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Have a lot of people, everybody here knows that she's 100% guilty. >> that was donald trump just moments ago. back with our panel. i want to bring up the story from the "wall street journal" because a lot of republicans are pointing to it, ties a contribution from a pac of a close clinton ally, virginia governor terry mcauliffe, to the wife of the guy at the fbi who ended up being in charge of the investigation into the clinton e-mail server. basically implying there was a quid pro quo. >> right. >> how damaging do you think that is? because it certainly fits into the narrative you guys want o...

Numbers show a tighter national race than other national polls but still a lead for secretary clinton heading into the stretch. let's pop up the numbers. 49%-44% among likely vote us in our new cnn/orc poll. abc poll over the weekend had it at 12. we visit at five. the trump campaign will be encouraged by that, but 49%-44%. the third party candidate dropping a bit as we get closer to election day. that's fairly typical. five-point advantage among likely voters in our national poll. let's look at some of the reasons why. one, the gender question always prominent in this race. these numbers make...

Kellyanne conway, his campaign manager, said on "meet the press" yesterday, we are running behind, but then earlier today, anderson, on cnn, jason miller, the senior communications adviser, said oh, no, no, kellyanne conway was talks about fund-raising but anderson, if you go back to the transcript from "meet the press" she was asked about how they're doing in the polls and she acknowledged as is the case right now that day are running behind. i have to point out right now, anderson we've been seeing this at on a routine basis at the donald trump rallies, he's been ramping up the rhetoric agai...

And he used that argument again tonight here in tampa. >> and trump may be saying he's winning but his campaign manager this weekend did seem to acknowledge trump was behind, didn't she? >> reporter: that's right, earlier today donald trump was saying that he was winning, but kellyanne conway, his campaign manager, said on "meet the press" yesterday, we are running behind, but then earlier today, anderson, on cnn, jason miller, the senior communications adviser, said oh, no, no, kellyanne conway was talking about fund-raising but anderson, if you go back to the transcript from "meet the press"...

Even if trump wins all the states that cnn currently has as tossups, he still comes up short of 270. so i mean, you're looking -- you say you're looking at early -- >> right, no. if you take florida, ohio, nevada, iowa, north carolina, and then add in new hampshire and maine, too, areas we're doing well in, that gets us over the 270 mark. >> i think new hampshire, though, i think even maine in real clear politics, a poll of polls, shows clinton in the lead. and also in florida. >> again, some of these places, there's not one of those states that's not in the margin of error. we feel good about...