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Liquidity Dries Up and Small-Caps Are Slammed


Liquidity Dries Up and Small-Caps Are Slammed
There is some very ugly action under the surface.
Apr 12, 2021 | 10:55 AM EDT
The S&P 500 and DJIA are down slightly this morning, but they are covering up some very ugly action under the surface. Many stocks have been bidless recently, and groups like biotechnology and cannabis are in full-fledged bear markets.
What the indices are not reflecting is the number of stocks that are taking very hard hits. Thirty minutes after the open, there were about 30 stocks that were up 4% or more and over 220 that were down 4% or more. Currently, there are only about 12 stocks up more than 10%, and breadth is running 2 to 1 negative.

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The Rolling Correction Is Rolling Along


The Rolling Correction Is Rolling Along
This market is not nearly as strong as it looks.
You wouldn't know it from looking at the indices or listening to traditional financial media but the market has been undergoing a rotational correction for months and it is picking up some traction today.
The easiest way to see what is going on is to compare the charts of biotechnology (XBI) , cannabis (MJ) , and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) with the S&P 500 (SPY) . At the same time, SPY is hitting new all-time highs and looks extended. ARKK is down about 24% from its high, the cannabis ETF has fallen 38%, and biotechnology is down about 28% in two months which qualifies as technical bear markets for all three sectors.

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13 Stocks on My Radar Amid a Wall of Worry


13 Stocks on My Radar Amid a Wall of Worry
The action so far looks to be driven more by fear of being left out than euphoric chasing.
Apr 05, 2021 | 11:07 AM EDT
We are off to a strong start Monday morning on better than 2 to 1 positive breadth. Although bonds (TLT) are weaker this morning, it isn't a problem for buyers so far. It is likely that concern about higher rates and inflation is creating a Wall of Worry dynamic for the market.
The way a Wall of Worry works is that buyers hold back due to a particular worry but when that worry doesn't have any significant market impact, buyers start to put more cash to work. That incremental buying causes more upside and then creates more worry about falling behind and thus produces more buying pressure.

Elys-game-technology , Roblox-corp , Esports-entertainment-group , Zedge-inc , Ammo-inc , Agrify-corp , My-technology-group-inc , Pavmed-inc , Gogo-inc , Truelive-cannabis , Advisorshares-pure

Indexes Are Up, but Speculation's Down


Indexes Are Up, but Speculation's Down
Boosts in a few big-cap names can offset mediocre action in hundreds of smaller names. So what's happening now with the small-time investors?
Stocks quotes in this article:
AAPL,
GOOG
It was a solid day of gains for the indexes, but it lacked speculative energy. With the Nasdaq 100 up 2% and the S&P 500 hitting a new all-time high, it is hard to complain about the action, but the wild momentum that was in play earlier this year has not yet returned.
Breadth was good at around three gainers for every two decliners, and there were nearly 1,000 stocks hitting new 12-month highs but there few "hot" pockets of crazy momentum. What was driving the action Monday was primarily the FATMAAN stocks. Apple (AAPL)  gained 2.5%, and Alphabet (GOOG)  jumped a healthy 4%. Movement like that in a few big-cap names offsets mediocre action in hundreds of smaller names.

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Stock Pickers Are Back: Here's What I'm Picking

It is nice to see the broad selling pressure that was weighing on small-caps for the past month start to lift....POWW

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April Brings Out the Bulls


April Brings Out the Bulls
The first day of the second quarter turned out bullish. But next week the real work begins.
Stocks quotes in this article:
QQQ
The first day of the second quarter of 2021 can be summed up in one word: bullish.
The indexes moved slowly higher all day after a gap-up open, and breadth was almost three to one positive. All the major indexes managed solid gains, and there wasn't any strong rotation, although the Nasdaq 100 fund (QQQ) did outperform due to solid gains in the FATMAAN names.
The first day of a new quarter sometimes benefits from contributions and inflows into pension plans, 401(k)s, and other automatic investment accounts, but the important thing about this action was that there was no pressure caused by bonds and the aggressive rotation and reallocation seem to have ended.

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Interest Rate Worries Undermine Stock Picking


Interest Rate Worries Undermine Stock Picking
The market is hoping that Fed Chair Powell will offer a program focused on shifting the yield curve to address the inflation issue
Mar 17, 2021 | 06:40 AM EDT
Following a robust rally on Monday, stocks turned mixed on Tuesday as worries about inflation and higher interest rates took hold again. Market players are looking ahead to the FOMC interest rate decision at 2 pm ET, which will be followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Higher interest rates combined with a rotation into stocks that benefit from reopening the economy have been causing market issues for about a month now. With the Covid vaccine rapidly rolling out, many businesses returning to normal, and $1.9 trillion in stimulus hitting, the economy is on track to see some rapid growth.

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Markets Anxiously Await the Fed Announcement


Markets Anxiously Await the Fed Announcement
Interest is even higher than normal as there was some aggressive selling the last time Powell spoke about rising rates and inflation.
Stocks quotes in this article:
QQQ
For the last several months, the FOMC interest rate decisions have not had much market impact. It was well known that there wasn't going to be any immediate rate changes and that the Fed had maxed out its stimulus payments. Fed Chair Jerome Powell was tinkering with a few issues, but no major policy shifts were expected.
The Fed meeting Wednesday has suddenly become much more important as concerns about rising rates and inflation have bubbled up over the past month. The market is now anxiously awaiting to evaluate every word that Powell may utter about the topic. The interest is even higher than normal because the last time Powell spoke about the issue, the market experienced some aggressive selling.

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The Fed Gives the Market What it Wants


The Fed Gives the Market What it Wants
The bonds -- and many experts -- are skeptical about promises to delay rate hikes for years.
Mar 17, 2021 | 04:23 PM EDT
The news ended up being the perfect combination -- strong growth and some "transitory" inflation -- but no likely interest rate hikes for years. That is exactly what the market needed to bring in some buyers and create some fear of missing out -- FOMO.
Bonds were a little skeptical of this view and struggled, and there were also plenty of "experts" that were quick to point out that this is not a very logical scenario. The Fed is always greeted with derision when it produces a positive market response, but that is the nature of many old-time pundits who always seem to prefer a pessimistic view of market action.

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Stock Pickers Gain Confidence as Rotational Action Slows

As rotational action in the stock market slows, stock pickers are gaining confidence, writes James "Rev Shark" DePorre, who says there was less focus on movement between various market sectors in Monday's trading and more emphasis on the merits of individual stocks....M

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