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Him there. but if past is pro log for absentee "let's go." here's what we look at for the last hour. he ran on election day in 2016, but in the absentees, he's got 59%. so you might expect saccone's absentee number to be a lot closer to that 61 to 67. if it anything like that. in washington county, you're looking at the meeting with trump. if it's the same thing that happened and you're looking at 53 from the absentee, so if there is a chance at 45 gains

847. again, what we know here is the history, the history is that a couple things. first of all, we know trump won this district -- excuse me, this county with 63% in 2016. we know when they counted the absentees only, they only got 56% of those. the republican kind of drops off. on top of that, saccone has been running south of trump's number, pretty much across the board in this district. you knock that down to 50% and you say it's a 50/50 district here, you're not looking at much in terms of a gain for saccone. you'd see the same thing in washington and see maybe lamb getting extra votes an...

It fell. it fell to 59. that's kind of the history on these absentee ballots, they tend -- look, stale republill an win? they tend to favor democrats on election day. if that past holds, that the republican got 59. if that pattern holds, you're looking at 51 in the absentee for saccone. you're not making up that kind of gap. washington county, it's very republican. not westmoreland at 60% here. he was about 61.5% here. if that same thing happened with the absentees, there could even be a chance that lamb could gain on the absentee votes in washington county. we talked about this recount. it's ...

Manchin democrat. but we're going back to steve kornacki at this point. >> i haven't added enough wrinkles. i'm going to add one more there is two x factors. one is the remaining outstanding vote. no change in that since the last time i came on. two, then, the absentee situation. now let me give you three. state law in pennsylvania calls for a recount if the final margin in a race is within half a percentage point. 0.5. well, these are not the exact numbers. the exact numbers right now are conor lamb, 49.9%. and rick saccone, 49.5%. so right now a gap of .4. .5 allows for a recount. so there i...

Got something from the absentees but i think this might have been the last two precincts we were talking about. that might be the election day vote. if that's the election day vote, then what we were just talking about goes doubly because the lion's share doing well in allegheny, the democrats doing especially well in the absentee ballots. >> i have to ask you graphically over your other shoulder the viewers can see, it says 98% in. is that us? will that automatically update, and is 98% kind of the dead top of election day? are the others absentee? >> yes, we're looking at a total here, just s...