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High degree of confidence that putin has decided on large scale invasion. if you look at map and draw a lien from kyiv down to odessa and everything east of there, there is a high degree of confidence that is what putin will focus on right now. that is about half of the eastern half of the country for now. that is a large-scale invasion, in and of itself. it is more than 50% of ukraine's military forces are in there, a large part of the population and kyiv is the capital city. there's the intelligence, military analysis and assessments from the united states and many allies is he has decided a...

Straight down to odessa and then to belarus, everything east of there, the assumption is that in this initial phase or tranche of this military campaign, that that would be the target area. so, right now russia, you mentioned there somewhere in the neighborhood of 150 to 190,000 troops all around that area, primarily around what we are looking at the map here, kharkiv, the eastern side of the two breakaway areas, all the way down to the southern part. then, there's also a large grouping of russian troops in the north. there's a little town called clancy that is just north of the other side of ...

He eve not detour and we've had the time to have the allies respond and the response m. is unrolling as it has opinion for weeks. >> who are you hearing on your end. >> so there's still a feeling that there's not an if but a when for an invague. the overwhelming propondrance of opinion and evidence continues to point to that being a large-scale invasion. what does that mean? this does not necessarily mean there's going to be russian troops storming across the border in all parts of ukraine, but there is a very real sense and concern that the large -- if you -- if you literally draw a line from...

Correspondents are is an area that's relatively safe. there have been air raid sirens but no attacks in that particular area. so what we could see -- >> let's do it on this map so people can see. >> this area right here, john, this is the dnipro river. one of the possible russian scenarios is that they take everything east of here, so that would include of course the donbas region plus everything up through kyiv. it is possible that they'll move a little bit further west to here, but that is a natural dividing line right there. >> and this is cynical. i just want to bring up these evacuation c...

Legitimately a strategy that looks like half a loaf. everything east of the dnieper river and vicinity of donbas is what the russians always wanted to try to achieve. so more of the same, really, is -- they're not going to adjust the conditions on the ground. the tactics they've used to date which is long-range fire, young weapons systems -- that's what they've been able to do. so now they're in a -- they had an incredible problem with their logistics. they're moving units off the line to resupply them which is illogical. you don't do that. you push logistics forward. you don't move them away ...