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Own. the question i have, i think the conservative vote will be somewhere between 30%, 35%, are gingrich and santorum sort of splitting that in half? well, then they'll both be in the teens. does one pick up more momentum, more steam in the end over the other and get that person into the 20%, 25% range? we'll see. >> the independent. >> paul has been the one that's been doing much better with independents and huntsman. and if huntsman's going to get any sort of surge out of here, he needs to overtake paul in order to sneak into second. >> i just talked to some people yesterday who had watched ...

Does that make new hampshire where romney is a strong favorite? does that close the deal for him? is this a different year? >> i think it closes the deal for him. this is definitely a different year. but mitt romney is going to be the nominee. he is the only candidate that i believe can defeat barack obama. >> sean: that i disagree with. this is the first time we disagreed. >> it is. but when you look at if the fact that conservatives are happy with him? no. but who decides who the next republican will be this it's not the republicans or democrats. it's independents. >> sean: we talked about t...

Top in new hampshire. does that make new hampshire where romney is a strong favorite? does that close the deal for him? is this a different year? >> i think it closes the deal for him. this is definitely a different year. but mitt romney is going to be the nominee. he is the only candidate that i believe can defeat barack obama. >> sean: that i disagree with. this is the first time we disagreed. >> it is. but when you look at if the fact that conservatives are happy with him? no. but who decides who the next republican will be this it's not the republicans or democrats. it's independents. >> s...

Does that make new hampshire where romney is a strong favorite? does that close the deal for him? is this a different year? >> i think it closes the deal for him. this is definitely a different year. but mitt romney is going to be the nominee. he is the only candidate that i believe can defeat barack obama. >> sean: that i disagree with. this is the first time we disagreed. >> it is. but when you look at if the fact that conservatives are happy with him? no. but who decides who the next republican will be this it's not the republicans or democrats. it's independents. >> sean: we talked about t...

Gingrich. it's not because he was running around in a sweater vest, sweater pants, sweater socks. >> don't forget that herman cain dropped out a couple of weeks ago and by the way, 41% are undecided. in 2008, 60% of iowa caucus goers at least identified themselves as evangelistic in nature and if it's not going to newt gingrich, don't count anyone out. santorum, okay, one poll. the des moines register gives santorum a surge and all of a sudden santorum is in third? i'm not necessarily buying it. it can be any of the other ones. sleeper candidate, might be rick perry. >> anyone wants to beat me...