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Weather as a wildcard: Frigid Iowa cold holds potential for discouraging caucus participants

NBC News meteorologist Bill Karins shares a look at the exceptionally cold weather conditions for the Iowa caucuses as caucus-goers, particularly those who…

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NBC Nightly News With Lester Holt

the move heading through the mid-atlantic region tonight toward the northeast. we will be seeing the snow picking up especially in new england during the overnight hours. we have 95 million people, a lot of winter storm warnings all the way down into texas and louisiana. these winter weather advisories in the northeast will be for a period of snow tonight through ending tomorrow. it does look like about 8:00 a.m. roads will be treacherous around new york city to boston and then the storm exits. it's not the amount of snow, it's the timing with everyone going back to school and back to work, lester, one to three inches and treacherous roads tomorrow. >> bill karins, thank you. defense secretary lloyd austin was released from walter reed medical center today after being treated for complications that followed prostate cancer surgery. his treatment and complications had been kept secret for days, prompting widespread criticism. the pentagon said austin will continue to recuperate and perform his duties from home. in the middle east a tragedy at sea. tonight in the gulf of aden where two u.s. navy s.e.a.l.s are missing as hostilities increase in the waters near yemen. courtney kube is following it all for us.

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NBC Nightly News With Lester Holt

this to the car? >> oh, man. probably six. >> reporter: you've been out here six times in the last week? >> yeah. in the last couple days, actually. >> reporter: with so much snow piled up and temperatures this cold, drivers don't just need to wipe off their vehicle. some of them also need to navigate getting out past several inches of ice. and near buffalo, new york even after fans helped dig out the bills' stadium today's playoff game against the steelers kicking off with some seats still buried in snow. here in grand rapids the chances for snow continue into wednesday. meanwhile, tonight it feels like roughly negative 10 with the wind chill. and that's actually a warm-up from earlier today. lester? >> all right, jesse, thanks. bill karins is tracking this storm sweeping across a pretty wide stretch of the country. bill, what are we looking for tonight? >> good evening, lester. we don't need a lot of snow for significant impacts. just ask any of our friends in tennessee, mississippi, alabama even louisiana with some freezing rain, but now the snow is on

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Jose Diaz-Balart Reports

caucus ever, and so this is a moment here i think that will be really defining, not only the maga support that is out there for donald trump but those folks for the likes of a marco rubio, whether they're still engaged in this republican process today or whether they stayed on the sideline. >> vaughn hillyard, ali vitali, and dasha burns, thank you so very much. as we mentioned, this year's iowa caucuses could be on track to be the coldest on record, but the brutal cold is also being felt across the entire country. nbc meteorologist bill karins is with us this morning. bill, the weather has been linked to at least three deaths already over the weekend. how dangerous are these conditions? >> if you get strand instead a -- strand instead a vehicle in a remote area, that would be the worst-case scenario. the avalanche concern in the west, those are the life-threatening portions of this. now the cold has made it down to the texas/mexico border. everywhere that's colored in here shows it's below 32

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Chris Jansing Reports

stranded on the side of the road, completely buried in snow or something close to it. in des moines, it feels like 21 below 0 with the windchill. for context, that's just 5 degrees warmer than the south pole right now. so freezing that, look at this guy, throws water into the air and it instantly turns to snow. all of this as the 2024 republican campaigns make one final push to win over caucus goers before they gather less than six hours from now. msnbc meteorologist bill karins has the latest forecast for us. bill, what does it looks like for tonight's caucus and all across the country? >> iowans are tough. they say this is no big deal. i think most of us would not be thrilled to be out in weather like this. the cold blast has been with us for three days. people have gotten used to it over the last couple of days. the weekend was frigid too. i plotted every temperature gauge in the state of iowa here, to show you the range that we have. these are the actually temperatures.

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Chris Jansing Reports

this later tonight will slide to the east coast and come to the northeast. areas we have been talking about with the snow drought, how it's been two years almost. d.c., baltimore, philly, and new york. the snow is on the way, snow hard in areas of northern mississippi, alabama, tennessee. virginia is starting to snow. tonight in the d.c. area breaks out. tomorrow morning when you wake up in new york, there should be 1 to 3 inches of snow out there. not a big ordeal. because everyone is going back to school and work, the morning commute could be dicey in the northeast. >> i walk, so i'll just make sure that i have my snow boots on. bill karins, thank you so much. it is so cold in iowa. i'm cold just watching people. i want to bring in david kochel, an iowa gop strategist who worked on six campaigns, include mitt romney and jeb bush. good to see you. i want to play for you what voters told our correspondents about the weather there. >> reporter: how cold would it

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NBC Nightly News With Lester Holt

>> reporter: the storm now roaring east. new york's governor even urging bills fans to avoid sunday's playoff game against pittsburgh. >> we're anticipating at least 18 inches of snow. it's just better if you stay home and tune in on television. it'll be safer for all of us. >> reporter: a plea for safety amid america's third severe winter system this week. >> and maggie joining us live from o'hare. maggie, how is the travel looking ahead into the weekend? >> reporter: yeah, so, lester, long story short, this whole mess could take a few days to work itself out. and in the meantime, with this storm still on the move, the faa is on alert saying they're working with airlines to monitor the storm's impact on flights through the weekend. lester. >> all right, maggie, thank you. the snow and bitter cold and high winds will stay bad through the weekend and bill karins is here and that radar is pretty concerning. >> good evening, lester. travel difficult to almost impossible in iowa, wisconsin and spreading quickly into areas of michigan, we're also are going

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NBC Nightly News With Lester Holt

this brazen attacks houthi fighters hijacked this cargo ship. of recent attacks, now at least 27 times targeting ships in that area. houthis saying this is retaliation for israel's war on hamas, and major shipping companies have announced they will >> courtney kube, thanks. another mayor new winter storm so intense it could soon qualify as a bomb cyclonacross the country. let's bring in bill karins now, who is tracking it all. billicans find themselves in the path of this. lester. we're only days ahead of the iowa caucus and most of the state is warning. also, winter storm warnings, omaha, chicago, milwaukee. that's where the storm is going to hit the hardesget over a foot of snow, especially southern wisconsin, northern portions othe northern half of michigan. and the winds are going to be howling up to 50 we're also going to get severe weather. hopefully not as many tornadoes with this sible, especially as we go throughout the south. over the next 24 hours. so be ready for that. also, the power could get knocked out with the wind. flood watch up along the i-95 corridor.

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Chris Jansing Reports

snow drift creating low visibility. chris. >> adrienne broaddus, stay warm out there. thank you. we are taking you from that blizzard in the midwest to a brand new report on global climate trends. nasa and noaa announcing 2023 was indeed the world's warmest year on record by far. the ten warmest years since 1850 have now all occurred in the past decade, and noaa's chief scientist says those findings are quote astounding. nbc news meteorologist bill karins is with me. how significant is this new report that 2023 was the warmest on record? >> all the climate scientists knew this was coming. this isn't just because of climate change, chris. this is also mostly because of el nino, how warm the waters were and everything else we have been dealing with. fast forward here. we have been talking about this for the last three to four months. it looked like this was going to be the top warmest year or

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Chris Jansing Reports

that day is weather. your wardrobe is climate. that's what you prepare for for the climate that you live in. even people in florida, chris, have pants. they don't wear them often. they have pants for when it occasionally does get cold. >> what does my wardrobe tell you. >> you're ready for winter, and you know where you live. >> cleveland browns. >> brown. >> that's going to be fun too, but that's in houston, it will be fun. >> it's going to be cold for them, not the browns but the texans. >> kansas city, miami, is going to be frigid. the buffalo game could be in the middle of a snowstorm. cleveland and houston, that's the place to be. >> bill karins, thank you so much. we appreciate it. stay warm this weekend yourself. 100 days of pain, confusion, torment and frustration for the families of hostages being held by hamas right now inside gaza as the war continues. today in israel, their loved

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