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So who is in the wiki lead today? chris christie page was updated twice. tim pawlenty's, four times. paul ryan, seven times. marco rubio, 22 times. and rob portman's page was updated at least a whopping 103 times. joining me now, one of the most respected number crunchers in the country, nate silver, author of "the new york times" political blog, 538.com. a pleasure to have you on set, nate. >> thank you. >> how much stock can we put into an open source like wikipedia? >> well, you know, those facts are managed by a consensus of people, but certainly if you're going to have a national rollout,...

538.com has a piece on it yesterday that shows that if the election were held today, obama would get close to 300 electoral votes. that's pretty extraordinary. >> well, the president is taking his first bus tour starting this morning, i guess. re-election -- of the re-election campaign going to ohio, pennsylvania. the latest quinnipiac poll shows the president leading mitt romney in both places, up six points in pennsylvania and in ohio the president leads romney by nine points. both states the president's message is bolstered by an improved jobs situation in those states. the unemployment rat...

Party or half the party but no one is really a majority builder within the gop so far much less the general electorate. >> 538.com founder nate silver. thank you so much for joining us. thanks for your insight. well, what caused that connecticut house to burn down on christmas? plus a grandfather's final attempt to save at least one of his grandchildren. also, billions of dollars spent on gift cards this holiday season and even billions more wasted. what is it about taking a first step that we find so compelling? is it because taking a step represents hope? or triumph? at genworth, we beli...

Vegas. great to have both of you with us tonight. stephanie, let's start it out, if we can tonight, with our old buddy bill clinton. what -- is he a player, a major player now? he goes down and rips into the unions in arkansas and then goes out to nevada and says, hey, you have to vote for our buddy, harry. what do you make of that? >> the big dog still hunts in arkansas. i'm like you. as i was reading in my copy of "killer politics" this week i'm not happy about the union thing. i don't think this is a good family feud, ed. i mean, nevada is a no brainer. i mean, sharron angle strubed her web...

Black child which was his adopted bangladesh daughter. they're capable of anything. i don't have proof they did this. we have to look into -- he paid a $10,000 filing fee and he's unemployed, that's one shady or questionable thing. the other questionable thing, 538.com, my friends, have a great post up today showing that this guy actually did better in white -- in more white districts than black districts, so, again, the racial explanation makes no sense. i think there's got to be a bunch of digging. i have no evidence and not going to say something i can't proof. this is fishy. >> okay. it's ...