no objection. it is so decided that for you have a lot of dealing with life against global warming, with nearly 200 countries signing up to the declaration. that'd be great with nearly came on stuff because of the wording on fossil fuels more than a 100 countries wanted. i'm vicious language quoting for a desperate phase out of coal, oil and gas, after making resistance mainly from oil, producing nations, i trash dr. compromise the final deal costs for a transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems and adjust orderly and equitable manner. accelerating auction in this critical decade, so as to achieve net 0 by 2050. some side of the deal marks the beginning of the end for fossil fuels. given the makeup of this one over 95 nation entity, it is pretty clear that it was more than a state klein and you know, we hardly expected certain countries jobs. they all yeah, we're just going to turn around and do that immediately. but they didn't sign on and they are transitioning confidence, busy, just climate conference, the fact the seals, the end of the fossil age, which i understand you, the, every part of the text is as clear and binding as the europeans had hopeful that wouldn't be in the climate conferences, you need a unanimous decision. despite my confidence some ice cream is guide. what a jo results are from the multiple pads to obtain the goal of limiting warming to $1.00 degrees celsius to do so in a manner consistent with the priorities and circumstances of each nation to achieve sustainable development. so a lot of box laughing about national data gets about the reaction has an old and positive the alliance of small island states where risk for rising sea level stays a dale full short and is full of new pulse. some actively scripts and engineers accused the segments of caving into the oil and gas lobby is a representative from a youth delegation. we tried to won the will, the conflict of interest, the precise over this cop and the bustle, fuel lobby, seen this house. the stakes smells like oil and like gas. the outcomes of this cup are proof that you are sell outs. you are sell outs to corporate interest. shame, please. the shipper is a professor of development job to fit the university of bomb. she spent the decades research in climate change and the social impact on the world. a welcome to a dw professor. um, what do you make of this wording transitioning away from fossil fuels rather than by using the mouse. so i think we have to start with the fact that fossil fuels is in there, which is not something that we've seen before. it's about the toughest with a breakthrough. but of course, transitioning way suggests that it can be done in many different ways. it can be done in a very long time, and it doesn't necessarily mean that we're ending the use of fossil fuels. and so therefore, and the phasing out there's an end and inside service. so there's, there is a big difference certainly. and i think i will decide to president for, you know, to the extent to which a countries and companies will take this seriously. i had um, so i'm from tongue. uh oh, you said a saying, but this is full of loopholes and it does nothing for what it is that if activity in an ex, essential prices of countries in the pacific and it's a balance to be struck is may i because we have 70 percent of the remaining of fossil fuels in the global south, much of which hasn't been used and transitioning away, allows them to continue to use it and develop economically even though it is to the detriment of the planets. yeah, precisely. you uh, there were a few days ago, there was a press conference for the african group where they also made the same kind of comments that in fact, from their perspective, if they don't have the opportunities to use fossil fuels. and that is, i think they said something like that and you know, the end of their breath and they, they can no longer breathe, they need that for the development. and so we do have to keep that in mind. there are many different at the many different levels of development, and there are many different needs here. but the emphasis is, of course, ideally on the countries and that the company for the, the most fossil fuels are being used. and, but it's hard to make that distinction between those 2 kinds of situations. so, what does face deal and do for countries like, uh, tongue countries like them all these older se shells by whom this crisis is actually stand show? that's right. okay, so and i think that the, the comment from twotango was that also the wording that action we have kind of the content in there maybe. but that, that words that refers to the action is moved and, and very vague. and so we have, i would say the wins here were the successes were already very early on in the conference where the lawson damage fund has agreed. and countries have put money in as including germany, united arab emirates. but it's a drop in the bucket. and i think there was an increasing disappointment as a conference continues, that there weren't more large offers of money being put into this. and these were forthcoming. and i think we do have a framework on the global going out of taishan that is supposed to measure whether progress is being made on meditation. but here again, the financing is missing. this is the key thing. so i think put this on for countries i tongue gone for many of these, these countries. absolutely. where is the money that is with the, the big thing? and that's been the question for, for years now. but on the other hand, we also have to keep in mind that money isn't going to do everything because there are limits to how much adaptation can do. and we know through the science said after 1.5 degrees of average warming. there are certain places where application will no longer work, certain kinds of adaptations, we no longer work. so we also need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. so you know, it's, it's, you can port a lot of money into adaptation and, and loss and damage. but they never really going to make up for the fact that we still need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. right. so frankly speaking, if it's too late for countries like tonka mobiles and those indian ocean countries, essentially nothing can be done quick enough to save to yeah, i think the key issue is really this time of the timeframe, the window of opportunity to actually take action in the introduction to a panel climate change phrase this around that the window of opportunity is rapidly closing. if he wants to secure a livable and sustainable future for all. and those 2 words are the ones that i keep repeating because this isn't, you know, if we keep dragging out or, or dragging our feet and dragging out the time, then that for all means that we, we, we lose people. and we, it's a deliberate choice as well when we, when we don't take the action that we need to take. so i wouldn't want to say that it's too late just because we have to keep fighting. there isn't any, any, you know, but there's, if it might be, for example, too late to stay under 1.5, but there's 1.6 after that, or even 1.51, you know, so we need to keep finding to, to try to keep that warming to the minimum possible. so um, i wouldn't want to suggest that, you know, just because we're feeling like we're failing here that we get off. absolutely not . we'll have to keep fighting, to make sure that, that, you know, to have some kind of climate resilient development for people in the future. yeah, you mentioned that you and your 1st on so that you were glad that the, the actual a phrase fossil fuels was that was that sweet? that in the declaration, much has been made of holding these climate talks in an oil producing country in an oil producing region and the big oil sabotaged the steel. uh huh. i think somebody sideways might talk know that into later. but of course, opec has always played a very, a big role and always to a, a big the big hurdle in all of the negotiations of the early negotiations where we start to talk later about the adverse effects of climate change impacts many years ago. we're also kind of tied together with a discussion around the impacts of response measures that is the adverse impact, particularly on countries. opec countries, when we start reducing our fossil fuel use. so the sort of always nice to somehow intertwine these things to prevent that, that really effective deal from, from being in place. so i don't think that does anybody is surprised? i'm not sure if we can at this point yet, say that the fact that the president's was from an oil producing country that that was a big problem. but certainly opec was very nervous about about to do and probably had huge influence. also. thank you for that. good. talking to professor lisa shipple from the university of ball. thank you so much for team is who tim remains determined to bring ukraine to its knees militarily. and he is assessing that international support for ukraine with wayne. so that will cutting enough list each bed i will advocate sustainable, reliable financial support for ukraine in the coming years to the because it's about the security of europe. oh, well that was did you have a chance to show? so once again, placing support for ukraine and key of needs that reassurance as west and money in west of weapons start running low budget crisis in germany. it's complicated. it commitment to funding you, trying to fight against russia faced as another by roger russian. miss, i was talking to the craig and capital today. unfortunately wounding dozens of people. gym and made and defend systems are increasingly vital to protecting ukrainian cities. and the german chancellor is adamant that weapons deliveries will continue. as we had a chance to assure also sometimes to push for sustainable long term support for you . price at a, somebody to, if you need is in brussels next week. the current president for the 9th grade he's expected to attend those talks as he presses west and allies for more military assistance. tuesday on tuesday, he was in washington having to unblock $61000000000.00 in funding, being held up in congress both. but he and us president a job, i'm more than we can think of international will, would only benefit russia is very important that by the end of this year, we can send where a strong signal of our unity to the dresser, and the unity of you green america, you're the entire free world. without supplemental funding, we're rapidly coming to an end of our ability to help you create a response to the urgent operational demands that it has put and is banking on the united states failing to deliver or ukraine. we must, we must, we must prove him wrong. let's, let's go through this. i'm with that and the mid on who's on military. i'm with the king's college and onto welcome back to d w. i'm married. i'm how desperately does new cry needs extra funding and support from its out driving a good evening till i think. and at this moment ukraine needs it more than ever because so ukrainian military is running out for delivery shelves that i'm referring to. 155 millimeter artillery shells. it also needs heavier equipment such as tanks. it needs air color, obviously. so the last 6 feelings, at least um it needs one more missiles. it needs more air defenses. and now we're seeing after the counter offensive after the grading contra offensive, which didn't ppo the expected results. so russians are continue as offensive operations around of the guy around kansas. so ukraine needs to police to be able to hold to russian progress on the battle of the old. and so western a, the us 8 and the 8 from europe is critical at the moment. right? do we need to tease out some of those raises? i appreciate you talked about um, uh you kind being in need of shelves and times lots of those have already been probably savvy about that seems to be less a money issue than a supply issue. but in europe comp seem to manufacture them quickly enough. that is, that is absolutely correct because right now, um its a european countries have understood what the exigencies are for in ukraine are. and this, the, this rest was the defense manufacturer because the global supply chain is very well . a tiled right now. and in order that the manufacturer tanks, so we have to get materials. we'll have to get steal. we'll have to get um, aluminum would have to get less young and shell. remember that russia is a huge supplier of steel. so those components, those role materials arise and price, making them more expensive to procure, taking longer a time to arrive. therefore, in order to manufacture those things that ukraine needs and it will take time. and therefore, this is the time that you bring thousands of half and they're in lice, a problem. and so how big a problem is that time ukraine hold, it's uh, current positions without a change in the supply lives, it will literally defend it's very difficult to predict the future and what might happen on the battlefield in military terms. and of course, the politics will also influence that, however, it doesn't look very promising for ukraine, especially as, as i said, as the russians are deploying again, the wagner troops are all moved to they are trying to push and to get hold of, of the, of con, um, what was literally regards the russian casualties and that is a problem because the great and also has the mobilization potential issue as well. so manpower is also scars in ukraine and how long it can hold on without any provisions or was little provisions remains to be seen, but in the future is not very promising. so a closer look at those figures make we heard today from us intelligence that the who were claiming 350000 russians. i've been killed and wounded since the stats of this invasion 22 months ago. which sounds like a very high human cost to those figures sound about right to, to well, i was very surprised about this release because we have to understand why is it being released now and who is a target audience of these figures? what i'm trying to say is the losses um on the russian side has been colossal. however, there were other estimates also on coming from the us from may 23 which were estimating 50000. these estimates coincided with some other estimates made by the likes of medias. own and therefore i cannot imagine how since then the number would have grown 230-0000 because we're talking about 67 months. and during these months, the russians have not conducted any serious large scale offensive operation. so it seems like the estimate is over stated, right? so we presume. so that's an overstatement then because my, my last question is why is russia losing so many truth, but it sounds like, well, you caught me to be honest about because with the, the actual numbers. so funky to yes, absolutely. i think um, the release of that statement is some how to do moralize the russians, maybe those who will be reading this. because i think it again this, this figure is more accurate. and we would need to completely to compare figures from different sources to, to get more or less accurate estimate. that's being said, what this report has said that it's almost the, the military strength that the russians have pre invasion, indicating something about the rushes, future military capability. and the, i just wanted to caution that those figures um the quantitative data is not the only the determining factor for russia's military capability. so we have to be careful, one entered into, interpret things, those numbers. yes, i. so how do you interpret those numbers and looking forward with, with severe losses. all right, we can, we can be completely accurate about them. but the implication from this intelligence was that the modernization of russia's military has been set back, something like a 15 years. um, what, what do you think as well as things are, these are just 2 factors and i think we cannot really predict rushes. military capability is based on those 2 estimates. we still have to remember that even conservative estimates say is that the russia can produce up to $500.00 thanks of various types a year, which is more than the grass can produce currently. so even taking in, in, in, in numbers roster retains still a huge capability. the problem as long tangible factors such as leadership, morales, command and control logistics, corruption and russia has all those problems. and so in order to be able to predict how russia will behave militarily, we need the experts from different disciplines. combining all those findings in order to, to get an idea and even them, it depends also in which scenario who will be the enemy. i were talking about the russians, possibly in, in the high north, in the arctic. i was talking about them and ukraine. i was talking about them and syria. so i think we have to be very careful when looking at those numbers and as those conclusions and estimates because context matters. and of course, the policy matters and the strategy and how russia will use its military power to achieve whatever political object that it will have understood, unclear as ever. thank you so much for welcome, mister. that's mary. now a minimum from king's color something. thank you. thank you for having me have you it says almost half of gauze this population and has not moved from the city of rafa in the south. it's wanting the people that are facing bombardments, deprivation and disease in an ever more confined space. just by growing closer to cease 5, israel says they will push on the bits offensive games time us, which is why they consist of a terrorist organization. winters bearing down on rough or the city at the furthest edge of southern gaza bordering egypt. with the border closed, it's the farthest people can flee. the destination for display, scoggins, hoping to escape bombardment. shelters are overcrowded. almost half of gas as population is now in rafa, which is the small part of gas in the southeast corner. again, this is leading to nothing but a health crisis. rainfall mixing already dire situation worse. many make sure if tens can't hold up for long against the wind and rain water. yes, mean a displace posted in mother says she lacks access to basic necessities. and the minimum i woke up to my 7 month old child who was soaking wet in our house has been destroyed. my other child was murdered. i don't have any blankets or mattresses. i took some from my sister. we just have one blanket between 5 of us. there's no covers, no mattresses, no food, no water. life is difficult with myself, say about humanitarian relief is fairly reaching ordinary people like yes mean, despite their proximity to the only crossing that allows a into the gaza strip. israel's military, which is also carrying out strikes on targets. and rafa leaves him us for the lack of access. unfortunately, it's not, these really started with the preventing it, but rather what we're seeing this morning, right, is that from us on the opening, the, the was thing aside, a rough or not facilitating the excess of which i'm gonna terminate itself. so bring me to ask ourselves again wise from us preventing humanitarian a fall, b u. n. general assembly has called for humanitarian sees fire. people in rafa are pessimistic. l 27 model for the odd and not as real as well known for ignoring un an international resolutions when i consider is itself above the law but, and have several of them. because of that, i don't think that will accept any resolution, especially with winter, just setting in many fear, the hardship and danger that lie ahead. stephen ryan is with the international red cross committee in gaza and he described conditions in rafa was just over 10 days ago. i asked by one sized one location the not far from where i could see more based. and i saw that there was a couple of talking tens i taught by one week later a few days ago. and that was hundreds if not more. certainly tens of thousands or hundreds and thousands of people are on the move here in gaza. and many of those people actually only walk able to carry funds in that situation like that. some very basic items become the most valuable at a mattress, a blank because maybe a negress supply of foods and when they arrive to the place and they're already very, very crowded. there's not enough. if i need some occasion facilities. busy people have to cooper for a long time to water and nobody knows what you know is going to bring, certainly thing that there's efforts to bring in more assistance in regards to this . this is a positive developments. and one of the things that we're deeply concerned about, the ability to meet the growing needs that are going by the hour and to be able to reach people who are not involved. but certainly there are i so many more people civilians who are protected homes internationally manager know who are outside of alpha. and we also need to make sure that international organizations, such as the international community, direct costs and any other to be able to work here, are able to provide assistance to these people in safety. and what i can continue for next training difficult. steve ryan, from the international red cross committee. i'm that's, it's that he's done. you can all of us on social media platforms at cdw used for the night. it's the headlines is over spring dw asked d, w dot com have a good the cool meeting. people say, bosnia largest power has been accused of causing respiratory diseases, and cancer diagnoses are increasing all over the area. but operators are stonewalling. politicians are useless and there's no money for research. is there any hope less? focus on next. on d, w e book, the environment, trends, technologies come is digitalization style tops, new markets, new media. the world is accelerating. these the opportunities that the challenges to try new things. take flights with d w 's business magazine made in germany in 6 to minutes on d w the most. do you do the same to tennis? she survived. oh sure. it's thanks to music. he was the nazis favorite conductor. he is martin, the degenerates to musicians under the 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