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Breakfast

election results that cannot easily be explained away. you have had two losses in one night. 1991, when a governing party last two by—elections in a single night. the conservatives have lost three by—elections on the trot to the liberal democrats in strongholds, chesham and amersham, north shropshire, and now tiverton and honiton in devon. these are not easily explained away. last night we had the third biggest swing from the conservatives to the lib dems in history. and that comes off the back of a bigger swing we saw in december. what you also have to think about is that the partygate stuff, that is priced in. that damage has been exacting on the prime minister but the economy, and i suspect part of the results is as much about the economy, perhaps more

Losses , Election-results , Governing-party , Two , 1991 , One , Conservatives , By-elections , Liberal-democrats , Strongholds , Trot , North-shropshire

Breakfast

so than anything else. the economic story has barely begun and we will be looking at a summer potentially of unrest in terms of trade unions. in autumn, the energy price rises. which is why a lot of conservatives are weighing up their future and wondering whether if a seat like tiverton and honiton can go and chesham and amersham and north shropshire can go, and indeed wakefield to the labour party, what will happen to my seat? and in politics, that is often the primary force when making these calculations. abs, force when making these calculations.— force when making these calculations. ., ., ., , ., calculations. a treat to have yuan. thank you- — this is not a normal post by—election morning because of the resignation of oliver dowden. we will be getting reaction this morning. speaking to all the parties

Conservatives , Lot , Story , Unrest , Anything , Energy-price-rises , Terms-of-trade-unions , Autumn , In-wakefield , Seat , Ran-labour , Tiverton

BBC News

which _ has helped me develop a thick skin which i _ has helped me develop a thick skin which i hope will get me through today _ which i hope will get me through today it — which i hope will get me through today. it certainly helps that the last week's results. my right honourable friend the member for wrexham, — honourable friend the member for wrexham, ynys mon and i became the first three _ wrexham, ynys mon and i became the first three women to be elected to the conservative benches representing welsh constituencies. i'd representing welsh constituencies. i'd like _ representing welsh constituencies. i'd like to _ representing welsh constituencies. i'd like to think the three of us were _ i'd like to think the three of us were worth the 100 year weight. while _ were worth the 100 year weight. while we — were worth the 100 year weight. while we have some difficult questions to answer, and tended to meet _ questions to answer, and tended to meet on _ questions to answer, and tended to meet on the treatment of women in this place. — meet on the treatment of women in this place, it is imperative we do not put _ this place, it is imperative we do not put anyone off becoming a member of parliament. yes, the house of commons — of parliament. yes, the house of commons is a strange place to work and sometimes some people don't realise _ and sometimes some people don't realise they are part of the problem but despite that, here is a place where _ but despite that, here is a place where women achieve great things. it was a _ where women achieve great things. it was a woman who introduced the autism _ was a woman who introduced the autism act, — was a woman who introduced the autism act, the late and much missed across— autism act, the late and much missed across this _ autism act, the late and much missed across this house member for chesham and amersham. it was a woman who delivered _ and amersham. it was a woman who delivered the children's funeral

Member , Friend , Women , Skin , Which , Results , Wrexham , Ynys-mon , Three , Place , Us , Questions

HARDtalk-20211217-04:46:00

23,000 majority in a leave voting part of the country, people would expect the conservative party to retain. there is discussion in government around has there been a lot of focus — we were talking about this levelling off agenda, on the north, once labour held seats and other parts of england, and has that been at the cost and the detriment of the safer, more conservative seats. people in government would say no, we want to level up the whole country, however i am not sure that messages really cutting through. i think that probably needs to be looked at as well, and also being more consensual listening more, listening to backbench mp5, bringing them into the conversation, bringing them into the room. you hear time and time again that has just not been happening. there is no obvious policy response to this. it is different to chesham and amersham where hs

Government , People , Lot , Conservative-party , Majority , Country , Leave-voting-part , Discussion , Levelling , Focus , 23000 , Cost

HARDtalk-20211217-04:53:00

mrjohnson, this is not how you operate. too often this is all about you and never about us. instead of taking action to help shropshire's nhs, you spend time seeking questionable donations to refurbish your flat. instead of taking action to support shropshire's farmers, you spend your time misleading the nation on how you and your office partied during lockdown. tonight the people of north shropshire have said enough is enough. they have said that you are unfit to lead and that they want a change. i want to pay tribute tonight to my party leader, ed davey. ed, thanks to you, it is the liberal democrats who are opposing borisjohnson's government and winning. from chesham and amersham to north shropshire, you lead our campaigns from the front. i thank you personally for the support you have given me over the past few weeks, whether it is on oxford street or in market drayton, you have led the charge for change. finally, thank you most of all to the people of north shropshire,

Us , Shropshire , Action , Nhs , Flat , Donations , Mrjohnson , People , Change , North-shropshire , Office , Ed-davey

BBC World News-20211217-05:16:00

others. so that sense that the liberal democrats were a sort of safe receptacle for a protest vote had evaporated. i think chesham and amersham and north shropshire suggest that in some parts of the country they can be that receptacle. i am going to have to leave it there for the moment. the liberal democrat _ there for the moment. iie: liberal democrat constitution, if you like. liberal democrat constitution, if you like-— if you like. polly, i am going to have to — if you like. polly, i am going to have to interrupt - if you like. polly, i am going to have to interrupt you i if you like. polly, i am going to have to interrupt you for. to have to interrupt you for the moment. thank you for your contribution. plenty more available on the website on this story. an historic moment happening in north shropshire. the party, the conservative party losing for the first time in 200 years. stay with us on bbc news. still to come: has the giant finally gone to sleep? scientists say the volcanic eruption in the canary islands could be over by christmas.

North-shropshire , Country , Sort , Liberal-democrat-party , Parts , Protest-vote , Receptacle , Others , Safe-receptacle , Chesham-and-amersham , Sense , Polly-mackenzie

BBC News-20211217-15:07:00

they only got 10% of the vote in 2019 — to first in 2021 with nearly 50%. they did it by direct transference to the lib dems from the conservatives — whose vote was down some 25 points or so from 2019 and from the labour party. labour were in second in 2019 — had 22% of the vote. but there's big transference in 2021. labour voters deciding the lib dems had the best chance of winning, and they were right. we saw a similar thing in chesham and amersham—another tory safe seat, different part of the country, in buckinghamshire but massive tactical voting against the conservatives. long talked about, it's now actually happening. that translated to a swing of 3a%. it's basically coming off the swingometer — lib dems needed 26%, it's way past that. it's the seventh biggest by—election swing in our modern history, reminiscent of some of those huge anti—tory swings we saw in the 1990s.

Conservatives , Vote , Dems , Transference , 10- , 2021 , 2019 , 50 , 10 , Conservative-party , Labour , Points

BBC News-20211217-15:08:00

and that's what will worry a slew of conservative mps in the south of england, in particular where the lib dems are in second place — seats like wimbledon, seats like lewes — 91 of them mainly against the conservatives, with much smaller majorities than shropshire. this is one that stands out — esher and walton, the seat of the deputy pm and justice secretary, dominic raab. the tories haven't had to seriously worry about the lib dems since they ingested them and spat them out again after the coalition — a revival changes the complexion of our electoral politics. so let's neither overstate nor understate. this is a sensational result, but it's also a by—election, they can light up the electoral sky, then fizzle and mean little. but what it does mean, when taken together with chesham and amersham, the lib dems threaten

Conservatives , Liberal-democrats , England , Mps , South , Seats , Slew , Wimbledon , Lewes , 91 , 1990 , North-shropshire

BBC News-20211217-09:17:00

out again after the coalition— a revival changes the complexion of our electoral politics. so let's neither overstate nor understate. this is a sensational result, but it's also a by election, they can light up the electoral sky then fizzle and mean little. but what it does mean, is taken together with chesham and amersham the lib dems threaten to be back as a force and that borisjohnson, who has for so long looked invulnerable, to whom nothing would stick, is no longer so and that will change what he can do and his power over his party. thank you very much. the welsh government is to bring back tighter covid restrictions just after christmas , including the closure of all nightclubs, in an effort to slow the spread of the 0micron variant. meanwhile, the chancellor, rishi sunak, has cut short a trip to the united states to hold crisis talks with business leaders whose industries have been hit by cancellations because of the virus. leboo diseko reports. a smaller christmas is a safer christmas — the message today from

Result , Politics , Election , Complexion , Revival , Understate , Sky , Liberal-democrats , Borisjohnson , Chesham-and-amersham , Force , Little

BBC News-20211217-09:15:00

that liberal democrat, helen morgan, overcame a conservative majority of 23,000— mammoth. this is how she did it— lib dems, leapfrogging from 3rd— they only got 10% of the vote in 2019— to first in 2021 with nearly 50%. and they did it by direct transference to the lib dems from the conservatives — whose vote was down some 25 points or so from 2019 and from the labour party. labour were in second in 2019— had 22% of the vote but there's big transference in 2021, labour voters deciding the lds had the best chance of winning and they were right. turnout was way down. we saw a similar thing in chesham and amersham—another tory safe seat, different part of the country, in buckinghamshire but massive tactical voting against the conservatives. long talked about it's now actually happening. and that translated to a swing of 34%.

Helen-morgan , Majority , Vote , Liberal-democrats , Liberal-democrat , 10- , Leapfrogging-from-3rd , 2019 , 23000 , 2021 , 50 , 3