Page 2 - Intensity Forecasting News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Just don't know which way it's going to turn out yet. depends on the details of this track. >> how can you explain to folks how it is that you are able to collect the data you need and model it to get ever more accurate predictions of f the storm track? >> welsh that's the wonders of science. in the past 25 to 30 years, the advances in meteorology. only a third of what they were 30 years ago in terms of the error and track. so much smaller and we're making progress on intensity forecasting as well. >> one of the things that forecasters have been saying is that it will likely regenerate up to a...

Considering it's five days out. it still looks like florida will have to deal with isaac as we go throughout sunday night, monday and all day tuesday. let me give you a closer view now of the end of the forecast cone. remember, the cone of uncertainty is the storm could be anywhere in the yellow. that's like the margin of error. the center line the most likely predicted path of right now. the hurricane center thinks possibly a category 1 storm. i still think the high end would be probably a cat 2 low end a tropical storm. and they're kind of hedging it in the middle there. it looks like it wou...

Outs so there is the cone of uncertainty, a large margin of error five days out and it makes up all of the computer models, some, again, are best at forecasting long-range forecasts and some are better in intensity forecasting, and some are better at the track, so we take all of those interest account with the cone of uncertainty, and i want to show you a more reliable models in terms of forecasting long-range, and take a look at the possibility for tropical storm hurricane coming very close to bermuda, but, again, five days out a lost uncertainty so the sentence is not exact just yet. >>shepa...