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And "charlotte observer" where he is up by four. this is the strength and weaknesses of averaging the polls together. we'll drop off this week, the earliest poll in the last month, which is incidentally the best poll for president obama. this state is going to end the next couple of weeks trend -- i wouldn't surprised to see in a couple of weeks north carolina be a lean romney state on the basis of dropping out the older polls. >> bret: we talk about the ipad app that people can download. they are downloading it, making their own maps, comparing the maps that you and karl had done. you have on...

And "charlotte observer" where he is up by four. this is the strength and weaknesses of averaging the polls together. we'll drop off this week, the earliest poll in the last month, which is incidentally the best poll for president obama. this state is going to end the next couple of weeks trend -- i wouldn't surprised to see in a couple of weeks north carolina be a lean romney state on the basis of dropping out the older polls. >> bret: we talk about the ipad app that people can download. they are downloading it, making their own maps, comparing the maps that you and karl had done. you have on...

Out, this is over 30 days. you moved texas in to the dark red, because you just said it is. but georgia is the same way, right? tennessee, kentucky? >> we have 35 electoral college votes called lean romney, georgia, tennessee, kentucky. they are called that because the last poll we have is some time ago. but i personally think those 35 electoral college votes are in romney's column. if you do that, think about that for a minute. solid obama states 14 of them represent 184 electoral college votes. if you add kentucky, tennessee, georgia, to the 1 states that romney has. you add those states wit...

Romney. >> i thought the nbs c -- >> let's stay with chuck. out there that the challenger will get four out of the six or something like that, is that still a probability or not given what you know about favorabilities? >> no. no. i think it's very possible it's one to one. i think it's possible that it's actually splits up 40% of them going to obama, 30% go to romney, and 30% don't vote. i think that's the more likely scenario of this 8% to 10% of the electorate. >> i thought that in the nbc poll actually independents that romney leads among independents. >> among independents. but these are ...

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