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Anderson Cooper 360

outside the room. that correct? >> that is correct. we always have at least two observers in the room at any time. and we've had multiple observers, some that were not inside the room, but both parties here all week. >> you guys are doing an impressive job indeed. thank you very, very much. and john, you've got the new numbers. i just want to make sure you report and give us your analysis. >> so you get the new numbers. pima county is a democratic county. there should be no shock the democrat is getting more votes. as you get into the batches, i'm going to come out here, make sure this is off. the statewide totals now over here. so senator kelly is, this is katie hobbs. this is the governor's race. katie hobbs is getting 51% if you round that up. 49% for kari lake. for hobbs you need to stay above 50 you. win if you stay above 50. the new votes come in, she is getting 65%. you're not only meeting your bar, she is about 49 or 50% to keep that lead. so you want to get 50% any time

Some , Observers , Parties , Room , Two , Numbers , Democratic-county , Pima-county , U-s- , John , Job , Guys

Anderson Cooper 360

past 15 or so years i've been doing this is how angry and disillusioned everybody seems to be on all sides of the aisle. what i take from that is people don't really want to have to worry about whether the government is functioning on a basic level. they don't want to have to be stressed out about it all the time. >> i found that too. but usually that anger and that disillusionment is taken out on -- pick your democrat -- because that's the weapon that they have. and it didn't happen. as much. it happened some. >> a little bit. >> the reality is that republicans were running against the economy but not really running on anything as it relates to the economy. i mean, given all the different factors that could have played into this, you have to imagine when voters are deciding, okay, do we really think that they're going to do something about it? they didn't actually present a plan. and to this day, i don't think we know really what the plan would have been or would be to

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Anderson Cooper 360

the democrat is winning in a democratic county. not breaking news. but the democrat is winning, getting 69%. so that's what you're look for. you get a batch of votes from this county, batch of votes from another county. that's what matters in the end. i'm going come out and turn this off so it moves. you'll see the raw numbers in the race. this is the statewide numbers. when you get new votes like this, mark kelly's lead is above 100,000. it was 87,000 earlier. it is now above 100,000. now we have tens and tens of thousands more votes to count. so we're not there yet. but that's what you want, right? we're at 76%. nearing 80% of the estimated vote. what you want in this situation, you get an installment of votes, it could be hours, a day before you get the next one. you're hoping you see more votes and the percentage in the new votes that is higher than your statewide total. that's gold. you're at 51 and winning, when the new votes come in, can you stay above 51? if that continues, he gets a second term as senator from

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Anderson Cooper 360

roughly half of that outstanding vote in order to overtake katie hobbs and secure a victory here. katie hobbs' range is really similar. 49 to 51% is what she needs to achieve in what is left to be counted. she needs that kind of haul, roughly half of the votes in order to maintain her lead and secure a victory, wolf. >> very interesting indeed, john. let's talk a little bit about this governor's race. katie hobbs the democrat, kari lake the republican. katie hobbs is ahead. she is ahead right now 56.6% to 49.4%. 76% of the estimated vote is now in. >> and so we're going to go through the same exercise in two counties. now two different counties in arizona. those interest numbers. these numbers i'm about to show you and the smaller numbers are included in this total. i want to show you to the point david chalian was making about trajectory, the percentage you need to catch up or the percentage you need to keep your lead. katie hobbs is a 22,740.

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Anderson Cooper 360

>> hey, dana. so what we have done here is sort of go battleground state by battleground state to look at how candidates did, specifically democratic candidates among voters who told us they somewhat disapprove of joe biden's job performance. so just think about this. these are people who say i somewhat disapprove of joe biden's job performance. 51% of them vote for fetterman. 42% for oz. look at new hampshire. you'll see even a greater disparity. 72% of these somewhat disaprovers of joe biden actually voted for maggie hassan, the democrat. only 25% of them for don bolduc. in nevada, which obviously is a much close erase, and one that we haven't called yet, and you see it here too. so among that crowd of somewhat disapprove of joe biden, 47% still go with the democrat catherine cortez masto. 44% of them go with adam laxalt.

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Anderson Cooper 360

polarized that these independent voters actually become very important because the democrat gets 96% of the democratic vote. the republican gets 95%. >> if will is one person who i hope is hearing this it's kevin mccarthy, who may be overseeing one of the slimmest majorities in recent republican house history. it's not a mandate for wild conspiracies, for bringing everything to a screechling halt to investigate people and to subpoena everyone from the biden administration. due legitimate oversight, that is absolutely the role of congress. but this is mandate for working across the aisle, getting things done and taking the temperature down. >> you won't get there without making concessions to do those things. >> explain why that is. >> right now. >> it's math. >> it's math. right now he going around meeting with different folks if you want my vote, here is what i would like. i wantimpeach. he doesn't have many votes to not get.

Republicans , Democrat-benson , It , Vote , Democratic-county , Voters , Kevin-mccarthy , Person , Will , 96 , One , 95

Anderson Cooper 360

dormant calling the 2020 election fake. in new mexico, incumbent secretary of state defeated republican audrey trujillo who publicly questioned president biden's 2020 win. we're also following two major secretary of state races that we have not yet called in arizona. we're awaiting new vote numbers. the race between the republican mark finchem and democrat adid font. he is a self-proclaimed member of the oath keepers. in nevada we're following the still undecided between republican jim marchant and aguilar. marchant denies that president biden legitimately won the 2020 election and claims that stop congressional democrats have been installed by what he calls the deep state cabal. there you go. finchem and marchant in their own words. >> ladies and gentlemen, we know it, and they know it.

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Anderson Cooper 360

arizona. compare the new to the existing, and if you're blake masters, 46, that doesn't do it for you. this is just one small installment from one county. so no reason for panic in the masters campaign. but if this continues, then there would be, wolf. >> certainly would be. mark kelly still ahead. let's go to david chalian. i know you're looking so, so closely right now at the governor's race in arizona. >> yeah, which is a different picture, because of where the race is right now. obviously kari lake the republican and katie hobbs the democrat are locked in a much closer battle than we see between the two candidates in the senate race. our approximation of how much vote is outstanding in arizona is the same. 665,000 votes we estimate are still out there and uncounted. so hundreds of thousands of votes to still count in the state. but look at this. this is so interesting because it's a close race. kari lake is running a little behind right now, but in this estimate, in this range, kari lake needs between 49 and 51%,

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Anderson Cooper 360

open primary system. so we know a democrat will win. cnn can project that in california. democrats will win. a california state senator will defeat democrat jan perry, a former los angeles city council woman. also in california's 15th and 34th congressional districts, we can also say a democrat will win. we don't know yet which one. this means we can move three morehouse seats over to democrats, bringing the balance of power to 195 democrats right now and 209 republicans. so let's take a look at the state of play where things stand right now on this election night in america continued. right now democrats must win 21 competitive seats to maintain their majority in the house. republicans must win seven competitive seats to win their majority in the u.s. house of representatives. let's go over to john king right now, who is watching all of this. so, so closely. so we haven't projected the

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Anderson Cooper 360

it doesn't mean it will happen. but okay, i see how that would work and it would be hard for any republican to disagree it is possible. these four fully transparent is a reach. these are a reach. why? because republicans are leading in them right now. this includes the lauren boebert district here in western colorado. she is ahead by 1136 votes. they're not done counting here. it's possible the democrat can win this race. that's why we say it is possible. but it would be a reach. one more i just want to show you one more of these. let's bring this back out here and come out to central california. this name might be known to you when i come into this district here. this is david ball valadao's district. david valadao, you see him here, he is ahead by 3386. but there are a lot of votes to count out here. this district was carried by joe biden by 13 points. so that's why we put it on this list. it is possible, reasonable california does mail-in ballots. this district has swung back and forth. the vote count has swung back and forth in this drib as we watched. will the democrat win? we don't know that.

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