Sharon engle. we have a trend line going back through history where we know most voters vote in that state and we know that that partisan affiliati affiliation tends to hold through election day. there are a percentage of people who voted and if that holds to election day, it's difficult for donald trump to win that state. >> so matt, what is your tense from the early voting data and the polling and then stuff in arizona and i think the arizona story is fascinating. if you look at arizona, i said this the other day, georgia looks more competitive than arizona does and yet no one is going to ge...