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All that, i'm making bets, i think trump's going down. >> walk us through your bet. on election night, which chips do you expect to see falling on the east coast? do you think in the early closings we'll see florida go for hillary clinton? >> i actually believe hillary is going to carry florida. i could be wrong, but even if trump wins ohio where he's a little stronger than florida and loses florida, let's give him both. and even if he were to win north carolina which has more republican proclivities, he still has to make it up other places i don't think he can. i don't think he's going to pol...

The inside strait. and i think hillary clinton's going to win nevada. i know florida pretty well, and i won't have to see a lot of returns to make a pretty informed guesstimate on that state. i think some of that election night drama will be less than people are expecting right now. >> what do you make of the survey that's come out of the early voting in florida that shows a very large crossover of republicans, 28% of republicans in the early vote going to hillary clinton? >> my guess is that number's a little high, but i think the point it makes is true. the parties always do this. more repub...