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>> it's all about northern virginia. one of the things i like about virginia this cycle is you have tim kaine running for senate for the democrats. he was a key obama messenger. what i'm looking for on the night of november 6th is if a guy like tim kaine can win, it probably means that obama is doing well and has a really good shot. if his key messenger in a state like virginia that rejected democrats over the past couple of years then comes around to governor kaine. >> is it wrong to stereotype nevada as latino turnout obama wins, mormons turn out, romney wins. >> i think mormons turn out no ...

Of numbers and can get the 67% of the vote he got in 2008, that's great for him -- if he gets that turnout but i think that's a very, very real question. >> on the topic of lat nose, arizona, which has been trending as a gop state for a long time, some polls have it close between obama and romney. cot latino vote make an impact there? >> i think the latino vote could make an impact there and in other states. but as charlie said, the issue with that demographic has always been turnout. they've always turned out in much smaller numbers than are available. in some sense, the way we've looked at y...