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Year was plus 14. kerry didn't end up as the president, bush did. it's not always dispositive of what is going to come out. let me give you another number, and that may be a better indication of momentum. the real clear politics average of all the polls recently. it shows literally down to the 10th of a point a flat-footed tie. 46.4% for obama. 46.4% for romney. the obama number is coming down, the romney number is coming up. they meet at 46.4, and if you look back the last couple of weeks, bill, to when romney picked paul ryan as his running mate it's been straight up for romney. momentum pro...

It really could not be tighter. 46.4% for president obama in average of all the polls right now. 46.3% for governor romney. and you know a recent piece on abc talked about, how the president may in some ways be his own worst enemy. what he talked about the last time around in terms of hope and change set up many of the people who were supportive of him for some disillusion mane and disappointment. how do you talk to those people in a frank, honest say way and say we're not where we ought to be right now and you ought to give us another chance? >> in terms of your first question in terms of bou...

gunned down. the supreme court begins hearing arguments this morning as 26 states challenge president obama's health care overhaul. at the heart of the debate? whether the individual insurance mandate is constitutional. and president obama is joining lead errs of more than 50 nations in seoul, south korea this morning for the 2012 nuclear security summit. the president kicking things off with a stinging warning to north korea. a developing story from afghanistan. nato officials say a gunman wearing an army uniform, an afghan army uniform, killed two coalition members in souther...

Jpmorgan speaking from tokyo. well the tsunami and earthquake's effects are far from over. many fell to its lowest levt level in nearly a decade. we want to show you pmi, purchasing manager's index there. the pmi fell to 46.4 down from 52.9 in the previous month. anything below 50 indicates contraction. carmakers have been hit especially hard. carmakers like toyota. toyota is the world's biggest carmaker and it had to stop production at more than a dozen of its assembly plants in japan. it only gradually began to resume production this past monday. and then honda, they plan to resume limited...

From cnn london, i'm charles hobson. >> welcome back to "world business today". >> let's take another look how european markets are moving now. around about 90 minutes into the last trading session of march and the last trading session of the first quarter of 2011. very much a mixed picture. the zurich smi edging down a third of a percent. scant gains for ftse and the dax up by about a seventh of a percent. how's it looking over there, pauli pauline? >> pretty good, charles, except for the composite edging down about a percent. asia markets edging up. the nikkei gained some after manufacturing...