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And that's best picture. and we have been -- we were originally told that this is "lincoln's" year. and then in more recently it's "argo." there's a two-way race there. i'm heari ining lately and i th ebert said there's a flurry of buzz of "silver linings playbook." we see this with two heavyweights duking it out and maybe a third one to sneak up and win. what do you think are the odds for "silver lining's play book" of a smart long shot on sunday night? >> thank you for having me back on. i can confirm my first name is pat. there you go. outside of that, yeah, we have seen a bit of a tricklin...

Models are assuming, president obama will win this election. if they don't, it's going to be a tough night. >> i want to show everybody this. chuck todd asked the obama campaign about the president's midwest fire wall this morning on "the daily rundown." this is her answer. >> is your fire wall going to hold? >> yeah. it is going to hold. we feel good about where we are. we're ahead in all of these states. there's no clear pathway for mitt romney. i don't think they can point to a clear pathway. >> alice, i'm sure you heard mark on "morning joe" saying some republicans are telling him that the...