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Are you standing by that tonight? >> we based that on what we saw in the data and the head-to-head numbers. that data hasn't changed. as a matter of fact it's gotten worse for barack obama. obviously polls are a snapshot in time. and if one of those three states were to spike up to 49, 49.5 we would revisit it. but as of now we are not. we are sticking by it and polling the other states we think that will matter more. >> bill: scott, is there any chance that barack obama will gain some momentum from last night's debate? >> there is always a chance. but i don't think much is going to change. i ...

Weak candidate. i wish we had a better candidate but we don't. a lot of conservative groups are going to support akin and missouri is still a conservative state and i think he has a 49.5% chance of winning this thing. >> do you think he should be in the u.s. senate? >> listen, that's for the people of missouri to decide. >> no, do you think he should be in the senate? >> i would have voted for somebody else in the primary. >> sara steelman, probably. nice dodge there, by the way. don dodges the ball, and he should. bob shrum, thank you. let me give you a slew, michele bachmann, there he is, ...

We'll argue about this the rest of our lives, but to call it terrorism, how do you justify it? >> i'm pro-life, so i believe -- >> but do you call it terrorism if -- >> i don't use those terms but i'm pro-life. getting back to todd akin, you know, he's still got a shot. i think that claire mccaskill is a weak candidate. he's not our best candidate. i wish we had a better candidate but we don't. a lot of these kv groups will support todd akin and missouri is still a conservative state, and i do think he's got a 49% to 49.5% chance of winning this. >> do you think he should be in the u.s. senate...

That is starting next monday -- already started in idaho and wyoming. >> sean: and ohio. >> 30 states will be voting starting monday in some of the most key and important states in the country. and those votes will be counted a lot of them well before the first debate. >> i don't like that. i don't like that early voting. i think absentee is the best way to go. that's early voting, but there's so many things that can happen. if people start voting next week, they haven't even seen the first debate. there's other issues that could come out. war could break out god forbid in the middle east. >> ...

That is starting next monday -- already started in idaho and wyoming. >> sean: and ohio. >> 30 states will be voting starting monday in some of the most key and important states in the country. and those votes will be counted a lot of them well before the first debate. >> i don't like that. i don't like that early voting. i think absentee is the best way to go. that's early voting, but there's so many things that can happen. if people start voting next week, they haven't even seen the first debate. there's other issues that could come out. war could break out god forbid in the middle east. >> ...