"Short-term modeling of carbon price based on fuel and energy determina" by Katarzyna Rudnik, Anna Hnydiuk-Stefan et al.
Accurate price forecasts on the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) market are of interest to many production and investment entities. The article presents a new approach, which models the most significant determinants by the use of a rule-based model containing facts written in the form of ordered fuzzy numbers, as the description of trends of imprecise values of prices. This approach allows for a qualitative analysis of potential values and directions of EU allowance (EUA) price changes and their trends along with the probability of their occurrence in the future. Article presen...