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They felt they've got a good attorney general, good lieutenant governor on the ballot. you could see some of that string throughout the night here. just down to virginia beach, we haven't seen for some time with my young youngkin republicans thought that youngkin spent a lt of his time and a lot of votes out because by population of ranked 2 out of 33 and counties and cities but youngkin at 58%. so far for the youngkin campaign, that would be pretty decent now. now in the southwest, i just -- look, it is rule virginia, not a ton of votes down there but you want to see how these voters are doin...

At 86.3%. silver's prediction is not an innovation, it's trend taken to its absurd extreme. his work is better summarized as an 83.6% confident that the state polls are correct. the main problem with this approach to politics is that it's trivial and election is not a mathematical equation, it's a nation making a decision. people are weighing the priorities of their society and the quality of their leaders. those views at any given moment can be roughly measured but spread sheets don't add up to a political community. in a democracy, the convictions of the public ultimately depend on persuasio...