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Probably a big republican year. >> tea party candidates to me suggests that the republicans are not necessarily dominating the candidates who have the strongest chance against the democrats. >> jim: okay. more and more information coming in about the likely outcome of november's elections. of course, unforeseen events can always change things but right now let's look at larry sabato's prediction for the fall elections. he says that -- predicts, rather, a net gain of 47 seats for the republicans in the house. which would give them a majority. eight to nine in the senate, putting one seat short ...

>> that is from an analysis of seat-by-seat, state-by-state. i think the number that sort of explains it overall is what is called the generic ballot, where you ask someone if you vote republican or democr democratic in november? it's at the largest spread, 10-point republican lead in the 68 years of gallup will, which means it's, at a time when reagan was a democrat. this is a very long time. this is totally unprecedented. and that portends a wave election. that's like johnson in '64. like reagan in '80. gingrich in the mid-'90s. curiously, every 15 years or so. if that number holds, that gen...

Million people in the united states who get assistance is $26,000 a year. now, there's only really, you know, 20 or 30 million people in america who pay any significant taxes. so, in fact, we're very much like greece. because in greece, they literally 5% of the people pay all the taxes. the rest of greece is black market money for that. in fact, we're not kidding here. we are very much like greece when it comes to the people who get the benefits, versus the people who pay the welfare and benefit. >> brenda: almost every state is cutting benefits. >> they still have another $170 billion on the ...

Tomorrow should be super tuesday, which should be super interesting, because of each state contest this year. i don't know if it has anything to do with the fact the states have been screwed up and so many results have been in question and a lot of these places nobody really knows who won or whether it meant anything they did win. but the biggest republican organizational problem with their nominating process may not be what happened state-by-state, to let people vote or count the votes or decide what they mean. the big picture organizational problem may not be the individual failure in all th...