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Give him a chance, romney wins. >> let's go to the third thing here. your opinion, some kind of bust over there, whether it's greece related or spain related. when they watch what's happening, and you're an economics person, when they watch, what's the thing that could really cause a clattering bad effect. >> the economy is the major thing. it will have a ripple effect on markets. it won't matter what happens here because it's completely out of their control. this is something they're watching very carefully. it is not anything they can do anything about. it's a big x factor. obviously, there ...

Likelihood of a significant radiation exposure to tokyo. that -- it's 150 miles away roughly. and the amount of disbursal of the cloud that you'll get th this -- you'll get makes it low indeed. as i alluded, we need to monitor the doses in a more scientific way than we're doing now. it's being done in a very ad hoc manner. something systemic needs to be done to map the doses on the ground. not in the air. the air dose is relevant, but it's not relevant to human exposure. we need to know the doses on the ground. >> big x factor is of course the wind, where the radiation goes depends on which wa...

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Point than they did four years ago, eight years ago, 12 years ago, 16 years ago. does that say anything about the fluidity of the polling, how seriously we should take the numbers now? or is it still just essentially all a run-up to when voters guess serious in december? >> a couple things. there's a big x factor. let me say, i was talking to, as i do in my travels and talking to people around the country, cabbies, people parking cars and you have people talking about tuning in to debates and watching the debates who say they've never watched a debate before. but it is part of this reality tel...