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Blackburn is ahead in the polls. if they only won tennessee in the toss-ups, 50/50. the vice-president would break the tie. yes, it's possible for the democrats, but this is a very tough hill to climb. and there is a reason for that. let's take a look at the numbers here. if you look at the big senate battle ground states, statewide contests, not local house races, the president's numbers are actually going up. in arizona, nevada, florida, tennessee. these aren't great. the approval rating under 50. in tennessee not great, but better than the national average. look, late in the campaign, the p...

On the flipside that closing argument i think will hurt republicans in the house and the president has made that cognition and we will see what happens there but the one thing we have not talked a lot about is governor races. 2020 redistricting and there will be probably anywhere from five-ten democratic pickups in the races crucial when you talk about what the house map will look like after the next election. that is really important and democrats have a lot of places they are supposed to pick up seats s. martha: thank you, everybody. bret: that is true. historic levels of enthusiasm from vot...

Calculation and we will see what happened there. the one thing we haven't talked a lot about his governors races, 2020 redistricting, there are going to be probably anywhere from 5 - 10 democratic pickups in these governor races, crucial when you talk about what the house map will look like after the next election. that's really important. democrats have a lot of places to pick up seats. >> thank you. that's true. >> historic levels of enthusiasm from voters ahead of the high stake midterm. one of the top issues driving people to the poll? that's next (bright electronic music)

Polls mean nothing, just like in a presidential year. they tell you a little bit, but you have to put them on an individual place on the map. the president has been everywhere. eight rallies, he did at least four interviews. he brought up some new proposals a couple of weeks ago, it was a new tax cut. this week, more border troops curtailing asylum, ending birthright citizenship. look, midterm elections are always a referendum on the president. some presidents sort of zgo int the shadows. this president has the decided, if it's about me, let's make it about me. >> he absolutely has done that. ...

>> it was don't blame me when you guys lose or when the house that is the same party as i am loses. the buck stops many other places than with me. and i can expect you will see that several times over the next couple days. the president is aware that the house map is not good for them. the senate map looks better. it looks like it could net at least two. we don't know. it is a volatile situation with all of these districts and states. but when you are working -- paul ryan made that statement as he was campaigning for an embattled house candidate. that is what paul ryan is doing. what the presi...