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Doing what i have tried to do in the past which is be a transparent aggregator of polling data. >> do you now reconsider your view as to this issue of a hidden trump vote? >> well, i think there's a very important point here which is still the same, and even though i was wrong about the outcome, it is very much the case that voters are polarized. hillary clinton's vote came in a little bit above her polls and donald trump came in about 3 or 4 points ahead of his polls. if you look at the data, there's some undecided voters. if you look closely, the cross tabs and the details of the polls, they...

I'm not saying it is impossible for donald trump to win nevada, but there is nothing showing he is doing well here. there is a couple of red flags that show him up six. one is he has a one-point lead in clark county which is las vegas. there are 142,000 more registered democrats than republicans. that is not happening in clark county. the presidential candidates on the republican side do not win clark county except under unusual circumstances. there is no data that backs that up. the other and you knowledge this, the critical demographic to watch is hispanic turn out. they didn't survey enough...

When he has gone above republican women and independent women have come onboard and then he loses them. he lost them after the democratic convention and he lost them starting at the first debate which overlapped with the billy bush tape. the question is if these women will come onboard team trump. at this point they're off team trump and hard to imagine what might happen over the next 15 days. >> more and more the number that really has stuck out is his overall. he hasn't been able to get over that 40%. there have been different moves in those, you know, in those interior cross tabs whether yo...

Republican husbands and said what is the deal, how could you support donald trump or at least how can you continue to say that these comments that he makes about women don't really matter. there's that frustration here. so i guess i'm wondering after the election, will republican women continue to revolt, because they feel their male counterparts just don't get them. >> when you look at the polling, certainly in states that are very evenly divided that could go either way but are certainly now trending towards -- away from donald trump towards hillary clinton, like nevada, for example, nevada ...

28 days before past elections, has there ever been a candidate who's made it back from that kind of deficit? >> i don't think so. in fact, what we're seeing right now is obviously she's going in the right direction, he's going in the wrong direction. if you look at those numbers, 35%, i don't think we've ever seen him drop that low. he usually hovers around 40%, 41%, which means after that tape, assuming that poll captured it correctly, that not only, you know -- not only did he not gain any support, obviously, but he lost core support. that's critical right now. he needed to build on. now he'...