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The up welling of water under the storm a good 25 to 35 feet high, erin. so with the forward momentum and force it's been carrying for days and if it makes land fall and slams into a curved koseline we could see a higher storm surge than st. augustine or jacksonville. we're extremely lucky that overnight the eye stayed off the shore of florida by 20-25 miles. the differents between catastrophic and mild to severe damage. but the model has been extremely spot on. it gave us land fall in haiti. put the exact land fall in eastern cuba and through the bahamas and stayed off shore last night. the w...

Because the movement continues to be to the northwest, and eventually daytona beach really likely to see as the storm whether or not it hits the periphery of florida or makes land fall, most of models are saying it will stay to the east. we are going to see the long trek of the storm paralleling the coast. still a category 4 storm. right now 60 miles to the south east of fort pierce. so let's take a closer look. here is the storm and here is the latest conditions and track. the movement as i mentioned to the northwest. still a powerful category 2 or category 3 storm going into the weekend hour...

Possible outbreak of tornados in here as well. >> i saw some saying this storm might actually come back hit florida a second time. is that true? >> yeah it usually takes a while for these models to get in some agreement. let me show you 18 models. this is typically what you would see. and some of the models do put it on shore as the land fall. some carry it just off the shore. but again this is typically what we see. come 70 hours, 14 of the 18 circle it back around. now what we haven't talked about much because it is not a big thing. it is a fish storm. nicole is a hurricane a thousand miles ...

That was a storm surge of 15 feet just to the east of it. this is not that scenario. that was devastating. when we are talking yesterday, this could have been a cat 4 where it is located now and making land fall in florida. that was a scary potential. because it is cat 3 and down to 120 and parallel to the coast. >> if it is weak enough, we could avoid the storm surge. if it does make land fall to the right of the georgetown area, that's the area i am most concerned with. >> you are looking at south carolina. we have craig melvin who's tracking the storm. >> reporter: thank you very much, crai...

Devastating flow to the space center and it looks like they'll get hit hard there on the eastern shore of florida. >> back to you. >> tom costello. >> thank you very much. >> we are giving live look here. some folks are still walking up and down at the promenade. florida is among the states waiting format few a matthew. >> first, major hurricane expected to make land fall since hurricane hugo there. back in '89. our live coverage continues after this. you were financially secure - it was glorious. how do you know that? i work at ally - it's my job to know about finances.