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Mild by iowa standards. but no rain and no snow. mike huckabee who won in 2008 said that mild forecast is good news for mitt romney. >> peter alexander, happy new year to you. for a closer look now at iowa horse race i'm joined by cnbc chief washington correspondent john harwood, and d.c. bureau chief for yahoo. they're both at java joe's in des moines. good morning. >> happy new year. >> let's go ahead and start with you. let's talk about the mood there in des moines at java joe's. i don't see many people there. is this the calm before the storm? >> definitely. normal people are taking thei...

Our new nbc news/marist poll has mitt romney leading the field here in iowa. it's the second poll this week to show romney on top. and one of many polls showing newt gingrich is in dead free fall. the pressure may be getting to newt, who became teary-eyed this afternoon here at java joe's. one reason romney's doing so well here is evangelical voters are split. they're torn among rick santorum, rick perry, romney, gingrich and michele bachmann. together, the religious-oriented candidates, that's santorum, perry, and bachmann, get 35% in a new poll, but apart they're giving romney a real path to...

>> "the des moines register" poll is coming out saturday, right? >> right. >> what time? >> 7:00 p.m. >> the whole world will know who's going to win, right? >> it's going to predict it. >> i hear you're good. it's great to meet you. good to have you on. >> thank you. up next, we've got the most revealing moment of the presidential race so far. the one that said more about the candidates than they ever intended. this is very fun, coming up here. very fun. if that means anything. "hardball" from java joe's in des moines, only on msnbc. are you for romney? >> yes. >> tell me why. >> i was fo...

Isn't the most consistent candidate because he's changed his minds about big, important issues over the years. >> you know, that's one of the things i like about him because he's been consistent since he changed his mind. >> you first. you first, roger. consistent since he changed his mind. is that an endorsement in. >> the worst statement you can possibly make. secondly, who wants o'donnell's endorsement? you know, half the people thought she -- >> you're right. >> -- practiced witchcraft. the other half thought she still practices witchcraft. is she the person you want to endorse you? >> are...

So far. the statements that really tell us more about the candidates that even they ever intended to tell us. finally, let me finish with the role of politics and human tears. we start with mitt romney going for the kill. howard fineman's an msnbc political analyst and "the huffington post" media group editorial director. and susan page is the washington bureau chief for "usa today." well, here we are at java joe's, ground central, on a quiet little street in des moines, that just happens to come alive like brigadoon every four years, and we're all here. i think we're part of the brigadoon c...