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Episode, shall we, with the national political reporter for real clear politics, caitlin huey burns, aka, chb. thank you for joining us. >> thank you. that is my nickname. >> what are you wondering about this weekend? what are the things you think, i wish i knew the answer to this? >> i want to know what's going to happen in pennsylvania and what's going to happen in florida. those are two states that donald trump is really targeting right now. when you look at the electoral map, we all know that he has to sweep the romney states, pick up all the necessary battlegrounds, and then flip, potenti...

Hillary to be our president, and i know that so bad that trump's the alternative. >> shaun you hear that and you hear someone who's struggling with voting with donald trump and you see all these allegations, one after another, and yet people still feel uncomfortable with the idea of voting for hillary clinton. do you think there's anything she can do to combat that? >> for me, presidential campaigns are about offering ideas and a vision for the country and that's what hillary clinton has done since she got into the presidential primary campaign back in april of 2015, and that's what she contin...

Forward? what do republicans do as they try to chip away? does anthony weiner thing impact her? >> i think you see it happening. the undercurrent of talking about her is about, you know, past scandals, is getting out of the shadow of her husband, is anthony weiner. she doesn't want all of that going on right now. i think republicans are pushing the inevitability because of the higher they are, the harder they fall. so she's the one they don't want to run against. they're going to promote her till she gets hacked off. then hopefully we'll end up with someone else. >> about time to cue the inevi...

Been. now, you mentioned your column visiting the bush campaign back in austin in 2000 when you met ted cruz for the first time and he was working there. as a long time -- let's call you a student of this man, where do you see his career taking him? is he the new leader of the republican party? >> well, no, i'm not necessarily sure that's what he's doing. he's just been elected, so he's got six years to play with here, and, look, he wants to see what direction things are headed in. i think what his main goal right now is to get noticed, get his name out there. that's why you see him putting on...

They don't break equally. they break heavily toward a challenger and it becomes a coin flip election. >> fred yang, this was the argument that many democratic pollsters said on the john kerry campaign back in 2004. >> i agree with bill. when you look through the data, it will be a very close election. as bill mentioned, some of the structural questions in the poll, right direction, wrong track, state of the economy, it's a tough environment for the president, for any incumbent. there is news in here that suggests maybe one reason why the president still maintains a lead is there are certain op...