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Are most likely to turn out in this election. you can expect a big night for the republicans. as we look at these races individually, i think you get a different picture. the picture is contrary to what i'm hearing from my colleagues on this panel. the tea party did get squashed. you said balanced. it was that race in nebraska. other than that -- >> juan, i'm from georgia. jack kingston, who is in the run-off, has a 97% rating from the american conservative union. >> that hasn't mattered to tea party people in the past. they've seen him as an establishment conservative. >> you cannot cast this...

A big night for the republicans. i will say this, that as we look at these races individually, i think you get a different picture and the picture is contrary to what i'm hearing from my colleagues on this panel that the tea party really did get squashed. i mean the only tea party victory you can talk about -- >> you said balanced. >> it was that race in nebraska. >> wait a minute. >> the tea party has been crushed by the establishment republicans tonight. >> jack kingston who is in the runoff has a 97% approval, rating from the american conservative. >> that hasn't mattered from tea party peo...

Optimistic about the odds. >> i don't think romney is going to do nearly as well this year as did he last four years ago. >> according to political science professor, the candidates are vying for three wings of the party in nevada. establishment conservative, which could go romney's way, the hard core conservative base has yet to embrace him. there is the libertarian, individualistic voters who may gravitate to paul. and tea party conservatives, who could split a number of ways. and then there are the mormons. >> mormons are about 11% of the population, but in a republican primary, they may be...

Optimistic about the odds. >> i don't think romney is going to do nearly as well this year as did he last four years ago. >> according to political science professor, the candidates are vying for three wings of the party in nevada. establishment conservative, which could go romney's way, the hard core conservative base has yet to embrace him. there is the libertarian, individualistic voters who may gravitate to paul. and tea party conservatives, who could split a number of ways. and then there are the mormons. >> mormons are about 11% of the population, but in a republican primary, they may be...

And romney now. a couple of polls romney has increased his position and gingrich is losing steam in all of the polls. why is gingrich losing some steam, juan? >> not only the des moines register. can you go on and on in terms of really the establishment conservative assault on gingrich the last few days. it's been a tsunami. it's been unbelievable. and i think some of that is breaking through. especially on the point of who beat obama. that's the bottom line for most republicans in the country and been very clear to people and especially here in washington. that they think newt gingrich would ...