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Once had been predicted a couple days ago. what is the likelihood and what is going to cause whether or not this is a storm surge of two feet or eight feet. >> right. so let's talk about the first things first. so there could be a little bit of reintensification. it's going through an eye wall replacement, i think. we'll have to talk about that. that's to be determined. i think there was land error action, friction. there's a little bit more wind sheer. i think at this point it's going to stay steady in terms of the strength, in terms of the winds. we've seen it decrease with every single advi...

Other than they go through eye wall replacement cycles where the center of the storm collapses in on itself and a new eye comes. in every time that happens for a little bit the wind speed goes down. so when it gets close to shore it would be good if it goes through one of those and a bit of a weakening phase at least temporarily so. moving off toward the west-northwest. they are still not in agreement especially on the timing of this, about when it is going to make this right-hand turn. what both of the latest model run does is make that right-hand turn before it gets to the florida coast line...

Think about the cone, still over florida, two thirds of the time we can see the center in that cone. a little bit of a movement off to the south you can see the center closer to the coastline. >> has it gone through its eye wall replacement and weaken or no? >> we've seen it, we are trying to get the doppler radar. you start seeing some signs of it and it goes away. a lot of times that could indicate not only the intensity, but the size of the storm. we do expect the wind field to expand. >> it's a tight storm as far as monster storms go, it is expected to widen as far as the wind field. thank...

Our chief meteorologist rick reichmuth tracking the storm. t weaken a storm is dry air gets in there. that does happen and it's hard to forecast. that could be one thing. if that did happen, it might inhibit some of the strengthening. the official forecast at the national hurricane center center right now is for that category four. the other thing that could happen is fluctuation in that strength that happens once you get the strong storms. they go through eye wall replacement cycles and that can make the sustained wind fluctuate 20 to 30 miles an hour. we could be on one of the down sides whe...

And it is incredibly dangerous as well when the trees fall on the houses and damage the houses and people get hurt that way, too. >> director, is there anything at this point that could slow this storm down, that could reduce the power of the storm before it makes land fall? >> you know, sometimes i have seen, you know, cases where they slow up a little bit towards land. but we got to focus continuously on the impacts. even if you have an eye wall replacement, usually what happens is you will have an expansion of that wind field when that happens. that will throw more storm surge into these ar...