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Let's check the hardball scoreboard. president obama is leading mitt romney up by 2, 46/44. also in ohio, a cnn poll has obama at 50 and romney at 46. in colorado, obama is leading by 1. what does that mean? 47/46. next to virginia. the race is dead even at 47 all. and finally in new hampshire, which will matter, a new england college poll shows the president up by 3. watch new hampshire election night. 49/46. we'll be right back. [ male announcer ] this is joe woods' first day of work.

Beat rick santorum for the republican nomination. he didn't get a bounce after he picked paul ryan or after the convention, but he is after this debate. so we are seeing a lot of movement right now, but i think the best gauge of where this race will be is when we move on a week or two from now where we see where all the dust settled after a volatile period in the numbers. >> i thought you were going to say when our new nbc news poll comes out that's what we know. with that said the pugh poll says if the election were held today, that's 49/45 amongst likely voters. amongst registered voters bar...

To have done in the debate. mark, you wanted to get in but i wanted to ask you about the daily tracking poll because the gallup poll comes out at 1:00, for the first time today tracking likely and registered voters. yesterday, their registered voter had a five-point spread. today it's 49/46 among registered voters with obama in the lead. but it's 49/47 among likely voters. mark, what's your take on gallup and these tracking polls which are, you know, seven-day running track? >> quickly on the ad, what the campaign just told me is that they think this has got currency away from msnbc and away f...

They were trying to dance around but now they're head first. >> okay. >> the one extra piece of baggage they didn't contemplate as much, his first name is congressman. >> rapid fire, go through these numbers. rapid fire, one line each, unless there's nothing to be learned from it. if the election were held today, obama 48, mitt romney 44. >> battleground state number is what i would point people to. much smaller. 49/46. one place we saw evidence of a ryan boost. >> obama job approval, 48 approve, 49% disapprove. >> that 48 and 48, keep an eye, job approval number and your final ballot test is ...

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