Page 9 - First Midterm News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Back now with "end game." i want to put up a simple chart which is presidential approval and number of seats lost in a midterm. first midterm. we have donald trump's rating, 46%. we don't know how many seats his party will lose. check out barack obama. his approval rating, 47%. 63 seats were lost. bill clinton, 48%, 54 seats. hugh hewitt, 46%. i have some republicans going, well, hey, that's survivable, but if you look historically, and i think one of the things we failed to do in '16 was remember history was working against clinton. third term is difficult here. history says this could be a d...

Back now with "end game." i want to put up a simple chart which is presidential approval and number of seats lost in a midterm. first midterm. we have donald trump's rating, 46%. we don't know how many seats his party will lose. check out barack obama. his approval rating, 47%. 63 seats were lost. bill clinton, 48%, 54 seats. hugh hewitt, 46%. i have some republicans going, well, hey, that's survivable, but if you look historically, and i think one of the things we failed to do in '16 was remember history was working against clinton. third term is difficult here. history says this could be a d...

It's the latter. we'll see what the final result is. but even a final result where democrats lose is still not going to ease the concerns republicans have and know about this fall. they're facing big head winds. historically that is true for the party in power in the president's first midterm, but obviously because of trump's polarizing effect and upside down approval ratings, that's having a bigger impact for republicans. >> what signs do we get specifically from this district? it's a more educated district. i know we're looking at suburban white women to see where they go. >> that's a key vo...

So what could be behind this? one possibility, simple. it's the economy. it's the economy, stupid. remember when the democrats said that in '92. seems to be in pretty good shape right now and trump's approval on the economy up over 50% right now. that's up from a few months ago. we just talked about north korea. a lot of suspense there. but until the developments in the last day or two, things seemed to be heading in a potentially positive direction. trump's approval rating was up to 53% on north korea. that's a 20-point jump from where it was at the end of last year. maybe that was driving it...

Obama was president. first midterm. at this same point in 2010, you took that generic ballot, democrats were ahead. they were up on average in the generic ballot. they had good news they were pointing to. the democrats were saying there's not going to be a republican wave. then look at what happened in the end. republicans gained 63 seats, one of the most catastrophic midterm elections a white house party has had. that really didn't take off that republican advantage in the generic in 2010 didn't really take off until july, august, or there. we look at it right now and we say maybe something b...