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Is taxing the wealthy. most americans don't realize that the average family in america today pays into medicare throughout their lifetime $119,000 in today's dollars. they take out over their lifetime in today's dollars $357,000. and so the president has laid nothing out there to change that dynamic. >> on medicare, which is so interesting, because what happened the last time there were cuts that were actually enacted as part of medicare, we had a presidential campaign, and here was mitt romney's ad, targeting the president. this is what he did. >> you paid into medicare for years. every paych...

Over their turn out in 08. bill: that's specific to ohio. >> it's happening everywhere. there is a usa today story today pointing out that there is a decline for the democrats in early voting. the numbers i'm looking at indicate that roughly a 10% lead in early voting last time around has been more than cut in half. remember the president won last name around by 7 points. if you drop his number down 5 and grow his opponent's number 5 he goes into deficit and loses. bill: is that specific to ohio? and what was the last date that you picked up that early voting data? was that saturday or yesterd...

Democrats turned out in the early voting. i believe these numbers are saturday night. 576,000 democrats turned out. that is 145,000 less than four years ago, but already 472,000 republicans have turned out, that -- excuse me 492,000, that is 119,000 more, that is a swing of 265,000 votes, which is more than the president carried the state by. he carried it by over 300,000 votes in the early vote, lost election day to mccain, and won the state by 262,000 votes, but already that margin has been more than wiped out by the decline in what the democrats have had and the increase in what republicans...

Between neil armstrong and evil ka tphaoef very well. you step off the edge of that capsule and out you go, and you fall for four minutes and 20 seconds, 119,000 feet straight down. i want to show you, if i can, what the ten to 20 seconds right after the jump looked like. this is taken, by the way, from his space suit, and you can see where he kind of starts spinning uncontrollably, right. they call this the death spin. when i first saw it i mean we covered this for months we thought, hey, this is it, this guy is done for. somehow he was able to correct. he said it was like hell, right? terrif...

In today's office politics, my conversation with larry sabito,we take a look at some of the historical memorabilia he's collected. but first i asked larry about the relevance of presidential debates. >> the early debates made an enormous difference. you can't find an analyst from 1960 who doesn't believe that john f. kennedy needed those debates to get elected. and certainly the first one i think did it for him. that made the 119,000 votes worth of difference in his defeat of richard nixon. the next set of debates weren't until 1976. again i think they made the difference for jimmy carter. bec...